scholarly journals Real Exchange Rates and Primary Commodity Prices: Mussa Meets Backus-Smith

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
João Ayres ◽  
Constantino Hevia ◽  
Juan Pablo Nicolini

We show that explicitly modeling primary commodities in an otherwise totally standard incomplete markets open economy model can go a long way in explaining the Mussa puzzle and the Backus-Smith puzzle, two of the main puzzles in the international economics literature.

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joao Ayres ◽  
Constantino Hevia ◽  
Juan Pablo Nicolini

2020 ◽  
Vol 122 ◽  
pp. 103261 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joao Ayres ◽  
Constantino Hevia ◽  
Juan Pablo Nicolini

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Constantino Hevia ◽  
Juan Pablo Nicolini

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joao Ayres ◽  
Constantino Hevia ◽  
Juan Pablo Nicolini

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
João Ayres ◽  
Constantino Hevia ◽  
Juan Pablo Nicolini

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joao Ayres ◽  
Constantino Hevia ◽  
Juan Pablo Nicolini

1996 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dominique Yves Dupont ◽  
V. Hugo Juan-Ramon

Author(s):  
M S Eichenbaum ◽  
B K Johannsen ◽  
S T Rebelo

Abstract This article studies how the monetary policy regime affects the relative importance of nominal exchange rates and inflation rates in shaping the response of real exchange rates to shocks. We document two facts about inflation-targeting countries. First, the current real exchange rate predicts future changes in the nominal exchange rate. Second, the real exchange rate is a poor predictor of future inflation rates. We estimate a medium-size, open-economy DSGE model that accounts quantitatively for these facts as well as other empirical properties of real and nominal exchange rates. The key estimated shocks that drive the dynamics of exchange rates and their covariance with inflation are disturbances to the foreign demand for dollar-denominated bonds.


2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 231-240 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee ◽  
ABM Nasir

Almost all previous studies that have tested the law of one price or Purchasing Power Parity theory (PPP) have used either real effective exchange rates or bilateral real exchange rates which are constructed using CPI or PPI data. Most of these studies have failed to support the PPP mostly due to aggregation bias. A few recent studies, have, therefore used commodity prices in different countries and have provided strong support for the theory. These studies have mostly used data from industrial countries. In this paper, we use individual prices of 52 retail items from 15 cities in Asia and test for stationarity of the real exchange rate and speed of adjustment. We provide support for PPP in 63% of the cases. We also find that using individual prices lead to faster convergence of real rates toward their PPP values.


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