Stock price synchronicity and its effect on stock market volatility: evidence from the MENA region

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 276 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omar Farooq ◽  
Neveen Ahmed ◽  
Mohammed Bouaddi
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Market Volatility ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Mena Region ◽  
Stock Price Synchronicity

Forecasting Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from Six Emerging Markets

2013 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 68-93
Author(s):  
Naliniprava Tripathy ◽  
Ashish Garg
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Market Volatility ◽  
Future Market ◽  
Investment Strategies ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Efficient Management ◽  
Asymmetric Garch

This paper forecasts the stock market volatility of six emerging countries by using daily observations of indices over the period of January 1999 to May 2010 by using ARCH, GARCH, GARCH-M, EGARCH and TGARCH models. The study reveals the positive relationship between stock return and risk only in Brazilian stock market. The analysis exhibits that the volatility shocks are quite persistent in all country’s stock market. Further the asymmetric GARCH models find a significant evidence of asymmetry in stock returns in all six country’s stock markets. This study confirms the presence of leverage effect in the returns series and indicates that bad news generate more impact on the volatility of the stock price in the market. The study concludes that volatility increases disproportionately with negative shocks in stock returns. Hence investors are advised to use investment strategies by analyzing recent and historical news and forecast the future market movement while selecting portfolio for efficient management of financial risks to reap benefits in the stock markets.

Exploring the Relationships among Interest Rate, Exchange Rate, and Stock Market in Indonesia

2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 37-43
Author(s):  
Sherlinda Octa Yuniarsa ◽  
Jui-Chuan Della Chang
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Structural Breaks ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Market Volatility ◽  
Empirical Literature ◽  
Stock Market Volatility

Objective - The purpose of this research is to explore the relationships among interest rate, exchange rate, and stock price in Indonesia. Methodology/Technique - This study used data from the Central Bank of Indonesia to empirically test a proposed model of interest rate, exchange rate, and stock price. Findings - The findings confirmed that there are positive volatilities from exchange rate and negative volatility from interest rate. The relationships among interest rate, exchange rate, and stock market excessive volatility a little bit strengthen during economic crises, a study that allows for structural breaks, to account for the effects of sudden macroeconomic shocks, recessions, and financial crises, would be important to empirical literature on Indonesia. Novelty - This study proved that it is important to point out the variance decomposition results also showed that except for volatility in the exchange rate, interest rate, and stock market volatility also seems to explain quite a high proportion of the some variations of the macroeconomic excessive volatility. Type of Paper - Conceptual Keywords: interest rate volatility, exchange rate volatility, stock market volatility, emerging market, Asymmetric ARCH models

Institutional Quality, Economic Freedom and Stock Market Volatility in the MENA Region

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tarek Ibrahim Eldomiaty ◽  
Tariq Bin Faisal Al Qassemi ◽  
Ahmed Fikri Mabrouk ◽  
Lamia Soliman Abdelghany
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Economic Freedom ◽  
Institutional Quality ◽  
Market Volatility ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Mena Region

scholarly journals Stock market volatility and it's determinants in Pakistan stock market.

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sumaira Tufail ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Dividend Policy ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Market Volatility ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Stock Price Volatility

Stock price volatility is considered as one of the most important areas of concern for the capital markets regulators, investors and academicians in recent years. Corporate dividend policy as a determinant of stock market volatility is a significant area of concern for the investors as well as the managers of the company due to political instability and the current economic crisis in Pakistan. This study aims at determining the effect of significant factors such as dividend yield, dividend payout ratio, foreign exchange rate and foreign direct investment on stock price fluctuation in Pakistan, which contributes to overall variation in stock price volatility. The study used a sample of 200 Pakistani listed companies by employing the regression analysis. The endogeneity issues were addressed through the generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation. The study concludes that stock price volatility has a negative association with dividend policy. The study also suggests that foreign direct investment and foreign exchange rates both negatively influence the stock price fluctuations in emerging markets. The findings of this study provide practical implications for the investors, policymakers and firm managers.

