scholarly journals An Analysis of Spanish Accidents in Automobile Insurance: The Use of the Probit Model and the Theoretical Potential of Other Econometric Tools

Equilibrium ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 117-134
Author(s):  
Jose Antonio Ordaz ◽  
Maria Del Carmen Melgar ◽  
M. Kazim Khan

Automobile insurance is one of the main pillars of the entire insurance industry in the developed economies. Knowing as much as possible about the factors related to the accidents is an essential issue for the insurance companies so that they may improve their levels of efficiency. Therefore, in this paper we focus on studying the most relevant variables that help explain the registration of claims in the automobile insurance sector. For this purpose, we fit a probit model specification using a database from a Spanish insurance company. Our research points out the significance of certain variables, such as the policyholders’ driving experience, their region of residence as well as their levels of insurance coverage, towards the likelihood of registering an insurance claim. However, probit analysis represents only one of the multiple perspectives which we can consider to examine the question of accidents and their reporting. Very briefly, we also discuss the utility of zero-inflated count data models to study the number of accidents declared by policyholders. Finally, we point out the possibilities that thinned models could offer for this type of research.

Equilibrium ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 181-194
Author(s):  
Marija Del Carmen Melgar ◽  
Jose Antonio Ordaz

The main purpose of the present paper is to provide an econometric model which estimates the number of automobile accidents that policyholders declare to their insurance companies, pointing out those variables that are significant in this process. Our empirical analysis is based on the data supplied by a private insurance company that operates in Spain, and on the zero-inflated count data models as methodology. We find a positive association between the levels of coverage and the accident rates, suggesting the existence of problems related to adverse selection and moral hazard. This result is one of the most important conclusions of our work and confirms the theoretical aspects pointed up by other empirical studies in the literature. Additionally, estimating the number of policyholders that suffered any accident but not declared, and how many these non-declared accidents are, could be very useful information for insurers to evaluate their risk planning. Our model attempts to reach this target as well.


Author(s):  
Sany R. Zein ◽  
Frank Navin

Over the last 10 years there has been a growing trend among automobile insurance companies to become involved in road safety engineering programs. While the involvement of insurance companies in driver education and vehicle design initiatives is common, insurance company initiatives aimed at the engineering element of road safety is a relatively new trend. This research summarizes the major road safety engineering programs undertaken by six insurance companies in Australia, Canada, and the United States, and presents some of the results achieved. The research finds that the immediacy of the benefit derived from road safety engineering improvements, coupled with an expanding knowledge base in this field, are contributing to the growth in interest in road safety among insurance companies. The financial interest of insurance companies in reducing crash frequencies and severities, as well as any related positive public image that road safety advocacy can generate, will likely mean that more insurance companies will be exploring avenues for participation in road safety programs. Opportunities exist for cooperation between the insurance industry and transportation engineers, and they should be pursued for mutual benefit. Although the ultimate responsibility and authority for roads should remain with public agencies, the incentive and emphasis that insurance companies place on road safety provide a unique opportunity to help reduce the daily risks that we face in a mobile world.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (31) ◽  
Author(s):  
Willys Obuba Chache ◽  
Cyrus Iraya Mwangi ◽  
Winnie Nyamute ◽  
Caren Angima

This paper focuses on analyzing the effect of risk-based capital on investment returns of insurance companies in Kenya. The study population comprised of 63 insurance companies licensed by Insurance Regulatory Authority (IRA). A longitudinal (panel) design was used to describe the association amongst variables on the study duration. Moreover, secondary data was collected from the insurance companies’ annual returns submitted to IRA for five-year duration (2014-2018), which yielded adequate data points for each insurance company deeming it viable. Risk-based capital was determined by the standard formulae as per the risk-based supervision model. It was a composition of operational risk charge, market risk charge, insurance risk charge, credit risk capital charge, and an adjustment which considered the lossabsorbing capacity of technical provisions and deferred taxes. Investment returns in insurance companies was calculated using the investment income ratio. Test of normality, linearity, multicollinearity, and independence were conducted and were found suitable for linear regression to be conducted. Linear regression was used to evaluate the nature of the relationship between the variables based on the hypothesis in the study and at a significance level of 5%. Coefficient of determination ( ) was derived to show how the model fits the data. The study findings revealed a positive and significant relationship between risk-based capital and investment returns, thus allowing investment portfolio managers in the insurance industry to justify their investments in high risk areas that may attract a high capital charge.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 345-351
Author(s):  
Iskandar Muda ◽  
Hafizah ◽  
Bunga Aditi ◽  
Hermansyur ◽  
Erlina

