scholarly journals Wind Speed Forecasting using Regression, Time Series and Neural Network Models: A Case Study of Suva

Author(s):  
Arieni Arzu ◽  
M. Rafiuddin Ahmed ◽  
M.G.M. Khan
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Uzair Zaman ◽  
Hamid Teimourzadeh ◽  
Elias Hassani Sangani ◽  
Xiaodong Liang ◽  
Chi Yung Chung

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 4601 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuewei Liu ◽  
Shenghui Zhang ◽  
Xuejun Chen ◽  
Jianzhou Wang

The use of wind power is rapidly increasing as an important part of power systems, but because of the intermittent and random nature of wind speed, system operators and researchers urgently need to find more reliable methods to forecast wind speed. Through research, it is found that the time series of wind speed demonstrate not only linear features but also nonlinear features. Hence, a combined forecasting model based on an improved cuckoo search algorithm optimizes weight, and several single models—linear model, hybrid nonlinear neural network, and fuzzy forecasting model—are developed in this paper to provide more trend change for time series of wind speed forecasting besides improving the forecasting accuracy. Furthermore, the effectiveness of the proposed model is proved by wind speed data from four wind farm sites and the results are more reliable and accurate than comparison models.


Healthcare ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 181 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patricia Melin ◽  
Julio Cesar Monica ◽  
Daniela Sanchez ◽  
Oscar Castillo

In this paper, a multiple ensemble neural network model with fuzzy response aggregation for the COVID-19 time series is presented. Ensemble neural networks are composed of a set of modules, which are used to produce several predictions under different conditions. The modules are simple neural networks. Fuzzy logic is then used to aggregate the responses of several predictor modules, in this way, improving the final prediction by combining the outputs of the modules in an intelligent way. Fuzzy logic handles the uncertainty in the process of making a final decision about the prediction. The complete model was tested for the case of predicting the COVID-19 time series in Mexico, at the level of the states and the whole country. The simulation results of the multiple ensemble neural network models with fuzzy response integration show very good predicted values in the validation data set. In fact, the prediction errors of the multiple ensemble neural networks are significantly lower than using traditional monolithic neural networks, in this way showing the advantages of the proposed approach.


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