Static and Dynamic Uncertainty Management for Probabilistic Production Forecast in Chuchupa Field, Colombia

2007 ◽  
Vol 10 (04) ◽  
pp. 433-439 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nestor Rivera ◽  
Nestor Saul Meza ◽  
Jeoung Soo Kim ◽  
Peter Andrew Clark ◽  
Raymond Garber ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Simulation Models ◽  
Gas Production ◽  
Reservoir Model ◽  
Production Forecast ◽  
Water Contact ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Static Models ◽  
Static Modeling ◽  
Optimization Routine ◽  
Rock Compressibility

Summary Structural, stratigraphic, and petrophysical uncertainties result in a wide range of geologic interpretations. For fields with a long production and pressure history, 3D dynamic simulations have been very useful in providing feedback to geologic modelers, which results in improved static models. For this study, we developed an integrated static and dynamic workflow to create a range of probabilistic simulation models to forecast dry-gas production under several production scenarios in the Chuchupa field. We selected eight geologic interpretations, representing the range of original gas in place (OGIP) and reservoir geometries determined in the static modeling, to perform dynamic history matches. The OGIP range of the models with very good history matches corresponds closely to the P10 to P90 OGIP range calculated from static modeling. In addition, we calibrated the various models with historical bottomhole and tubinghead flowing pressures and coupled the reservoir model with a network consisting of surface lines and equipment, pipelines from two platforms to the onshore sale-point station, and multistage compression to 1,215 psia. The set of probabilistic models is currently used to evaluate various production and market scenarios. Introduction Chuchupa field has produced 1.9 Tscf of dry gas, or approximately 40% of the OGIP. At the time of this study, three new horizontal wells were being planned, and new gas-sales agreements were being considered. Recent seismic reinterpretation, a new stratigraphic study, and a revision of the petrophysical model resulted in new probabilistic static models for the field. While these static models were being built, a parallel numerical-simulation study was conducted to determine the range of OGIP values that could be successfully history matched. Nine numerical reservoir models were generated by applying pore-volume multipliers to the prior-generation reservoir model, yielding a range of OGIP from 3.8 to 6.6 Tscf. We attempted to history match each of these nine models by using an optimization routine to adjust aquifer support, vertical transmissibility across a potential seal, and rock compressibility. The optimization routine proved to be a very useful and efficient tool to attain good-quality history matches in short periods of time. Good matches were obtained for models with OGIP ranging from 4.3 to 5.8 Tscf. On the basis of this information, the geologic modelers revised petrophysical parameters and generated 27 static models, encompassing three structural interpretations, three porosity distributions, and three possible positions of the gas/water contact (GWC). From experimental design, we obtained P10, P50, and P90values of 4.1, 4.7, and 5.3 Tscf, respectively. We scaled up and built reservoir-simulation models on eight of these models and performed history matches. The observed parameters to match were static well pressures and the absence of water production. Six of the eight models were satisfactorily history matched, with reasonable adjustments to aquifer strength, vertical transmissibility, and rock compressibility. The successfully history-matched models are within the P10 to P90 OGIP range. We selected three models to forecast future gas production. These models match the P10, P50, and P90 OGIP values determined in the probabilistic static model and combine the low, mid, and high structures, porosity and Swi distributions, and the range of GWC positions.

Integrated Subsurface to Surface Modeling to Assess Reservoir Uncertainty Quantification to A Carbonate Reservoir

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Chaterine
Keyword(s):  
Uncertainty Quantification ◽  
Gas Production ◽  
Carbonate Reservoir ◽  
Production Volume ◽  
Production Forecast ◽  
Uncertainty Range ◽  
Field Development ◽  
Production Forecasting ◽  
Production Scheme ◽  
Rock Compressibility

