Time-Series-Based Real-Time Seizure Prediction

Epilepsy ◽  
2011 ◽  
pp. 321-330
Author(s):  
Pooja Rajdev ◽  
Pedro Irazoqui
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (48) ◽  
pp. 17-24
Author(s):  
I.M. Javorskyj ◽  
◽  
R.M. Yuzefovych ◽  
P.R. Kurapov ◽  
◽  
...  

The correlation and spectral properties of a multicomponent narrowband periodical non-stationary random signal (PNRS) and its Hilbert transformation are considered. It is shown that multicomponent narrowband PNRS differ from the monocomponent signal. This difference is caused by correlation of the quadratures for the different carrier harmonics. Such features of the analytic signal must be taken into account when we use the Hilbert transform for the analysis of real time series.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arturo Magana-Mora ◽  
Mohammad AlJubran ◽  
Jothibasu Ramasamy ◽  
Mohammed AlBassam ◽  
Chinthaka Gooneratne ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective/Scope. Lost circulation events (LCEs) are among the top causes for drilling nonproductive time (NPT). The presence of natural fractures and vugular formations causes loss of drilling fluid circulation. Drilling depleted zones with incorrect mud weights can also lead to drilling induced losses. LCEs can also develop into additional drilling hazards, such as stuck pipe incidents, kicks, and blowouts. An LCE is traditionally diagnosed only when there is a reduction in mud volume in mud pits in the case of moderate losses or reduction of mud column in the annulus in total losses. Using machine learning (ML) for predicting the presence of a loss zone and the estimation of fracture parameters ahead is very beneficial as it can immediately alert the drilling crew in order for them to take the required actions to mitigate or cure LCEs. Methods, Procedures, Process. Although different computational methods have been proposed for the prediction of LCEs, there is a need to further improve the models and reduce the number of false alarms. Robust and generalizable ML models require a sufficiently large amount of data that captures the different parameters and scenarios representing an LCE. For this, we derived a framework that automatically searches through historical data, locates LCEs, and extracts the surface drilling and rheology parameters surrounding such events. Results, Observations, and Conclusions. We derived different ML models utilizing various algorithms and evaluated them using the data-split technique at the level of wells to find the most suitable model for the prediction of an LCE. From the model comparison, random forest classifier achieved the best results and successfully predicted LCEs before they occurred. The developed LCE model is designed to be implemented in the real-time drilling portal as an aid to the drilling engineers and the rig crew to minimize or avoid NPT. Novel/Additive Information. The main contribution of this study is the analysis of real-time surface drilling parameters and sensor data to predict an LCE from a statistically representative number of wells. The large-scale analysis of several wells that appropriately describe the different conditions before an LCE is critical for avoiding model undertraining or lack of model generalization. Finally, we formulated the prediction of LCEs as a time-series problem and considered parameter trends to accurately determine the early signs of LCEs.


2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 155014771772181 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seok-Woo Jang ◽  
Gye-Young Kim

This article proposes an intelligent monitoring system for semiconductor manufacturing equipment, which determines spec-in or spec-out for a wafer in process, using Internet of Things–based big data analysis. The proposed system consists of three phases: initialization, learning, and prediction in real time. The initialization sets the weights and the effective steps for all parameters of equipment to be monitored. The learning performs a clustering to assign similar patterns to the same class. The patterns consist of a multiple time-series produced by semiconductor manufacturing equipment and an after clean inspection measured by the corresponding tester. We modify the Line, Buzo, and Gray algorithm for classifying the time-series patterns. The modified Line, Buzo, and Gray algorithm outputs a reference model for every cluster. The prediction compares a time-series entered in real time with the reference model using statistical dynamic time warping to find the best matched pattern and then calculates a predicted after clean inspection by combining the measured after clean inspection, the dissimilarity, and the weights. Finally, it determines spec-in or spec-out for the wafer. We will present experimental results that show how the proposed system is applied on the data acquired from semiconductor etching equipment.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. e744
Author(s):  
Si Thu Aung ◽  
Yodchanan Wongsawat

Epilepsy is a common neurological disease that affects a wide range of the world population and is not limited by age. Moreover, seizures can occur anytime and anywhere because of the sudden abnormal discharge of brain neurons, leading to malfunction. The seizures of approximately 30% of epilepsy patients cannot be treated with medicines or surgery; hence these patients would benefit from a seizure prediction system to live normal lives. Thus, a system that can predict a seizure before its onset could improve not only these patients’ social lives but also their safety. Numerous seizure prediction methods have already been proposed, but the performance measures of these methods are still inadequate for a complete prediction system. Here, a seizure prediction system is proposed by exploring the advantages of multivariate entropy, which can reflect the complexity of multivariate time series over multiple scales (frequencies), called multivariate multiscale modified-distribution entropy (MM-mDistEn), with an artificial neural network (ANN). The phase-space reconstruction and estimation of the probability density between vectors provide hidden complex information. The multivariate time series property of MM-mDistEn provides more understandable information within the multichannel data and makes it possible to predict of epilepsy. Moreover, the proposed method was tested with two different analyses: simulation data analysis proves that the proposed method has strong consistency over the different parameter selections, and the results from experimental data analysis showed that the proposed entropy combined with an ANN obtains performance measures of 98.66% accuracy, 91.82% sensitivity, 99.11% specificity, and 0.84 area under the curve (AUC) value. In addition, the seizure alarm system was applied as a postprocessing step for prediction purposes, and a false alarm rate of 0.014 per hour and an average prediction time of 26.73 min before seizure onset were achieved by the proposed method. Thus, the proposed entropy as a feature extraction method combined with an ANN can predict the ictal state of epilepsy, and the results show great potential for all epilepsy patients.


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