Development Scenarios: Setting the Stage

2014 ◽  
pp. 290-307
Keyword(s):  
Development Scenarios

Understanding Economic and Health Factors Impacting the Spread of COVID-19 Disease (Preprint)

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aleksandr Farseev ◽  
Yu-Yi Chu-Farseeva ◽  
Yang Qi ◽  
Daron Benjamin Loo
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Quantitative Research ◽  
Health Indicators ◽  
Initial Study ◽  
Disease Spread ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Country Level ◽  
Development Scenarios ◽  
Health Factors ◽  
Country Clusters

UNSTRUCTURED The rapid spread of the Coronavirus 2019 disease (COVID-19) had drastically impacted life all over the world. While some economies are actively recovering from this pestilence, others are experiencing fast and consistent disease spread, compelling governments to impose social distancing measures that have put a halt on routines, especially in densely-populated areas. Aiming at bringing more light on key economic and public health factors affecting the disease spread, this initial study utilizes a quantitative statistical analysis based on the most recent publicly-available COVID-19 datasets. The study had shown and explained multiple significant relationships between the COVID-19 data and other country-level statistics. We have also identified and statistically profiled four major country-level clusters with relation to different aspects of COVID-19 development and country-level economic and health indicators. Specifically, this study has identified potential COVID-19 under-reporting traits as well as various economic factors that impact COVID-19 Diagnosis, Reporting, and Treatment. Based on the country clusters, we have also described the four disease development scenarios, which are tightly knit to country-level economic and public health factors. Finally, we have highlighted the potential limitation of reporting and measuring COVID-19 and provided recommendations on further in-depth quantitative research.

Iran's oil development scenarios by 2025

Energy Policy ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 56 ◽  
pp. 612-622 ◽  
Author(s):  
Payam Abbaszadeh ◽  
Abbas Maleki ◽  
Mohammad Alipour ◽  
Yaser Kanani Maman
Keyword(s):  
Oil Development ◽  
Development Scenarios

scholarly journals Post-Fire Susceptibility to Brittle Fracture of Selected Steel Grades Used in Construction Industry—Assessment Based on the Instrumented Impact Test

Materials ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (14) ◽  
pp. 3922
Author(s):  
Mariusz Maslak ◽  
Michal Pazdanowski ◽  
Marek Stankiewicz ◽  
Paulina Zajdel
Keyword(s):  
Charpy Impact ◽  
Water Mist ◽  
Heating Regime ◽  
Building Structures ◽  
Initial State ◽  
Slow Cooling ◽  
Natural Fire ◽  
Development Scenarios ◽  
Steel Grades ◽  
Fire Conditions

The change in the value of the breaking energy is discussed here for selected steel grades used in building structures after subjecting the samples made of them to episodes of heating in the steady-state heating regime and then cooling in simulated fire conditions. These changes were recorded based on the instrumented Charpy impact tests, in relation to the material initial state. The S355J2+N, 1H18N9T steels and also X2CrNiMoN22-5-3 duplex steel were selected for detailed analysis. The fire conditions were modelled experimentally by heating the samples and then keeping them for a specified time at a constant temperature of: 600 °C (first series) and 800 °C (second series), respectively. Two alternative cooling variants were investigated in the experiment: slow cooling of the samples in the furnace, simulating the natural fire progress, without any external extinguishing action and cooling in water mist simulating an extinguishing action by a fire brigade. The temperature of the tested samples was set at the level of −20 °C and alternatively at the level of +20 °C. The conducted analysis is aimed at assessing the risk of sudden, catastrophic fracture of load-bearing structure made of steel degraded as a result of a fire that occurred previously with different development scenarios.

scholarly journals Border Regions and Infrastructure Networks in the European Integration Process

1993 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 431-446 ◽  
Author(s):  
P Nijkamp
Keyword(s):  
European Integration ◽  
Development Strategies ◽  
Integration Process ◽  
Infrastructure Networks ◽  
Indigenous Development ◽  
Border Regions ◽  
Development Scenarios ◽  
Border Areas ◽  
Peripheral Areas

This paper is focused on development strategies of peripheral areas. In particular, the issue of integration effects on (internal) border regions after the completion of the internal European market is addressed. After a review of recent EC policies, it is claimed that there is an urgent need for the design and evaluation of active development strategies for former internal border areas. A case study on two Dutch (peripheral) border provinces is described to see how the indigenous development potential of such areas can be exploited as a strategic vehicle for enhancing their international competitiveness. A multiple criteria analysis is used to identify the most plausible and desirable development scenarios for these regions.

Socio-economic development scenarios of the White Sea regions.

2021 ◽  
pp. 52-69
Author(s):  
Anna E. Kurilo ◽  
◽  
Pavel V. Druzhinin ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Catchment Area ◽  
White Sea ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Arctic Zone ◽  
The White Sea ◽  
Development Scenarios ◽  
Arctic Regions ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
Scenario Approach

In the process of creating a national system of strategic planning and within the framework of normative economics, the scenario approach provides opportunities for constructing goals and directions of socio-economic territories development. Being a planning tool the scenario approach allows forming the directions of regional development. These processes take particular relevance for the regions of our country that are the parts of the Arctic zone, especially in increased interest and attention to these territories resources from other external agents. The main aim of this paper is to elaborate development scenarios for the regions, which are fully or partially included in the Arctic zone and the White Sea catchment area. Based on the dynamics analysis of the main macroeconomic indicators and development trends for 1990–2019, the dependence of indicators for forecasting socio-environmental and economic development of these regions, was built. We applied scenario approach to describe possible development scenarios of Arctic regions in the White Sea catchment area. The novelty of the work is the construction of matrix of development scenarios of the Arctic regions, united by belonging to the White Sea catchment area. The analysis results of macroeconomic indicators for three elements of sustainable development show that the regions have rather weak economic development, stagnation of social indicators and difficult environmental situation. We outlined the problems constraining the development of Arctic regions in the White Sea catchment area and the directions to their solutions. To reach the trajectory of sustainable development is possible under condition of coordination and implementation of the measures taken by the state and regional authorities. This scenario of development strategy according to the innovation trajectory will allow to consolidate activity of federal, regional and municipal authorities of these territories. The integrated development program of the Arctic regions in the White Sea catchment area can be a coordinating platform.

INNOVATIVE TRANSFORMATIONS OF THE VALUE CHAIN OF PHARMACEUTICAL ENTERPRISES

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Катерина Копішинська ◽  
Катерина Зінченко
Keyword(s):  
Correlation Analysis ◽  
Linear Relationship ◽  
Value Creation ◽  
Value Chain ◽  
Value Chains ◽  
High Tech ◽  
Pharmaceutical Companies ◽  
Development Scenarios ◽  
Current State ◽  
Pharmaceutical Enterprises

The research is devoted to the substantiation of the necessity of innovative transformations of the value chain of pharmaceutical enterprises. The current state of the international pharmaceutical market and its development scenarios developed by the WTO were analyzed, taking into account the changes caused by the COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic. The typology of value chains is considered and their element-by-element characteristics are given. A new, modern model of interaction in the chain of value creation of products is proposed. The substantiation of efficiency of creation of such chains is given. Based on the correlation analysis, the presence of a linear relationship between the indicators of Pharmaceutical R&D Spend and Revenue was established. To maximize the effect of R&D costs, pharmaceutical companies are recommended to carry out innovative transformations of the value chain, involving external manufacturers of high-tech devices, applications, etc.

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