Hierarchical Long-Term and Short-Term Production Optimization

SPE Journal ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 16 (01) ◽  
pp. 191-199 ◽  
Author(s):  
G.M.. M. van Essen ◽  
P.M.J.. M.J. Van den Hof ◽  
J.D.. D. Jansen

Summary Model-based dynamic optimization of oil production has a significant potential to improve economic life-cycle performance, as has been shown in various studies. However, within these studies, short-term operational objectives are generally neglected. As a result, the optimized injection and production rates often result in a considerable decrease in short-term production performance. In reality, however, it is often these short-term objectives that dictate the course of the operational strategy. Incorporating short-term goals into the life-cycle optimization problem, therefore, is an essential step in model-based life-cycle optimization. We propose a hierarchical optimization structure with multiple objectives. Within this framework, the life-cycle performance in terms of net present value (NPV) serves as the primary objective and shortterm operational performance is the secondary objective, such that optimality of the primary objective constrains the secondary optimization problem. This requires that optimality of the primary objective does not fix all degrees of freedom (DOF) of the decision variable space. Fortunately, the life-cycle optimization problem is generally ill-posed and contains many more decision variables than necessary. We present a method that identifies the redundant DOF in the life-cycle optimization problem, which can subsequently be used in the secondary optimization problem. In our study, we used a 3D reservoir in a fluvial depositional environment with a production life of 7 years. The primary objective is undiscounted NPV, while the secondary objective is aimed at maximizing shortterm production. The optimal life-cycle waterflooding strategy that includes short-term performance is compared to the optimal strategy that disregards short-term performance. The experiment shows a very large increase in short-term production, boosting first-year production by a factor of 2, without significantly compromising optimality of the primary objective, showing a slight drop in NPV of only -0.3%. Our method to determine the redundant DOF in the primary objective function relies on the computation of the Hessian matrix of the objective function with respect to the control variables. Although theoretically rigorous, this method is computationally infeasible for realistically sized problems. Therefore, we also developed a second, more pragmatic, method relying on an alternating sequence of optimizing the primary-and secondary-objective functions. Subsequently, we demonstrated that both methods lead to nearly identical results, which offers scope for application of hierarchical long-term and short-term production optimization to realistically sized flooding-optimization problems.

SPE Journal ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 17 (03) ◽  
pp. 849-864 ◽  
Author(s):  
C.. Chen ◽  
G.. Li ◽  
A.C.. C. Reynolds

Summary In this paper, we develop an efficient algorithm for production optimization under linear and nonlinear constraints and an uncertain reservoir description. The linear and nonlinear constraints are incorporated into the objective function using the augmented Lagrangian method, and the bound constraints are enforced using a gradient-projection trust-region method. Robust long-term optimization maximizes the expected life-cycle net present value (NPV) over a set of geological models, which represent the uncertainty in reservoir description. Because the life-cycle optimal controls may be in conflict with the operator's objective of maximizing short-time production, the method is adapted to maximize the expectation of short-term NPV over the next 1 or 2 years subject to the constraint that the life-cycle NPV will not be substantially decreased. The technique is applied to synthetic reservoir problems to demonstrate its efficiency and robustness. Experiments show that the field cannot always achieve the optimal NPV using the optimal well controls obtained on the basis of a single but uncertain reservoir model, whereas the application of robust optimization reduces this risk significantly. Experimental results also show that robust sequential optimization on each short-term period is not able to achieve an expected life-cycle NPV as high as that obtained with robust long-term optimization.


SPE Journal ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 18 (06) ◽  
pp. 1057-1066 ◽  
Author(s):  
G.M. M van Essen ◽  
P.M.J.. M.J. Van den Hof ◽  
J.-D.. -D. Jansen

Summary We present a two-level strategy to improve robustness against uncertainty and model errors in life-cycle flooding optimization. At the upper level, a physics-based large-scale reservoir model is used to determine optimal life-cycle injection and production profiles. At the lower level, these profiles are considered as set points (reference values) for a tracking control algorithm, also known as a model predictive controller (MPC), to optimize the production variables over a short moving horizon on the basis of a simple data-driven model. In the process industry such a two-level approach is a well-known strategy to correct for small local disturbances that may have a negative (cumulative) effect on the long-term production strategy. We used a conventional reservoir simulator with gradient-based optimization functionality to perform the life-cycle optimization. Next, we applied this long-term strategy to a reservoir model, representing the truth, with somewhat different geological characteristics and near-wellbore characteristics not captured in the reservoir model used for the longterm optimization. We compared the performance (oil recovery) of this truth model when applying the life-cycle strategy with and without the corrections provided by the data-driven algorithm and the tracking controller. In this theoretical study we observed that the use of the lower-level controller enabled successful tracking of the reference values provided by the upper-level optimizer. In our example, a performance drop of 6.4% in net present value (NPV), caused by differences between the reservoir model used for life-cycle optimization and the true reservoir, was successfully reduced to only 0.5% when applying the two-level strategy. Several studies have demonstrated that model-based life-cycle production optimization has a large scope to improve long-term economic performance of waterflooding projects. However, because of uncertainties in geology, economics, and operational decisions, such life-cycle strategies cannot simply be applied in reality. Our two-level approach offers a potential solution to realize life-cycle optimization in an operational setting.


