scholarly journals Polar Bear Distribution and Habitat Association Reflect Long-term Changes in Fall Sea Ice Conditions in the Alaskan Beaufort Sea

ARCTIC ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 62 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeffrey S. Gleason ◽  
Karyn D. Rode
ARCTIC ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 61 (1) ◽  
pp. 14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ian Stirling ◽  
Evan Richardson ◽  
Gregory W. Thiemann ◽  
Andrew E. Derocher

In April and May 2003 through 2006, unusually rough and rafted sea ice extended for several tens of kilometres offshore in the southeastern Beaufort Sea from about Atkinson Point to the Alaska border. Hunting success of polar bears (Ursus maritimus) seeking seals was low despite extensive searching for prey. It is unknown whether seals were less abundant in comparison to other years or less accessible because they maintained breathing holes below rafted ice rather than snowdrifts, or whether some other factor was involved. However, we found 13 sites where polar bears had clawed holes through rafted ice in attempts to capture ringed seals (Phoca hispida) in 2005 through 2006 and another site during an additional research project in 2007. Ice thickness at the 12 sites that we measured averaged 41 cm. These observations, along with cannibalized and starved polar bears found on the sea ice in the same general area in the springs of 2004 through 2006, suggest that during those years, polar bears in the southern Beaufort Sea were nutritionally stressed. Searches made farther north during the same period and using the same methods produced no similar observations near Banks Island or in Amundsen Gulf. A possible underlying ecological explanation is a decadal-scale downturn in seal populations. But a more likely explanation is major changes in the sea-ice and marine environment resulting from record amounts and duration of open water in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas, possibly influenced by climate warming. Because the underlying causes of observed changes in polar bear body condition and foraging behaviour are unknown, further study is warranted.


2009 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. n/a-n/a ◽  
Author(s):  
David B. Scott ◽  
Trecia Schell ◽  
Guillaume St-Onge ◽  
André Rochon ◽  
Steve Blasco

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leandro Ponsoni ◽  
Daniela Flocco ◽  
François Massonnet ◽  
Steve Delhaye ◽  
Ed Hawkins ◽  
...  

<p>In this work, we make use of an inter-model comparison and of a perfect model approach, in which model outputs are used as true reference states, to assess the impact that denying sea ice information has on the prediction of atmospheric processes, both over the Arctic and at mid-latitude regions. To do so, two long-term control runs (longer than 250 years) were generated with two state-of-the-art General Circulation Models (GCM), namely EC-Earth and HadGEM. From these two reference states, we have identified three different years in which the Arctic sea ice volume (SIV) was (i) maximum, (ii) minimum and (iii) a representative case for the mean state. By departing from each of these three dates (not necessarily the same for the two models), we generated a set of experiments in which the control runs are restarted both from original and climatological sea ice conditions. Here, climatological sea ice conditions are estimated as the time-average of sea ice parameters from the respective long-term control runs. The experiments are 1-year long and all of them start in January when ice is still thin, snow depth is small, air-ocean temperatures contrast the most and, therefore, the heat conductive flux in sea ice (at the surface) is nearly maximum. To robustly separate the response to degrading the initial sea ice state from background internal variability, each of the two counterfactual experiments (reference and climatological) consists of 50 ensembles members. Threstatedese ensembles are generated by adding small random perturbations to the sea surface temperature (EC-Earth) or to the air temperature (HadGEM) fields. Preliminary results reinforce the importance of having the right sea ice state for improving the (sub-)seasonal prediction of atmospheric parameters (e.g., 2m-temperature and geopotential) and circulation (e.g., Westerlies and Jet Stream) not only over the Arctic, but also at mid-latitude regions.</p>


2014 ◽  
Vol 41 (4) ◽  
pp. 311 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karyn D. Rode ◽  
Anthony M. Pagano ◽  
Jeffrey F. Bromaghin ◽  
Todd C. Atwood ◽  
George M. Durner ◽  
...  

