Experience in Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecasting of Employment and Labour Market in RF Economy

Upravlenie ◽  
10.12737/8788 ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-54
Author(s):  
Королев ◽  
I. Korolev ◽  
Единак ◽  
E. Edinak ◽  
Долгова ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Labor Supply ◽  
Labour Market ◽  
Labor Force ◽  
Labor Demand ◽  
Macroeconomic Analysis ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Labor Resources ◽  
Analytical Tools ◽  
Further Development

The paper deals with the methods and approaches of analysis and forecasting of labor resources dynamics and its structure. Predictive and analytical tools to study the current and future dynamics of the labor demand and labor supply in the Russian economy taking in account the process of labor force demand and its supply adjustment are offered. Opportunities for further development and improvement of methods and approaches are discussed.

Implications of higher retirement age for the labor market

2017 ◽  
pp. 22-39 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Ivanova ◽  
A. Balaev ◽  
E. Gurvich
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Labor Market ◽  
Labor Supply ◽  
Labor Force ◽  
Labor Demand ◽  
Retirement Age ◽  
Demographic Trends ◽  
Men And Women ◽  
Demographic Projections ◽  
The Impact

The paper considers the impact of the increase in retirement age on labor supply and economic growth. Combining own estimates of labor participation and demographic projections by the Rosstat, the authors predict marked fall in the labor force (by 5.6 million persons over 2016-2030). Labor demand is also going down but to a lesser degree. If vigorous measures are not implemented, the labor force shortage will reach 6% of the labor force by the period end, thus restraining economic growth. Even rapid and ambitious increase in the retirement age (by 1 year each year to 65 years for both men and women) can only partially mitigate the adverse consequences of demographic trends.

scholarly journals The effects of recreational cannabis access on labor markets: evidence from Colorado

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Avinandan Chakraborty ◽  
Jacqueline Doremus ◽  
Sarah Stith
Keyword(s):  
Labor Supply ◽  
Labor Markets ◽  
Labor Force ◽  
Labor Force Participation ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Labor Demand ◽  
Cannabis Use ◽  
County Level ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Retail Sales

Abstract Recreational cannabis markets possibly increase labor demand through investments in facilities for growing, processing, and retail sales of cannabis, as well as through other industries such as manufacturing, leisure, and hospitality. However, this increase in labor demand may vary substantially across counties within a state as most states with legal recreational cannabis allow individual counties to ban commercial cannabis sales. Meanwhile, labor supply may change through positive and negative effects from cannabis use. Using county-level Colorado data from 2011 to 2018 and exploiting variation across counties in the existence and timing of the start of dispensary sales, we test for changes in the unemployment rate, employment, and wages, overall and by industry subsector. Consistent with an increase in labor demand, we estimate that the sale of recreational cannabis through dispensaries is associated with a 0.7 percentage point decrease in the unemployment rate with no effect on the size of the labor force. We also find a 4.5% increase in the number of employees, with the strongest effects found in manufacturing. We find no effect on wages. Given the lack of a reduction in labor force participation or wages, negative effects on labor supply are likely limited, in line with the existing literature. The decrease in unemployment, coupled with an increase in the number of employees, indicates that labor demand effects likely dominate effects on labor supply. Our results suggest that policymakers considering recreational access to cannabis should anticipate a possible increase in employment.

scholarly journals The Declining Labor Market Prospects of Less-Educated Men

2019 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 163-190 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ariel J. Binder ◽  
John Bound
Keyword(s):  
Labor Market ◽  
Labor Supply ◽  
Labor Force ◽  
Labor Force Participation ◽  
Wage Inequality ◽  
Demand Curve ◽  
Labor Demand ◽  
Marriage Market ◽  
College Education ◽  
Participation Rate

Over the last half century, US wage growth stagnated, wage inequality rose, and the labor-force participation rate of prime-age men steadily declined. In this article, we examine these worrying labor market trends, focusing on outcomes for males without a college education. Though wages and participation have fallen in tandem for this population, we argue that the canonical neoclassical framework, which postulates a labor demand curve shifting inward across a stable labor supply curve, does not reasonably explain the data. Alternatives we discuss include adjustment frictions associated with labor demand shocks and effects of the changing marriage market—that is, the fact that fewer less-educated men are forming their own stable families—on male labor supply incentives. In the synthesis that emerges, the phenomenon of declining prime-age male labor-force participation is not coherently explained by a series of causal factors acting separately. A more reasonable interpretation, we argue, involves complex feedbacks between labor demand, family structure, and other factors that have disproportionately affected less-educated men.

How to make Russia a prosperous industrial country (about the role of the oil production and refining complex)

2020 ◽  
pp. 22-28
Author(s):  
Yu. Kanataev
Keyword(s):  
Precious Metals ◽  
Oil Production ◽  
Industrial Country ◽  
Industrial Scale ◽  
Deep Processing ◽  
Domestic Technology ◽  
Petrochemical Complex ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Further Development

The author, head of the Association of science-intensive enterprises having great experience in exploration of oil, precious metals, etc. in Russia and abroad (Austria, China, Israel, Ethiopia), first implemented on an industrial scale deep processing of oil using domestic technology, discusses the problems of further development of the Russian economy through the prism of their solutions to the main industries — oil and petrochemical complex.

