scholarly journals DYNAMIC LINKAGES BETWEEN STOCK MARKETS: EVIDENCE FROM USA, GERMANY, CHINA AND RUSSIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 ◽  
pp. 95-101
Author(s):  
Rogneda Vasilyeva ◽  
Valentin Voytenkov ◽  
Alina Urazbaeva
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Hedge Funds ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Impulse Response Functions ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Main Hypothesis ◽  
Russian Stock Market ◽  
Private Investors

Currently, financial markets are growing rapidly, which increases the necessity to examine the financial sector. Considering the Russian Federation, the amount of private investors has doubled in Russia since the beginning of 2020 (Finam, 2020). It is important to realize how cash flows between the largest stock market indices. The main hypothesis of the research suggests that the U.S., Germany, and China markets result in significant changes in the Russian stock market. The research objective is to determine the degree of the Russian stock market dependence on the markets of developed and developing countries using methods of econometric analysis. Daily data on S&P500, DAX30, Hang Seng, and Moscow Exchange Index from January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2019, were taken. The research method chosen is a cointegration approach, including the construction of vector autoregression and vector error-correction models and the application of Impulse Response Functions. The results of the Granger causality test reveal no significant interconnection between the Dax30 and the Moscow Stock Exchange Index; the S&P500 affects the Moscow Exchange Index, whereas the Russian stock market affects the Chinese one. According to the cointegration analysis, there is a strong positive influence of the American stock market on the Russian stock market, which does not decrease during the researched period. The stock indices of China and Germany show a weak quantitative influence and mixed dynamics for a long time. The results of the research could be used as recommendations for making management decisions by private investors, hedge funds and managers of large companies.

scholarly journals Determinants of Private Investors’ Behavior on Russian Stock Market

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 8-43
Author(s):  
Alexander Abramov ◽  
Alexander Radygin ◽  
Maria Chernova
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Equity Premium ◽  
Real Income ◽  
Stock Exchanges ◽  
Saint Petersburg ◽  
Russian Stock Market ◽  
Private Investors ◽  
Foreign Assets

The article explores behavior features of different group of private investors on the Moscow and Saint Petersburg stock exchanges. It was found that the change in the size of the biggest group of registered broker clients on Moscow Exchange depended heavily on growth of real income and key characteristics of passive forms of income, such as deposit rates, government bond returns and stock dividend yield. Active broker clients on the Moscow stock exchange mainly focused on more speculative factors, such as equity premium, equity volatility, foreign stocks’ returns and exchange rate. The growth of individual investment accounts depended on factors of both active and speculative forms of income. The quantity of broker clients on Saint-Petersburg Exchange relied on an even wider set of factors, which included not only risk and returns on national markets, but also characteristics of foreign assets and exchange rates. The two Russian exchanges are interrelated. The bond and equity premium growth makes the national market more attractive than foreign assets. The expansion of private investors on the stock market in Russia, which began in 2018, is explained not only by a search for other investment instruments apart from deposits, especially under the ongoing decline in interest rates, but also by a growing interest in individual investment accounts. The latter represent a positive example of state influence on people’s savings through tax policy. Another factor of the raise of private investments was the implementation of modern investment platforms and active promotion of broker services by major banks. The financial crisis which begun in March 2020 can become a serious challenge for millions of private investors who had opened accounts in the previous two years.

STOCK MARKET IN A PANDEMIC, TRENDS IN ITS DEVELOPMENT AND IMPACT ON THE ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT OF STATES

2021 ◽  
pp. 60-73
Author(s):  
Vladimir M. Gribanich ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
The State ◽  
Securities Market ◽  
Source Data ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Graphical Presentation ◽  
Official Information ◽  
Systematic Collection

