scholarly journals Potato price analysis of Delhi market through ensemble empirical mode decomposition

2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (01) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kapil Choudhary ◽  
Girish Kumar Jha ◽  
Rajeev Ranjan Kumar

Agricultural commodities prices depends on production, unnecessary demand, production uncertainty, market flaws etc. Due to these factors agricultural price series are non-stationary and non-linear in nature. Therefore analyzing agricultural commodities prices is considered as a challenging task. The traditional stationary approach of time series is unable to capture non-stationary and non-linear properties of agricultural price series. Non-stationary and non-linear properties present in the price series may be accurately analyzed through empirical mode decongation (EMD). In this technique, the original time series decomposed into intrinsic mode functions and residue. One of the major limitation of EMD is the presence of the mode mixing. To overcome this limitation of the EMD, we use ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD). Using this technique in this study, Delhi market potato prices have been analyzed.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chun-Hsiang Tang ◽  
Christina W. Tsai

<p>Abstract</p><p>Most of the time series in nature are nonlinear and nonstationary affected by climate change particularly. It is inevitable that Taiwan has also experienced frequent drought events in recent years. However, drought events are natural disasters with no clear warnings and their influences are cumulative. The difficulty of detecting and analyzing the drought phenomenon remains. To deal with the above-mentioned problem, Multi-dimensional Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (MEEMD) is introduced to analyze the temperature and rainfall data from 1975~2018 in this study, which is a powerful method developed for the time-frequency analysis of nonlinear, nonstationary time series. This method can not only analyze the spatial locality and temporal locality of signals but also decompose the multiple-dimensional time series into several Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs). By the set of IMFs, the meaningful instantaneous frequency and the trend of the signals can be observed. Considering stochastic and deterministic influences, to enhance the accuracy this study also reconstruct IMFs into two components, stochastic and deterministic, by the coefficient of auto-correlation.</p><p>In this study, the influences of temperature and precipitation on the drought events will be discussed. Furthermore, to decrease the significant impact of drought events, this study also attempts to forecast the occurrences of drought events in the short-term via the Artificial Neural Network technique. And, based on the CMIP5 model, this study also investigates the trend and variability of drought events and warming in different climatic scenarios.</p><p> </p><p>Keywords: Multi-dimensional Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (MEEMD), Intrinsic Mode Function(IMF), Drought</p>


MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 67 (2) ◽  
pp. 423-430
Author(s):  
K. BOODHOO ◽  
M. R. LOLLCHUND ◽  
A. F. DILMAHAMOD

In this paper, we propose the use of the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) method in the analysis of trends in climate data. As compared to existing traditional methods, EEMD is simple, fast and reliable. It works by decomposing the time-series data into intrinsic mode functions until a residual component is obtained which represents the trend in the data. The dataset considered consists of satellite precipitation estimates (SPE) obtained from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) for the tropical South-West Indian Ocean (SWIO) basin recorded during the periods January 1998 to December 2013. The SWIO basin spans from the latitudes 5° S to 35° S and the longitudes 30° E to 70° E and comprises of part of the east coast of Africa and some small island developing states (SIDS) such as Comoros, Madagascar, Mauritius and Reunion Island. The EEMD analysis is carried out for summer, winter and yearly time series of the SPE data. The results from the study are presented in terms of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and the trends. The analysis reveals that in summer, there is a tendency to have an increase in the amount of rainfall, whereas in winter, from 1998 to 2004 there has been an initial increase of 0.0022 mm/hr/year and from there onwards till 2013 a decrease of 0.00052 mm/hr/year was noted.  


2014 ◽  
Vol 635-637 ◽  
pp. 790-794
Author(s):  
Yu Kui Wang ◽  
Hong Ru Li ◽  
Peng Ye

A novel method which is based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and symbolic time series analysis (STSA) was proposed in this paper. Firstly, the vibration signal of hydraulic pump was decomposed into a number of stationary intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). Secondly, the sensitive component was extracted. Finally, the relative entropy (RE) was extracted from the sensitive components and they were used as the indicator to distinguish the faults of hydraulic pump. The research results of actual testing vibration signal demonstrated the rationality and effectiveness of the proposed method in this paper.


2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.M. González-Sopeña

Abstract. In the last few years, wind power forecasting has established itself as an essential tool in the energy industry due to the increase of wind power penetration in the electric grid. This paper presents a wind power forecasting method based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and deep learning. EEMD is employed to decompose wind power time series data into several intrinsic mode functions and a residual component. Afterwards, every intrinsic mode function is trained by means of a CNN-LSTM architecture. Finally, wind power forecast is obtained by adding the prediction of every component. Compared to the benchmark model, the proposed approach provides more accurate predictions for several time horizons. Furthermore, prediction intervals are modelled using quantile regression.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 865-876 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xianqi Zhang ◽  
Wei Tuo ◽  
Chao Song

Abstract The prediction of annual runoff in the Lower Yellow River can provide an important theoretical basis for effective reservoir management, flood control and disaster reduction, river and beach management, rational utilization of regional water and sediment resources. To solve this problem and improve the prediction accuracy, permutation entropy (PE) was used to extract the pseudo-components of modified ensemble empirical mode decomposition (MEEMD) to decompose time series to reduce the non-stationarity of time series. However, the pseudo-component was disordered and difficult to predict, therefore, the pseudo-component was decomposed by ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD). Then, intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and trend were predicted by autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) which has strong ability of approximation to stationary series. A new coupling model based on MEEMD-ARIMA was constructed and applied to runoff prediction in the Lower Yellow River. The results showed that the model had higher accuracy and was superior to the CEEMD-ARIMA model or EEMD-ARIMA model. Therefore, it can provide a new idea and method for annual runoff prediction.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liye Zhao ◽  
Wei Yu ◽  
Ruqiang Yan

