Relevance of loan characteristics in probability of default prediction for commercial mortgage loans

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicole Lux
Risks ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 159
Author(s):  
Sunghwa Park ◽  
Hyunsok Kim ◽  
Janghan Kwon ◽  
Taeil Kim

In this paper, we use a logit model to predict the probability of default for Korean shipping companies. We explore numerous financial ratios to find predictors of a shipping firm’s failure and construct four default prediction models. The results suggest that a model with industry specific indicators outperforms other models in predictive ability. This finding indicates that utilizing information about unique financial characteristics of the shipping industry may enhance the performance of default prediction models. Given the importance of the shipping industry in the Korean economy, this study can benefit both policymakers and market participants.


2018 ◽  
Vol 28 (4) ◽  
pp. 75-88
Author(s):  
Woo Seok Kim
Keyword(s):  

2012 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-96 ◽  
Author(s):  
Heather Russell ◽  
Douglas Dwyer ◽  
Qing Kang Tang

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