scholarly journals External Validation of a Nomogram Developed for Predicting Overall Survival in Gastric Cancer Patients with Insufficient Number of Examined Lymph Nodes

Author(s):  
Mehmet Kubat
2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuangxi Li ◽  
Jacopo Desiderio ◽  
Ziyu Li ◽  
Federico Tozzi ◽  
Jiafu Ji ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The inadequate lymph nodes could lead to stage migration and indicate a poor prognosis for gastric cancer after curative surgery. Some emerging novel predictors and the methodology of nomogram could increase the accuracy of survival prediction.Methods An international database regarding gastric cancer was employed as the primary cohort. The patients with inadequate (<30) lymph nodes (LN) were analyzed by Cox proportional hazards regression. Based on the selected model, a nomogram was plotted and calibrated by the external validation database.Results A total of 1109 patients were included in the primary cohort, and 6584 patients in the validation cohort. There were significant differences regarding the clinical characteristics between the two cohorts. The model containing age, T stages, N stages, metastatic lymph nodes (mLN), and the number of total LN retrieved (TLN) showed superiority over the conventional TNM stages. The Harrell's concordance index of the nomogram and TNM stages was 0.744 and 0.717 respectively. The external validation demonstrated a good concordance with the nomogram-predicted survival.Conclusions The nomogram containing age, T stages, N stages, mLN, and TLN had a better accuracy than the conventional TNM staging system in predicting overall survival for gastric cancer patients with inadequate (<30) LNs.


2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (6) ◽  
pp. 947-956 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng-liang Wang ◽  
Fang-tao Xiao ◽  
Bao-cheng Gong ◽  
Fu-nan Liu ◽  
Hui-mian Xu

Medicina ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 57 (3) ◽  
pp. 198
Author(s):  
Ji Yeon Park ◽  
Byunghyuk Yu ◽  
Ki Bum Park ◽  
Oh Kyoung Kwon ◽  
Seung Soo Lee ◽  
...  

Background and Objectives: The prognosis of metastatic or unresectable gastric cancer is dismal, and the benefits of the palliative resection of primary tumors with noncurative intent remain controversial. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of palliative gastrectomy (PG) on overall survival in gastric cancer patients. Materials and Methods: One hundred forty-eight gastric cancer patients who underwent PG or a nonresection (NR) procedure between January 2011 and 2017 were retrospectively reviewed to select and analyze clinicopathological factors that affected prognosis. Results: Fifty-five patients underwent primary tumor resection with palliative intent, and 93 underwent NR procedures owing to the presence of metastatic or unresectable disease. The PG group was younger and more female dominant. In the PG group, R1 and R2 resection were performed in two patients (3.6%) and 53 patients (96.4%), respectively. The PG group had a significantly longer median overall survival than the NR group (28.4 vs. 7.7 months, p < 0.001). Multivariate analyses revealed that the overall survival was significantly better after palliative resection (hazard ratio (HR), 0.169; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.088–0.324; p < 0.001) in patients with American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status (ASA) scores ≤1 (HR, 0.506; 95% CI, 0.291–0.878; p = 0.015) and those who received postoperative chemotherapy (HR, 0.487; 95% CI, 0.296–0.799; p = 0.004). Among the patients undergoing palliative resection, the presence of <15 positive lymph nodes was the only significant predictor of better overall survival (HR, 0.329; 95% CI, 0.121–0.895; p = 0.030). Conclusions: PG might lead to the prolonged survival of certain patients with incurable gastric cancer, particularly those with less-extensive lymph-node metastasis.


2010 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 191-196 ◽  
Author(s):  
Takeo Fukagawa ◽  
Mitsuru Sasako ◽  
Seiji Ito ◽  
Hayao Nakanishi ◽  
Hisae Iinuma ◽  
...  

2018 ◽  
Vol 46 (4) ◽  
pp. 323-329
Author(s):  
E. S. Gershtein ◽  
A. A. Ivannikov ◽  
V. L. Chang ◽  
N. A. Ognerubov ◽  
М. M. Davydov ◽  
...  

Background: Over the last 10 years the incidence of gastric cancer has declined significantly. Nevertheless, it remains one of the most prevalent malignancies both in Russia and worldwide. Therefore, the problems of early diagnostics, prognosis and individualized treatment choice are still on the agenda. Much attention is paid to the evaluation of molecular biological characteristics of the tumor, as well as to the development of multiparametric prognostic systems for gastric cancer based on its identified characteristics. An important place among potential tumor biological markers belongs to matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) involved into all the stages of tumor progression, first of all, into the regulation of invasion and metastasizing.Aim: Comparative quantitative evaluation of some MMP family members (MMP-2, 7, and 9) and one of the tissue MMP inhibitors (TIMP-2) levels in the tumors and adjacent histologically unchanged mucosa in gastric cancer patients, the analysis of their associations with the main clinical and pathological features of the disease and its prognosis.Materials and methods: Sixty six (66) primary gastric cancer patients (32 male and 34 female) aged 24 to 82 years (median, 61 year) were recruited into the study. Twenty two (22) patients were with stage I of the disease, 11 with stage II, 28 with stage III, and 5 with stage IV. The concentrations of the proteins studied were measured in the tumor and unchanged mucosa extracts by standard direct ELISA kits (Quantikine®, R&D Systems, USA).Results: Tumor MMP-2, 7 and 9 levels were significantly increased, compared to those in the adjacent histologically unchanged mucosa, in 80, 70 and 72% of gastric cancer patients, respectively, while the increase of TIMP-2 level found in 61% of the tumors was not statistically significant. Tumor MMP-2 and TIMP-2 content was increasing significantly with higher T index – size and advancement of the primary tumor (p < 0.01 and p < 0.05 respectively). Tumor MMP-2 level was also increasing in parallel with the N index (regional lymph node involvement; p < 0.01); it was significantly higher in the patients with distant metastases than in those without them (p < 0.05). Tumor MMP-9 and MMP-7 concentrations were not significantly associated with the indices of the tumor progression. The patients were followed up for 1 to 85 months (median, 18.3 months). According to the univariate analysis, high (> 32.6 ng/mg protein) MMP-2 and low MMP-7 (< 1.1 ng/mg protein) levels in the gastric cancer tissue represent statistically significant unfavorable prognostic factors for overall survival. Increased TIMP-2 level is associated with a non-significant decrease in the overall survival (p > 0.05), whereas the MMP-9 level was unrelated to the gastric cancer prognosis. Only T index (p = 0.0034) and tumor MMP-7 content (p = 0.026) remained independent prognostic factors in the multivariate regression analysis.Conclusion: The majority of gastric cancer patients demonstrate a significant increase in the expression of three MMP family members, i.e. gelatinases (MMP-2 and 9), and matrilysin (MMP-7), in the tumors, as compared to adjacent histologically unchanged mucosa. Only MMP-2 levels were associated with the disease progression, increasing with higher TNM system indices. High MMP-2 and low MMP-7 content in the gastric cancer tissue are significant unfavorable prognostic factors for the overall survival in the univariate analysis, but only MMP-7 has retained its independent prognostic value in the multivariate assessment.


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