scholarly journals Coastal flood impact assessments for Alaska communities: Napakiak

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
R.M. Buzard ◽  
J.R. Overbeck ◽  
K.Y. Miller ◽  
J.E. Christian
Keyword(s):  
Coastal Flood ◽  
Flood Impact

Towards an Integrated Approach for Coastal Flood Impact Assessment

2002 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank Thomalla ◽  
James Brown ◽  
Ilan Kelman ◽  
Iris Möller ◽  
Robin Spence ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Impact Assessment ◽  
Integrated Approach ◽  
Coastal Flood ◽  
Flood Impact

scholarly journals Coastal flood impact assessments for Alaska communities

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
R.M. Buzard ◽  
J.R. Overbeck ◽  
Jonathan Chriest ◽  
K.L. Endres ◽  
E.W. Plumb
Keyword(s):  
Coastal Flood ◽  
Flood Impact

scholarly journals Coastal flood impact assessments for Alaska communities: Nunam Iqua

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
R.M. Buzard ◽  
J.R. Overbeck ◽  
K.Y. Miller
Keyword(s):  
Coastal Flood ◽  
Flood Impact

scholarly journals Semi-probabilistic coastal flood impact analysis: From deterministic hazards to multi-damage model impacts

2020 ◽  
Vol 143 ◽  
pp. 105884
Author(s):  
Enrico Duo ◽  
Tomas Fernández-Montblanc ◽  
Clara Armaroli
Keyword(s):  
Impact Analysis ◽  
Damage Model ◽  
Coastal Flood ◽  
Flood Impact

scholarly journals Long-Term Dynamic of Land Reclamation and Its Impact on Coastal Flooding: A Case Study in Xiamen, China

Land ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 866
Author(s):  
Lilai Xu ◽  
Shengping Ding ◽  
Vilas Nitivattananon ◽  
Jianxiong Tang
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Land Reclamation ◽  
Coastal Flooding ◽  
Coastal Development ◽  
Accurate Information ◽  
Coastal Flood ◽  
Flood Impact

While land reclaimed from the sea meets the land demand for coastal development, it simultaneously causes socio-economic systems to be prone to coastal flooding induced by storm surges and sea-level rise. Current studies have seldom linked reclamation with coastal flood impact assessment, hindering the provision of accurate information to support coastal flood risk management and adaptation. This study, using Xiamen, China as a case study, incorporates the spatiotemporal dynamics of reclamation into a coastal flood impact model, in order to investigate the long-term influence of reclamation activities on coastal flood inundation and the consequent exposure of the population to coastal flooding. We find that rapid population growth, continual economic development and urbanization drive a substantial logarithmic increase in coastal reclamation. Historical and future expansions of seaward land reclamation are found to cause dramatic surges in the expected annual inundation (EAI) and the expected annual population (EAP) exposed to coastal flooding. In Xiamen, EAI is estimated to increase by 440.2% from 1947 to 2035, owing to continuing land reclamation. Consequently, the population living in the flooded area has also increased sharply: the EAP of total population is estimated to rise from 0.8% in 1947 to 4.7% in 2035, where reclamation contributes over 80% of this increase. Moreover, a future 10 cm sea-level rise in 2035 will lead to extra 5.73% and 8.15% increases in EAI and EAP, respectively, and is expected to cause massive permanent submersion in the new reclamation zone. Our findings emphasize an integration of hard structures and nature-based solutions for building resilient coasts.

scholarly journals “Grey swan” storm surges pose a greater coastal flood hazard than climate change

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin Horsburgh ◽  
Ivan D. Haigh ◽  
Jane Williams ◽  
Michela De Dominicis ◽  
Judith Wolf ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Tide Gauge ◽  
Storm Surges ◽  
Natural Variability ◽  
Major Incident ◽  
Dynamical Response ◽  
Mean Sea Level ◽  
Coastal Flood ◽  
Extreme Storm ◽  
Observational Record

AbstractIn this paper, we show that over the next few decades, the natural variability of mid-latitude storm systems is likely to be a more important driver of coastal extreme sea levels than either mean sea level rise or climatically induced changes to storminess. Due to their episodic nature, the variability of local sea level response, and our short observational record, understanding the natural variability of storm surges is at least as important as understanding projected long-term mean sea level changes due to global warming. Using the December 2013 North Atlantic Storm Xaver as a baseline, we used a meteorological forecast modification tool to create “grey swan” events, whilst maintaining key physical properties of the storm system. Here we define “grey swan” to mean an event which is expected on the grounds of natural variability but is not within the observational record. For each of these synthesised storm events, we simulated storm tides and waves in the North Sea using hydrodynamic models that are routinely used in operational forecasting systems. The grey swan storms produced storm surges that were consistently higher than those experienced during the December 2013 event at all analysed tide gauge locations along the UK east coast. The additional storm surge elevations obtained in our simulations are comparable to high-end projected mean sea level rises for the year 2100 for the European coastline. Our results indicate strongly that mid-latitude storms, capable of generating more extreme storm surges and waves than ever observed, are likely due to natural variability. We confirmed previous observations that more extreme storm surges in semi-enclosed basins can be caused by slowing down the speed of movement of the storm, and we provide a novel explanation in terms of slower storm propagation allowing the dynamical response to approach equilibrium. We did not find any significant changes to maximum wave heights at the coast, with changes largely confined to deeper water. Many other regions of the world experience storm surges driven by mid-latitude weather systems. Our approach could therefore be adopted more widely to identify physically plausible, low probability, potentially catastrophic coastal flood events and to assist with major incident planning.

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