The Effect of Labor-Demand Shocks on Women’s Participation in the Labor Force: Evidence from Palestine

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Belal Fallah ◽  
Marcelo Bergolo ◽  
Iman Saadeh ◽  
Arwa Abu Hashhash ◽  
Mohamad Hattawy
Keyword(s):  
Labor Force ◽  
Labor Demand ◽  
Demand Shocks ◽  
Women's Participation

scholarly journals STUDY OF THE THEORETICAL AND METHODOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS OF EMPLOYMENT AND THE EFFECTIVE DISTRIBUTION OF LABOUR

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (9) ◽  
pp. 139
Author(s):  
Inha Ziankova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Labor Force ◽  
Unit Cost ◽  
Size Analysis ◽  
Steady Increase ◽  
Productive Labor ◽  
Labor Resources ◽  
High Level ◽  
Efficient Distribution ◽  
Effective Distribution

The article describes the socio-economic relations between individuals and institutions of the labor market on the subject of reaching an effective employment and development of productive labor that ensure efficient distribution of labor resources.The article attempts to scientifically substantiate and develop a theory, methodology of employment and methodological support, conceptual frameworks of the formation of effective employment for the development of productive labor that ensure an efficient distribution of labor resources and endogenous economic growth in the Republic of Belarus.In the study the following conceptual bases for the achievement of effective employment, productive labor, the efficient allocation of labor resources are proposed: it is proved that in the absence of technical changes, an increase in capital per employee does not bring about a steady increase in the growth rates of production per employee or per capita; it is noted that a high level of salaries can affect the growth of labor productivity stimulating the growth of capital relative to labor and also affect the growth of the unit cost of production and result in a decrease of jobs; it is noted that the reason for the efficiency distribution of the labor force is the size analysis of unit costs, profits and income; it is proved that the firms are not profitable to invest in workforce for the reason that the dominant investment is spent on consumption; the analysis of the structure of employment on the question of the optimal ratio of managers in relation to working hands is noted as one of the ways of achieving effective employmentThe purpose of the research is to study the theoretical and methodological foundations of labor force employment in economically viable jobs and the mechanism of its effective distribution for inclusive economic growth. The novelty of this study lies in the fact that the conceptual foundations of the theory of employment have been studied and scientifically substantiated. The fundamental prerequisites for the formation of the theory of employment and methodological basis of modeling the process of achieving effective employment have been identified and systematized.

scholarly journals Arbeidsgehandicapten en de Participatiewet

2015 ◽  
Vol 31 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rudi Wielers ◽  
Jacques van Hoof
Keyword(s):  
Labour Market ◽  
Supported Employment ◽  
Main Argument ◽  
Market Position ◽  
Active Labour Market Policies ◽  
Active Labour ◽  
Labour Participation ◽  
Labour Market Position ◽  
Further Development

Incapacitated workers and the Labour Participation Law Incapacitated workers and the Labour Participation Law In this new rubric, the editorial board of Journal of Labour Issues has asked informed researchers whether the new Dutch Labour Participation Law that is operative since the beginning of 2015 improves the labour market position of incapacitated workers. The main goal of this new law is to place a larger number of incapacitated workers in regular instead of state-subsidized work places. The researchers hesitate to answer the question in the affirmative. Their main argument is that the willingness of regular employers to hire incapacitated workers in the Netherlands is low, and that active labour market policies are necessary to improve the labour market position of incapacitated workers. The new law might renew the interest of regular employers in this category of workers, but may also curb the further development of new and promising instruments to create sheltered work places, such as group secondment and supported employment.

scholarly journals The Intergenerational Transmission of Female Labour Force Participation by Gender among Native and Immigrant Europeans: A Focus on Religion

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manuela Stranges
Keyword(s):  
Labour Market ◽  
Labor Force ◽  
Intergenerational Transmission ◽  
Labor Force Participation ◽  
Immigrant Women ◽  
Religious Affiliation ◽  
Labour Force ◽  
Labour Force Participation ◽  
Female Labor Force Participation ◽  
Female Labor

AbstractThe aim of this paper is to explore the intergenerational transmission of female labor force participation from mothers to children. Using data collected by the European Social Survey from 2002 to 2018 (N = 118,219), we analyse four different samples of native and immigrant women and men in order to assess the relationship between working mothers and their daughters and sons' wives participation to the labour market. For both native and immigrant women, having had their mothers employed when the respondents were 14 was associated with higher probability they were employed at the time of survey. Similarly, for both native and immigrant men, having had their mothers employed when the respondents were 14 was associated with higher probability their wives were employed at the time of the survey. We concentrate our attention on the role of religion. We find that religiosity is negatively related to the participation of women in the labour market, with differences between those who had a working mother and those who had not. Results of some augmented models indicate that the intergenerational transmission of female labor force participation varies according to religious affiliation.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document