scholarly journals Maximum Likelihood Estimation by Monte Carlo Simulation: Toward Data-Driven Stochastic Modeling

2020 ◽  
Vol 68 (6) ◽  
pp. 1896-1912
Author(s):  
Yijie Peng ◽  
Michael C. Fu ◽  
Bernd Heidergott ◽  
Henry Lam
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Stochastic Modeling ◽  
Stochastic Models ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Simulation Based

A Simulation-Based Approach for Calibrating Stochastic Models

Failure rate analysis of jaw crusher using Weibull model

2016 ◽  
Vol 231 (4) ◽  
pp. 760-772 ◽  
Author(s):  
RS Sinha ◽  
AK Mukhopadhyay
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Jaw Crusher ◽  
Two Parameter

The primary crusher is essential equipment employed for comminuting the mineral in processing plants. Any kind of failure of its components will accordingly hinder the performance of the plant. Therefore, to minimize sudden failures, analysis should be undertaken to improve performance and operational reliability of the crushers and its components. This paper considers the methods for analyzing failure rates of a jaw crusher and its critical components application of a two-parameter Weibull distribution in a mineral processing plant fitted using statistical tests such as goodness of fit and maximum likelihood estimation. Monte Carlo simulation, analysis of variance, and artificial neural network are also applied. Two-parameter Weibull distribution is found to be the best fit distribution using Kolmogorov–Smirnov test. Maximum likelihood estimation method is used to find out the shape and scale parameter of two-parameter Weibull distribution. Monte Carlo simulation generates 40 numbers of shape parameters, scale parameters, and time. Further, 40 numbers of Weibull distribution parameters are evaluated to examine the failure rate, significant difference, and regression coefficient using ANOVA. Artificial neural network with back-propagation algorithm is used to determine R2 and is compared with analysis of variance.

scholarly journals EXPLICIT FORMULAE FOR PARAMETERS OF STOCHASTIC MODELS OF A DISCOUNTED EQUITY INDEX USING MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION WITH APPLICATIONS

2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (02) ◽  
pp. 1750010 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. FERGUSSON
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Stochastic Models ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Parameter Estimates ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
No Arbitrage ◽  
Explicit Formulae ◽  
Equity Index

A discounted equity index is computed as the ratio of an equity index to the accumulated savings account denominated in the same currency. In this way, discounting provides a natural way of separating the modeling of the short rate from the market price of risk component of the equity index. In this vein, we investigate the applicability of maximum likelihood estimation to stochastic models of a discounted equity index, providing explicit formulae for parameter estimates. We restrict our consideration to two important index models, namely the Black–Scholes model and the minimal market model of Platen, each having an explicit formula for the transition density function. Explicit formulae for estimates of the model parameters and their standard errors are derived and are used in fitting the two models to US data. Further, we demonstrate the effect of the model choice on the no-arbitrage assumption employed in risk neutral pricing.

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