This study accommodates subsurface uncertainties analysis and quantifies the effects on surface production volume to propose the optimal future field development. The problem of well productivity is sometimes only viewed from the surface components themselves, where in fact the subsurface component often has a significant effect on these production figures. In order to track the relationship between surface and subsurface, a model that integrates both must be created. The methods covered integrated asset modeling, probability forecasting, uncertainty quantification, sensitivity analysis, and optimization forecast. Subsurface uncertainties examined were : reservoir closure, regional segmentation, fluid contact, and SCAL properties. As the Integrated Asset Modeling is successfully conducted and a matched model is obtained for the gas-producing carbonate reservoir, highlights of the method are the following: 1) Up to ± 75% uncertainty range of reservoir parameters yields various production forecasting scenario using BHP control with the best case obtained is 335 BSCF of gas production and 254.4 MSTB of oil production, 2) SCAL properties and pseudo-faults are the most sensitive subsurface uncertainty that gives major impact to the production scheme, 3) EOS modeling and rock compressibility modeling must be evaluated seriously as those contribute significantly to condensate production and the field’s revenue, and 4) a proposed optimum production scenario for future development of the field with 151.6 BSCF gas and 414.4 MSTB oil that yields a total NPV of 218.7 MMUSD. The approach and methods implemented has been proven to result in more accurate production forecast and reduce the project cost as the effect of uncertainty reduction.

Inhibition kinetics for propionate degradation using propionate-enriched mixed cultures

1998 ◽  
Vol 38 (8-9) ◽  
pp. 443-451 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. H. Hyun ◽  
J. C. Young ◽  
I. S. Kim
Keyword(s):  
Phase I ◽  
Competitive Inhibition ◽  
Gas Production ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Utilization Rate ◽  
Inhibition Kinetics ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Propionate Degradation ◽  
Acetate Utilization ◽  
Velocity Coefficient

To study propionate inhibition kinetics, seed cultures for the experiment were obtained from a propionate-enriched steady-state anaerobic Master Culture Reactor (MCR) operated under a semi-continuous mode for over six months. The MCR received a loading of 1.0 g propionate COD/l-day and was maintained at a temperature of 35±1°C. Tests using serum bottle reactors consisted of four phases. Phase I tests were conducted for measurement of anaerobic gas production as a screening step for a wide range of propionate concentrations. Phase II was a repeat of phase I but with more frequent sampling and detailed analysis of components in the liquid sample using gas chromatography. In phase III, different concentrations of acetate were added along with 1.0 g propionate COD/l to observe acetate inhibition of propionate degradation. Finally in phase IV, different concentrations of propionate were added along with 100 and 200 mg acetate/l to confirm the effect of mutual inhibition. Biokinetic and inhibition coefficients were obtained using models of Monod, Haldane, and Han and Levenspiel through the use of non-linear curve fitting technique. Results showed that the values of kp, maximum propionate utilization rate, and Ksp, half-velocity coefficient for propionate conversion, were 0.257 mg HPr/mg VSS-hr and 200 mg HPr/l, respectively. The values of kA, maximum acetate utilization rate, and KsA, half-velocity coefficient for acetate conversion, were 0.216 mg HAc/mg VSS-hr and 58 mg HAc/l, respectively. The results of phase III and IV tests indicated there was non-competitive inhibition when the acetate concentration in the reactor exceeded 200 mg/l.

scholarly journals Tunable Crystalline Phases in UV-Curable PEG-Grafted Ladder-Structured Silsesquioxane/Polyimide Composites

Materials ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 2295 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryung Il Kim ◽  
Ju Ho Shin ◽  
Jong Suk Lee ◽  
Jung-Hyun Lee ◽  
Albert S. Lee ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Polymer Composites ◽  
Surface Properties ◽  
Weight Ratio ◽  
Hybrid Polymer ◽  
Water Contact ◽  
Uv Curable ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Drastic Increase ◽  
Polyimide Composites ◽  
Crystalline Polyethylene

A series of UV-curable hybrid composite blends containing a carboxylic acid functionalized polyimidewith varying amounts of high molecular weight (~1 K) PEG-grafted ladder-structured polysilsesquioxanes copolymerized with methacryl groups were fabricated and their structural, thermal, mechanical, and surface properties characterized. At a composite weight ratio of polyimide above 50 wt.%, a stark shift from amorphous to crystalline polyethylene glycol (PEG) phases were observed, accompanied by a drastic increase in both surface moduli and brittleness index. Moreover, fabricated composites were shown to have a wide range water contact angle, 9.8°–73.8°, attesting to the tunable surface properties of these amphiphilic hybrid polymer composites. The enhanced mechanical properties, combined with the utility of tunable surface hydrophilicity allows for the possible use of these hybrid polymer composites to be utilized as photosensitive polyimide negative photoresists for a myriad of semiconductor patterning processes.

