Mathematical model to assess the actual environmental risk from the point source emissions

2014 ◽  
Vol 25 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 91-98
Author(s):  
V. N. Poltoratskaya

A mathematical model for point source emissions, which allows to determine the ecological risk, improve the ecological situation in the region with the ability to manage risk. Environmental risk is defined as the probability of exceeding a multidimensional integral field concentrations of pollutants its Maximum Admissible Concentration (with a small number of measurements) or frequency exceeding the given measured concentrations of pollutants its Maximum Admissible Concentration (with a large number of measurements). Components of air pollution regions, cities, enterprises are individual emission sources, so primarily developing assessment and environmental risk analysis should be performed for individual sources and, above all, to prevent significant risks – for the prognostic assessment of newly constructed or reconstructed enterprises, and for existing facilities – from the measurement data. For a single point source mathematical model includes: – raw data (results undertorch measurement characteristics of pollutants, sanitary protection and residential areas, the design parameters of the source and characteristics of the external environment for the worst-case); – forecast concentrations of pollutants depending on the design parameters of the source and characteristics of an environment for a source with circular and rectangular mouth, hot and cold emissions, extremely dangerous low wind speeds; – depending on the definition of the amendments to the measured concentrations due to the difference of the worst conditions from measurements; – depending on the definition given to the worst conditions of the measured concentrations and their statistical processing in order to obtain: a) the numerical characteristics of the density distribution of the concentration of pollutants emitted (mathematical expectations, standard deviations and correlation coefficients); b) environmental risk α, defined at a relatively small number of trials as a multidimensional probability integral of the density distribution of the concentrations obtained with the numerical characteristics, and a large number of tests - the frequency of the measured concentrations exceeding; c) environmental risks from air pollution αj separate pollutants; d) depending on the definition of the numerical characteristics of the forecast distribution density is not measured (secondary) concentrations of pollutants emitted to address their risks when determining α and αj. It is shown that, in accordance with applicable regulatory requirements must consider the risk of the negative impact of air pollution to humans, the level of which is determined using the values of the maximum one-time maximum allowable concentrations pollutants. Defined by experienced stochastic patterns of distribution of contaminants in the atmosphere. Studied the random variation of concentrations. Theoretically and experimentally substantiated principles of developing a mathematical model to assess the actual risk from ecological point sources of emissions. 

Author(s):  
Mihaela Budianu ◽  
Valeriu Nagacevschi ◽  
Matei Macoveanu

Over the last decades, air pollution has become one of the greatest challenges negatively affecting human health and the entire environment, including air, water, soil, vegetation, and urban areas. Lately, special attention has been given to mathematical modelling for diffusion of pollutants in the atmosphere as a particularly effective and efficient method that can be used to study, control and reduce air pollution. The diversity of models developed by different research groups imposed a rigorous understanding of model types in order to apply them correctly according to local or regional problems of air pollution phenomenon. Tus the authors have developed and improved two mathematical models for dispersion of air pollutants. Tis paper presents a case study of dispersion of powders in suspension originating from 14 point sources that correspond to 5 economic agents in the agroindustrial area of Vaslui city using a computer simulation based on the mathematical model Pol 15sm, for multiple point sources of pollution, designed by the authors.


Author(s):  
Nikolay Viktorovich Baranovskiy

An anthropogenic load is the main cause of forest fires in the vicinity of settlements and various objects of transport or industrial infrastructure. It is proposed to mark out linear and point sources of anthropogenic load. For the numerical simulation, the similarity in the processes of propagation of anthropogenic load and diffusive heat transfer was used. The quantitative characteristic of the anthropogenic load is the virtual (possible) number of forest fires in the controlled forest area. A mathematical model to predict the distribution of anthropogenic load from a point source is presented. Distributions of the virtual number of forest fires for model data from a point source of anthropogenic load are obtained. Conclusions about the patterns of the distribution of anthropogenic load from a point source are formulated. The prospects for the further development of these results are described.


