Projection bias in an aversive environment

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sili Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Projection Bias

Projection Bias in Catalog Orders

2007 ◽  
Vol 97 (4) ◽  
pp. 1217-1249 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Conlin ◽  
Ted O'Donoghue ◽  
Timothy J Vogelsang
Keyword(s):  
Field Data ◽  
Structural Model ◽  
Cold Weather ◽  
Change Over Time ◽  
Laboratory Evidence ◽  
Return Probability ◽  
Projection Bias ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Over Time

Evidence suggests that people understand qualitatively how tastes change over time, but underestimate the magnitudes. This evidence is limited, however, to laboratory evidence or surveys of reported happiness. We test for such projection bias in field data. Using data on catalog orders of cold-weather items, we find evidence of projection bias over the weather—specifically, people's decisions are overinfluenced by the current weather. Our estimates suggest that if the order-date temperature declines by 30°F, the return probability increases by 3.95 percent. We also estimate a structural model to measure the magnitude of the bias. (JEL D12, L81)

scholarly journals Effective Mitigation of Anchoring Bias, Projection Bias, and Representativeness Bias from Serious Game-based Training

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 1558-1565 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin A. Clegg ◽  
Brian McKernan ◽  
Rosa M. Martey ◽  
Sarah M. Taylor ◽  
Jennifer Stromer-Galley ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Serious Game ◽  
Anchoring Bias ◽  
Projection Bias

Angular Induction as a Function of Contact and Target Orientation

Perception ◽  
1989 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 143-154 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ernest Greene ◽  
George Pavlov
Keyword(s):  
Angular Size ◽  
Target Orientation ◽  
Underlying Process ◽  
Parallel Lines ◽  
Projection Bias ◽  
Poggendorff Effect ◽  
Induction Line

The Poggendorff effect is seen as misalignment of two obliques, or misprojection of one, when the obliques are placed outside a set of parallel lines. To understand better the mechanisms behind this effect, the orientation of the lines which are normally parallel was systematically manipulated. The results indicate that projection bias is affected by the orientation of either line, is at a minimum where the line is orthogonal to the oblique, and is maximal at small angles. This is in line with classic theories which attribute the illusion to misperception of angular size. However, such explanations presuppose that in order to be effective the induction line must be proximal to the oblique so that an angle can be formed. Results are reported which show that the angle formed by the oblique and a line placed at a distance from the oblique, serving as the target of the projection, follows an angular rule of effectiveness similar to what is seen when the line is placed directly in contact with the oblique. The underlying process is described as ‘angular induction’.

scholarly journals Projection Bias in the Car and Housing Markets

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meghan Busse ◽  
Devin Pope ◽  
Jaren Pope ◽  
Jorge Silva-Risso
Keyword(s):  
Housing Markets ◽  
Projection Bias
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