Evaluation of models for earthquake source spectra in eastern North America

1998 ◽  
Vol 88 (4) ◽  
pp. 917-934
Author(s):  
Gail M. Atkinson ◽  
David M. Boore

Abstract There have been several relations proposed in the last few years to describe the amplitudes of ground motion in eastern North America (ENA). These relations differ significantly in their assumptions concerning the amplitude and shape of the spectrum of energy radiated from the earthquake source. In this article, we compare ground motions predicted for these source models against the sparse ENA ground-motion database. The source models evaluated include the two-corner models of Boatwright and Choy (1992), Atkinson (1993a), Haddon (1996), and Joyner (1997a,b), and the one-corner model of Brune [as independently implemented by Frankel et al. (1996) and by Toro et al. (1997)]. The database includes data from ENA mainshocks of M > 4 and historical ENA earthquakes of M > 5.5, for a total of 110 records from 11 events of 4 ≦ M ≦ 7.3, all recorded on rock. We also include 24 available rock records from 4 large earthquakes in other intraplate regions; conclusions are checked to determine whether they are sensitive to the addition of these non-ENA data. The Atkinson source model, as implemented in the ground-motion relations of Atkinson and Boore (1995), is the only model that provides unbiased ground-motion predictions over the entire period band of interest, from 0.1 to 10 sec. The source models of Frankel et al. (1996), Toro et al. (1997), and Joyner (1997a,b) all provide unbiased ground-motion estimates in the period range from 0.1 to 0.5 sec but overestimate motions at periods of 1 to 10 sec. The Haddon (1996) source model overpredicts motions at all periods, by factors of 2 to 10. These conclusions do not change significantly if data from non-ENA intraplate regions are excluded, although the tendency of all models toward overprediction of long-period amplitudes becomes more pronounced. The tendency of most proposed ENA source models to overestimate long-period motions is further confirmed by an evaluation of the relationship between Ms, a measure of the spectrum at 20-sec period, and moment magnitude. A worldwide catalog of shallow continental earthquakes (Triep and Sykes, 1996) is compared to the Ms-M relations implied by each of the source models. The Atkinson source model is consistent with these data, while other proposed ENA models overpredict the average Ms for a given M. The implications of MMI data from historical earthquakes are also addressed, by exploiting the correlation between felt area and high-frequency source spectral level. High-frequency spectral amplitudes, as specified by the Atkinson and Boore (1995), Frankel et al. (1996), Toro et al. (1997), and Joyner (1997a,b) source models, equal or exceed the levels inferred from the felt areas of most of the large ENA events, with the noteable exception of the Saguenay earthquake. By contrast, high-frequency spectral amplitudes specified by the Haddon (1996) source model agree with the felt area of the Saguenay earthquake but overpredict the felt areas of nearly all other large events. In general, models that fit the Saugenay data—be it intensity data, strong-ground-motion data, regional seismographic data, or telescismic data—will not fit the data from the remaining earthquakes. A source model derived from the California database, suitably modified for regional differences in crustal properties, is also evaluated. This model is not significantly different from the Atkinson model for ENA. There is an important practical application of this similarity, which we develop as an engineering tool: Empirical ground-motion relations for California may be modified to predict ENA ground motions from future large earthquakes.

1995 ◽  
Vol 85 (3) ◽  
pp. 825-833
Author(s):  
Gail M. Atkinson ◽  
Thomas C. Hanks

Abstract A high-frequency magnitude scale (m) is proposed: m=2log⁡a˜hf+3, where ãhf is the high-frequency level of the Fourier amplitude spectrum of acceleration in cm/sec (average or random horizontal component), at a hypocentral or closest fault distance of 10 km. m can be determined from either instrumental data or the felt area of an earthquake. The definition of m has been arranged such that m = M (moment magnitude) for events of “average” stress drop, in both eastern North America (ENA) and California. m provides a measure of the stress drop if M is also known. The observed relationship between m and M indicates that the average stress drop is about 150 bars for ENA earthquakes, and about 70 bars for California earthquakes. The variability of stress drop is much larger in ENA than in California. The chief justification for the m scale is its utility in the interpretation of the large preinstrumental earthquakes that are so important to seismic hazard estimation in eastern North America. For such events, m can be determined more reliably than can M or mN (Nuttli magnitude), and forms a much better basis for estimating high-frequency ground motions. When used as a pair, m and M provide a good index of ground motion over the entire engineering frequency band. If both of these magnitudes can be defined for an earthquake then a ground-motion model, such as the stochastic model, can be used to obtain reliable estimates of response spectra and peak ground motions.