2013 ◽  
Vol 81 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Haijian Chu ◽  
Minzhong Wang

By considering the concept of point sources, such as point charge, mass point, and heat point source, we give a unified definition of these point sources with three conditions to judge what kind of distributed source in a small region can be taken as a point source by applying Sternberg's concept on concentrated forces. Comparing it with the traditional qualitative understanding of this concept, the definition gives a new condition with a very simple form. Counter-examples demonstrate that the traditional understanding of the point source is not sufficient and the new requirement should not be omitted.


1993 ◽  
Vol 28 (3-5) ◽  
pp. 101-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. v. d. Emde ◽  
H. Fleckseder ◽  
N. Matsché ◽  
F. Plahl-Wabnegg ◽  
G. Spatzierer ◽  
...  

Neusiedlersee (in German) / Fertö tó (in Hungarian) is a shallow lake at the Austro-Hungarian border. In the late 1970s, the question arose what to do in order to protect the lake against eutrophication. A preliminary report established the need for point-source control as well as gave first estimates for non-point source inputs. The proposed point-source control was quickly implemented, non-point sources were - among other topics - studied in detail in the period 1982 - 1986. The preliminary work had shown, based on integrated sampling and data from literature, that the aeolic input outweighed the one via water erosion (work was for totP only). In contrast to this, the 1982 - 1986 study showed that (a) water erosion by far dominates over aeolic inputs and (b) the size of nonpoint-source inputs was assessed for the largest catchment area in pronounced detail, whereas additional estimates were undertaken for smaller additional catchment areas. The methods as well as the results are presented in the following. The paper concludes with some remarks on the present management practice of nonpoint-source inputs.


Processes ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (8) ◽  
pp. 1358
Author(s):  
Ewa Golisz ◽  
Adam Kupczyk ◽  
Maria Majkowska ◽  
Jędrzej Trajer

The objective of this paper was to create a mathematical model of vacuum drops in a form that enables the testing of the impact of design parameters of a milking cluster on the values of vacuum drops in the claw. Simulation tests of the milking cluster were conducted, with the use of a simplified model of vacuum drops in the form of a fourth-degree polynomial. Sensitivity analysis and a simulation of a model with a simplified structure of vacuum drops in the claw were carried out. As a result, the impact of the milking machine’s design parameters on the milking process could be analysed. The results showed that a change in the local loss and linear drag coefficient in the long milk duct will have a lower impact on vacuum drops if a smaller flux of inlet air, a higher head of the air/liquid mix, and a higher diameter of the long milk tube are used.


Urban Studies ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 004209802110005
Author(s):  
Rebekah Plueckhahn

This article explores the experience of living among diverse infrastructural configurations in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia, and forms of stigmatisation that arise as a result. In this capital city that experiences extremely cold winters, the provision of heat is a seasonal necessity. Following a history of socialist-era, centrally provided heating, Ulaanbaatar is now made up of a core area of apartments and other buildings undergoing increased expansion, surrounded by vast areas of fenced land plots ( ger districts) not connected to centrally provided heating. In these areas, residents have historically heated their homes through burning coal, a technique that has resulted in seasonal air pollution. Expanding out from Wacquant’s definition of territorial stigmatisation, this article discusses the links between heat generation, air pollution and environmental stigmatisation arising from residents’ association with or proximity to the effects of heat generation and/or infrastructural lack. This type of stigma complexifies the normative divide between the city’s two main built areas. Residents’ attempts to mitigate forms of building and infrastructural ‘quality’ or chanar (in Mongolian) form ways of negotiating their position as they seek different kinds of property. Here, not only are bodies vulnerable to forms of pollution (both air and otherwise), but also buildings and infrastructure are vulnerable to disrepair. Residents’ assessments of infrastructural and building quality move beyond any categorisation of them being a clear ‘resistance’ to deteriorating infrastructural conditions. Instead, an ethnographic lens that positions the viewpoint of the city through these residential experiences reveals a reconceptualisation of the city that challenges infrastructurally determined normative assumptions.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 ◽  
pp. 731-740
Author(s):  
Giovanni Formentini ◽  
Claudio Favi ◽  
Claude Cuiller ◽  
Pierre-Eric Dereux ◽  
Francois Bouissiere ◽  
...  