scholarly journals DYNAMICS OF CONSUMER EXPENDITURE AND STOCK MARKET PRICES AND UNCERTAINTY: MALAYSIAN EVIDENCE

2013 ◽  
Vol 58 (04) ◽  
pp. 1350025
Author(s):  
MANSOR H. IBRAHIM ◽  
SIONG HOOK LAW
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Private Consumption ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Market Volatility ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Consumer Expenditure ◽  
Market Uncertainty ◽  
Long Run

The present paper analyzes the role of stock market, more specifically real stock prices and stock market uncertainty/volatility, on private consumption behavior for an emerging market, Malaysia, using quarterly data from 1991 to 2009. Employing the autoregressive distributed lag approach to cointegration test, the paper establishes a long-run equilibrium that ties private consumption to its determinants — real income, real stock prices, real lending rate, and stock market volatility. In the long run, the presence of the stock market wealth effect is documented. At the same time, the stock market volatility is also noted to depress private consumption particularly when the volatility is at the degree as observed during the Asian crisis. The authors further note the short-run influences of real stock price changes on consumption growth and the adjustment of private consumption to the long-run level when it is modeled in an error-correction setting. Our simple simulation indicates that the drop in the private consumption due to the decline in stock market wealth post-crisis is substantial, amounting to 2.7% of average post-crisis gross domestic product.

Foresight for stock market volatility – a study in the Indian perspective

foresight ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jitendra Kumar Dixit ◽  
Vivek Agrawal
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Market Volatility ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Constant Variance ◽  
Investment Decision Making

Purpose Volatility is a permanent behavior of the stock market around the globe. The presence of the volatility in the stock price makes it possible to earn abnormal profits by risk seeking investors and creates hesitancy among risk averse investors as high volatility means high return with high risk. Investors always consider market volatility before making any investment decisions. Random fluctuations are termed as volatility of stock market. Volatility in financial markets is reflected because of uncertainty in the price and return, unexpected events and non-constant variance that can be measured through the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity family models and that will give an insight for investment decision-making. Design/methodology/approach Daily data of the closing value of Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) (Sensex) and National Stock Exchange (NSE) (Nifty) from April 1, 2011 to March 31, 2017 is collected through the web-portal of BSE (www.bseindia.com) and NSE (www.nseindia.com) for the analysis purpose. Findings The outcome of the study suggested that P-GARCH model is most suitable to predict and forecast the stock market volatility for both the markets. Research limitations/implications Future research can be extended to other stock market segments and sectoral indices to explore and forecast the volatility to establish a trade-off between risk and return. Originality/value The results of previous studies available are not conducive to this research, and very limited scholarly work is available in the Indian context, so required to be re-explored to identify the appropriate model to predict market volatility.

Individualism, synchronized stock price movements, and stock market volatility

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 371-403
Author(s):  
Feng Zhan
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
National Culture ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Market Volatility ◽  
Investor Behavior ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Individualistic Culture ◽  
Price Movements ◽  
Stock Price Movements

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of national culture on herding behavior across international financial markets.Design/methodology/approachThe relation between national culture and investor behavior, and how it impacts overall market volatility is studied by examining synchronized stock price movements and stock market volatility in 47 countries around the world over the period of January 2003–May 2012.FindingsThe author finds that nations with lower values of individualistic culture are more likely to have a higher number of synchronized stock price movements. Further, the correlation between stock price movements apparently increases stock market volatility. Nations with high individualistic culture have a lower number of synchronized stock price movements and, thus, have lower levels of stock market volatility. The positive relationship between synchronized stock price movements and stock market volatility is stronger for emerging markets during the financial crisis from June 2007 to December 2008.Originality/valueThe empirical results in this paper indicate that a portion of the difference in market level volatility is attributed to the investor bias of different cultures. Investor behavior bias creates excess volatility that drives stock prices away from fundamentals. This impact is strong in nations with lower individualistic culture. The result from this research could also have a wide implication in the investment industry.

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