Seismic Hazard Assessment of the Mid-Northern Segment of Xiaojiang Fault Zone in Southwestern China Using Scenario Earthquakes

2020 ◽  
Vol 110 (3) ◽  
pp. 1191-1210
Author(s):  
Jingwei Liu ◽  
Lifang Zhang ◽  
Yi Du
Keyword(s):  
Fault Zone ◽  
Source Parameters ◽  
Seismic Hazards ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Activity Data ◽  
Finite Fault ◽  
Scenario Earthquakes ◽  
Xiaojiang Fault ◽  
Large Earthquakes ◽  
Northern Segment

ABSTRACT Seismic hazards in the vicinity of the mid-northern segment of the Xiaojiang fault zone were estimated from scenario earthquakes. Based on its history of earthquakes and activity data, the whole segment is considered capable of generating large earthquakes. The characteristics of previous ruptures and the geometric structures of the fault were used to establish seven scenario earthquakes with various strike and length properties. On the basis of focal mechanism parameters and the distribution of previous earthquakes, we determined the values of the source parameters for each scenario using empirical equations. We then used a stochastic finite-fault model to generate the ground motion from the targeted fault. The results show that the vicinity of the mid-northern segment of the Xiaojiang fault zone faces significant seismic hazards. The peak ground acceleration (PGA) values along the fault line are obviously larger than in other areas. Based on the recurrence interval theory, the Qiaojia–Menggu and Xiaoxinjie–Xujiadu areas have a high probability of being struck by large earthquakes in the near future. The results also show that the current design PGA for the near-fault area of the mid-northern segment of Xiaojiang fault zone might not be adequate.

scholarly journals Seismicity at the northeast edge of the Mexican Volcanic Belt (MVB) and activation of an undocumented fault: the Peñamiller earthquake sequence of 2010–2011, Querétaro, Mexico

2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 2521-2531 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Clemente-Chavez ◽  
A. Figueroa-Soto ◽  
F. R. Zúñiga ◽  
M. Arroyo ◽  
M. Montiel ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Source Parameters ◽  
Volcanic Belt ◽  
Focal Mechanisms ◽  
Seismogenic Zone ◽  
Normal Faults ◽  
Central Mexico ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Mexican Volcanic Belt ◽  
Shallow Earthquakes ◽  
Large Earthquakes

Abstract. The town of Peñamiller in the state of Querétaro, Mexico, is located at the northeast border of the seismogenic zone known as the Mexican Volcanic Belt (MVB), which transects the central part of Mexico with an east–west orientation. In the vicinity of this town, a sequence of small earthquakes occurred during the end of 2010 and beginning of 2011. Seismicity in the continental regimen of central Mexico is not too frequent; however, it is known that there are precedents of large earthquakes (Mw magnitude greater than 6.0) occurring in this zone. Three large earthquakes have occurred in the past 100 yr: the 19 November 1912 (MS = 7.0), the 3 January 1920 (MS = 6.4), and the 29 June 1935 (MS = 6.9) earthquakes. Prior to the instrumental period, the earthquake of 11 February 1875, which took place near the city of Guadalajara, caused widespread damage. The purpose of this article is to contribute to the available seismic information of this region. This will help advance our understanding of the tectonic situation of the central Mexico MVB region. Twenty-four shallow earthquakes of the Peñamiller seismic sequence of 2011 were recorded by a temporary accelerograph network installed by the Universidad Autónoma de Querétaro (UAQ). The data were analyzed in order to determine the source locations and to estimate the source parameters. The study was carried out through an inversion process and by spectral analysis. The results show that the largest earthquake occurred on 8 February 2011 at 19:53:48.6 UTC, had a moment magnitude Mw = 3.5, and was located at latitude 21.039° and longitude −99.752°, at a depth of 5.6 km. This location is less than 7 km away in a south-east direction from downtown Peñamiller. The focal mechanisms are mostly normal faults with small lateral components. These focal mechanisms are consistent with the extensional regimen of the southern extension of the Basin and Range (BR) province. The source area of the largest event was estimated to have a radius of 0.5 km, which corresponds to a normal fault with azimuth of 174° and an almost pure dip slip. Peak ground acceleration (PGA) was close to 100 cm s−2 in the horizontal direction. Shallow earthquakes induced by crustal faulting present a potential seismic risk and hazard within the MVB, considering the population growth. Thus, the necessity to enrich seismic information in this zone is very important since the risk at most urban sites in the region might even be greater than that posed by subduction earthquakes.