Geomechanical Response Induced by Multiphase (Gas/Water) Flow in the Mallik Hydrate Reservoir of Canada

SPE Journal ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Yingli Xia ◽  
Tianfu Xu ◽  
Yilong Yuan ◽  
Xin Xin ◽  
Huixing Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Shear Stress ◽  
Shear Failure ◽  
Energy Resource ◽  
Gas Production ◽  
Production Performance ◽  
Reservoir Model ◽  
Hydrate Reservoir ◽  
Maximum Subsidence ◽  
Permeability Anisotropy

Summary Natural gas hydrate (NGH) is regarded as an important alternative future energy resource. In recent years, a few short-term production tests have been successfully conducted with both permafrost and marine sediments. However, long-term hydrate production performance and the potential geomechanical problems are not very clear. According to the available geological data at the Mallik site, a more realistic hydrate reservoir model that considers the heterogeneity of porosity, permeability, and hydrate saturation was developed and validated by reproducing the field depressurization test. The coupled multiphase and heat flow and geomechanical response induced by depressurization were fully investigated for long-term gas production from the validated hydrate reservoir model. The results indicate that long-term gas production through depressurization from a vertically heterogeneous hydrate reservoir is technically feasible, but the production efficiency is generally modest, with the low average gas production rate of 4.93 × 103 ST m3/d (ST represents the standard conditions) over a 1-year period. The hydrate dissociation region is significantly affected by the reservoir heterogeneity and reveals a heterogeneous dissociation front in the reservoir. The depressurization production results in significant increase of shear stress and vertical compaction in the hydrate reservoir. The response of shear stress indicates that the potential region of sand migration is mainly in the sand-dominant layer during gas production from the hydraulically heterogeneous hydrate reservoir (e.g., sand layers interbedded with clay layers). The maximum subsidence is approximately 78 mm and occurred at the 72nd day, whereas the final subsidence is slowly dropped to 63 mm after 1-year of depressurization production. The vertical subsidence is greatly dependent on the elastic properties and the permeability anisotropy. In particular, the maximum subsidence increased by approximately 81% when the ratio of permeability anisotropy was set at 5:1. Furthermore, the potential shear failure in the hydrate reservoir is strongly correlated to the in-situ stress state. For the normal fault stress regime, the greater the initial horizontal stress is, the less likely the hydrate reservoir is to undergo shear failure during depressurization production.

Controlled Frac Height Growth Technique to Avoid Contacting Water-Bearing Layer

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hashem Al-Obaid ◽  
Sultan A. Asel ◽  
Jon Hansen ◽  
Rio Wijaya
Keyword(s):  
Hydraulic Fracturing ◽  
Height Growth ◽  
Gas Production ◽  
Stress Profile ◽  
Water Production ◽  
Tight Sandstone ◽  
Water Contact ◽  
Vertical Fracture ◽  
Vertical Growth ◽  
Water Zone

Abstract Many techniques have been used to model, diagnose and detect fracture dimension and propagation during hydraulic fracturing. Diagnosing fracture dimension growth vs time is of paramount importance to reach the desired geometry to maximize hydrocarbon production potential and prevent contacting undesired fluid zones. The study presented here describes a technique implemented to control vertical fracture growth in a tight sandstone formation being stimulated near a water zone. This gas well was completed vertically as openhole with Multi- Stage Fracturing (MSF). Pre-Fracturing diagnostic tests in combination with high-resolution temperature logs provided evidence of vertical fracture height growth downward toward water zone. Pre-fracturing flowback indicated water presence that was confirmed by lab test. Several actions were taken to mitigate fracture vertical growth during the placement of main treatment. An artificial barrier with proppant was placed in the lower zone of the reservoir before main fracturing execution. The rate and viscosity of fracturing fluids were also adjusted to control the net pressure aiming to enhance fracture length into the reservoir. The redesigned proppant fracturing job was placed into the formation as planned. Production results showed the effectiveness of the artificial lower barrier placed to prevent fracture vertical growth down into the water zone. Noise log consists of Sonic Noise Log (SNL) and High Precision Temperature (HPT) was performed. The log analysis indicated that two major fractures were initiated away from water-bearing zone with minimum water production. Additionally, in- situ minimum stress profile indicated no enough contrast between layers to help confine fracture into the targeted reservoir. Commercial gas production was achieved after applying this stimulation technique while keeping water production rate controlled within the desired range. The approach described in this paper to optimize gas production in tight formation with nearby water contact during hydraulic fracturing treatments has been applied with a significant improvement in well production. This will serve as reference for future intervention under same challenging completion conditions.

