scholarly journals VIDA: A Simulation Model of Domestic Violence in Times of Social Distancing

Author(s):  
Lígia Mori Madeira ◽  
Bernardo Alves Furtado ◽  
Alan Dill
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sourav Kumar Bhoi ◽  
Kalyan Kumar Jena ◽  
Debasis Mohapatra ◽  
Munesh Singh ◽  
Raghvendra Kumar ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 548-553
Author(s):  
Nelvitia Purba ◽  
◽  
Reynaldi Putra Rosihan ◽  
Ali Mukti Tanjung ◽  
Rudy Pramono ◽  
...  

The social distancing appeal that the government encourages is not matched by the state's efforts to provide economic security to the community. PSBB will directly or indirectly limit the movement of the community. The teaching and learning process at schools and residents who work will be limited to working or studying at home. This limitation of activities in public spaces will have an impact on people's income, especially those in the middle to lower economy. The implementation of social distancing during the Covid-19 outbreak has increased the risk of violence against women, complicates women's economic conditions, and affirms women's social status as subordinate, or women are in a lower position than men. The formulation of the problem in this research is what is the cause of domestic violence during the covid-19 period in Indonesia, what are the prevention efforts against domestic violence during the covid-19 period. Causes of Domestic Violence During the Covid-19 Period, namely the government's appeal to the community 'at home alone', causing a separate polemic for women and children, especially those who experience economic and psychological pressure at home from extraordinary isolation measures, has prompted increasing instances of reports of domestic violence, especially women who are forced to live for months in abusive relationships. causes and consequences of violence and to prevent the occurrence of violence through primary prevention programs, policy intervention and advocacy as well as information programs and supporting initiatives through all mass media TV, social networks, cell phones.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jason Leslie Payne ◽  
Anthony Morgan ◽  
Alex R. Piquero

Since first diagnosed in late 2019, there have been more than 4 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 and more than a quarter of a million deaths worldwide. Not since the Spanish Flu in 1918 has the world experienced such a widespread pandemic and this has motivated many countries across globe to take a series of unprecedented actions in an effort to curb the spread and impact of the virus through the adoption of unprecedented domestic and international travel restrictions as well as stay-at-home and social distancing regulations. Whether these policies have altered criminal activity is an important question. In this study, we examine officially recorded violent crime rates for the month of March and April, 2020, as reported for the state of Queensland, Australia. We use ARIMA modeling techniques to compute six-month-ahead forecasts of common assault, serious assault, sexual offense and domestic violence order breach rates and then compare these forecasts (and their 95\% confidence intervals) with the observed data for March and April 2020. We conclude that by the end of April, rates of common, serious and sexual assault had declined to their lowest level in a number of years, and for serious assault and sexual assault the decline was beyond statistical expectations. The rate at which domestic violence orders were breached in Queensland has remained unchanged throughout the first two months of the pandemic.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bindu Devkota Sapkota

The Coronavirus disease which started in Wuhan, China, was declared a pandemic on 11th March 2020. Since then the world has come together for the trial and approval of vaccination. Meanwhile, the adopted approach to prevent and slow down the coronavirus is social distancing, handwashing, and use of face masks. In the UK, the government, together with the National Health Service (NHS), have taken various approaches to prevent and slow down the spread of coronavirus. These included imposing a ‘lockdown’ of the country (e.g. closure of schools, businesses, parks, leisure centres), along with the emphasis on handwashing, social distancing, the use of face masks and only permitting essential travel within the UK and between the UK and other countries. These approaches have been undertaken to varying extents and within different timeframes across the four nations of the UK.  Like many other countries worldwide, the UK was not prepared for such pandemics which resulted in the inability to assess the most appropriate approach to contain the spread, including the availability of Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) for frontline workers, particularly those in health care. As the crisis continues several striking social issues have emerged which may, in part, be a consequence of the measures taken.  These include the escalation in domestic violence (DV) and disproportionate burden of disease among the Black, Asian, and Minority Ethnic (BAME) community. The impact of Covid-19 may remain for a long time if appropriate measures are not put in place to address the health inequalities in time.