Present-day orogenic processes in the western Kalpin nappe explored by interseismic GNSS measurements and coseismic InSAR observations of the 2020 Mw 6.1 Kalpin event

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ping He ◽  
Yangmao Wen ◽  
Shuiping Li ◽  
Kaihua Ding ◽  
Zhicai Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Source Parameters ◽  
Satellite System ◽  
Tien Shan ◽  
Dislocation Model ◽  
Maximum Displacement ◽  
Finite Fault ◽  
Instantaneous Deformation ◽  
Gnss Measurements ◽  
Global Navigation Satellite ◽  
Finite Fault Model

Summary As the largest and most active intracontinental orogenic belt on Earth, the Tien Shan (TS) is a natural laboratory for understanding the Cenozoic orogenic processes driven by the India-Asia collision. On 19 January 2020, a Mw 6.1 event stuck the Kalpin region, where the southern frontal TS interacts with the Tarim basin. To probe the local ongoing orogenic processes and potential seismic hazard in the Kalpin region, both interseismic and instantaneous deformation derived from geodetic observations are employed in this study. With the constraint of interseismic global navigation satellite system (GNSS) velocities, we estimate the décollement plane parameters of the western Kalpin nappe based on a two-dimensional dislocation model, and the results suggest that the décollement plane is nearly subhorizontal with a dip of ∼3° at a depth of 24 km. Then, we collect both Sentinel-1 and ALOS-2 satellite images to capture the coseismic displacements caused by the 2020 Kalpin event, and the interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) images show a maximum displacement of 7 cm in the line of sight near the epicentral region. With these coseismic displacement measurements, we invert the source parameters of this event using a finite-fault model. We determine the optimal source mechanism in which the fault geometry is dominated by thrust faulting with an E–W strike of 275° and a northward dip of 11.2°, and the main rupture slip is concentrated within an area 28.0 km in length and${\rm{\,\,}}$10.3 km in width, with a maximum slip of 0.3 m at a depth of 6–8 km. The total released moment of our preferred distributed slip model yields a geodetic moment of 1.59 × 1018 N$\cdot $m, equivalent to Mw 6.1. The contrast of the décollement plane depth from interseismic GNSS and the rupture depth from coseismic InSAR suggests that a compression still exists in the Kalpin nappe forefront, which is prone to frequent moderate events and may be at risk of a much more dangerous earthquake.

Source Parameters for 1999 North Anatolian Fault Zone Aftershocks

2009 ◽  
Vol 166 (4) ◽  
pp. 547-566 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rengin Gök ◽  
Lawrence Hutchings ◽  
Kevin Mayeda ◽  
Doğan Kalafat
Keyword(s):  
Fault Zone ◽  
Source Parameters ◽  
North Anatolian Fault ◽  
North Anatolian Fault Zone

Strong ground motion of mine tremors: Some implications for near-source ground motion parameters

1981 ◽  
Vol 71 (1) ◽  
pp. 295-319
Author(s):  
A. McGarr ◽  
R. W. E. Green ◽  
S. M. Spottiswoode
Keyword(s):  
Ground Motion ◽  
Source Parameters ◽  
Seismic Source ◽  
Shear Velocity ◽  
Recording System ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Hypocentral Distance ◽  
Earthquake Size ◽  
Mine Tremors ◽  
Stress Drops

