تحليل العلاقة بين عجز الموازنة العامة للسلطة الوطنية الفلسطينية والميزان التجاري الفلسطيني = Analysis of the Relationship between Budget Deficit of the Palestinian National Authority and the Palestinian Trade Balance Deficit

2016 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-106
Author(s):  
عمر محمود أبو عيدة
Keyword(s):  
Trade Balance ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
National Authority ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Balance Deficit

scholarly journals Twin Deficit Phenomena in the Two Government Eras in Indonesia

2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 36-48
Author(s):  
Muhammad Ghafur Wibowo
Keyword(s):  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Trade Balance ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Current Account Deficit ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
Balance Deficit

The aim of this study is to analyze the development of the budget deficit and current account deficit in Indonesia in the era of President SBY and President Jokowi and to compare between the two eras. This study also analyzes the relationship of twin deficits to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and the interest rate (r). The analytical tool used was independent t-test (for comparison) and Vector Auto-Regressive (VAR). The data used comes from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2004:Q1-2018: Q3. The result showed that the budget deficit was the same in the two eras of government, but the trade balance deficit in the era of President Jokowi was far higher than before. The budget deficit has a significant effect on the trade balance deficit but does not apply otherwise (no causality). Variable gross domestic product and interest rates significantly influence both types of deficits.

DAMPAK SUBSITUSI IMPORT TERHADAP DEFISIT NERACA PERDAGANGAN: STUDI KASUS IMPOR KULIT INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ivan Yulianto ◽  
Ario Seno Nugroho
Keyword(s):  
General Equilibrium ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Computable General Equilibrium ◽  
Trade Balance ◽  
Raw Materials ◽  
Import Substitution ◽  
Leather Industry ◽  
Materials Used ◽  
Net Export ◽  
Balance Deficit

An alternative strategy to reduce the trade balance deficit simultaneously to increase the net foreign exchange is the import-substitution for raw materials used to produce an export goods. This paper proposes an import substitution study on footwear products that have a dependency on imported raw materials by 70 percent, with the largest composition being leather raw materials by 67 percent. This paper analyzes the relationship between subsidies on the leather industry to leather import-substitution, multiplier effect to footwear sector, and Indonesia trade balance. Author make use of simulation the on Input-Output 2010 table and Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model. The simulation shows 100 billion subsidies on the leather sector, lead for the substitution-import of leather by 7,94 million rupiah, increase the net export foreign exchange by 1.1 billion rupiah of the footwear sector, and for overall, increase Indonesia trade balance deficit by 68 billion rupiah. Keywords: Computable General Equilibrium, footwear, leather, net foreign exchange, subsidy.ABSTRAK: Salah satu terobosan untuk mengurangi defisit neraca perdagangan dan meningkatkan nilai neto devisa ekspor adalah dengan substitusi impor bahan baku yang digunakan untuk memproduksi barang ekspor. Paper ini mengusulkan kajian substitusi impor pada produk alas kaki yang mempunyai ketergantungan bahan baku impornya sebesar 70 persen, dengan komposisi terbesar adalah bahan baku kulit sebesar 67 persen. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui dampak stimulus subsidi pada industri kulit terhadap subtitusi impor kulit, dukungan multiplier sektor kulit terhadap sektor alas kaki, serta terhadap devisa ekspor Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan simulasi model Computable General Equilibrium (CGE). Hasil simulasi menunjukkan stimulus subsidi sebesar 100 milyar rupiah pada sektor kulit memberikan substitusi bahan baku kulit sebesar 7,94 juta rupiah, menaikkan devisa ekspor sektor alas kaki sebesar 1.1 miliar rupiah, serta secara keseluruhan menambah defisit neraca berjalan Indonesia sebesar 68 miliar rupiah. Kata kunci: alas kaki, Computable General Equilibrium (CGE), devisa ekspor, kulit, subsidi.

scholarly journals Budget performance indicators: theoretical and practical aspects

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (1) ◽  
pp. 46-63
Author(s):  
Serhii YUSHKO ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Budget Deficit ◽  
The State ◽  
Planning System ◽  
Budget Management ◽  
Budget Planning ◽  
Absolute Value ◽  
Before And After ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Budget Execution

