scholarly journals Bihevioralne financije i teorija „Crnog labuda“

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ana Brajković ◽  
Anita Radman Peša

The regular appearance of anomalies in the conventional economy contributed to creation and shaping of behavioral finance. These anomalies directly or indirectly threatened the modern financial and economic theory, based on rational behavior and rational decision-making. Behavioral finance represents a new approach to the field of finance, which takes into account psychological aspects of human and investor's life. Psychology defines certain concepts of behavior and prejudices that have contributed to the irrational and often harmful decision-making process. The focus of behavioral finance is on how individual investors make decisions, that is, how they interpret and react to specific information. The authors also present behavioral finance through the term of Black Swan defining it as an unpredictable event with serious consequences and when such event happens, people tend to give explanations to make it predictable and explainable. Event with The Black Swan label, for example, is the global financial crisis of 2008. The authors analyze and other modern financial theories and compare them with the standard financial theories to point out the need for further research in the field of financial theory.

Author(s):  
Sumiyati Sumiyati ◽  
Suhaidar Suhaidar

This study was conducted to examine the importance of sustainability reporting for investment decision making by prospective investors using  belief-action-outcome (BAO) theory. This study is a rational investor behavior study in deciding the use of their  assets by explaining it using  Rational Decision Making Model (RDMM) theory.This study used  an online quasi-experimental approach. The respondents of this research were prospective individual investors who understand the use of financial statements to make investments. This research was conducted with two tests. First, test the construct of variables. Second, test the subject's behavior with experiments. As for the experiments carried out two steps namely first, the subjects were given a questionnaire without any sustainability reporting. Second, subjects were given a questionnaire with instructions to read sustainability reporting first.The expected outcome is that investors  tend to choose to buy shares of companies that also attach sustainability reports compared to companies without sustainability reports. Investors also tend to be rational in making decisions. This result showed  the importance of sustainability report in rational decision making.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (10) ◽  
pp. 477
Author(s):  
Yesim Tokat-Acikel ◽  
Marco Aiolfi ◽  
Yiwen Jin

Recent value factor underperformance has called into question whether the value factor payoff is cyclically low, or if there are more structural challenges. We use a new approach to explore a link between the well-known macroeconomic exposures of traditional asset classes and those of value premia in a multi-asset context, focusing on country equities, bonds, and currencies in developed markets. Taking advantage of the cross-country inflation and growth expectations implicit in every value portfolio, we derive the net inflation and real growth characteristics embedded in each asset class carry portfolio at each point in time. Our analysis provides several insights: (1) Multi-asset value payoff is only weakly related to the global business cycle. (2) However, we find that the payoff to value portfolios is strongly linked to relative growth and inflation expectations across countries. (3) Over the last decade, we find that cheaper assets have had much lower net relative macro exposures compared to earlier time periods. This characteristic coincides with the period of unconventional central bank policies designed to lift global growth after the Global Financial Crisis (GFC).


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 26
Author(s):  
Manika Sharma ◽  
Mohammad Firoz

The current article examines the influence of cognitive biases on the process of decision making among equity investors of India. The research is being directed by conducting a survey on a sample of 400 investors investing in Indian capital market. This study measures behavioural biases of individual investors' using a structured questionnaire as a research instrument of the study. By means of cross section data analysis, this analysis steadily provides evidence that behavioural biases adversely affect rational decision-making of an investor. This research indicates that a statistically significant relationship exists between behavioural biases among investors and the process of rational decision-making. The findings of the study are imperative to investors investing Indian capital market, brokers, financial consultants and investment advisors; responsible for managing assets and constructing portfolios for investment clients, as they can alter the investment decision by accessing the susceptibility of investors towards cognitive biases, which often lead to erroneous decision.


2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-64
Author(s):  
Jose Fernandes ◽  
Alberto Matsumoto ◽  
Paulo Chagas ◽  
Israel Ferreira

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 270-287 ◽  
Author(s):  
Satish Kumar ◽  
Nisha Goyal

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between rational decision-making and behavioural biases among individual investors in India, as well as to examine the influence of demographic variables on rational decision-making process and how those differences manifest themselves in the form of behavioural biases. Design/methodology/approach Using a structured questionnaire, a total of 386 valid responses have been collected from May to October 2015. Statistical techniques like t-test, analysis of variance (ANOVA) and Fisher’s least significant difference (LSD) test have been used in this study. Structural equation modelling (SEM) has been used to analyse the relationship between rational decision-making and behavioural biases. Findings The findings show that the structural path model closely fits the sample data, indicating investors follow a rational decision-making process while investing. However, behavioural biases also arise in different stages of the decision-making process. It further explores that gender and income have a significant difference with respect to rational decision-making process. Male investors are more prone to overconfidence and herding bias in India. Research limitations/implications The findings of the study have significant implication for the individual investors. It is recommended that if individuals are aware about the biases, they may become alert before taking irrational investment decisions. Originality/value To best of the authors’ knowledge, the present study is a first of its kind to investigate the relationship between rational decision-making and behavioural biases among individual investors in India.


