Virtual California Earthquake Simulator

2012 ◽  
Vol 83 (6) ◽  
pp. 973-978 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. K. Sachs ◽  
E. M. Heien ◽  
D. L. Turcotte ◽  
M. B. Yikilmaz ◽  
J. B. Rundle ◽  
...  
2011 ◽  
Vol 18 (6) ◽  
pp. 955-966 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. B. Yıkılmaz ◽  
E. M. Heien ◽  
D. L. Turcotte ◽  
J. B. Rundle ◽  
L. H. Kellogg

Abstract. We generate synthetic catalogs of seismicity in northern California using a composite simulation. The basis of the simulation is the fault based "Virtual California" (VC) earthquake simulator. Back-slip velocities and mean recurrence intervals are specified on model strike-slip faults. A catalog of characteristic earthquakes is generated for a period of 100 000 yr. These earthquakes are predominantly in the range M = 6 to M = 8, but do not follow Gutenberg-Richter (GR) scaling at lower magnitudes. In order to model seismicity on unmapped faults we introduce background seismicity which occurs randomly in time with GR scaling and is spatially associated with the VC model faults. These earthquakes fill in the GR scaling down to M = 4 (the smallest earthquakes modeled). The rate of background seismicity is constrained by the observed rate of occurrence of M > 4 earthquakes in northern California. These earthquakes are then used to drive the BASS (branching aftershock sequence) model of aftershock occurrence. The BASS model is the self-similar limit of the ETAS (epidemic type aftershock sequence) model. Families of aftershocks are generated following each Virtual California and background main shock. In the simulations the rate of occurrence of aftershocks is essentially equal to the rate of occurrence of main shocks in the magnitude range 4 < M < 7. We generate frequency-magnitude and recurrence interval statistics both regionally and fault specific. We compare our modeled rates of seismicity and spatial variability with observations.


2018 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 1515-1541 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guo-Liang Ma ◽  
Qiang Xie ◽  
Andrew S. Whittaker

Power transformers and bushings are key pieces of substation equipment and are vulnerable to the effects of earthquake shaking. The seismic performance of a 1,100 kV bushing, used in an ultra-high voltage (UHV) power transformer, is studied using a combination of physical and numerical experiments. The physical experiments utilized an earthquake simulator and included system identification and seismic tests. Modal frequencies and shapes are derived from white noise tests. Acceleration, strain, and displacement responses are obtained from the uniaxial horizontal seismic tests. A finite element model of the 1,100 kV bushing is developed and analyzed, and predicted and measured results are compared. There is reasonably good agreement between predicted and measured responses, enabling the finite element model to be used with confidence for seismic vulnerability studies of transformer-bushing systems. A coupling of the experimental and numerical simulations enabled the vertically installed UHV bushing to be seismically qualified for three-component ground shaking with a horizontal zero-period acceleration of 0.53 g.


2006 ◽  
Vol 163 (9) ◽  
pp. 1819-1846 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. B. Rundle ◽  
J. B. Rundle ◽  
K. F. Tiampo ◽  
A. Donnellan ◽  
D. L. Turcotte

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andras Guzman ◽  
Cristian Leon ◽  
Jose Vuelvas ◽  
Martha Manrique
Keyword(s):  

2019 ◽  
Vol 220 (1) ◽  
pp. 598-609 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dunyu Liu ◽  
Benchun Duan ◽  
Bin Luo

SUMMARY We develop a finite element dynamic earthquake simulator, EQsimu, to model multicycle dynamics of 3-D geometrically complex faults. The fault is governed by rate- and state-dependent friction (RSF). EQsimu integrates an existing finite element code EQdyna for the coseismic dynamic rupture phase and a newly developed finite element code EQquasi for the quasi-static phases of an earthquake cycle, including nucleation, post-seismic and interseismic processes. Both finite element codes are parallelized through Message Passing Interface to improve computational efficiency and capability. EQdyna and EQquasi are coupled through on-fault physical quantities of shear and normal stresses, slip-rates and state variables in RSF. The two-code scheme shows advantages in reconciling the computational challenges from different phases of an earthquake cycle, which include (1) handling time-steps ranging from hundredths of a second to a fraction of a year based on a variable time-stepping scheme, (2) using element size small enough to resolve the cohesive zone at rupture fronts of dynamic ruptures and (3) solving the system of equations built up by millions of hexahedral elements. EQsimu is used to model multicycle dynamics of a 3-D strike-slip fault with a bend. Complex earthquake event patterns spontaneously emerge in the simulation, and the fault demonstrates two phases in its evolution. In the first phase, there are three types of dynamic ruptures: ruptures breaking the whole fault from left to right, ruptures being halted by the bend, and ruptures breaking the whole fault from right to left. As the fault bend experiences more ruptures, the zone of stress heterogeneity near the bend widens and the earthquake sequence enters the second phase showing only repeated ruptures that break the whole fault from left to right. The two-phase behaviours of this bent fault system suggest that a 10° bend may conditionally stop dynamic ruptures at the early stage of a fault system evolution and will eventually not be able to stop ruptures as the fault system evolves. The nucleation patches are close to the velocity strengthening region. Their sizes on the two fault segments are different due to different levels of the normal stress.


2012 ◽  
Vol 83 (6) ◽  
pp. 979-982 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. F. Pollitz
Keyword(s):  

2006 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 297s-306s ◽  
Author(s):  
Muneo HORI ◽  
Tsuyoshi ICHIMURA ◽  
Hikaru NAKAMURA ◽  
Akihiko WAKAI ◽  
Takemasa EBISAWA ◽  
...  

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