Context The potential for research methods to affect wildlife is an increasing concern among both scientists and the public. This topic has a particular urgency for polar bears because additional research is needed to monitor and understand population responses to rapid loss of sea ice habitat. Aims This study used data collected from polar bears sampled in the Alaska portion of the southern Beaufort Sea to investigate the potential for capture to adversely affect behaviour and vital rates. We evaluated the extent to which capture, collaring and handling may influence activity and movement days to weeks post-capture, and body mass, body condition, reproduction and survival over 6 months or more. Methods We compared post-capture activity and movement rates, and relationships between prior capture history and body mass, body condition and reproductive success. We also summarised data on capture-related mortality. Key results Individual-based estimates of activity and movement rates reached near-normal levels within 2–3 days and fully normal levels within 5 days post-capture. Models of activity and movement rates among all bears had poor fit, but suggested potential for prolonged, lower-level rate reductions. Repeated captures was not related to negative effects on body condition, reproduction or cub growth or survival. Capture-related mortality was substantially reduced after 1986, when immobilisation drugs were changed, with only 3 mortalities in 2517 captures from 1987–2013. Conclusions Polar bears in the southern Beaufort Sea exhibited the greatest reductions in activity and movement rates 3.5 days post-capture. These shorter-term, post-capture effects do not appear to have translated into any long-term effects on body condition, reproduction, or cub survival. Additionally, collaring had no effect on polar bear recovery rates, body condition, reproduction or cub survival. Implications This study provides empirical evidence that current capture-based research methods do not have long-term implications, and are not contributing to observed changes in body condition, reproduction or survival in the southern Beaufort Sea. Continued refinement of capture protocols, such as the use of low-impact dart rifles and reversible drug combinations, might improve polar bear response to capture and abate short-term reductions in activity and movement post-capture.


2007 ◽  
Vol 85 (5) ◽  
pp. 596-608 ◽  
Author(s):  
T.W. Bentzen ◽  
E.H. Follmann ◽  
S.C. Amstrup ◽  
G.S. York ◽  
M.J. Wooller ◽  
...  

Ringed seals ( Phoca hispida Schreber, 1775 = Pusa hispida (Schreber, 1775)) and bearded seals ( Erignathus barbatus (Erxleben, 1777)) represent the majority of the polar bear ( Ursus maritimus Phipps, 1774) annual diet. However, remains of lower trophic level bowhead whales ( Balaena mysticetus L., 1758) are available in the southern Beaufort Sea and their dietary contribution to polar bears has been unknown. We used stable isotope (13C/12C, δ13C, 15N/14N, and δ15N) analysis to determine the diet composition of polar bears sampled along Alaska’s Beaufort Sea coast in March and April 2003 and 2004. The mean δ15N values of polar bear blood cells were 19.5‰ (SD = 0.7‰) in 2003 and 19.9‰ (SD = 0.7‰) in 2004. Mixing models indicated bowhead whales composed 11%–26% (95% CI) of the diets of sampled polar bears in 2003, and 0%–14% (95% CI) in 2004. This suggests significant variability in the proportion of lower trophic level prey in polar bear diets among individuals and between years. Polar bears depend on sea ice for hunting seals, and the temporal and spatial availabilities of sea ice are projected to decline. Consumption of low trophic level foods documented here suggests bears may increasingly scavenge such foods in the future.


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer V. Lukovich ◽  
Cathleen A. Geiger ◽  
David G. Barber

Abstract. In this study, we develop a framework for the assessment of sudden changes in sea ice drift and associated deformation processes in response to atmospheric forcing and ice–coastal interactions, based on analysis of ice buoy triplet centroids and areas. Examined in particular is the spatiotemporal evolution in sea ice floes that are tracked with GPS beacons deployed in triplets in the southern Beaufort Sea at varying distances from the coastline in fall, 2009 – triplets A to D, with A (D) located closest to (furthest from) the coastline. This study illustrates the use of shock-response diagnostics to evaluate eight identified sudden changes or shock events on daily timescales. Results from this analysis show that shock events in the southern Beaufort Sea occur in at least one of two forms: (1) during a reversal in winds, or (2) sustained north/easterly winds, with response mechanisms governed by ice conditions and interactions with the coastline. Demonstrated also is the emergence of a shear-shock event (SSE) that results in reduced ice concentrations for triplets B, C, and D, one, three and five days following the SSE, respectively and loss of synchronicity in ice-atmosphere interactions. The tools developed in this study provide a unique characterization of sea ice dynamical processes in the southern Beaufort Sea, with implications for quantifying "shock-response" systems relevant for ice hazard assessments and forecasting applications required by oil and gas, marine transportation, and indigenous use of near shore Arctic areas.


2019 ◽  
Vol 59 (6) ◽  
pp. 920-927
Author(s):  
V. V. Plotnikov ◽  
N. M. Vakulskaya ◽  
V. A. Dubina

Various aspects of seasonal and interannual variability of the sea ice cover are estimated on the basis of all available the Bering Sea ice data from 1960 to 2017. The possibility of long-term and superlong-term modeling of the ice cover is investigated. Results of tests are given, and a conclusion about prospects of the proposed model and an opportunity of its practical application is done.


2007 ◽  
pp. 1-51 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christine M. Hunter ◽  
Hal Caswell ◽  
Michael C. Runge ◽  
Eric V. Regehr ◽  
Steven C. Amstrup ◽  
...  

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