Schlechte Chancen ab 50? Übergänge älterer Arbeitsloser in Beschäftigung im Zeitvergleich

2016 ◽  
Vol 62 (2) ◽  
pp. 181-208
Author(s):  
Georg Sieglen
Keyword(s):  
Older People ◽  
Early Retirement ◽  
Hazard Rate ◽  
Age Groups ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
Employment Rate ◽  
Rate Model ◽  
Administrative Records ◽  
Hazard Rate Model ◽  
Employment Probabilities

AbstractThroughout the last ten years the employment rate of older people has improved considerably. It can be assumed that the development was furthered by the removal of legal incentives for early retirement. This study analyses whether the probability of transiting from unemployment into employment has also changed for the elderly in Germany between 2000 and 2009. To assess this question we estimate a hazard rate model, using administrative records of individuals born between 1935 and 1974. Our results show that the employment probabilities of elderly people in particular increased between 2006 and 2009 relative to earlier years. However, we also find persistent differences in the employment probabilities across different age groups.

Railway Passengers Travel Time Research Based on Survival Analysis

2014 ◽  
Vol 962-965 ◽  
pp. 2580-2583
Author(s):  
Ya Chen Zhao ◽  
Zhen Yu Zhang ◽  
Qing Jie Zheng
Keyword(s):  
Survival Analysis ◽  
Travel Time ◽  
Significant Influence ◽  
Hazard Rate ◽  
Family Income ◽  
Proportional Hazard ◽  
Rate Model ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard ◽  
Hazard Rate Model

With the development of the economy, people have higher request for the time. Studying the choice of travel about rail passengers becomes more significant. Due to these problem above and using survival analysis method, this paper builds travel time survival model based on questionnaire and have a whole analysis of the travel time of the rail passenger. Then, it concludes that most of the rail passengers’ travel time is below five hours. At last, this paper builds COX proportional hazard rate model of travel time and study the factors about travel time. The result demonstrates that the factor about whether it is students or not, family income, whether it is travelling and the number of packages has a significant influence on the travel time.

On a singularity in the likelihood for a change-point hazard rate model

Biometrika ◽  
1985 ◽  
Vol 72 (3) ◽  
pp. 703-704 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. E. MATTHEWS ◽  
V. T. FAREWELL
Keyword(s):  
Change Point ◽  
Hazard Rate ◽  
Rate Model ◽  
Hazard Rate Model

scholarly journals Employment at 55+: Do We Want to work Longer in Lithuania?

Ekonomika ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 99 (1) ◽  
pp. 50-68
Author(s):  
Kristina Zitikytė
Keyword(s):  
Labor Market ◽  
Older People ◽  
Older Workers ◽  
Social Insurance ◽  
People With Disabilities ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
Employment Rate ◽  
Term Care ◽  
Demographic Aging

 The Lithuanian population is aging, and it causes many difficulties for public finances by increasing expenditures on health care, long-term care, and pensions, and also for the labor market by creating labor shortages. One of the ways to cope with demographic aging is to rise the employment rate of older people. According to Eurostat, the employment rate of the elderly aged 55–64 years increased from 49.6 percent in 2005 to 68.5 percent in 2018 in Lithuania and it is higher than the average employment rate of older workers in European Union, which was 58.7 percent in 2018. This paper focuses on older people in Lithuania, aged 55 and over, trying to answer a question whether the elderly in Lithuania willingly work or try to find alternatives such as receiving long-term social insurance benefits. The research findings show that the activity of older people in the labor market grows, and even the share of people with disabilities staying in the labor market increases. However, this analysis also shows that older people are more under risk to lose their job during an economic crisis, and this suggests that trying to find work alternatives can be closely related to one’s economic situation. Moreover, health problems remain one of the main factors limiting the activity of older people in the labor market. It is also noticeable that some labor force reserves exist among people with disabilities and this supposes that creating better adapted working conditions for older and disabled workers in Lithuania could probably contribute to meeting the needs of an aging workforce.

scholarly journals Comparisons of Parallel Systems According to the Convex Transform Order

2009 ◽  
Vol 46 (2) ◽  
pp. 342-352 ◽  
Author(s):  
Subhash Kochar ◽  
Maochao Xu
Keyword(s):  
Hazard Rate ◽  
Parallel Systems ◽  
Sufficient Condition ◽  
Proportional Hazard ◽  
Rate Model ◽  
Hazard Rate Model ◽  
Convex Transform Order ◽  
Right Spread Order ◽  
The Right ◽  
Equivalent Conditions

A parallel system with heterogeneous exponential component lifetimes is shown to be more skewed (according to the convex transform order) than the system with independent and identically distributed exponential components. As a consequence, equivalent conditions for comparing the variabilities of the largest order statistics from heterogeneous and homogeneous exponential samples in the sense of the dispersive order and the right-spread order are established. A sufficient condition is also given for the proportional hazard rate model.

scholarly journals Comparisons of Parallel Systems According to the Convex Transform Order

2009 ◽  
Vol 46 (02) ◽  
pp. 342-352 ◽  
Author(s):  
Subhash Kochar ◽  
Maochao Xu
Keyword(s):  
Hazard Rate ◽  
Parallel Systems ◽  
Sufficient Condition ◽  
Proportional Hazard ◽  
Rate Model ◽  
Hazard Rate Model ◽  
Convex Transform Order ◽  
Right Spread Order ◽  
The Right ◽  
Equivalent Conditions

A parallel system with heterogeneous exponential component lifetimes is shown to be more skewed (according to the convex transform order) than the system with independent and identically distributed exponential components. As a consequence, equivalent conditions for comparing the variabilities of the largest order statistics from heterogeneous and homogeneous exponential samples in the sense of the dispersive order and the right-spread order are established. A sufficient condition is also given for the proportional hazard rate model.

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