scholarly journals Sensitivity of Ground-Motion Simulations to Earthquake Source Parameters: A Case Study for Istanbul, Turkey

2007 ◽  
Vol 97 (3) ◽  
pp. 881-900 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. B. Sorensen ◽  
N. Pulido ◽  
K. Atakan
Keyword(s):  
Ground Motion ◽  
Source Parameters ◽  
Earthquake Source ◽  
Ground Motion Simulations ◽  
Earthquake Source Parameters

scholarly journals Tsunami hazard warning and risk prediction based on inaccurate earthquake source parameters

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 577-593 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katsuichiro Goda ◽  
Kamilla Abilova
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Source Parameters ◽  
Earthquake Source ◽  
Tsunami Early Warning ◽  
Earthquake Source Parameters ◽  
Tsunami Risk ◽  
Tsunami Warnings ◽  
Hazard Warning

Abstract. This study investigates the issues related to underestimation of the earthquake source parameters in the context of tsunami early warning and tsunami risk assessment. The magnitude of a very large event may be underestimated significantly during the early stage of the disaster, resulting in the issuance of incorrect tsunami warnings. Tsunamigenic events in the Tohoku region of Japan, where the 2011 tsunami occurred, are focused on as a case study to illustrate the significance of the problems. The effects of biases in the estimated earthquake magnitude on tsunami loss are investigated using a rigorous probabilistic tsunami loss calculation tool that can be applied to a range of earthquake magnitudes by accounting for uncertainties of earthquake source parameters (e.g., geometry, mean slip, and spatial slip distribution). The quantitative tsunami loss results provide valuable insights regarding the importance of deriving accurate seismic information as well as the potential biases of the anticipated tsunami consequences. Finally, the usefulness of rigorous tsunami risk assessment is discussed in defining critical hazard scenarios based on the potential consequences due to tsunami disasters.

scholarly journals Tsunami hazard warning and risk prediction based on inaccurate earthquake source parameters

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (12) ◽  
pp. 7487-7525
Author(s):  
K. Goda ◽  
K. Abilova
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Source Parameters ◽  
Earthquake Source ◽  
Tsunami Early Warning ◽  
Earthquake Source Parameters ◽  
Tsunami Risk ◽  
Tsunami Warnings ◽  
Hazard Warning

Abstract. This study investigates the issues related to underestimation of the earthquake source parameters in the context of tsunami early warning and tsunami risk assessment. The magnitude of a very large event may be underestimated significantly during the early stage of the disaster, resulting in the issuance of incorrect tsunami warnings. Tsunamigenic events in the Tohoku region of Japan, where the 2011 tsunami occurred, are focused on as a case study to illustrate the significance of the problems. The effects of biases in the estimated earthquake magnitude on tsunami loss are investigated using a rigorous probabilistic tsunami loss calculation tool that can be applied to a range of earthquake magnitudes by accounting for uncertainties of earthquake source parameters (e.g. geometry, mean slip, and spatial slip distribution). The quantitative tsunami loss results provide with valuable insights regarding the importance of deriving accurate seismic information as well as the potential biases of the anticipated tsunami consequences. Finally, usefulness of rigorous tsunami risk assessment is discussed in defining critical hazard scenarios based on the potential consequences due to tsunami disasters.

10 July 1894 Istanbul Earthquake: Comparing Damages and Ground Motion Simulations

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nesrin Yenihayat ◽  
Eser Çaktı ◽  
Karin Şeşetyan
Keyword(s):  
Ground Motion ◽  
Fault Simulation ◽  
Source Parameters ◽  
Historical Earthquakes ◽  
Corner Frequency ◽  
Simulation Approach ◽  
Ground Motion Simulations ◽  
Finite Fault ◽  
Intensity Map ◽  
Observed Damage

<p>One of the major earthquakes that resulted in intense damages in Istanbul and its neighborhoods took place on 10 July 1894. The 1894 earthquake resulted in 474 losses of life and 482 injuries. Around 21,000 dwellings were damaged, which is a number that corresponds to 1/7 of the total dwellings of the city at that time. Without any doubt, the exact loss of life was higher. Because of the censorship, the exact loss numbers remained unknown. There is still no consensus about its magnitude, epicentral location, and rupture of length. Even though the hardness of studying with historical records due to their uncertainties and discrepancies, researchers should enlighten the source parameters of the historical earthquakes to minimize the effect of future disasters especially for the cities located close to the most active fault lines as Istanbul. The main target of this study is to enlighten possible source properties of the 1894 earthquake with the help of observed damage distribution and stochastic ground motion simulations. In this paper, stochastic based ground motion scenarios will be performed for the 10 July 1894 Istanbul earthquake, using a finite fault simulation approach with a dynamic corner frequency and the results will be compared with our intensity map obtained from observed damage distributions. To do this, in the first step, obtained damage information from various sources has been presented, evaluated, and interpreted. Secondly, we prepared an intensity map associated with the 1894 earthquake based on macro-seismic information, and damage analysis and classification. For generating ground motions with a stochastic finite fault simulation approach, the EXSIM 2012 software has been used. Using EXSIM, several scenarios are modeled with different source, path, and site parameters. Initial source properties have been obtained from findings of our previous study on the simulation of the 26 September 2019 Silivri (Istanbul) earthquake with Mw 5.8. With the comparison of spatial distributions of the ground motion intensity parameters to the obtained damage and intensity maps, we estimate the optimum location and source parameters of the 1894 Earthquake.</p>

scholarly journals Earthquake source parameters that display the first digit phenomenon

2015 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 625-632
Author(s):  
P. A. Toledo ◽  
S. R. Riquelme ◽  
J. A. Campos
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Moment ◽  
Waiting Times ◽  
Source Parameters ◽  
Tohoku Earthquake ◽  
Earthquake Source ◽  
Coseismic Slip ◽  
Self Organized ◽  
Earthquake Source Parameters ◽  
Self Organized Criticality

Abstract. We study the main parameters of earthquakes from the perspective of the first digit phenomenon: the nonuniform probability of the lower first digit different from 0 compared to the higher ones. We found that source parameters like coseismic slip distributions at the fault and coseismic inland displacements show first digit anomaly. We also found the tsunami runups measured after the earthquake to display the phenomenon. Other parameters found to obey first digit anomaly are related to the aftershocks: we show that seismic moment liberation and seismic waiting times also display an anomaly. We explain this finding by invoking a self-organized criticality framework. We demonstrate that critically organized automata show the first digit signature and we interpret this as a possible explanation of the behavior of the studied parameters of the Tohoku earthquake.

Earthquake Source Parameters: Rapid Estimates for Tsunami Forecasts and Warnings

2021 ◽  
pp. 299-333
Author(s):  
Barry Hirshorn ◽  
Stuart Weinstein ◽  
Dailin Wang ◽  
Kanoa Koyanagi ◽  
Nathan Becker ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Source Parameters ◽  
Earthquake Source ◽  
Earthquake Source Parameters
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