Purpose of the study: This research aims to know the influence of the Industrial Revolution 4.0 era on the insurance industry on the side of assets and Investment insurance companies to Investment Yield Sharia Insurance in Indonesia. Methodology: This type of research is explanatory research. This type of research data is secondary data sourced from the Financial Services Authority (OJK) Republic of Indonesia period in 2016-2107. The tool of analysis in this research is the Partial Least Square method using Smart PLS statistics. Main Findings: The results are an influence of Assets and Investment on Investment Yield on insurance companies in the Industrial Revolution 4.0 era. In the era of the industrial revolution, 4.0 potential insurance improve economic growth through several aspects, namely promote financial stability. Facilitate trade and commercial activities. mobilize domestic savings. Offering a variety of risk management on capital. Increase more efficient allocation of capital and reduce the risk of loss and can increase Investment Yield for shareholders and stakeholders. Applications of this study: This research is the observation only on Sharia Insurance Company sample while other issuers are not observed in this study and this research implies that sharia insurance issuers are growing and contributing to their shareholders and shareholder. Novelty/Originality of this study: The first time observing the Sharia Insurance industry industrial Revolution 4.0 era and previous research to observe in Sharia banking.


2022 ◽  
pp. 1-24
Author(s):  
Pengcheng Zhang ◽  
David Pitt ◽  
Xueyuan Wu

Abstract The fact that a large proportion of insurance policyholders make no claims during a one-year period highlights the importance of zero-inflated count models when analyzing the frequency of insurance claims. There is a vast literature focused on the univariate case of zero-inflated count models, while work in the area of multivariate models is considerably less advanced. Given that insurance companies write multiple lines of insurance business, where the claim counts on these lines of business are often correlated, there is a strong incentive to analyze multivariate claim count models. Motivated by the idea of Liu and Tian (Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 83, 200–222; 2015), we develop a multivariate zero-inflated hurdle model to describe multivariate count data with extra zeros. This generalization offers more flexibility in modeling the behavior of individual claim counts while also incorporating a correlation structure between claim counts for different lines of insurance business. We develop an application of the expectation–maximization (EM) algorithm to enable the statistical inference necessary to estimate the parameters associated with our model. Our model is then applied to an automobile insurance portfolio from a major insurance company in Spain. We demonstrate that the model performance for the multivariate zero-inflated hurdle model is superior when compared to several alternatives.


2019 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
pp. 339-351
Author(s):  
Michael A. Santoro ◽  

Step therapy is an insurance company policy whereby patients must try a less costly treatment and fail-first before the insurer will cover another, more costly treatment. This article argues that (1) there are relevant and well-established principles of medical ethics—the duty to practice evidenced-based medicine and the duty to consider cost-effectiveness when treating patients—that constrain and guide physician behavior with respect to step therapy; (2) clinical practice guidelines (CPGs) promulgated by authoritative physician groups attempt to incorporate and reconcile the competing demands of evidenced-based and cost-effective medicine, although it is unclear whether they do so in a manner that appropriately considers all relevant ethical factors relating to cost-effectiveness; and (3) despite the potential shortcomings of CPGs, the ethical principles guiding and constraining physician behavior can help demarcate the ethical boundaries for other actors in the drug prescribing and reimbursement matrix, including insurance companies and benefit managers.


Author(s):  
Ng Jia Bao ◽  
Rohaizan Ramlan ◽  
Fazeeda Mohamad ◽  
Azlina Md Yassin

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the performance of the local insurance in Malaysia for the period 2014-2015. The major challenge in the insurance industry is increasing competition in this market. Besides that, problematic in performance measurement to evaluate performance is another challenge in insurance industry. 24 local insurance companies involved in this study using quantitative method of Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) output-orientation CCR model. This study utilizes three inputs and three outputs; operating expenses, equity capital and commission as well as net premium, net investment income, and net incurred claim. The secondary data sources were derived from official data of local insurance companies’ annual report respectively. The DEA-Solver-LV version 8 tools were used to analyze the data that have been collected to evaluate the performance of local insurance company. This DEA model allows integration of the performance for the insurance companies and provides management overall performance evaluation. The results showed that there are 8 efficient companies in 2014 and 9 efficient companies in 2015. The average efficiency score in 2014 was increased from 78.9% to 79.1% in 2015. The findings from this study will benefit the insurance associations in Malaysia, management of insurances companies and policy makers.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 93-102
Author(s):  
P. Ravindran Pathmananathan ◽  
Khairi Aseh

