scholarly journals Monthly rainfall prediction using artificial neural network: A case study of Kano, Nigeria

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 37-41 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmad Bello ◽  
Mustapha Mamman
J ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-83 ◽  
Author(s):  
Duong Tran Anh ◽  
Thanh Duc Dang ◽  
Song Pham Van

Rainfall prediction is a fundamental process in providing inputs for climate impact studies and hydrological process assessments. Rainfall events are, however, a complicated phenomenon and continues to be a challenge in forecasting. This paper introduces novel hybrid models for monthly rainfall prediction in which we combined two pre-processing methods (Seasonal Decomposition and Discrete Wavelet Transform) and two feed-forward neural networks (Artificial Neural Network and Seasonal Artificial Neural Network). In detail, observed monthly rainfall time series at the Ca Mau hydrological station in Vietnam were decomposed by using the two pre-processing data methods applied to five sub-signals at four levels by wavelet analysis, and three sub-sets by seasonal decomposition. After that, the processed data were used to feed the feed-forward Neural Network (ANN) and Seasonal Artificial Neural Network (SANN) rainfall prediction models. For model evaluations, the anticipated models were compared with the traditional Genetic Algorithm and Simulated Annealing algorithm (GA-SA) supported by Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). Results showed both the wavelet transform and seasonal decomposition methods combined with the SANN model could satisfactorily simulate non-stationary and non-linear time series-related problems such as rainfall prediction, but wavelet transform along with SANN provided the most accurately predicted monthly rainfall.


2018 ◽  
Vol 141 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hari P. N. Nagarajan ◽  
Hossein Mokhtarian ◽  
Hesam Jafarian ◽  
Saoussen Dimassi ◽  
Shahriar Bakrani-Balani ◽  
...  

Additive manufacturing (AM) continues to rise in popularity due to its various advantages over traditional manufacturing processes. AM interests industry, but achieving repeatable production quality remains problematic for many AM technologies. Thus, modeling different process variables in AM using machine learning can be highly beneficial in creating useful knowledge of the process. Such developed artificial neural network (ANN) models would aid designers and manufacturers to make informed decisions about their products and processes. However, it is challenging to define an appropriate ANN topology that captures the AM system behavior. Toward that goal, an approach combining dimensional analysis conceptual modeling (DACM) and classical ANNs is proposed to create a new type of knowledge-based ANN (KB-ANN). This approach integrates existing literature and expert knowledge of the AM process to define a topology for the KB-ANN model. The proposed KB-ANN is a hybrid learning network that encompasses topological zones derived from knowledge of the process and other zones where missing knowledge is modeled using classical ANNs. The usefulness of the method is demonstrated using a case study to model wall thickness, part height, and total part mass in a fused deposition modeling (FDM) process. The KB-ANN-based model for FDM has the same performance with better generalization capabilities using fewer weights trained, when compared to a classical ANN.


Author(s):  
Nisha Thakur ◽  
Sanjeev Karmakar ◽  
Sunita Soni

The present review reports the work done by the various authors towards rainfall forecasting using the different techniques within Artificial Neural Network concepts. Back-Propagation, Auto-Regressive Moving Average (ARIMA), ANN , K- Nearest Neighbourhood (K-NN), Hybrid model (Wavelet-ANN), Hybrid Wavelet-NARX model, Rainfall-runoff models, (Two-stage optimization technique), Adaptive Basis Function Neural Network (ABFNN), Multilayer perceptron, etc., algorithms/technologies were reviewed. A tabular representation was used to compare the above-mentioned technologies for rainfall predictions. In most of the articles, training and testing, accuracy was found more than 95%. The rainfall prediction done using the ANN techniques was found much superior to the other techniques like Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) and Statistical Method because of the non-linear and complex physical conditions affecting the occurrence of rainfall.


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