2021 ◽  
pp. 875529302110194
Author(s):  
Daniel Verret ◽  
Denis LeBœuf ◽  
Éric Péloquin

Eastern North America (ENA) is part of a region with low-to-moderate seismicity; nonetheless, some significant seismic events have occurred in the last few decades. Recent events have reemphasized the need to review ENA seismicity and ground motion models, along with continually reevaluating and updating procedures related to the seismic safety assessment of hydroelectric infrastructures, particularly large dams in Québec. Furthermore, recent researchers have shown that site-specific characteristics, topography, and valley shapes may significantly aggravate the severity of ground motions. To the best of our knowledge, very few instrumental data from actual earthquakes have been published for examining the site effects of hydroelectric dam structures located in eastern Canada. This article presents an analysis of three small earthquakes that occurred in 1999 and 2002 at the Denis-Perron (SM-3) dam. This dam, the highest in Québec, is a rockfill embankment structure with a height of 171 m and a length of 378 m; it is located in a narrow valley. The ground motion datasets of these earthquakes include the bedrock and dam crest three-component accelerometer recordings. Ground motions are analyzed both in the time and frequency domains. The spectral ratios and transfer functions obtained from these small earthquakes provide new insights into the directionality of resonant frequencies, vibration modes, and site effects for the Denis-Perron dam. The crest amplifications observed for this dam are also compared with previously published data for large dams. New statistical relationships are proposed to establish dam crest amplification on the basis of the peak ground acceleration (PGA) at the foundation.


2019 ◽  
Vol 35 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
Georgios Zalachoris ◽  
Ellen M. Rathje

A ground motion model (GMM) tuned to the characteristics of the observed, and potentially induced, seismicity in Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas is developed using a database of 4,528 ground motions recorded during 376 events of Mw > 3.0 in the region. The GMM is derived using the referenced empirical approach with an existing Central and Eastern North America model as the reference GMM and is applicable for Mw = 3.0–5.8 and hypocentral distances less than 500 km. The proposed model incorporates weaker magnitude scaling than the reference GMM for periods less than about 1.0 s, resulting in smaller predicted ground motions at larger magnitudes. The proposed model predicts larger response spectral accelerations at short hypocentral distances (≤20 km), which is likely because of the shallow hypocenters of events in Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas. Finally, the VS30 scaling for the newly developed model predicts less amplification at VS30 < 600 m/s than the reference GMM, which is likely because of the generally thinner sediments in the study area. This finding is consistent with recent studies regarding site amplification in Central and Eastern North America.


2020 ◽  
Vol 110 (2) ◽  
pp. 452-470
Author(s):  
Masato Tsurugi ◽  
Reiji Tanaka ◽  
Takao Kagawa ◽  
Kojiro Irikura

ABSTRACT We examined high-frequency spectral decay characteristics of ground motions for inland crustal earthquakes in Japan, which are important in strong ground motion predictions. We examined 105 earthquakes (Mw 3.3–7.1), including seven large earthquakes (Mw 5.9–7.1). Spectral decay characteristics were accurately evaluated assuming the ω-squared source model and using two approaches: the fmax model (commonly used in Japan), described by the cutoff frequency fmax and the power coefficient of spectral decay s, and the κ model (commonly used in worldwide), the exponential spectral decay model, described by the parameter κ and the specific frequency fE at which a spectrum starts to decrease linearly with increasing frequency in log–linear space. For large earthquakes, we estimated fmax to range from 6.5 to 9.9 Hz and s from 0.78 to 1.60 in the fmax model, and κ to range from 0.014 to 0.051 s and fE from 2 to 4.5 Hz in the κ model. In both approaches, we found that the spectral decay characteristics are regionally dependent. fmax in the fmax model and fE in the κ model tended to be smaller for large earthquakes than for moderate and small earthquakes, clearly demonstrating a seismic moment dependency. We confirmed positive correlations between equivalent parameters of the two approaches, that is, between s and κ and between fmax and fE. Moreover, we found that both approaches are appropriate for evaluating spectral decay characteristics, as long as the spectral decay parameters are appropriately evaluated by comparison with observed spectra. We examined the effects of the spectral decay characteristics on strong ground motion predictions, and demonstrated that simulated motions corrected using the fmax model and those corrected using the κ model are almost the same. The results presented in this article contribute to improving predictions of high-frequency strong ground motion.