AbstractOne of the most challenging activity in the engineering design process is the definition of a framework (model and parameters) for the characterization of specific processes such as installation and assembly. Aircraft system architectures are complex structures used to understand relation among elements (modules) inside an aircraft and its evaluation is one of the first activity since the conceptual design. The assessment of aircraft architectures, from the assembly perspective, requires parameter identification as well as the definition of the overall analysis framework (i.e., mathematical models, equations).The paper aims at the analysis of a mathematical framework (structure, equations and parameters) developed to assess the fit for assembly performances of aircraft system architectures by the mean of sensitivity analysis (One-Factor-At-Time method). The sensitivity analysis was performed on a complex engineering framework, i.e. the Conceptual Design for Assembly (CDfA) methodology, which is characterized by level, domains and attributes (parameters). A commercial aircraft cabin system was used as a case study to understand the use of different mathematical operators as well as the way to cluster attributes.


2007 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 347-359 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gaurav Ameta ◽  
Joseph K. Davidson ◽  
Jami J. Shah

A new mathematical model for representing the geometric variations of lines is extended to include probabilistic representations of one-dimensional (1D) clearance, which arise from positional variations of the axis of a hole, the size of the hole, and a pin-hole assembly. The model is compatible with the ASME/ ANSI/ISO Standards for geometric tolerances. Central to the new model is a Tolerance-Map (T-Map) (Patent No. 69638242), a hypothetical volume of points that models the 3D variations in location and orientation for a segment of a line (the axis), which can arise from tolerances on size, position, orientation, and form. Here, it is extended to model the increases in yield that occur when maximum material condition (MMC) is specified and when tolerances are assigned statistically rather than on a worst-case basis; the statistical method includes the specification of both size and position tolerances on a feature. The frequency distribution of 1D clearance is decomposed into manufacturing bias, i.e., toward certain regions of a Tolerance-Map, and into a geometric bias that can be computed from the geometry of multidimensional T-Maps. Although the probabilistic representation in this paper is built from geometric bias, and it is presumed that manufacturing bias is uniform, the method is robust enough to include manufacturing bias in the future. Geometric bias alone shows a greater likelihood of small clearances than large clearances between an assembled pin and hole. A comparison is made between the effects of choosing the optional material condition MMC and not choosing it with the tolerances that determine the allowable variations in position.


2000 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emiliano Cioffarelli ◽  
Enrico Sciubba

Abstract A hybrid propulsion system of new conception for medium-size passenger cars is described and its preliminary design developed. The system consists of a turbogas set operating at fixed rpm, and a battery-operated electric motor that constitutes the actual “propulsor”. The battery pack is charged by the thermal engine which works in an electronically controlled on/off mode. Though the idea is not entirely new (there are some concept cars with similar characteristics), the present study has important new aspects, in that it bases the sizing of the thermal engine on the foreseen “worst case” vehicle mission (derived from available data on mileage and consumption derived from road tests and standard EEC driving mission cycles) that they can in fact be accomplished, and then proceeds to develop a control strategy that enables the vehicle to perform at its near–peak efficiency over a wide range of possible missions. To increase the driveability of the car, a variable-inlet vane system is provided for the gas turbine. After developing the mission concept, and showing via a thorough set of energy balances (integrated over various mission profiles), a preliminary sizing of the turbogas set is performed. The results of this first part of the development program show that the concept is indeed feasible, and that it has important advantages over both more traditional (Hybrid Vehicles powered by an Internal Combustion Engine) and novel (All-Electric Vehicle) propulsion systems.


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