The article is devoted to the analysis of the development of the stock market, its stages of development and the impact on the economic conjuncture of countries. The relevance of studies on the development of the stock market in modern realities is growing every day, the number of transactions also grows steadily despite the pandemic, and that forms huge cash flows. The purpose of the study carried out in the article is not only to identify the influence of the stock market on the development of countries in modern conditions, but also to conduct a statistical analysis of data reflecting the state of the main stock exchange indices in a pandemic, as well as to assess the state of the securities market in 2019 and 2020 and work out forecasts for its future development. Several methods were used in the work: analysis of official information sources, statistical observation (systematic collection of information), grouping of the source data, their graphical presentation, as well as building diagrams.

scholarly journals Are blue chip stock market indices good proxies for all-shares market indices? The case of the Brussels Stock Exchange 1833–2005

2011 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 277-308 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan Annaert ◽  
Frans Buelens ◽  
Ludo Cuyvers ◽  
Marc De Ceuster ◽  
Marc Deloof ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Capital Gain ◽  
High Quality ◽  
Blue Chip

In this article, we calculate a market-weighted return index for the 20 largest stocks listed on the Brussels Stock Exchange over the period 1833–2005, based on a new, unique and high-quality database. We find that this index captures the most important stylised facts of the value-weighted return of all shares listed on the Brussels Stock Exchange in this period. Our results support the empirical practice of concentrating on just the largest stocks. The indices we construct are based on one of the longest Belgian time series available. The indices take into account the exact dividends, the timing of the dividend cash flows and all capital operations. We are therefore able to decompose total returns into capital gain returns and dividend returns, which is not possible with most historical return series. We show that, to construct a credible return index, it is crucial to fully take into account dividends.

Spillover of Sentiments Between the GCC Stock Markets

2020 ◽  
pp. 097215092093559
Author(s):  
Shah Saeed Hassan Chowdhury
Keyword(s):  
Saudi Arabia ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
United Arab Emirates ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Impulse Response Functions ◽  
Contagion Effect ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Market Sentiment ◽  
Correlation Models ◽  
Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity

This study examines how stock market sentiment in a Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock market may spill over to affect sentiments in other markets in the region. Findings from dynamic conditional correlation models in a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) framework, traditional Granger causality test and impulse response functions suggest that Kuwait and Qatar stock markets are segregated from other markets in the region. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) markets are well integrated, and any shift in sentiment in either of the two affects the other. Bahrain and Oman are somewhat integrated with the UAE and Saudi stock market sentiments. Thus, when an investor has significant investments in both Saudi Arabia and the UAE, he must be aware of any contagion effect—especially in the case of a stock market panic.

scholarly journals Reaction of stock market returns to COVID-19 pandemic and lockdown policy: evidence from Nigerian firms stock returns

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Isiaka Akande Raifu ◽  
Terver Theophilus Kumeka ◽  
Alarudeen Aminu
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Panel Var ◽  
Impulse Response Functions ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Policy Shocks

AbstractGiven the effects COVID-19 pandemic on the financial sectors across the world, this study examined the reaction of stock returns of 201 firms listed in the Nigerian Stock Exchange to the COVID-19 pandemic and lockdown policy. We deployed both Pooled OLS and Panel VAR as estimation methods. Generally, the results from POLS show the stock market returns of the Nigerian firms reacted negatively more to the global COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths than the domestic COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths and lockdown policy. The results of the impulse response functions revealed that the effects of COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths and lockdown policy shocks on stock returns oscillate between negative and positive before the stock market returns converge to the equilibrium in the long run. The FEVD results showed that growth in the COVID-19 confirmed cases, deaths and lockdown policy shocks explained little variations in stock market returns. Given our finding, we advocate for the relaxation of policy of lockdown and the combine use of monetary and fiscal policies to mitigate the negative effect of COVID-19 pandemic on stock market returns in Nigeria.

scholarly journals Building a private investor's portfolio on the stock market

2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (5) ◽  
pp. 1151-1169
Author(s):  
M.Zh. Galustyan ◽  
I.V. Sycheva
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Minimal Risk ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Private Investor ◽  
Russian Stock Market ◽  
Private Investors ◽  
Stock Market Trading