2020 ◽  
Vol 91 (6) ◽  
pp. 3518-3527
Author(s):  
Chris H. Cramer

Abstract Recent M 3–5 earthquakes near Cushing, Oklahoma, provide observations of intensity up to eight with accompanying ground motions due to close-in acceleration records at distances less than 30 km from the epicenters. Adding these observations to the existing Central and Eastern North America (CENA) ground-motion intensity correlation equation (GMICE) database allows the updating of a CENA GMICE from a linear (below intensity six) relationship to a more accurate bilinear relationship (up to intensity eight). The updating of the CENA GMICE is accomplished using linear regression and residual analysis. The analysis shows that the bilinear transition is fairly broad in the CENA covering one to two intensity units and one or more orders of magnitude in ground motion, depending on regression direction. The new CENA GMICE reduces the overprediction of ground motions from high intensities and the underprediction of intensities at both ends of the observed ground-motion range.


2013 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 926-940 ◽  
Author(s):  
Asako Iwaki ◽  
◽  
Nobuyuki Morikawa ◽  
Takahiro Maeda ◽  
Shin Aoi ◽  
...  

We perform long-period ground motion simulations for Sagami Trough earthquakes by a three dimensional finite-difference method. The Sagami Trough has been the site of two well-known megathrust earthquakes, the 1923 Taisho- and the 1703 Genroku-type Kanto earthquakes. However, a lack of accumulated historical earthquake records prevents us fromobtaining knowledge of the source model of the next anticipated event for long-period ground motion hazard evaluation. Therefore, it is important to consider numerous possibilities for the unknown source parameters. We compare ground motions for several scenarios with different source area, and with magnitudes ranging from Mw7.9 to 8.6. Peak ground velocity (PGV) within the Kanto basin, including the Tokyo metropolitan area, differs by several times depending on the choice of the source area. The effects of the variety in fault parameters, such as rupture starting points and asperity patterns, are also studied. They can greatly vary the ground motion within the Kanto area, especially in the direction of rupture propagation, suggesting the severe impact of directivity effects. Source models with different rupture starting points produce PGV and 5% damped velocity response (Sv) that vary from each other by as much as 10-20 times. PGV and Sv vary by up to five times depending on the asperity pattern. Our simulation results show that the predicted ground motion for the earthquake scenarios strongly depends on both the source size and other fault parameters of the source models. It is suggested that the seismic hazard assessment requires statistical evaluation of ground motions from as many source models as possible in order to overcome the uncertainties of the source.


2014 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 281-293 ◽  
Author(s):  
Takashi Furumura ◽  
◽  

Ground motion from theMw9.0 March 11, 2011, Off-Tohoku earthquake recorded by dense seismic networks in Japan, K-NET and KiK-net, clearly demonstrated the high-frequency seismic wavefield radiating from the earthquake source and developing longperiod ground motion in sedimentary basins. The photographic sequence of the visualized wavefield demonstrated the process in which the high-frequency seismic waves radiated from large slips at the top of the subducting Pacific Plate at relatively deeper depth of 25-50 km, which caused multiple large shocks of large (>1000-2000 cm/s2) ground acceleration and several minutes lasting ground motions over a wide area along the Pacific Ocean side of northern Japan. An efficient seismic wave propagation along the subducting Pacific slab and ground motion amplification in a superficial thin low-velocity layer overlying rigid bedrock also enhanced high-frequency (>5 Hz) ground motions very drastically. However, the dominant frequency of the strong ground motion recorded in nearfield station was too high such as to cause serious damage to wooden-frame residences having relatively longer-period resonance period (T= 1-2 s); The velocity response in this frequency band was only about one third to one half of those observed in severely damaged area during the destructiveMw6.9 1995 Kobe earthquake. The 2011 Off-Tohoku earthquake also produced long-period ground motion in sedimentary basins such those at Tokyo’s population center but observation of the long-period ground motion withinT=6-8 s was rather weak and of a level comparable to that of anM7.9 Tonankai earthquake occurring along the Nankai Trough in 1944. This was because the surface wave in this period band was not generated efficiently by the relatively deeper slip over the source fault of the Off-Tohoku earthquake.


1987 ◽  
Vol 58 (4) ◽  
pp. 119-124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gail M. Atkinson ◽  
David M. Boore

Abstract A stochastic model of ground motion has been used as a basis for comparison of data and theoretically-predicted relations between mN (commonly denoted by mbLg) and moment magnitude for eastern North America (ENA) earthquakes. mN magnitudes are recomputed for several historical ENA earthquakes, to ensure consistency of definition and provide a meaningful data set. We show that by itself the magnitude relation cannot be used as a discriminant between two specific spectral scaling relations, one with constant stress and the other with stress increasing with seismic moment, that have been proposed for ENA earthquakes.


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