2021 ◽  
pp. 002071522199352
Author(s):  
Boris Heizmann ◽  
Nora Huth

This article addresses the extent to which economic downturns influence the perception of immigrants as an economic threat and through which channels this occurs. Our primary objective is an investigation of the specific mechanisms that connect economic conditions to the perception of immigrants as a threat. We therefore also contribute to theoretical discussions based on group threat and realistic group conflict theory by exposing the dominant source of competition relevant to these relationships. Furthermore, we investigate whether people react more sensitive to short-term economic dynamics within countries than to the long-term economic circumstances. Our database comprises all waves of the European Social Survey from 2002 to 2017. The macro-economic indicators we use include GDP per capita, unemployment, and national debt levels, covering the most salient economic dimensions. We furthermore control for the country’s migration situation and aggregate party positions toward cultural diversity. Our results show that the dynamic short-term developments of the economy and migration within countries are of greater relevance for perceived immigrant threat than the long-term situation. In contrast, the long-term political climate appears to be more important than short-term changes in the aggregate party positions. Further mediation analyses show that objective economic conditions influence anti-immigrant attitudes primarily through individual perceptions of the country’s economic performance and that unemployment rates are of primary importance.


2016 ◽  
Vol 138 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi Ren ◽  
Alparslan Emrah Bayrak ◽  
Panos Y. Papalambros

We compare the performance of human players against that of the efficient global optimization (EGO) algorithm for an NP-complete powertrain design and control problem. Specifically, we cast this optimization problem as an online competition and received 2391 game plays by 124 anonymous players during the first month from launch. We found that while only a small portion of human players can outperform the algorithm in the long term, players tend to formulate good heuristics early on that can be used to constrain the solution space. Such constraining of the search enhances algorithm efficiency, even for different game settings. These findings indicate that human-assisted computational searches are promising in solving comprehensible yet computationally hard optimal design and control problems, when human players can outperform the algorithm in a short term.


2013 ◽  
Vol 59 (No. 12) ◽  
pp. 563-577
Author(s):  
A. Ejaz ◽  
P. Polak

The main objective of the paper is to seek the source that can explain the momentum profits because the source of momentum profits has been disputed. The secondary objective of the paper is to affirm the findings of the author about the presence of the short term momentum effect and to reaffirm the notion that CAPM cannot explain the momentum profits supported by a large number of authors. For the primary objective, a set of variables has been chosen, that fall under the category of “Business Indicators”, to explain the momentum profits. It is found that a variable “Starting a Business” could explain the source of the momentum profits whereas other variables may have a negligible or no influence over the momentum profits. It is also reaffirmed that a short term momentum effect has been found in 14 stock markets and the CAPM could not explain the momentum profits. This study is not conclusive due to the limitation of data but it does give a source of the momentum profits and it sheds light on the future research about the sources that can explain momentum profits in a great detail.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 567
Author(s):  
Arindam Das

M&A performance is a multifaceted, compound construct with no overarching factor that captures all different dimensions. This paper examines the concept of acquisition performance and proposes a model that links firm-level factors and transaction parameters with firms’ short-term and long-term performance, extending to financial-, market- and innovation measures. Building on past empirical studies on the influence of various factors on M&A performance, a multi-dimensional structural equation model has been developed and it has been tested with a dataset on acquisitions in the Indian technology sector over a period of ten years. The results suggest that: (a) smaller acquirers with higher book value and leveraged firms demonstrate better long-term performance; (b) contrary to established understanding, short-term market returns are not influenced by deal parameters; (c) majority stake purchases show relatively lesser gains—suggesting the possible presence of post-acquisition integration issues and, (d) acquirers with high intangible assets continue to do well on innovation performance post-acquisition. By indicating situations and conditions under which an acquisition would potentially lead to a performance gain for the acquirer, these results provide significant insight to practitioners pursuing M&As for growth opportunities.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 1491 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keling Wang ◽  
Yaqiong Miao ◽  
Ching-Hui Su ◽  
Ming-Hsiang Chen ◽  
Zhongjun Wu ◽  
...  

We examined whether corporate charitable giving (CCG) in China benefits corporate performance (CP) in terms of sales growth (SG), return on asset (ROA), return on equity (ROE), and Tobin’s Q (TQ), and revealed several findings. First, testing shows variation in the impact of CCG on CP. Whereas the ratio of corporate charitable giving (RCCG) to total sales revenue does not significantly enhance SG, ROA, and ROE, it is positively related to TQ. Second, the positive relationship between RCCG and TQ originates from non-state-owned firms (NSOFs) rather than state-owned firms (SOFs). Third, Chinese firms may use CCG as traditional philanthropy to enhance long-term performance instead of strategically using it to generate short-term performance. Lastly, an inverted U-shaped relationship exists between RCCG and TQ, especially for NSOFs.


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