Statistical Approach to Forecasting Gas-Oil Ratios and Solution Gas Production from Shale Volatile Oil Reservoirs

Author(s):  
Ibukun Makinde ◽  
W. John Lee
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julieta Alvarez ◽  
Oswaldo Espinola ◽  
Luis Rodrigo Diaz ◽  
Lilith Cruces

Abstract Increase recovery from mature oil reservoirs requires the definition of enhanced reservoir management strategies, involving the implementation of advanced methodologies and technologies in the field's operation. This paper presents a digital workflow enabling the integration of commonly isolated elements such as: gauges, flowmeters, inflow control devices; analysis methods and data, used to improve scientific understanding of subsurface flow dynamics and determine improved operational decisions that support field's reservoir management strategy. It also supports evaluation of reservoir extent, hydraulic communication, artificial lift impact in the near-wellbore zone and reservoir response to injected fluids and coning phenomenon. This latest is used as an example to demonstrate the applicability of this workflow to improve and support operational decisions, minimizing water and gas production due to coning, that usually results in increasing production operation costs and it has a direct impact decreasing reservoir energy in mature saturated oil reservoirs. This innovative workflow consists on the continuous interpretation of data from downhole gauges, referred in this paper as data-driven; as well as analytical and numerical simulation methodologies using real-time raw data as an input, referred in this paper as model-driven, not commonly used to analyze near wellbore subsurface phenomena like coning and its impact in surface operation. The resulting analyses are displayed through an extensive visualization tool that provides instant insight to reservoir characterization and productivity groups, improving well and reservoir performance prediction capabilities for complex reservoirs such as mature saturated reservoirs with an associated aquifer, where undesired water and gas production is a continuous challenge that incorporates unexpected operational expenses.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Hatta M. Yusof ◽  
M. Zarkashi Sulaiman ◽  
Rahimah A. Halim ◽  
Nurfaridah Ahmad Fauzi ◽  
Ahgheelan Sella Thurai ◽  
...  

Abstract This paper discusses the Case study of Field A in offshore Sarawak, Malaysia which focus on re-thinking development based on statistical analysis of the fields. Conventionally, well design is driven by subsurface requirement by targeting the high-reserve sand and well is designed to meet subsurface objectives. However, the conventional way may not be efficient to develop matured field environment due to the high CAPEX and the inconsistencies among well design especially in current volatile oil price period. The objective of this fit-for-purpose approach which is called "Cone Concept Statistical Approach" is to steer away from the conventional way of targeting only sweet spots whilst leaving the remaining potential resources undeveloped. Based on the statistical analysis and subsurface fields pattern, the "Cone Concept Statistical Approach" in which standardizing well design and trajectories was developed to extract the whole fields’ reserve at maximum. Well design boundaries were introduced to ensure this approach can be replicated throughout the field. Not only this study covers drilling perspective, completion perspective was also taken into consideration by exploring a cheaper and fit for purpose sand control method, considering it is a matured field with relatively short remaining field life. The Well Cost Catalogue for this field-specific approach was also developed which contains different types of design and completion, in order to holistically evaluate sand control method and identify the best option for the project moving forward. This "Cone Concept Statistical Approach" aims to enable operator to drill simple wells within the same allocated budget in which poses low-to-no risk in the design and execution phase. This promotes a learning curve to improve operation & HSE, and ultimately gets positive project economics. Since this simple approach can be implemented early on even during the pre-FEL stage, the FDP team & host authority can come together to jointly discuss the targets/platform ranking and segregate them into various phases. Hence, the number of platforms or drilling centers, and its location also can be optimized early on with this concept, and again, translating into further reduction in overall project cost. This paper will help other operators and host authority to understand better on how a specific development concept on statistical approach can result and turn the matured-challenging fields into more economically attractive projects – low overall development cost and maximizing the recovery.


1998 ◽  
Vol 1 (05) ◽  
pp. 416-420 ◽  
Author(s):  
G.E. Petrosky ◽  
F. Farshad

This paper (SPE 51395) was revised for publication from paper SPE 26644, first presented at the 1993 SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, Houston, 3-6 October. Original manuscript received for review 25 October 1993. Revised manuscript received 1 October 1997. Paper peer approved 28 January 1998. Summary New empirical pressure-volume-temperature (PVT) correlations for estimating bubblepoint pressure, solution gas-oil ratio (GOR), bubblepoint oil formation volume factor (FVF), and undersaturated isothermal oil compressibility have been developed as a function of commonly available field data. Results show that these PVT properties can be predicted with average absolute errors ranging from 0.64% for bubblepoint oil FVF to 6.66% for undersaturated isothermal oil compressibility. P. 416


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