Subject. This article deals with the issues of involvement and participation of private investors in stock market trading. Objectives. The article aims to systematize stock risks in terms of improving the quality of private investor risk management and develop a scientific and methodological approach to the construction of a private investor's portfolio on the stock market, which helps minimize risk in various stock trading strategies. Methods. For the study, we used the methods of logical and statistical analyses, correlation, and classification. Results. The article presents a classification of stock market risk, helping apply the criteria of quantitative assessment and source of risk. The developed methodology helps a private investor build a portfolio with minimal risk on the Russian stock market. Conclusions. The existing methods to identify a number of risks are incorrect and need to be refined. For the sustainable development of the country's stock market, it is necessary to develop new and disseminate the current methods to reduce stock risk for the private investor. Based on the presented classification of stock risk, it is possible to develop other new effective methods.

scholarly journals GLOBALISASI PASAR MODAL DUNIA DAN PENGARUHNYA TERHADAP PASAR MODAL INDONESIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 10
Author(s):  
R Adisetiawan
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Capital Markets ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Global Market ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Global Capital ◽  
Market Index ◽  
Cointegration Tests

This study aims to prove causality, cointegration and the influence of global capital markets with a market capital of Indonesia for the period 2001-2016 with a Granger causality test statistics, cointegration tests and Multiple Regression testing. These results prove that the 99% confidence interval occurred a long term relationship (cointegration) and the significant influence of global market indices with the Indonesia capital market index (CSPI) in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the period 2001 to 2016, it indicates that Indonesia's economy has been integrated with global capital markets with varying levels of integration, but is causally there is only one country that has a causal relationship with the Indonesian stock market index (CSPI), the Taiwan stock market index (TWSE).Keywords: Capital Market Integration

scholarly journals Female investors in the stock market: a look from Russia

2020 ◽  
Vol 186 (11-12) ◽  
pp. 58-65
Author(s):  
Boris Podgorny ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Social Aspects ◽  
Social Characteristics ◽  
Investment Strategies ◽  
Gender Ratio ◽  
Private Companies ◽  
Average Monthly Income ◽  
Russian Stock Market ◽  
Private Investors ◽  
Investment Behaviour

With the growing impact of the Russian stock market on economic processes in the country, there arises a need for detailed and systematic information on various social aspects, including the existing and projected number of investors, their gender ratio, social characteristics and investment behaviour. The article presents data on the gender ratio of private investors, as well as detailed characteristics of Russian females investors and their investment strategies. It is shown that the Russian stock market is moving towards gender balance. The largest number of females investors belongs to the age of 25-34. Most of them live in cities and work as employees of private companies. One half of female investors have an average monthly income per family member of less than USD 350. Nowadays, 25 years after the Russian privatization, about one third of all females investors have a negative opinion about this process and its results. Russian females investors have gone through the following investment strategies: about 40% have stopped operations, becoming formal investors; about one third have opened individual investment accounts; the others are divided into the following categories: investors, inactive traders, intraday traders and scalper traders. There exist at least two problems, the solution of which will contribute to the development of the market and increase the number of private investors. They include a limited number of issuers whose shares are available on the organized Russian stock market and the lack of offers to invest in real projects.

scholarly journals STUDY OF CONNECTION BETWEEN STOCK MARKET AND ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE IN MALAYSIAN CONTEXT

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 82-90
Author(s):  
Ngee Derk
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Meaningful Relationship ◽  
Stock Market Performance

The focus of the study is to test the stock market performance influence on the economic growth for time series for the period of 2002 to 2018 on quarterly basis. In this study, the performance measures included standard deviation which is measure of volatility, total value traded shared as measure of liquidity, turnover ratio as measure of liquidity, and stock market capitalization ratio as a measure of the size. The focus of the study is the Malaysian stock exchange market. The study utilized real GDP as an indicator of economic growth. The exchange rate and the interest rates are used as control variables. The study used Vector Autoregressive model and the Granger causality test are utilized for finding the directional relationship between the stock market and economic growth connection. Results states that variables are statistically insignificant and there is no meaningful relationship found.

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