scholarly journals ANOMALOUS RETURNS, RISK PREMIUMS AND DIVERSIFICATION: EVIDENCE FROM EMERGING MARKET

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohsin Sadaqat ◽  
Hilal Anwar Butt
Keyword(s):  
Emerging Market ◽  
Risk Premiums

Emerging Market Risk Premiums

CFA Magazine ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 38-39
Author(s):  
Cynthia Harrington
Keyword(s):  
Emerging Market ◽  
Market Risk ◽  
Risk Premiums

scholarly journals Cross-sectional Volatility and Stock Returns: Evidence for Emerging Markets

2016 ◽  
Vol 41 (3) ◽  
pp. 234-246 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sanjay Sehgal ◽  
Vidisha Garg
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Asset Pricing ◽  
South Korea ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Residual Variance ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Risk Premiums

Executive Summary Cross-sectional volatility measures dispersion of security returns at a particular point of time. It has received very little focus in research. This article studies the cross-section of volatility in the context of economies of Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia, China, South Korea, and South Africa (BRIICKS). The analysis is done in two parts. The first part deals with systematic volatility (SV), that is, cross-sectional variation of stock returns owing to their exposure to market volatility measure ( French, Schwert, & Stambaugh, 1987 ). The second part deals with unsystematic volatility (UV), measured by the residual variance of stocks in a given period by using error terms obtained from Fama–French model. The study finds that high SV portfolios exhibit low returns in case of Brazil, South Korea, and Russia. The risk premium is found to be statistically significantly negative for these countries. This finding is consistent with Ang et al. and is indicative of hedging motive of investors in these markets. Results for other sample countries are somewhat puzzling. No significant risk premiums are reported for India and China. Significantly positive risk premiums are observed for South Africa and Indonesia. Further, capital asset pricing model (CAPM) seems to be a poor descriptor of returns on systematic risk loading sorted portfolios while FF is able to explain returns on all portfolios except high SV loading portfolio (i.e., P1) in case of South Africa which seems to be an asset pricing anomaly. It is further observed that high UV portfolios exhibit high returns in all the sample countries except China. In the Chinese market, the estimated risk premium is statistically significantly negative. This negative risk premium is inconsistent with the theory that predicts that investors demand risk compensation for imperfect diversification. The remaining sample countries show significantly positive risk premium. CAPM does not seem to be a suitable descriptor for returns on UV sorted portfolios. The FF model does a better job but still fails to explain the returns on high UV sorted portfolio in case of Brazil and China and low UV sorted portfolio in South Africa. The findings are relevant for global fund managers who plan to develop emerging market strategies for asset allocation. The study contributes to portfolio management as well as market efficiency literature for emerging economies.

Evidence of risk premiums in emerging market carry trade currencies

2016 ◽  
Vol 44 ◽  
pp. 103-115 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcelo Bittencourt Coelho dos Santos ◽  
Marcelo Cabus Klotzle ◽  
Antonio Carlos Figueiredo Pinto
Keyword(s):  
Emerging Market ◽  
Carry Trade ◽  
Risk Premiums

scholarly journals Pricing Sovereign Debt in Resource-Rich Economies

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (240) ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas McGregor
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Default Risk ◽  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Sovereign Default ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Risk Premiums ◽  
Sovereign Spreads ◽  
Sovereign Default Risk ◽  
Interest Rate Spreads

How do oil price movements affect sovereign spreads in an oil-dependent economy? I develop a stochastic general equilibrium model of an economy exposed to co-moving oil price and output processes, with endogenous sovereign default risk. The model explains a large proportion of business cycle fluctuations in interest-rate spreads in oil-exporting emerging market economies, particularly the countercyclicallity of interest rate spreads and oil prices. Higher risk-aversion, more impatient governments, larger oil shares and a stronger correlation between domestic output and oil price shocks all lead to stronger co-movements between risk premiums and the oil price.

Upheaval in the distribution of power in the world economy: Problems and outlook of the world economy to 2050

2017 ◽  
pp. 114-127 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Klinov
Keyword(s):  
Economic Policy ◽  
International Trade ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Detailed Review ◽  
Depressed State ◽  
Industry Output ◽  
The World ◽  
Distribution Of Power ◽  
The Eu

Causes of upheaval in the distribution of power among large advanced and emerging market economies in the XXI century, especially in industry output and international trade, are a topic of the paper. Problems of employment, financialization and income distribution inequality as consequences of globalization are identified as the most important. Causes of the depressed state of the EU and the eurozone are presented in a detailed review. In this content, PwC forecast of changes in the world economy by 2050, to the author’s view, optimistically provides for wise and diligent economic policy.

Book Reviews

2005 ◽  
Vol 55 (2) ◽  
pp. 235-249
Author(s):  
Csilla Varga ◽  
György Lengyel ◽  
Viktória Vásáry
Keyword(s):  
Rural Development ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Social Position ◽  
Emerging Market Economies ◽  
Multifunctional Agriculture ◽  
New Paradigm ◽  
Ashgate Publishing ◽  
Publishing Limited ◽  
European Agriculture

Grzegorz W. Kolodko: Emerging Market Economies: Globalization and Development (Aldershot and Burlington: Ashgate, 2003, 281 pp.) - Reviewed by Csilla Varga); Mihály Laki - Júlia Szalai: Vállalkozók vagy polgárok? A nagyvállalkozók gazdasági és társadalmi helyzetének ambivalenciái az ezredforduló Magyarországán (Entrepreneur or Citoyen? Ambivalences of the Economic and Social Position of Great Entrepreneurs at the Turn of the Millenium in Hungary) (Budapest: Osiris, 2004, 271 pp.) - Reviewed by György Lengyel; Guido van Huylenbroeck - Guy Durand (eds): Multifunctional Agriculture. A New Paradigm for European Agriculture and Rural Development (Hampshire, England: Ashgate Publishing Limited, 2003, 239 pp.) - Reviewed by Viktória Vásáry

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