Insurance fraud is the most common form of fraud in the world, aside from tax evasion. By its very existence, the insurance industry is prone to deception. Basic income levels in Vietnam have a tendency to steadily rise as a result of improving socioeconomic conditions. As a result, the need for citizen security has increased and become more diverse.The aim of this study is to study the predictor/s of anti-insurance fraud among non-insurer companies in Vietnam. This study was conducted using a questionnaire that was completed by 51 employees who are currently working in the 11 non-life insurance company in Vietnam. It can be concluded that there exists a significant relationship between all the four independent variables which are namely external regulations, public context, management functions as well as underwriting guidance.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Manuel Leiria ◽  
Efigénio Rebelo ◽  
Nelson deMatos

PurposeThe insurance industry has not been able to effectively retain its customers and struggles to establish and maintain long-lasting relationships with them. The purpose of this paper is thus to identify the main factors that explain the cancellation of motor insurance policies by individual customers, considering the influence of intermediaries on their decisions.Design/methodology/approachThe data used in this research is based on a sample of 3,500 insurance policies that lapsed during the period of analysis between January and July 2017, against another sample of 3,500 policies that did not lapse, from a major insurance company in Portugal. Binary logistic regression was used for data analysis, using IBM SPSS software.FindingsAggressive tactics by insurance companies for customer acquisition may induce the cancellation of insurance policies. More valuable customers, the policies with higher premiums and recent claims, as well as the ancillary intermediaries and agents, are determinants of insurance cancellation. Conversely, the payment of policies by direct debit and without instalments reduces the probability of cancellations.Research limitations/implicationsThe main limitation of this study is the restriction on data access. Insurance companies are significantly resistant to sharing their customer data – including with academic researchers – even in an anonymised form.Practical implicationsThe paper highlights internal and external practices of insurance companies that should be reformulated to significantly improve their performance regarding product cancellation, related to customer information management, mistrust behaviours related to stakeholders and new value propositions that deepen the relationships with intermediaries.Originality/valueThis research developed a framework with which to identify the factors that are mainly associated with motor insurance cancellation and to predict its likelihood.


Author(s):  
Lyudmila Tsvetkova

The insurance company is a financial intermediary between stakeholders - a set of participants in the insurance process and those who have received the right to insurance payment, as well as insuring parties who purchase insurance coverage and shareholders whose capital is involved in its guarantee. Satisfaction of stakeholders creates a company’s free access to exchanged resources, thereby optimizing operations and increasing the efficiency of capital use. The implementation of the Total Quality Management (TQM) system, which could help achieve the goal, is complicated in insurance companies by dividing the personnel who create the insurance service, by the factor of time, since it is possible to check the quality only after the client has used it, which does not always arise in insurance, and often by the factor of location of units at geographically different points, which makes it virtually impossible for the simultaneous and equal participation of personnel in production processes, that requires innovative management tools. The purpose of this study is to study the effect of introducing a Total Quality Management (TQM) system and a balanced scorecard (BSC) on the activities of an insurance company, including the one aimed at achieving the satisfaction of its stakeholders. Using the methods of induction and synthesis of freely available data of SOGAZ, Rosgosstrakh, and ROSNO companies, a complex of dependent corporate goals was identified that were ranked relative to the organizational level. The results of the study allow concluding that the concept of balanced indicators allows to indicatively monitor the quality of meeting the interests of the main stakeholders of the company, which creates new effective tools for improving resource exchange and does not allow distortions in management. The integration of strategic planning and TQM opens up new market growth opportunities for insurance companies in the context of a limited portfolio of services for a strictly limited audience. The paper provides specific recommendations for organizations to resolve problems that impede the successful implementation of TQM. The results of this study can be used by officials of insurance companies in developing strategies and tactics for their development, including the implementation of BSC and TQM, as well as scientists for a deeper study of the results of the implementation of BSC and TQM, both in the insurance industry and other sectors of the economy.


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