A Predictive Model to Detect the Impending Electric Submersible Pump Trips and Failures

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Long Peng ◽  
Guoqing Han ◽  
Arnold Landjobo Pagou ◽  
Liying Zhu ◽  
He Ma ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Predictive Model ◽  
Principal Components ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Stable Operation ◽  
Submersible Pump ◽  
New Principal ◽  
Numerical Visualization ◽  
Single Well ◽  
Squared Prediction Error ◽  
Electric Submersible Pump

Abstract Trips and failures are common occurrences in the Electric Submersible Pump (ESP) systems. The random nature of these trips and failures will lead to low industry run-life and high workover costs for ESP companies and operators. To perform early detection and take corrective actions to handle the potential incidents, ESP operation data collected from downhole and surface sensors are used to perform diagnostics and prognostics to identify trips and failures. In this study, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) method serves as a pre-processing method to retain the most essential principal components to reevaluate the initial ESP system. For a single well system, the Squared Prediction Error (SPE) and Hotelling T-square statistic (T2) equations are employed for numerical visualization in the new principal component space and therefore detection of the potential ESP trips or failures. For the whole well group, the score plot of three principal components provides a solution that enables to distinguish different clusters of stable operation, trip and failure regions, and diagnose the upcoming ESP trips and failures. In this way, the predictive model is bulit to continuously analyze the ESP operation and automatically perform health monitoring for any ESP system. This paper concludes that the predictive model has the potential to construct a real-time proactive surveillance system to identify dynamic anomalies and therefore predict developing trips or failures in the ESP system.

Structuring Assessments of Psychopathology

2006 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 87-92 ◽  
Author(s):  
Willem K.B. Hofstee ◽  
Dick P.H. Barelds ◽  
Jos M.F. Ten Berge
Keyword(s):  
Principal Components ◽  
Personality Assessment ◽  
Clinical Sample ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Normal Sample ◽  
Normative Sample ◽  
Assessment Data ◽  
Obsessive Compulsive ◽  
Oblique Rotation ◽  
Two Samples

Hofstee and Ten Berge (2004a) have proposed a new look at personality assessment data, based on a bipolar proportional (-1, .. . 0, .. . +1) scale, a corresponding coefficient of raw-scores likeness L = ΢XY/N, and raw-scores principal component analysis. In a normal sample, the approach resulted in a structure dominated by a first principal component, according to which most people are faintly to mildly socially desirable. We hypothesized that a more differentiated structure would arise in a clinical sample. We analyzed the scores of 775 psychiatric clients on the 132 items of the Dutch Personality Questionnaire (NPV). In comparison to a normative sample (N = 3140), the eigenvalue for the first principal component appeared to be 1.7 times as small, indicating that such clients have less personality (social desirability) in common. Still, the match between the structures in the two samples was excellent after oblique rotation of the loadings. We applied the abridged m-dimensional circumplex design, by which persons are typed by their two highest scores on the principal components, to the scores on the first four principal components. We identified five types: Indignant (1-), Resilient (1-2+), Nervous (1-2-), Obsessive-Compulsive (1-3-), and Introverted (1-4-), covering 40% of the psychiatric sample. Some 26% of the individuals had negligible scores on all type vectors. We discuss the potential and the limitations of our approach in a clinical context.

Comparison of Principal Component Solutions in Two Populations

Methodology ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gregor Sočan
Keyword(s):  
Simulation Study ◽  
Principal Components ◽  
Common Factor ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Component Model ◽  
Bootstrap Procedure ◽  
Factor Loadings ◽  
Component Loadings ◽  
Principal Component Model ◽  
Two Populations

Abstract. When principal component solutions are compared across two groups, a question arises whether the extracted components have the same interpretation in both populations. The problem can be approached by testing null hypotheses stating that the congruence coefficients between pairs of vectors of component loadings are equal to 1. Chan, Leung, Chan, Ho, and Yung (1999) proposed a bootstrap procedure for testing the hypothesis of perfect congruence between vectors of common factor loadings. We demonstrate that the procedure by Chan et al. is both theoretically and empirically inadequate for the application on principal components. We propose a modification of their procedure, which constructs the resampling space according to the characteristics of the principal component model. The results of a simulation study show satisfactory empirical properties of the modified procedure.

Making smart wells equipped with electric submersible pump units

2018 ◽  
pp. 130-133
Author(s):  
S.S. Ulianov ◽  
◽  
R.I. Sagyndykov ◽  
D.S. Davydov ◽  
S.A. Nosov ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Submersible Pump ◽  
Smart Wells ◽  
Electric Submersible Pump

Stormwater inflow prediction using radar rainfall data compressed by principal component analysis

2006 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Katayama ◽  
K. Kimijima ◽  
O. Yamanaka ◽  
A. Nagaiwa ◽  
Y. Ono
Keyword(s):  
Principal Component Analysis ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Principal Components ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Component Analysis ◽  
Rainfall Data ◽  
Radar Rainfall ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Inflow Prediction

This paper proposes a method of stormwater inflow prediction using radar rainfall data as the input of the prediction model constructed by system identification. The aim of the proposal is to construct a compact system by reducing the dimension of the input data. In this paper, Principal Component Analysis (PCA), which is widely used as a statistical method for data analysis and compression, is applied to pre-processing radar rainfall data. Then we evaluate the proposed method using the radar rainfall data and the inflow data acquired in a certain combined sewer system. This study reveals that a few principal components of radar rainfall data can be appropriate as the input variables to storm water inflow prediction model. Consequently, we have established a procedure for the stormwater prediction method using a few principal components of radar rainfall data.