Author(s):  
Pramit Ghosh ◽  
Salah Basheer ◽  
Sandip Paul ◽  
Partha Chakrabarti ◽  
Jit Sarkar

ABSTRACTObjectiveIn absence of any vaccine, the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is being contained through a non-pharmaceutical measure termed Social Distancing (SD). However, whether SD alone is enough to flatten the epidemic curve is debatable. Using a Stochastic Computational Simulation Model, we investigated the impact of increasing SD, hospital beds and COVID-19 detection rates in preventing COVID-19 cases and fatalities.Research Design and MethodsThe Stochastic Simulation Model was built using the EpiModel package in R. As a proof of concept study, we ran the simulation on Kasaragod, the most affected district in Kerala. We added 3 compartments to the SEIR model to obtain a SEIQHRF (Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Quarantined-Hospitalised-Recovered-Fatal) model.ResultsImplementing SD only delayed the appearance of peak prevalence of COVID-19 cases. Doubling of hospital beds couldn’t reduce the fatal cases probably due to its overwhelming number compared to the hospital beds. Increasing detection rates could significantly flatten the curve and reduce the peak prevalence of cases (increasing detection rate by 5 times could reduce case number to half).ConclusionsAn effective strategy to contain the epidemic spread of COVID-19 in India is to increase detection rates in combination with SD measures and increase in hospital beds.HIGHLIGHTSIncreased Detection of COVID-19 cases must accompany Social Distancing and Health Capacity Planning to reduce the burden of cases and fatalities.Interruptive Social Distancing is an effective alternative to continuous Social Distancing.Given the overwhelming burden of COVID-19 fatalities, there is immediate need of co-ordination with the Private Healthcare Sector.COVID-19 cases will be peaking after May, 2020 giving us time for Healthcare Capacity Building in the government and private sector both.


Author(s):  
Mourad Belmahi ◽  
Ahmed Messaoudene

The researchers aimed through this study to identify the impact of Social Distancing on Social Connectedness in the Algerian society, where a descriptive-comparative method was used, the sample size reached 287 respondents, represents 287 family who were randomly selected from the statistical community, which consisted of parents and adult sons and daughters. The study's field were in the Chlef state, which located within 250 km west of the Algerian capital, and lasted for one month (from 15 March to 15 April 2020), the comparison was made at the level of social connectedness indicators, between the individuals who practice social distancing and individuals who didn't. The study reached the following results: 1-   Social distancing increases the daily Family-disputes by 70.05%, and it multiply eight times for individuals practicing the social distancing more than individuals who don't.  And 80.91% of the population practicing the social distancing has daily family-disputes. While 71.73% of the population who didn't Practice the social distancing didn't ever face any family-dispute. 2-   The daily domestic-violence of individuals who practice social distancing is three times more than those who don't. So 52.28% of the population who practice social distancing, has daily cases of domestic-violence. While only 15.21% of the population who didn't practice social distancing had daily cases of domestic-violence. 3-   Individuals who didn't practice social distancing visits their neighbors two times more than those who did practice social distancing. 4-            Individuals who practice social distancing made a daily inter-family phone-calls almost three times less than who didn't practice social distancing


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 20-24
Author(s):  
B. Socea ◽  
Cristiana Bogaciu ◽  
Anca A. Nica ◽  
A.C. Smaranda ◽  
V.P. Ciobotaru ◽  
...  

The Covid-19 pandemic changed certain social habits and practices. The pandemic also changed the profile of polytrauma patients who presented in the emergency room. The etiology of polytraumas has undergone changes in the context of social distancing. While road accidents, falls and physical assaults, including gunshot trauma on the streets have decreased, we are confronting with an alarming increase in domestic violence. We analyzed the etiology of polytraumas from a period of 3 months that overlapped with the pandemic and compared it with the similar periods of the previous 3 years. We found an increase of about 4 times the incidence of physical aggression through domestic violence.


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