scholarly journals Facile Fabrication of Multifunctional ZnO Urchins on Surfaces

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 74 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abinash Tripathy ◽  
Patryk Wąsik ◽  
Syama Sreedharan ◽  
Dipankar Nandi ◽  
Oier Bikondoa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Contact Angle ◽  
Water Contact Angle ◽  
Surface Density ◽  
Room Temperature ◽  
High Surface ◽  
Secondary Growth ◽  
Water Contact ◽  
Growth Step ◽  
Si Substrates ◽  
Wide Range

Functional ZnO nanostructured surfaces are important in a wide range of applications. Here we report the simple fabrication of ZnO surface structures at near room temperature with morphology resembling that of sea urchins, with densely packed, μm-long, tapered nanoneedles radiating from the urchin center. The ZnO urchin structures were successfully formed on several different substrates with high surface density and coverage, including silicon (Si), glass, polydimethylsiloxane (PDMS), and copper (Cu) sheets, as well as Si seeded with ZnO nanocrystals. Time-resolved SEM revealed growth kinetics of the ZnO nanostructures on Si, capturing the emergence of “infant” urchins at the early growth stage and subsequent progressive increases in the urchin nanoneedle length and density, whilst the spiky nanoneedle morphology was retained throughout the growth. ε-Zn(OH)2 orthorhombic crystals were also observed alongside the urchins. The crystal structures of the nanostructures at different growth times were confirmed by synchrotron X-ray diffraction measurements. On seeded Si substrates, a two-stage growth mechanism was identified, with a primary growth step of vertically aligned ZnO nanoneedle arrays preceding the secondary growth of the urchins atop the nanoneedle array. The antibacterial, anti-reflective, and wetting functionality of the ZnO urchins—with spiky nanoneedles and at high surface density—on Si substrates was demonstrated. First, bacteria colonization was found to be suppressed on the surface after 24 h incubation in gram-negative Escherichia coli (E. coli) culture, in contrast to control substrates (bare Si and Si sputtered with a 20 nm ZnO thin film). Secondly, the ZnO urchin surface, exhibiting superhydrophilic property with a water contact angle ~ 0°, could be rendered superhydrophobic with a simple silanization step, characterized by an apparent water contact angle θ of 159° ± 1.4° and contact angle hysteresis ∆θ < 7°. The dynamic superhydrophobicity of the surface was demonstrated by the bouncing-off of a falling 10 μL water droplet, with a contact time of 15.3 milliseconds (ms), captured using a high-speed camera. Thirdly, it was shown that the presence of dense spiky ZnO nanoneedles and urchins on the seeded Si substrate exhibited a reflectance R < 1% over the wavelength range λ = 200–800 nm. The ZnO urchins with a unique morphology fabricated via a simple route at room temperature, and readily implementable on different substrates, may be further exploited for multifunctional surfaces and product formulations.

