Quantitative Effects of Fiscal Foresight

2012 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 115-144 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eric M Leeper ◽  
Alexander W Richter ◽  
Todd B Walker
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Time Variation ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Bond Market ◽  
Reduced Form ◽  
Macroeconomic Model ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Municipal Bond ◽  
Survey Of Professional Forecasters

Legislative and implementation lags imply that substantial time evolves between when news arrives about fiscal changes and when the changes actually take place—time when households and firms can adjust their behavior. We identify two types of fiscal news—government spending using the Survey of Professional Forecasters and taxes using the municipal bond market. The main contribution of the paper is a mapping from reduced-form estimates of news into a DSGE framework. We find that news about fiscal policy is a time-varying process and show that ignoring the time variation can have important consequences in a conventional macroeconomic model. (JEL E12, E62, H20, H30, H62)

Common time variation of parameters in reduced-form macroeconomic models

2015 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dalibor Stevanovic
Keyword(s):  
Time Variation ◽  
Reduced Form ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Vector Autoregressions ◽  
Macroeconomic Models ◽  
Variation Of Parameters ◽  
Common Time ◽  
Time Varying Parameter ◽  
Low Dimension ◽  
Structural Vector

AbstractStandard time varying parameter (TVP) models usually assume independent stochastic processes. In this paper, I show that the number of underlying sources of parameters’ time variation is likely to be small, and provide empirical evidence for factor structure amongst TVPs of popular macroeconomic models. In order to test for the presence of low dimension sources of time variation in parameters and estimate their magnitudes, I develop the factor time varying parameter (Factor-TVP) framework and apply it to [Primiceri, G.E. (2005), “Time Varying Structural Vector Autoregressions and Monetary Policy,”

Russia’s fiscal stimulus and fiscal sustainability

2013 ◽  
pp. 90-108 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Akindinova ◽  
N. Kondrashov ◽  
A. Cherniavsky
Keyword(s):  
Government Spending ◽  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Fiscal Sustainability ◽  
Macroeconomic Model ◽  
Sharp Drop ◽  
Fiscal Stimulus ◽  
Fiscal Multipliers ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of public expenditure on economic growth in Russia. Fiscal multipliers for various items of government spending are calculated by means of our macroeconomic model of the Russian economy. Resources for fiscal stimulus and optimization are analyzed. In this study we assess Russia’s fiscal sustainability in conditions of various levels of oil prices. We conclude that fiscal stimulus is ineffective in Russia, while fiscal sustainability in conditions of a sharp drop in oil prices is relatively low.

Revitalizing Municipal Bond Market : The Case of Total Bond Limits Policy

2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 175-195 ◽  
Author(s):  
Il Hwan Chung ◽  
◽  
Eung Gil Kim
Keyword(s):  
Bond Market ◽  
Municipal Bond

Investing with Futures in the Municipal Bond Market—Part I

1988 ◽  
Vol 1988 (1) ◽  
pp. 42-46, 62-64
Author(s):  
William A. Trader
Keyword(s):  
Bond Market ◽  
Municipal Bond

HABIT FORMATION AND GOVERNMENT SPENDING IN A SMALL OPEN ECONOMY

2003 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 407-423 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cem Karayalçin
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
General Equilibrium ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Equilibrium Model ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Time Preference ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Fiscal Shocks

The paper studies the effects of an expansionary fiscal policy in a general equilibrium model of a small open economy. Households are assumed to possess habit-forming, endogenous rates of time preference. In response to fiscal shocks, the model generates cyclical endogenous persistence and procyclical time paths for consumption, employment, and investment, as well as a countercyclical path for the current account. Furthermore, fiscal shocks are shown to have positive long-run effects on output and negative long-run effects on consumption.

Social Capital and the Municipal Bond Market

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pei Li ◽  
Leo Tang ◽  
Bikki Jaggi
Keyword(s):  
Social Capital ◽  
Bond Market ◽  
Municipal Bond

Optimal Fiscal Policy in an Open Economy with Time-Varying Elasticities

1986 ◽  
Vol 52 (3) ◽  
pp. 763
Author(s):  
Jagdeep S. Bhandari ◽  
Donald A. Hanson
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Optimal Fiscal Policy
Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document