scholarly journals An Empirical Study on the Effects between the Export Volume and Import Volume of the South Korea Relative to the International Financial Crisis

2016 ◽  
Vol null (54) ◽  
pp. 395-414
Author(s):  
Byung-Jin Yim
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Empirical Study ◽  
South Korea ◽  
The South ◽  
International Financial Crisis ◽  
Export Volume

Exchange rate volatility and exports: a panel data analysis

2016 ◽  
Vol 43 (2) ◽  
pp. 203-221 ◽  
Author(s):  
Flavio Vilela Vieira ◽  
Ronald MacDonald
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Emerging Economies ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Content Type ◽  
International Financial Crisis ◽  
Export Volume ◽  
Oil Export ◽  
Financial Crisis Of 2008 ◽  
The Impact

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to empirically investigate the role of real effective exchange rate (REER) volatility on export volume and also to address the impact of the international financial crisis of 2008. Design/methodology/approach – The empirical methodology is based on System GMM estimation for a set of 106 countries for the period of 2000-2011. Findings – For the complete sample of countries and for a set of developing/emerging economies, there is evidence that an increase (decrease) in REER volatility reduces (increases) export volume. The results are not robust once the oil export countries are removed from the sample. The estimated coefficients for the financial crisis dummy are positive and statistically significant, indicating that export volume were 0.14 percent higher after the financial crisis of 2008 compared to the previous period (2000-2007). There is also evidence that the export volume is price (REER) and income (trade weighted) inelastic. Research limitations/implications – The empirical results are valid for the complete set of countries and for developing and emerging economies when including the oil export countries, suggesting that countries should reduce exchange rate volatility in order to foster their export volume and that oil export countries have an important role on these results. Practical implications – The paper suggests that policymakers should adopt different policies to minimize exchange rate volatility if they seek to increase export volume. The international financial crisis had a significant impact on export volume in all estimated models regardless of the set of countries used. Originality/value – One of the main novelties of this work is that it deals with possible endogeneity using GMM estimators and addresses the issue of instrument proliferation, which is not a common feature of previous empirical studies on exchange rate volatility and trade flows. Another original aspect of the research is the construction of trade weighted variables for foreign income and REER based on the major 20 export partners for each country used in the panel data estimation. The work also incorporates the years following the international financial crisis of 2008, which is an additional empirical novelty, in order to address the impact of the international financial crisis on the export volume.

scholarly journals Early Detection of South Korean Financial Crisis using MS-GARCH Based on Term of Trade Indicator

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 114
Author(s):  
Husna Afanyn Khoirunissa ◽  
Sugiyanto Sugiyanto ◽  
Sri Subanti
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
South Korea ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
The South ◽  
South Korean ◽  
Volatility Models ◽  
Monetary Crisis ◽  
Using Data ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity

<p><strong>A</strong><strong>bstract</strong><strong>.</strong> The 1997 Asian financial crisis, which occurred until 1998, had a significant impact on the economies of Asian countries, including South Korea. The crisis brought down the South Korean currency quickly and sent the economy into sudden decline. Because the impact of the financial crisis was severe and sudden, South Korean requires a system which able to sight crisis signals, therefore that, the crisis will be fended off. One in all the indicators that can detect the financial crisis signals is that the term of trade indicator which has high fluctuation and change in the exchange rate regime. The mixture of Markov Switching and volatility models, Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH), or MS-GARCH could explain the crisis. The MS-GARCH model was built using data from the South Korean term of trade indicator during January 1990 until March 2020. The findings obtained in this research can be inferred that the best model of the term of trade is MS-GARCH (2,1,1). Term of trade indicator on that model could explain the Asian monetary crisis in 1997 and also the global monetary crisis in 2008. The smoothed probability of term of trade indicators predicts in April till December 2020 period, there will be no signs of the monetary crisis in South Korea.</p><p><strong>Keywords</strong><strong>: </strong>financial crisis, MS-GARCH, South Korea, term of trade indicator</p>

Proposal for Transparency of Accounting and Credibility of Accounting in the South Korea

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (3) ◽  
pp. 1-31
Author(s):  
Jeong Un Choi ◽  
Seongho Bae ◽  
Dong Heun Lee
Keyword(s):  
South Korea ◽  
The South
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