Dynamic to Static Modeling

Geophysics ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-43
Author(s):  
Javad Sharifi
Keyword(s):  
Reservoir Characterization ◽  
Triaxial Compression ◽  
Rock Physics ◽  
Regression Equations ◽  
Compression Tests ◽  
In Situ Tests ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Static Modulus ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Static Modeling

Dynamic-to-static modulus conversion has long been recognized as a complicated and challenging task in reservoir characterization and seismic geomechanics, and many single- and two-variable regression equations have been proposed. In practice however, the form and constants of the regression equation are variable from case to case. I introduce a methodology for estimating the static moduli called dynamic-to-static modeling (DTS). The methodology was validated by laboratory tests (ultrasonic and triaxial compression tests) to obtain dynamic and quasi-static bulk and Young’s (elasticity) moduli. Next, rock deformation phenomena were simulated considering different parameters affecting the process. The dynamic behavior was further modeled using rock physics methods. Unlike the conventional dynamic-to-static conversion procedures, the method considers a wide range of factors affecting the relationship between the dynamic and static moduli, including strain amplitude, dispersion, rock failure mechanism, pore shape, crack parameters, poromechanics, and upscaling. A comparison between the data from laboratory and in-situ tests and the estimation results indicated promising findings. The accuracy of the results was assessed by the analysis of variance (ANOVA). In addition to modeling the static moduli, DTS can be used to verify the static and dynamic moduli values with appropriate accuracy when core data is not available.

4.4 A Policy for Encouraging the Effective Use of Computers in Animal Production Development

1981 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 137-140
Author(s):  
C. T. Whittemore
Keyword(s):  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Simulation Models ◽  
Agricultural Industry ◽  
Flat Rate ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Business Forecasting ◽  
Development Workers ◽  
Effective Use ◽  
The Cost

In addition to data and record handling and the completion of complex and arduous mathematical calculations, the computer may serve a wide range of purposes for the agricultural industry; these include the provision of day-to-day management information, the mechanical enactment of management decisions, business forecasting, interpretation of real life and prediction of future response by use of simulation models, analysis of cost effectiveness of various tactics and stratagems, the transfer of information, scrutinization of existing knowledge and the formulation of experimental programmes. The computer is seen as a major linking medium between research, development and production practice; being both the preferred route for information flow and an ideal way of packaging dispersed pieces of knowledge into practical, usable, systems advice.The concern of practical producers is not with discrete little problems but with systems. To help, the extension worker must bring forward systems solutions. Often research and development workers try to get across to producers potential benefits in small bits (3 times daily milking gives a yield lift of 15%; flat rate feeding gives better margins over concentrates; high density diets improve feed efficiency), whereas producer benefits come from the cost effectiveness of whole integrated systems.

scholarly journals Plastics recycling: challenges and opportunities

2009 ◽  
Vol 364 (1526) ◽  
pp. 2115-2126 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jefferson Hopewell ◽  
Robert Dvorak ◽  
Edward Kosior
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Dioxide Emissions ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Renewable Resource ◽  
Gas Production ◽  
Rapid Expansion ◽  
Natural Habitats ◽  
Oil And Gas Production ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Challenges And Opportunities ◽  
Product Reuse

Plastics are inexpensive, lightweight and durable materials, which can readily be moulded into a variety of products that find use in a wide range of applications. As a consequence, the production of plastics has increased markedly over the last 60 years. However, current levels of their usage and disposal generate several environmental problems. Around 4 per cent of world oil and gas production, a non-renewable resource, is used as feedstock for plastics and a further 3–4% is expended to provide energy for their manufacture. A major portion of plastic produced each year is used to make disposable items of packaging or other short-lived products that are discarded within a year of manufacture. These two observations alone indicate that our current use of plastics is not sustainable. In addition, because of the durability of the polymers involved, substantial quantities of discarded end-of-life plastics are accumulating as debris in landfills and in natural habitats worldwide. Recycling is one of the most important actions currently available to reduce these impacts and represents one of the most dynamic areas in the plastics industry today. Recycling provides opportunities to reduce oil usage, carbon dioxide emissions and the quantities of waste requiring disposal. Here, we briefly set recycling into context against other waste-reduction strategies, namely reduction in material use through downgauging or product reuse, the use of alternative biodegradable materials and energy recovery as fuel. While plastics have been recycled since the 1970s, the quantities that are recycled vary geographically, according to plastic type and application. Recycling of packaging materials has seen rapid expansion over the last decades in a number of countries. Advances in technologies and systems for the collection, sorting and reprocessing of recyclable plastics are creating new opportunities for recycling, and with the combined actions of the public, industry and governments it may be possible to divert the majority of plastic waste from landfills to recycling over the next decades.

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