scholarly journals Evaluation of forest fire risk using the Apriori algorithm and fuzzy c-means clustering

2017 ◽  
Vol 63 (No. 8) ◽  
pp. 370-380 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jafarzadeh Ali Akbar ◽  
Mahdavi Ali ◽  
Jafarzadeh Heydar

In this study we evaluated forest fire risk in the west of Iran using the Apriori algorithm and fuzzy c-means (FCM) clustering. We used twelve different input parameters to model fire risk in Ilam Province. Our results with minimum support and minimum confidence show strong relationships between wildfire occurrence and eight variables (distance from settlement, population density, distance from road, slope, standing dead oak trees, temperature, land cover and distance from farm land). In this study, we defined three clusters for each variable: low, middle and high. The data regarding the factors affecting forest fire risk were distributed in these three clusters with different degrees of membership and the final map of all factors was classified by FCM clustering. Each layer was then created in a geographic information system. Finally, wildfire risks in the area obtained from overlaying these layers were classified into five categories, from very low to very high according to the degree of danger.

2013 ◽  
Vol 765-767 ◽  
pp. 670-673
Author(s):  
Li Bo Hou

Fuzzy C-means (FCM) clustering algorithm is one of the widely applied algorithms in non-supervision of pattern recognition. However, FCM algorithm in the iterative process requires a lot of calculations, especially when feature vectors has high-dimensional, Use clustering algorithm to sub-heap, not only inefficient, but also may lead to "the curse of dimensionality." For the problem, This paper analyzes the fuzzy C-means clustering algorithm in high dimensional feature of the process, the problem of cluster center is an np-hard problem, In order to improve the effectiveness and Real-time of fuzzy C-means clustering algorithm in high dimensional feature analysis, Combination of landmark isometric (L-ISOMAP) algorithm, Proposed improved algorithm FCM-LI. Preliminary analysis of the samples, Use clustering results and the correlation of sample data, using landmark isometric (L-ISOMAP) algorithm to reduce the dimension, further analysis on the basis, obtained the final results. Finally, experimental results show that the effectiveness and Real-time of FCM-LI algorithm in high dimensional feature analysis.


Author(s):  
S. Mariscal ◽  
M. Ríos ◽  
F. Soria

Abstract. Forest fires have negative effects on biodiversity, the atmosphere and human health. The paper presents a spatial risk model as a tool to assess them. Risk areas refer to sectors prone to the spread of fire, in addition to the influence of human activity through remote sensing and multi-criteria analysis. The analysis includes information on land cover, land use, topography (aspect, slope and elevation), climate (temperature and precipitation) and socio-economic factors (proximity to settlements and roads). Weights were assigned to each in order to generate the forest fire risk map. The investigation was carried for a Biological Reserve in Bolivia because of the continuous occurrence of forest fires. Five risk categories for forest fires were derived: very high, high, moderate, low and very low. In summary, results suggest that approximately 67% of the protected area presents a moderate to very high risk; in the latter, populated areas are not dense which reduces the actual risk to the type of events analyzed.


Author(s):  
David MJS Bowman ◽  
Grant J Williamson

Fire risk can be defined as the probability that a fire will spread. Reliable monitoring of fire risk is essential for effective landscape management. Compilation of fire risk records enable identification of seasonal and inter-annual patterns and provide a baseline to evaluate the trajectories in response to climate change. Typically, fire risk is estimated from meteorological data. In regions with sparse meteorological station coverage environmental proxies provide important additional data stream for estimating past and current fire risk. Here we use a 60-year record of daily flows from two rivers (Franklin and Davey) in the remote Tasmanian Wilderness World Heritage Area (TWWHA) to characterize seasonal patterns in fire risk in temperate Eucalyptus and rainforests. We show that river flows are strongly related to landscape soil moisture estimates derived from down-scaled re-analysis of meteorological data available since 1990. To identify river flow thresholds where forests are likely to burn, we relate river flows to known forest fires that have occurred in the previously defined ecohydrological domains that surround the Franklin and Davey catchments. Our analysis shows that the fire season in the TWWHA is centered on February (70% of all years below the median threshold), with shoulders on December-January and March. Since 1954 forest fire can occur in at least one month for all but four summers in the ecohydrological domain that includes the Franklin catchment, and since 1964 fire fires could occur in at least one month in every summer in the ecohydrological domain that includes the Davey catchment. Our analysis shows that mangers can use river flows as a simple index that provide a landscape-scale forest fire risk in the TWWHA.


Author(s):  
Chunhua Ren ◽  
Linfu Sun

AbstractThe classic Fuzzy C-means (FCM) algorithm has limited clustering performance and is prone to misclassification of border points. This study offers a bi-directional FCM clustering ensemble approach that takes local information into account (LI_BIFCM) to overcome these challenges and increase clustering quality. First, various membership matrices are created after running FCM multiple times, based on the randomization of the initial cluster centers, and a vertical ensemble is performed using the maximum membership principle. Second, after each execution of FCM, multiple local membership matrices of the sample points are created using multiple K-nearest neighbors, and a horizontal ensemble is performed. Multiple horizontal ensembles can be created using multiple FCM clustering. Finally, the final clustering results are obtained by combining the vertical and horizontal clustering ensembles. Twelve data sets were chosen for testing from both synthetic and real data sources. The LI_BIFCM clustering performance outperformed four traditional clustering algorithms and three clustering ensemble algorithms in the experiments. Furthermore, the final clustering results has a weak correlation with the bi-directional cluster ensemble parameters, indicating that the suggested technique is robust.


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