This paper presents an improved gearbox fault diagnosis approach by integrating complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) with permutation entropy (PE). The presented approach identifies faults appearing in a gearbox system based on PE values calculated from selected intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) of vibration signals decomposed by CEEMD. Specifically, CEEMD is first used to decompose vibration signals characterizing various defect severities into a series of IMFs. Then, filtered vibration signals are obtained from appropriate selection of IMFs, and correlation coefficients between the filtered signal and each IMF are used as the basis for useful IMFs selection. Subsequently, PE values of those selected IMFs are utilized as input features to a support vector machine (SVM) classifier for characterizing the defect severity of a gearbox. Case study conducted on a gearbox system indicates the effectiveness of the proposed approach for identifying the gearbox faults.


2020 ◽  
Vol 42 (2) ◽  
pp. 57-73
Author(s):  
Suya Han ◽  
Yufeng Zhang ◽  
Keyan Wu ◽  
Bingbing He ◽  
Kexin Zhang ◽  
...  

Complete and accurate separation of harmonic components from the ultrasonic radio frequency (RF) echo signals is essential to improve the quality of harmonic imaging. There are limitations in the existing two commonly used separation methods, that is, the subjectivity for the high-pass filtering (S_HPF) method and motion artifacts for the pulse inversion (S_PI) method. A novel separation method called S_CEEMDAN, based on the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) algorithm, is proposed to adaptively separate the second harmonic components for ultrasound tissue harmonic imaging. First, the ensemble size of the CEEMDAN algorithm is calculated adaptively according to the standard deviation of the added white noise. A set of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) is then obtained by the CEEMDAN algorithm from the ultrasonic RF echo signals. According to the IMF spectra, the IMFs that contain both fundamental and harmonic components are further decomposed. The separation process is performed until all the obtained IMFs have been divided into either fundamental or harmonic categories. Finally, the fundamental and harmonic RF echo signals are obtained from the accumulations of signals from these two categories, respectively. In simulation experiments based on CREANUIS, the S_CEEMDAN-based results are similar to the S_HPF-based results, but better than the S_PI-based results. For the dynamic carotid artery measurements, the contrasts, contrast-to-noise ratios (CNRs), and tissue-to-clutter ratios (TCRs) of the harmonic images based on the S_CEEMDAN are averagely increased by 31.43% and 50.82%, 18.96% and 10.83%, as well as 34.23% and 44.18%, respectively, compared with those based on the S_HPF and S_PI methods. In conclusion, the S_CEEMDAN method provides improved harmonic images owing to its good adaptivity and lower motion artifacts, and is thus a potential alternative to the current methods for ultrasonic harmonic imaging.


Energies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 1882 ◽  
Author(s):  
Taiyong Li ◽  
Zhenda Hu ◽  
Yanchi Jia ◽  
Jiang Wu ◽  
Yingrui Zhou

Crude oil is one of the most important types of energy and its prices have a great impact on the global economy. Therefore, forecasting crude oil prices accurately is an essential task for investors, governments, enterprises and even researchers. However, due to the extreme nonlinearity and nonstationarity of crude oil prices, it is a challenging task for the traditional methodologies of time series forecasting to handle it. To address this issue, in this paper, we propose a novel approach that incorporates ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD), sparse Bayesian learning (SBL), and addition, namely EEMD-SBL-ADD, for forecasting crude oil prices, following the “decomposition and ensemble” framework that is widely used in time series analysis. Specifically, EEMD is first used to decompose the raw crude oil price data into components, including several intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and one residue. Then, we apply SBL to build an individual forecasting model for each component. Finally, the individual forecasting results are aggregated as the final forecasting price by simple addition. To validate the performance of the proposed EEMD-SBL-ADD, we use the publicly-available West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent crude oil spot prices as experimental data. The experimental results demonstrate that the EEMD-SBL-ADD outperforms some state-of-the-art forecasting methodologies in terms of several evaluation criteria such as the mean absolute percent error (MAPE), the root mean squared error (RMSE), the directional statistic (Dstat), the Diebold–Mariano (DM) test, the model confidence set (MCS) test and running time, indicating that the proposed EEMD-SBL-ADD is promising for forecasting crude oil prices.


2011 ◽  
Vol 03 (04) ◽  
pp. 509-526 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. FALTERMEIER ◽  
A. ZEILER ◽  
A. M. TOMÉ ◽  
A. BRAWANSKI ◽  
E. W. LANG

The analysis of nonlinear and nonstationary time series is still a challenge, as most classical time series analysis techniques are restricted to data that is, at least, stationary. Empirical mode decomposition (EMD) in combination with a Hilbert spectral transform, together called Hilbert-Huang transform (HHT), alleviates this problem in a purely data-driven manner. EMD adaptively and locally decomposes such time series into a sum of oscillatory modes, called Intrinsic mode functions (IMF) and a nonstationary component called residuum. In this contribution, we propose an EMD-based method, called Sliding empirical mode decomposition (SEMD), which, with a reasonable computational effort, extends the application area of EMD to a true on-line analysis of time series comprising a huge amount of data if recorded with a high sampling rate. Using nonlinear and nonstationary toy data, we demonstrate the good performance of the proposed algorithm. We also show that the new method extracts component signals that fulfill all criteria of an IMF very well and that it exhibits excellent reconstruction quality. The method itself will be refined further by a weighted version, called weighted sliding empirical mode decomposition (wSEMD), which reduces the computational effort even more while preserving the reconstruction quality.


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