scholarly journals Population-size-dependent, age-structured branching processes linger around their carrying capacity

2011 ◽  
Vol 48 (A) ◽  
pp. 249-260 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Jagers ◽  
Fima C. Klebaner
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Carrying Capacity ◽  
Branching Process ◽  
Branching Processes ◽  
Critical Threshold ◽  
Small Populations ◽  
Size Dependent ◽  
Large Populations ◽  
Age Structured ◽  
Process Context

Dependence of individual reproduction upon the size of the whole population is studied in a general branching process context. The particular feature under scrutiny is that of reproduction changing from supercritical in small populations to subcritical in large populations. The transition occurs when the population size passes a critical threshold, known in ecology as the carrying capacity. We show that populations either die out directly, never coming close to the carrying capacity, or grow quickly towards the carrying capacity, subsequently lingering around it for a time that is expected to be exponentially long in terms of a carrying capacity tending to infinity.

scholarly journals Population-size-dependent, age-structured branching processes linger around their carrying capacity

2011 ◽  
Vol 48 (A) ◽  
pp. 249-260
Author(s):  
Peter Jagers ◽  
Fima C. Klebaner
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Carrying Capacity ◽  
Branching Process ◽  
Branching Processes ◽  
Critical Threshold ◽  
Small Populations ◽  
Size Dependent ◽  
Large Populations ◽  
Age Structured ◽  
Process Context

Dependence of individual reproduction upon the size of the whole population is studied in a general branching process context. The particular feature under scrutiny is that of reproduction changing from supercritical in small populations to subcritical in large populations. The transition occurs when the population size passes a critical threshold, known in ecology as the carrying capacity. We show that populations either die out directly, never coming close to the carrying capacity, or grow quickly towards the carrying capacity, subsequently lingering around it for a time that is expected to be exponentially long in terms of a carrying capacity tending to infinity.

Asymptotic behaviour of population-size-dependent branching processes in Markovian random environments

1999 ◽  
Vol 36 (2) ◽  
pp. 611-619 ◽  
Author(s):  
Han-Xing Wang ◽  
Dafan Fang
Keyword(s):  
Asymptotic Behaviour ◽  
Population Size ◽  
Branching Process ◽  
Branching Processes ◽  
Random Environments ◽  
Real Numbers ◽  
Size Dependent ◽  
Recurrent Markov Chain ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Positive Recurrent

A population-size-dependent branching process {Zn} is considered where the population's evolution is controlled by a Markovian environment process {ξn}. For this model, let mk,θ and be the mean and the variance respectively of the offspring distribution when the population size is k and a environment θ is given. Let B = {ω : Zn(ω) = 0 for some n} and q = P(B). The asymptotic behaviour of limnZn and is studied in the case where supθ|mk,θ − mθ| → 0 for some real numbers {mθ} such that infθmθ > 1. When the environmental sequence {ξn} is a irreducible positive recurrent Markov chain (particularly, when its state space is finite), certain extinction (q = 1) and non-certain extinction (q < 1) are studied.

Geometric rate of growth in population-size-dependent branching processes

1984 ◽  
Vol 21 (01) ◽  
pp. 40-49 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. C. Klebaner
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Process Model ◽  
Branching Process ◽  
Necessary Conditions ◽  
Branching Processes ◽  
Sufficient Conditions ◽  
Almost Sure Convergence ◽  
Size Dependent ◽  
Offspring Distribution ◽  
The Mean

We consider a branching-process model {Zn }, where the law of offspring distribution depends on the population size. We consider the case when the means mn (mn is the mean of offspring distribution when the population size is equal to n) tend to a limit m &gt; 1 as n →∞. For a certain class of processes {Zn } necessary conditions for convergence in L 1 and L 2 and sufficient conditions for almost sure convergence and convergence in L 2 of Wn = Zn/mn are given.

Extinction of population-size-dependent branching processes in random environments

1999 ◽  
Vol 36 (1) ◽  
pp. 146-154 ◽  
Author(s):  
Han-xing Wang
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Branching Process ◽  
Branching Processes ◽  
Sufficient Conditions ◽  
Random Environments ◽  
Size Dependent ◽  
Branching Model

We generalize a population-size-dependent branching process to a more general branching model called the population-size-dependent branching process in random environments. For the model where {Zn}n≥0 is associated with the stationary environment ξ− = {ξn}n≥0, let B = {ω : Zn(ω) = for some n}, and q(ξ−) = P(B | ξ−, Z0 = 1). The result is that P(q(̅ξ) = 1) is either 1 or 0, and sufficient conditions for certain extinction (i.e. P(q(ξ−) = 1) = 1) and for non-certain extinction (i.e. P(q(ξ−) < 1) = 1) are obtained for the model.

