scholarly journals Worst-Case Conditional Value-at-Risk Minimization for Hazardous Materials Transportation

2016 ◽  
Vol 50 (4) ◽  
pp. 1174-1187 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iakovos Toumazis ◽  
Changhyun Kwon
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mihály Dolányi ◽  
Kenneth Bruninx ◽  
Jean-François Toubeau ◽  
Erik Delarue

<div>This paper formulates an energy community's centralized optimal bidding and scheduling problem as a time-series scenario-driven stochastic optimization model, building on real-life measurement data. In the presented model, a surrogate battery storage system with uncertain state-of-charge (SoC) bounds approximates the portfolio's aggregated flexibility. </div><div>First, it is emphasized in a stylized analysis that risk-based energy constraints are highly beneficial (compared to chance-constraints) in coordinating distributed assets with unknown costs of constraint violation, as they limit both violation magnitude and probability. The presented research extends state-of-the-art models by implementing a worst-case conditional value at risk (WCVaR) based constraint for the storage SoC bounds. Then, an extensive numerical comparison is conducted to analyze the trade-off between out-of-sample violations and expected objective values, revealing that the proposed WCVaR based constraint shields significantly better against extreme out-of-sample outcomes than the conditional value at risk based equivalent.</div><div>To bypass the non-trivial task of capturing the underlying time and asset-dependent uncertain processes, real-life measurement data is directly leveraged for both imbalance market uncertainty and load forecast errors. For this purpose, a shape-based clustering method is implemented to capture the input scenarios' temporal characteristics.</div>


2010 ◽  
Vol 20-23 ◽  
pp. 88-93 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chuan Xu Wang

The theory of the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) in financial risk management is considered in this paper to develop a model of supply chain coordination with a wholesale pricing policy. The proposed model solves the drawbacks of objective function in current supply chain coordination model. A numerical example is given to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model. The following helpful conclusions are drawn from the paper: with the increase of the degree of risk averting for supply chain individual member, the optimal order quantity of supply chain is decreasing, while the optimal profit is decreasing; If supplier’s risk averting degree increases, supplier has to increase wholesale price to achieve supply chain coordination; If retailer’s risk averting degree increases, supplier has to decrease wholesale price to achieve supply chain coordination.


2014 ◽  
Vol 26 (11) ◽  
pp. 2541-2569 ◽  
Author(s):  
Akiko Takeda ◽  
Shuhei Fujiwara ◽  
Takafumi Kanamori

Financial risk measures have been used recently in machine learning. For example, [Formula: see text]-support vector machine ([Formula: see text]-SVM) minimizes the conditional value at risk (CVaR) of margin distribution. The measure is popular in finance because of the subadditivity property, but it is very sensitive to a few outliers in the tail of the distribution. We propose a new classification method, extended robust SVM (ER-SVM), which minimizes an intermediate risk measure between the CVaR and value at risk (VaR) by expecting that the resulting model becomes less sensitive than [Formula: see text]-SVM to outliers. We can regard ER-SVM as an extension of robust SVM, which uses a truncated hinge loss. Numerical experiments imply the ER-SVM’s possibility of achieving a better prediction performance with proper parameter setting.


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