abstract Ground acceleration was recorded at a depth of about 3 km in the East Rand Proprietary Mines, South Africa, for tremors with −1 ≦ ML ≦ 2.6 in the hypocentral distance range 50 m < R ≦ 1.6 km. The accelerograms typically had predominant frequencies of several hundred Hertz and peak accelerations, a, as high as 12 g. The peak accelerations show a dependence on magnitude, especially when expressed as dynamic shear-stress differences, defined as σ˜ = ρRa, where ρ is density. For the mine tremors, σ˜ varies from 2 to 500 bars and depends on magnitude according to log σ˜ = 1.40 + 0.38 · ML. Accelerograms for 12 events were digitized and then processed to determine velocity and, for seven events with especially good S/N, displacement and seismic source parameters. Peak ground velocities v ranged up to 6 cm/sec and show a well-defined dependence one earthquake size as measured by ML or by seismic moment, Mo. On the basis of regression fits to the mine data, with −0.76 ≦ ML ≦ 1.45, log Rv = 3.95 + 0.57 ML, where Rv is in cm2/sec, and log Rv = −4.68 + 0.49 log Mo. These regression lines agree excellently with the corresponding data for earthquakes of ML up to 6.4 or Mo to 1.4 × 1026 dyne-cm. At a given value of ML or Mo, a, at fixed R, shows considerably greater variation than v and appears to depend on the bandwidth of the recording system. The peak acceleration at small hypocentral distances is broadly consistent with ρRa = 1.14 Δτrofs/β, where Δτ is stress drop, ro is the source radius, β is shear velocity, and fs is the bandwidth of the recording system. The peak velocity data agree well with Rv = 0.57 βΔτro/μ, where μ is the modulus of rigidity; both expressions follow from Brune's model of the seismic source and were compared with data for events in the size range 5 × 1016 ≦ Mo ≦ 1.4 × 1026 dyne-cm. Measurements of the source parameters indicated that, as for earthquakes, the stress drops for the tremors range from 1 to 100 bars and show no consistent dependence on Mo down to Mo = 5 × 1016 dyne-cm.

Slip Distribution of the 2020 Mw6.9 Samos Earthquake Using a Bayesian Approach

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Figen Eskikoy ◽  
Semih Ergintav ◽  
Uğur Dogan ◽  
Seda Özarpacı ◽  
Alpay Özdemir ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Surface Deformation ◽  
Fault Plane ◽  
Source Parameters ◽  
Geodetic Data ◽  
Slip Distribution ◽  
Double Difference ◽  
Gps Data ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Finite Fault ◽  
Continuous Gps

<p>On 2020 October 30, an M<sub>w</sub>6.9 earthquake struck offshore Samos Island. Severe structural damages were observed in Greek Islands and city of Izmir (Turkey). 114 people lost their lives and more than a thousand people were injured in Turkey. The earthquake triggered local tsunami. Significant seismic activity occurred in this region following the earthquake and ~1800 aftershocks (M>1) were recorded by KOERI within the first three days. In this study, we analyze the slip distribution and aftershocks of the 2020 earthquake.</p><p>For the aftershock relocations, the continuous waveforms were collected from NOA, Disaster and Emergency Management Authority of Turkey (AFAD) and KOERI networks. The database   was created based on merged catalogs from AFAD and KOERI. For estimating optimized aftershock location distribution, the P and S phases of the aftershocks are picked manually and relocated with double difference algorithm. In addition, source mechanisms of aftershocks M>4 are obtained from regional body and surface waveforms.</p><p>The surface deformation of the earthquake was obtained from both descending and ascending orbits of the Sentinel-1 A/B and ALOS2 satellites. Since the rupture zone is beneath the Gulf of Kusadası, earthquake related deformation in the interferograms can only be observed on the northern part of the Samos Island. We processed all possible pairs chose the image pairs with the lowest noise level.</p><p>In this study, we used 25 continuous GPS stations which are compiled from TUSAGA-Aktif in Turkey and NOANET in Greece. In addition to continuous GPS data, on 2020 November 1, GPS survey was initiated and the earthquake deformation was measured on 10 GNSS campaign sites (TUTGA), along onshore of Turkey.</p><p>The aim of this study is to estimate the spatial and temporal rupture evolution of the earthquake from geodetic data jointly with near field displacement waveforms. To do so, we use the Bayesian Earthquake Analysis Tool (BEAT).</p><p>As a first step of the study, rectangular source parameters were estimated by using GPS data. In order to estimate the slip distribution, we used both ascending and descending tracks of Sentinel-1 data, ALOS2 and GPS displacements. In our preliminary geodetic data based finite fault model, we used the results of focal mechanism and GPS data inversion solutions for the initial fault plane parameters. The slip distribution results indicate that earthquake rupture is ~35 km long and the maximum slip is ~2 m normal slip along a north dipping fault plane. This EW trending, ~45° north dipping normal faulting system consistent with this tectonic regime in the region. This seismically active area is part of a N-S extensional regime and controlled primarily by normal fault systems.</p><p><strong>Acknowledgements</strong></p><p>This work is supported by the Turkish Directorate of Strategy and Budget under the TAM Project number 2007K12-873.</p>