The article examines the indicators on the basis of which the budget execution in Ukraine is assessed. Budget revenues and expenditures are characterized. The paper demonstrates the features of calculating the budget deficit (surplus) in Ukraine before and after 2004 year, emphasizing that despite the special place of this indicator in the budget planning system, for various reasons for a number of years there was neglect of current regulations legislation and world experience in budget deficit management. It is emphasized the imperfection of the budget deficit indicator due to its inherent shortcomings, concluding that the absolute value of the budget deficit is important in connection with another indicator – budget financing. The components of budget financing are named and characterized. It was found that the most important role in the context of balancing the main budget of the state belongs to debt operations. It is demonstrated the relationship between indicators of budget deficit and financing (their modular values are the same), revenues and expenditures (identical provided the balances at the beginning and end of the reporting period), net borrowing and the amount of public debt (the value of the latter increases / decreases by the amount net borrowing). The examples of specific budget years demonstrate the facts of exceeding the total amount of funding (budget deficit) by net borrowings of the state; the conclusion about the significance of the indicator of net borrowings in assessing the state of public finances is drawn; the need for further search for ways to improve the quality of budget management, thoughtful borrowing planning, the implementation of active budget operations with securities is stressed.

scholarly journals Investigating in the J-curve phenomenon in Tunisia- ARDL bound test approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5(J)) ◽  
pp. 23-32
Author(s):  
Elham Shubaita ◽  
Muhammad Mar’i ◽  
Mehdi Seraj
Keyword(s):  
Trade Balance ◽  
Real Exchange Rates ◽  
Distributed Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
J Curve ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Bound Test ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Ardl Bound Test

This paper investigates the relationship between trade balance, real exchange rates, and incomes in Tunisia by adopting the autoregressive distributed model (ARDL) by using data over the period of 1980 to 2018. We also used the bound test cointegration between variables at a 10% significant level. Our findings show that the Tunisia economy does not match the Marshall-Lerner condition in the long run, that provides an accurate description of the particular situation for which a country currency devaluation or depreciation its currency under both fixed or floating regime is predicted to enhance the trade balance of a country, which means there is no j-curve phenomenon in the long run, which tries to differentiate between the change of short-run and long-run effects in the change of exchange rate on the trade balance. Our findings match the Marshall-Lerner condition in the short run and can confirm the existing j-curve in the case of Tunisia.

scholarly journals The Relationship between Performance of the Administrative System and National Authority of Governments: An Islamic Point Of View

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 5-13
Author(s):  
Mahtab Jafari
Keyword(s):  
Practical Purpose ◽  
Two Dimensions ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Theoretical Research ◽  
Administrative System ◽  
National Authority ◽  
Functional Dimension ◽  
Library Resources ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Do So

Each government consists of two dimensions: 1) a sructural dimension that involves policy- and decision-making bodies and, 2) a functional dimension that is a set of government institutions and administrations. Also, national authority in a country is an outcome of three components, including legitimacy, acceptance, and efficiency of its government. The authority of governments is not merely limited to their structural legitimacy and acceptance; but, their functional dimension and the performance of their administrations also play a crucial role in building and strengthening their legitimacy. Therefore, the aim of the present study is to investigate how the administrative system of a government affects its national authority, with an emphasis on the Islamic point of view. To do so, this research has been carried out within the framework of theoretical research with practical purpose. The research method of the current study was descriptive-analytical. In the present study, the relationship between two variables – namely, “administrative system” and “national authority”– has been investigated within the framework of causal research. Due to the theoretical nature of this study, the resources used mostly include documents and library resources. The results of this study indicate that there is a direct and causal relationship between the national authority of governments (effect) and the performance of their administrative system (cause). Also, this relationship reveals how the administrative system affects national authority.

The Undervaluation of the Yuan Dispute: Is a Repetition of Germany's Experience in 1969 Necessary, Inevitable or Desirable? A Comment and Reply to John A. Tatom

2008 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 1850134 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian M. Oberpriller ◽  
Beate Sauer ◽  
Friedrich L. Sell
Keyword(s):  
Trade Balance ◽  
Chinese Economy ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Economic Relations ◽  
The Us ◽  
Financial Market Stability ◽  
Balance Deficits ◽  
Partial Description ◽  
The Right ◽  
Balance Deficit

The present article is a reply to the article by John A. Tatom titled "The US-China Currency Dispute: Is a Rise in the Yuan Necessary, Inevitable or Desirable?," recently published in this journal. We found that John Tatom seems to only give a partial description of the US-Chinese economic relations, of the main features of the Chinese economy, and also of the macroeconomic policy options available to China. We argue that the real exchange rate is not the appropriate measure for a currency undervaluation, but it is the continuous, one-directional and accelerating accumulation of foreign exchange reserves. We also argue that the likely improvement in the US trade balance deficit caused by an appreciating Yuan will not be offset by growing US trade balance deficits with other East Asian countries. Furthermore, giving up the actual currency peg will benefit rather than harm China, provided that the steps towards Yuan flexibility will be taken in the right sequence and order. We hold that a revaluation of the Yuan is necessary, inevitable and desirable just as much as it happened to be with the Deutschmark in 1969. It would not "damage Chinese development." China needs a Yuan appreciation mainly in its own interest to assure domestic financial market stability, and to avoid an overheating of its economy and a soaring inflation.

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