Author(s):  
Marcelo Henriques de Brito ◽  
Paula Esteban do Valle Jardim

This work presents a new approach to behavioral finance with a theoretical contribution by suggesting and discussing with examples a list of group behavioral biases along with established individual behavioral biases, bringing, hence, an additional outlook on how behavioral biases affect financial decisions. While individual behavioral biases are detected in individuals acting alone, group behavioral biases require the scrutiny of group behavior. This awareness may be particularly important to institutional investors, whose decisions basically stem from a committee or a group that will exhibit behavioral biases depending on how the group members interact between themselves when making a decision, which may include negotiation activities and not necessarily be related to personality or hierarchy. The focus on individual investors deciding on personal investments explain the need of work already developed in behavioral finance, which focus on individual behavioral biases, which may be a consequence from either cognitive errors or emotional biases. However, decisions from institutional investors basically stem from a committee or a group that will exhibit behavioral biases depending on how the group members interact between themselves when making a decision. To address the challenge of identifying causes and consequences for unexpected or unsuitable financial decision-making within a group, this work initially retrieves previous work on individual behavioral biases, linking emotional biases and cognitive errors to the “system 1” and “system 2” decision-making framework. Then, a conceptual contribution of this paper, which may be particularly relevant for institutional investors, is to explain with examples - after research and experience - which are the group behavioral biases and their impact upon financial decisions. Individual behavioral biases already acknowledged in other works on behavioral finance are contrasted in this work to the suggested group behavioral biases. Furthermore, this work suggests that there are two broad types of group behavioral biases: group dynamics biases and information-acceptance biases. Each broad type is subdivided into biases related to the structure of the group and biases related to how the group decision-making procedure occurs. Group dynamics biases related to the manner the group is structured are the following: kin bias (belonging bias), harmony bias, and competition bias. On the other hand, group dynamics biases may be sorted according to five different decision-making procedures, namely: herding, fad bias, Plato bias (denial bias), scarcity bias, and home bias.


Author(s):  
Gabriel Moss QC ◽  
Bob Wessels ◽  
Matthias Haentjens

Following the chaotic effects of the global financial crisis on European financial markets, the legislative regime introduced by the European Union (EU) represents a dramatic new approach to bank insolvency law, and will have a profound effect on the way banks function. The second edition of EU Banking and Insurance Insolvency evaluates these important developments and their implications for the Eurozone countries. A comprehensive general introduction sets out the EU insolvency law framework and the principles which govern financial institutions. The book provides detailed commentary on the Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive (BRRD) and Single Resolution Mechanism Regulation (SRMR), the legislative instruments central to the EU's response to the crisis, intended to harmonize Member States law. It considers the new powers given to government authorities under the BRRD to write down shares and debt instruments issued by banks, and the function of the newly created 'Single Resolution Board'. Commentary on the Winding-Up Directive (2001/24/EC) and the Insurance Insolvency Directive (2001/17/EC) discusses the significant changes these statutes have undergone as a consequence of the adoption of the BRRD and SRMR, as well as several high-profile court cases decided on the interpretation of these two statutes, including the Landsbanki and Kaupthing cases, and the Lehman Brothers, Isis Investments, and Heritable Bank cases. This is an invaluable practitioner guide to the new European banking insolvency regime, written by experts in the field.


2018 ◽  
pp. 2114-2134
Author(s):  
Hasan Dinçer ◽  
Ümit Hacıoğlu

The latest global financial crisis and its effects on emerging economies engaged researchers' attention to the relationship between economic vulnerability factors and financial crisis. Especially, infrastructure and growth-based factors directly impact on the economic vulnerability of emerging economies. In this study, it is aimed to investigate the economic vulnerability factors indicating the infrastructure and growth of emerging markets after the global financial crisis of 2008 with a hybrid multi criteria decision making approach. To clarify the relationship between the subjective causality structures of the real world problems DEMATEL and PROMETHEE techniques have been employed in the hybrid model. The results illustrate that (1) Nigeria has the highest degree of the economic vulnerability in each year after the global financial crisis, and (2) Mexico for 2009, Turkey for 2012, and Korea for 2015 have the lowest degree of exogenous economic and environmental shocks among the selected emerging markets.


2015 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 35-37

Purpose – This paper aims to review the latest management developments across the globe and pinpoint practical implications from cutting-edge research and case studies. Design/methodology/approach – This briefing is prepared by an independent writer who adds their own impartial comments and places the articles in context. Findings – A lot has been written of the consequences of the global financial crisis (GFC) in the late 2000s – who was to blame, who should have seen it coming, who didn’t see it coming and who claimed to have predicted it years later. Such speculation has contributed to what might be termed a “global crisis of confidence”, as all the established rules went out of the window. Business leaders didn’t know who to trust any more, and decision-making suddenly got a lot more difficult as a result. Practical implications – The paper provides strategic insights and practical thinking that have influenced some of the world’s leading organizations. Originality/value – The briefing saves busy executives and researchers hours of reading time by selecting only the very best, most pertinent information and presenting it in a condensed and easy-to-digest format.


Author(s):  
Alberto S. Matsumoto ◽  
Jose L. B. Fernandes ◽  
Israel Karlos Ferreira ◽  
Paulo CCsar Chagas

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