scholarly journals DETERMINANTS OF BUDGET DEFICIT IN SOUTH AFRICA: A BOUNDS COINTEGRATION

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gisele Mah
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Budget Deficit

scholarly journals Budget Deficits and Economic Growth: A Vector Error Correction Modelling of South Africa

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (2(J)) ◽  
pp. 215-223
Author(s):  
Kagiso Molefe ◽  
Andrew Maredza
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Budget Deficits ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run

The primary motivation behind this study was to explore the consequential effects of budget deficit on South Africa`s economic growth. Six variables were used, namely: real GDP, budget deficit, real interest rate, labour, gross fixed capital formation and unemployment. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) was used to estimate the long-run equation and also measure the correction from disequilibrium of preceding periods. Using annual time series data spanning the period 1985 to 2015, empirical evidence from the study revealed that budget deficits and economic growth are inversely related. It was therefore concluded that high levels of budget deficit in South Africa have detrimental effects on the growth of the economy. The estimate of the speed of adjustment coefficient found in this study revealed that about 29 per cent of the variation in GDP from its equilibrium level is corrected within one year. The results obtained in this study are favourably similar to those in the literature and are also sustained by previous studies.

scholarly journals Budget Deficits and Economic Growth: A Vector Error Correction Modelling of South Africa

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 215
Author(s):  
Kagiso Molefe ◽  
Andrew Maredza
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Budget Deficits ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run

The primary motivation behind this study was to explore the consequential effects of budget deficit on South Africa`s economic growth. Six variables were used, namely: real GDP, budget deficit, real interest rate, labour, gross fixed capital formation and unemployment. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) was used to estimate the long-run equation and also measure the correction from disequilibrium of preceding periods. Using annual time series data spanning the period 1985 to 2015, empirical evidence from the study revealed that budget deficits and economic growth are inversely related. It was therefore concluded that high levels of budget deficit in South Africa have detrimental effects on the growth of the economy. The estimate of the speed of adjustment coefficient found in this study revealed that about 29 per cent of the variation in GDP from its equilibrium level is corrected within one year. The results obtained in this study are favourably similar to those in the literature and are also sustained by previous studies.

scholarly journals Investigating a new wealth tax in South Africa: Lessons from international experience

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jackie Arendse ◽  
Lilla Stack
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Wealth Transfer ◽  
The World ◽  
History Of ◽  
Small Base ◽  
Wealth Tax ◽  
Gift Tax

In recent years, there has been an increasing focus on new sources of taxation, including wealth tax. In South Africa, two phenomena have driven the focus on wealth tax. Firstly, the need for additional tax revenue to fund an ongoing and growing budget deficit, exacerbated by a prolonged period of low economic growth, rising government debt and a very small base of individual taxpayers. Secondly, the fact that South Africa has one of the most unequal societies in the world. The dual demands of increased tax revenue and economic inequality have converged around wealth tax as a possible panacea to both problems. Although South Africa has a long history of wealth transfer tax in the form of estate duty and donations tax, there has never been a tax on the net wealth holdings of individuals during their lifetime. Internationally, numerous countries have used wealth tax in various forms, including inheritance tax, gift tax, recurrent wealth tax and non-recurrent wealth tax. This study examines some of the international experiences with these three categories of wealth tax, seeking lessons and experiences that can inform the debate around the viability of a new wealth tax in South Africa.

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