History Matching of Production Performance for Highly Faulted, Multi Layered, Clastic Oil Reservoirs using Artificial Intelligence and Data Analytics: A Novel Approach

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nis Ilyani Mohmad ◽  
Dipak Mandal ◽  
Hadi Amat ◽  
Ali Sabzabadi ◽  
Rahim Masoudi
2021 ◽  
Vol 73 (04) ◽  
pp. 58-59
Author(s):  
Judy Feder

This article, written by JPT Technology Editor Judy Feder, contains highlights of paper SPE 202460, “History Matching of Production Performance for Highly Faulted, Multilayered, Clastic Oil Reservoirs Using Artificial Intelligence and Data Analytics: A Novel Approach,” by Nis Ilyani Mohmad and Dipak Mandal, SPE, Petronas, and Hadi Amat, Petroliam Nasional, et al., prepared for the 2020 SPE Asia Pacific Oil and Gas Conference and Exhibition, originally scheduled to be held in Perth, Australia, 20-22 October. The paper has not been peer reviewed. History matching is a critical step for dynamic reservoir modeling to establish a reliable, predictive model. Numerous approaches have emerged over decades to accomplish a robust history-matched reservoir model. As geological and completion complexity of oil and gas fields increase, building a fully representative predictive reservoir model can be arduous to almost impossible. The complete paper outlines an approach to history matching that uses artificial intelligence (AI) with an artificial neural network (ANN) and data-driven analytics. The new approach has been used to mitigate history-matching challenges in a mature, highly geologically complex field offshore Malaysia. Overview The complete paper describes a step-by-step methodology for building a reservoir model and a history-matching process using ANN. The paper discusses data preparation and quality assurance and control (QA/QC), spatiotemporal database formulation, reservoir model design, ANN architecture design, model training, and history-matching strategy. A case study of implementation in an offshore Malaysian field is presented, wherein good-to-fair history-matching quality was obtained for all production parameters. Field A is a highly geologically complex, 25×75-km oil sandstone reservoir with more than 200 major and minor faults and more than 30 reservoir layers. It has been producing for more than 25 years. The challenges of history matching this field lie not only in its geologically complex structure and corresponding subsurface uncertainties, but also in a production strategy that has involved commingled dual-string production with several integrity issues that exacerbate the field’s complexities. To date, Field A has no fieldwide history-matched reservoir model because the complexity of history matching has precluded using conventional numerical simulation methods. This challenge has been mitigated by implementing an AI-based reservoir model and data analytics. The new approach is estimated to be more time- and cost-efficient than the conventional method. The complete paper compares the AI-based and conventional numerical reservoir modeling approaches and highlights the advantages, limitations, and areas of improvement of the new methodology. The authors present their case for AI-based reservoir modeling as a complement or alternative to conventional numerical modeling to create time-efficient reservoir models while reducing risk in field-development plans.


Author(s):  
Zhaohao Sun ◽  
Andrew Stranieri

Intelligent analytics is an emerging paradigm in the age of big data, analytics, and artificial intelligence (AI). This chapter explores the nature of intelligent analytics. More specifically, this chapter identifies the foundations, cores, and applications of intelligent big data analytics based on the investigation into the state-of-the-art scholars' publications and market analysis of advanced analytics. Then it presents a workflow-based approach to big data analytics and technological foundations for intelligent big data analytics through examining intelligent big data analytics as an integration of AI and big data analytics. The chapter also presents a novel approach to extend intelligent big data analytics to intelligent analytics. The proposed approach in this chapter might facilitate research and development of intelligent analytics, big data analytics, business analytics, business intelligence, AI, and data science.


Author(s):  
William B. Rouse

This book discusses the use of models and interactive visualizations to explore designs of systems and policies in determining whether such designs would be effective. Executives and senior managers are very interested in what “data analytics” can do for them and, quite recently, what the prospects are for artificial intelligence and machine learning. They want to understand and then invest wisely. They are reasonably skeptical, having experienced overselling and under-delivery. They ask about reasonable and realistic expectations. Their concern is with the futurity of decisions they are currently entertaining. They cannot fully address this concern empirically. Thus, they need some way to make predictions. The problem is that one rarely can predict exactly what will happen, only what might happen. To overcome this limitation, executives can be provided predictions of possible futures and the conditions under which each scenario is likely to emerge. Models can help them to understand these possible futures. Most executives find such candor refreshing, perhaps even liberating. Their job becomes one of imagining and designing a portfolio of possible futures, assisted by interactive computational models. Understanding and managing uncertainty is central to their job. Indeed, doing this better than competitors is a hallmark of success. This book is intended to help them understand what fundamentally needs to be done, why it needs to be done, and how to do it. The hope is that readers will discuss this book and develop a “shared mental model” of computational modeling in the process, which will greatly enhance their chances of success.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 3137
Author(s):  
Amine Tadjer ◽  
Reider B. Bratvold ◽  
Remus G. Hanea

Production forecasting is the basis for decision making in the oil and gas industry, and can be quite challenging, especially in terms of complex geological modeling of the subsurface. To help solve this problem, assisted history matching built on ensemble-based analysis such as the ensemble smoother and ensemble Kalman filter is useful in estimating models that preserve geological realism and have predictive capabilities. These methods tend, however, to be computationally demanding, as they require a large ensemble size for stable convergence. In this paper, we propose a novel method of uncertainty quantification and reservoir model calibration with much-reduced computation time. This approach is based on a sequential combination of nonlinear dimensionality reduction techniques: t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding or the Gaussian process latent variable model and clustering K-means, along with the data assimilation method ensemble smoother with multiple data assimilation. The cluster analysis with t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding and Gaussian process latent variable model is used to reduce the number of initial geostatistical realizations and select a set of optimal reservoir models that have similar production performance to the reference model. We then apply ensemble smoother with multiple data assimilation for providing reliable assimilation results. Experimental results based on the Brugge field case data verify the efficiency of the proposed approach.


Diagnosis ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Taro Shimizu

Abstract Diagnostic errors are an internationally recognized patient safety concern, and leading causes are faulty data gathering and faulty information processing. Obtaining a full and accurate history from the patient is the foundation for timely and accurate diagnosis. A key concept underlying ideal history acquisition is “history clarification,” meaning that the history is clarified to be depicted as clearly as a video, with the chronology being accurately reproduced. A novel approach is presented to improve history-taking, involving six dimensions: Courtesy, Control, Compassion, Curiosity, Clear mind, and Concentration, the ‘6 C’s’. We report a case that illustrates how the 6C approach can improve diagnosis, especially in relation to artificial intelligence tools that assist with differential diagnosis.


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