10 July 1894 Istanbul Earthquake: Comparing Damages and Ground Motion Simulations

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nesrin Yenihayat ◽  
Eser Çaktı ◽  
Karin Şeşetyan
Keyword(s):  
Ground Motion ◽  
Fault Simulation ◽  
Source Parameters ◽  
Historical Earthquakes ◽  
Corner Frequency ◽  
Simulation Approach ◽  
Ground Motion Simulations ◽  
Finite Fault ◽  
Intensity Map ◽  
Observed Damage

<p>One of the major earthquakes that resulted in intense damages in Istanbul and its neighborhoods took place on 10 July 1894. The 1894 earthquake resulted in 474 losses of life and 482 injuries. Around 21,000 dwellings were damaged, which is a number that corresponds to 1/7 of the total dwellings of the city at that time. Without any doubt, the exact loss of life was higher. Because of the censorship, the exact loss numbers remained unknown. There is still no consensus about its magnitude, epicentral location, and rupture of length. Even though the hardness of studying with historical records due to their uncertainties and discrepancies, researchers should enlighten the source parameters of the historical earthquakes to minimize the effect of future disasters especially for the cities located close to the most active fault lines as Istanbul. The main target of this study is to enlighten possible source properties of the 1894 earthquake with the help of observed damage distribution and stochastic ground motion simulations. In this paper, stochastic based ground motion scenarios will be performed for the 10 July 1894 Istanbul earthquake, using a finite fault simulation approach with a dynamic corner frequency and the results will be compared with our intensity map obtained from observed damage distributions. To do this, in the first step, obtained damage information from various sources has been presented, evaluated, and interpreted. Secondly, we prepared an intensity map associated with the 1894 earthquake based on macro-seismic information, and damage analysis and classification. For generating ground motions with a stochastic finite fault simulation approach, the EXSIM 2012 software has been used. Using EXSIM, several scenarios are modeled with different source, path, and site parameters. Initial source properties have been obtained from findings of our previous study on the simulation of the 26 September 2019 Silivri (Istanbul) earthquake with Mw 5.8. With the comparison of spatial distributions of the ground motion intensity parameters to the obtained damage and intensity maps, we estimate the optimum location and source parameters of the 1894 Earthquake.</p>

Reassessment of source parameters of ‘major’ southern African earthquakes

2020 ◽  
Vol 123 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-74
Author(s):  
V. Midzi ◽  
T. Pule ◽  
T. Mulabisana ◽  
B. Zulu ◽  
B. Manzunzu
Keyword(s):  
Source Parameters ◽  
Ground Truth ◽  
Velocity Model ◽  
Parametric Data ◽  
Reliable Source ◽  
Hazard And Risk ◽  
Location Algorithm ◽  
Phase Data ◽  
International Seismological Centre ◽  
Large Earthquakes

Abstract Moderate to large earthquakes within an earthquake catalogue contribute significantly to the seismic hazard and risk assessment results of any region. Thus it is prudent to ensure these events have reliable source parameters (epicentres and magnitude). The dataset of events compiled in this study contains a total of 117 instrumentally recorded events of magnitude M ≥5.0, whose parameters were obtained from the Council for Geoscience (CGS) and International Seismological Centre (ISC) databases. The events are mostly located in South Africa with a few in neighbouring countries. Parametric data made up of all available phase data and amplitudes associated with each of the earthquakes were compiled. The availability of these data enabled the earthquake epicentres and magnitude values to be recalculated using the velocity model and the local magnitude relation that are currently being used by the CGS in its analysis of national seismic data. The accuracy of the relocations was determined by producing and analysing three parameters, the azimuthal distribution of seismograph stations (GAP), root-mean-square of travel time residuals (RMS) and epicenter location error data. The analysis of these parameters showed that there was an improvement in the accuracy of the relocated events. Using the ISC location algorithm, iLOC, eight preselected events were further analysed. From this analysis, two earthquakes were found to satisfy the conditions for Ground Truth (GT595%) candidacy whilst four events satisfied the criteria for GT2090% candidacy.

A study of the deep electrical structure of the northern segment of the Tan-Lu fault zone, NE China

2019 ◽  
Vol 170 ◽  
pp. 118-127 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jifeng Tian ◽  
Gaofeng Ye ◽  
Zhifeng Ding ◽  
Qingju Wu ◽  
Wenbo Wei ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Fault Zone ◽  
Ne China ◽  
Electrical Structure ◽  
Northern Segment ◽  
Deep Electrical Structure
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