Efficient Sampling Allocation Procedures for Optimal Quantile Selection

Author(s):  
Yijie Peng ◽  
Chun-Hung Chen ◽  
Michael C. Fu ◽  
Jian-Qiang Hu ◽  
Ilya O. Ryzhov

We propose a dynamic sampling allocation and selection paradigm for finding the alternative with the optimal quantile in a Bayesian framework. Myopic allocation policies (MAPs), analogous to existing methods in classic ranking and selection for selecting the alternative with the optimal mean, and computationally efficient selection policies are derived for selecting the alternative with the optimal quantile. Under certain conditions, we prove that the proposed MAPs and selection procedures are consistent, which means that the best quantile would be eventually correctly selected as the sample size goes to infinity. Numerical experiments demonstrate that the proposed schemes can significantly improve the performance.

2020 ◽  
Vol 37 (03) ◽  
pp. 2050015
Author(s):  
Ruijing Wu ◽  
Shaoxuan Liu ◽  
Zhenyang Shi

In some fully sequential ranking and selection procedures, such as the KN procedure and Rinott’s procedure, some initial samples must be taken to estimate the variance. We analyze the impact of the initial sample size (ISS) on the total sample size and propose an algorithm to calculate the ISS in this type of procedure. To better illustrate our approach, we implement this algorithm on the KN procedure and propose the KN-ISS procedure. Comprehensive numerical experiments reveal that this procedure can significantly improve the efficiency compared with the KN procedure and still deliver the desired probability of correct selection.


1984 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 409-415 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles B. Schultz

Tests and other personnel selection procedures help in selecting good employees. Test utility studies show the value of selection for increasing productivity. Information about a test and about productivity of the workers can be used to quantify the gain that can be achieved by selecting the better workers. Increasing productivity by $5,000 per year per hire is not too much to expect.


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