Evaluation functions for integral mapping

2017 ◽  
Vol 921 (3) ◽  
pp. 24-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
S.I. Lesnykh ◽  
A.K. Cherkashin
Keyword(s):  
Principal Component Analysis ◽  
Environmental Factors ◽  
Principal Components ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Evaluation Function ◽  
Final Value ◽  
Evaluation Functions ◽  
Geographical Environment ◽  
Environmental Background ◽  
Integral Mapping

The proposed procedure of integral mapping is based on calculation of evaluation functions on the integral indicators (II) taking into account the feature of the local geographical environment, when geosystems in the same states in the different environs have various estimates. Calculation of II is realized with application of a Principal Component Analysis for processing of the forest database, allowing to consider in II the weight of each indicator (attribute). The final value of II is equal to a difference of the first (condition of geosystem) and the second (condition of environmental background) principal components. The evaluation functions are calculated on this value for various problems of integral mapping. The environmental factors of variability is excluded from final value of II, therefore there is an opportunity to find the invariant evaluation function and to determine coefficients of this function. Concepts and functions of the theory of reliability for making the evaluation maps of the hazard of functioning and stability of geosystems are used.

scholarly journals EXPRESS: Exploration of Principal Component Analysis: Deriving PCA Visually Using Spectra

2021 ◽  
pp. 000370282098784
Author(s):  
James Renwick Beattie ◽  
Francis Esmonde-White
Keyword(s):  
Principal Components ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Original Data ◽  
Specific Chemical ◽  
Successive Refinement ◽  
Minimal Loss ◽  
Components Analysis ◽  
The Mathematical Model ◽  
Application Specific ◽  
Reconstructed Data

Spectroscopy rapidly captures a large amount of data that is not directly interpretable. Principal Components Analysis (PCA) is widely used to simplify complex spectral datasets into comprehensible information by identifying recurring patterns in the data with minimal loss of information. The linear algebra underpinning PCA is not well understood by many applied analytical scientists and spectroscopists who use PCA. The meaning of features identified through PCA are often unclear. This manuscript traces the journey of the spectra themselves through the operations behind PCA, with each step illustrated by simulated spectra. PCA relies solely on the information within the spectra, consequently the mathematical model is dependent on the nature of the data itself. The direct links between model and spectra allow concrete spectroscopic explanation of PCA, such the scores representing ‘concentration’ or ‘weights’. The principal components (loadings) are by definition hidden, repeated and uncorrelated spectral shapes that linearly combine to generate the observed spectra. They can be visualized as subtraction spectra between extreme differences within the dataset. Each PC is shown to be a successive refinement of the estimated spectra, improving the fit between PC reconstructed data and the original data. Understanding the data-led development of a PCA model shows how to interpret application specific chemical meaning of the PCA loadings and how to analyze scores. A critical benefit of PCA is its simplicity and the succinctness of its description of a dataset, making it powerful and flexible.

The factor structure of the GHQ-60 in a community sample

1988 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 211-218 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. L. Vazquez-Barquero ◽  
P. Williams ◽  
J. F. Diez-Manrique ◽  
J. Lequerica ◽  
A. Arenal
Keyword(s):  
Factor Structure ◽  
Principal Components ◽  
Good Description ◽  
Social Performance ◽  
Community Sample ◽  
General Health Questionnaire ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Northern Spain ◽  
Relative Operating Characteristic ◽  
Component Structure

SynopsisThe factor structure of the 60-item version of the General Health Questionnaire was explored, using data collected in a community study in a rural area of northern Spain. Six principal components, similar to those previously reported with this instrument, were found to provide a good description of the data structure.The 30-item and 12-item versions of the GHQ were then disembedded from the parent version, and further principal components analyses carried out. Again, the results were similar to previous studies: in each of the three versions analysed here, the two most important components represented a disturbance of mood (‘general dysphoria’)– including aspects of anxiety, depression and irritability– and a disturbance of social performance (‘social function/optimism’).The principal component structure of the GHQ-60 was then utilized to calculate factor scores, and these were compared with PSE ratings using Relative Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis. While four of the six factors discriminated well (area under the ROC curve 0–75 or more) between PSE ‘cases’ and ‘non-cases’, only one, depressive thoughts, was a good discriminator between depressed and non-depressed PSE ‘cases’.

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