Value of Information in the Oil and Gas Industry: Past, Present, and Future

Author(s):  
Reidar Brumer Bratvold ◽  
J. Eric Bickel ◽  
Hans Petter Lohne
2009 ◽  
Vol 12 (04) ◽  
pp. 630-638 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reidar B. Bratvold ◽  
J. Eric Bickel ◽  
Hans Petter Lohne

Summary An important task that petroleum engineers and geoscientists undertake is to produce decision-relevant information. Some of the most important decisions we make concern what type and what quality of information to produce. When decisions are fraught with geologic and market uncertainties, this information gathering may such forms as seismic surveys, core and well test analyses, reservoir simulations, market analyses, and price forecasts--which the industry spends billions of US dollars each year. Yet, considerably less time and resources are expended on assessing the profitability or value of this information. Why is that? This paper addresses how to make value-of-information (VOI) analysis more accessible and useful by discussing its past, present, and future. On the basis of a survey of SPE publications, we provide an overview of the use of VOI in the oil and gas industry, focusing on how the analysis was carried out and for which types of decisions VOI analysis has been performed. We highlight areas in which VOI methods have been used successfully and identify important challenges. We then identify and discuss the possible causes for the limited use of VOI methods and suggest ways to increase the use of this powerful analysis tool. Introduction One of the most useful features of decision analysis is its ability to distinguish between constructive and wasteful information gathering. VOI analysis evaluates the benefits of collecting additional information before making a decision. Such information gathering may be worthwhile if it holds the possibility of changing the decision that would be made without further information. VOI attributes no value to "uncertainty reduction" or "increased confidence" per se. Rather, value is added by enabling the decision maker (DM) to better "tune" his/her choice to the underlying uncertainty. Thus, information value is forever an entanglement of uncertainty and decision making; one cannot value information outside of a particular decision context.


2020 ◽  
Vol 78 (7) ◽  
pp. 861-868
Author(s):  
Casper Wassink ◽  
Marc Grenier ◽  
Oliver Roy ◽  
Neil Pearson

2004 ◽  
pp. 51-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Sharipova ◽  
I. Tcherkashin

Federal tax revenues from the main sectors of the Russian economy after the 1998 crisis are examined in the article. Authors present the structure of revenues from these sectors by main taxes for 1999-2003 and prospects for 2004. Emphasis is given to an increasing dependence of budget on revenues from oil and gas industries. The share of proceeds from these sectors has reached 1/3 of total federal revenues. To explain this fact world oil prices dynamics and changes in tax legislation in Russia are considered. Empirical results show strong dependence of budget revenues on oil prices. The analysis of changes in tax legislation in oil and gas industry shows that the government has managed to redistribute resource rent in favor of the state.


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