Asymptotic behaviour of population-size-dependent branching processes in Markovian random environments

1999 ◽  
Vol 36 (02) ◽  
pp. 611-619 ◽  
Author(s):  
Han-Xing Wang ◽  
Dafan Fang
Keyword(s):  
Asymptotic Behaviour ◽  
Population Size ◽  
Branching Process ◽  
Branching Processes ◽  
Random Environments ◽  
Real Numbers ◽  
Size Dependent ◽  
Recurrent Markov Chain ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Positive Recurrent

A population-size-dependent branching process {Z n } is considered where the population's evolution is controlled by a Markovian environment process {ξ n }. For this model, let m k,θ and be the mean and the variance respectively of the offspring distribution when the population size is k and a environment θ is given. Let B = {ω : Z n (ω) = 0 for some n} and q = P(B). The asymptotic behaviour of lim n Z n and is studied in the case where supθ|m k,θ − m θ| → 0 for some real numbers {m θ} such that infθ m θ &gt; 1. When the environmental sequence {ξ n } is a irreducible positive recurrent Markov chain (particularly, when its state space is finite), certain extinction (q = 1) and non-certain extinction (q &lt; 1) are studied.

Extinction of population-size-dependent branching processes in random environments

1999 ◽  
Vol 36 (01) ◽  
pp. 146-154 ◽  
Author(s):  
Han-xing Wang
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Branching Process ◽  
Branching Processes ◽  
Sufficient Conditions ◽  
Random Environments ◽  
Size Dependent ◽  
Branching Model

We generalize a population-size-dependent branching process to a more general branching model called the population-size-dependent branching process in random environments. For the model where {Z n } n≥0 is associated with the stationary environment ξ− = {ξ n } n≥0, let B = {ω : Z n (ω) = for some n}, and q(ξ−) = P(B | ξ−, Z 0 = 1). The result is that P(q(̅ξ) = 1) is either 1 or 0, and sufficient conditions for certain extinction (i.e. P(q(ξ−) = 1) = 1) and for non-certain extinction (i.e. P(q(ξ−) &lt; 1) = 1) are obtained for the model.

scholarly journals On a Continuous-State Population-Size-Dependent Branching Process and Its Extinction

2006 ◽  
Vol 43 (1) ◽  
pp. 195-207 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuqiang Li
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Limit Distribution ◽  
Branching Process ◽  
Branching Processes ◽  
Size Dependent ◽  
State Population ◽  
Continuous State ◽  
Discrete States

A continuous-state population-size-dependent branching process {Xt} is a modification of the Jiřina process. We prove that such a process arises as the limit of a sequence of suitably scaled population-size-dependent branching processes with discrete states. The extinction problem for the population Xt is discussed, and the limit distribution of Xt / t obtained when Xt tends to infinity.

Geometric rate of growth in population-size-dependent branching processes

1984 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 40-49 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. C. Klebaner
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Process Model ◽  
Branching Process ◽  
Necessary Conditions ◽  
Branching Processes ◽  
Sufficient Conditions ◽  
Almost Sure Convergence ◽  
Size Dependent ◽  
Offspring Distribution ◽  
The Mean

We consider a branching-process model {Zn}, where the law of offspring distribution depends on the population size. We consider the case when the means mn (mn is the mean of offspring distribution when the population size is equal to n) tend to a limit m > 1 as n →∞. For a certain class of processes {Zn} necessary conditions for convergence in L1 and L2 and sufficient conditions for almost sure convergence and convergence in L2 of Wn = Zn/mn are given.

A Galton–Watson process with a threshold

2016 ◽  
Vol 53 (2) ◽  
pp. 614-621
Author(s):  
K. B. Athreya ◽  
H.-J. Schuh
Keyword(s):  
Positive Integer ◽  
Population Size ◽  
Discrete Time ◽  
Branching Process ◽  
Branching Processes ◽  
Mean Value ◽  
Size Dependent ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Watson Process ◽  
Critical Branching Process

Abstract In this paper we study a special class of size dependent branching processes. We assume that for some positive integer K as long as the population size does not exceed level K, the process evolves as a discrete-time supercritical branching process, and when the population size exceeds level K, it evolves as a subcritical or critical branching process. It is shown that this process does die out in finite time T. The question of when the mean value E(T) is finite or infinite is also addressed.

scholarly journals On a Continuous-State Population-Size-Dependent Branching Process and Its Extinction

2006 ◽  
Vol 43 (01) ◽  
pp. 195-207 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuqiang Li
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Limit Distribution ◽  
Branching Process ◽  
Branching Processes ◽  
Size Dependent ◽  
State Population ◽  
Continuous State ◽  
Discrete States

A continuous-state population-size-dependent branching process {X t } is a modification of the Jiřina process. We prove that such a process arises as the limit of a sequence of suitably scaled population-size-dependent branching processes with discrete states. The extinction problem for the population X t is discussed, and the limit distribution of X t / t obtained when X t tends to infinity.

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