scholarly journals Evaluation of a Breast Cancer Nomogram for Predicting Risk of Ipsilateral Breast Tumor Recurrences in Patients With Ductal Carcinoma in Situ After Local Excision

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (6) ◽  
pp. 600-607 ◽  
Author(s):  
Min Yi ◽  
Funda Meric-Bernstam ◽  
Henry M. Kuerer ◽  
Elizabeth A. Mittendorf ◽  
Isabelle Bedrosian ◽  
...  

Purpose Prediction of patients at highest risk for ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence (IBTR) after local excision of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) remains a clinical concern. The aim of our study was to evaluate a published nomogram from Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center to predict for risk of IBTR in patients with DCIS from our institution. Patients and Methods We retrospectively identified 794 patients with a diagnosis of DCIS who had undergone local excision from 1990 through 2007 at the MD Anderson Cancer Center (MDACC). Clinicopathologic factors and the performance of the Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center nomogram for prediction of IBTR were assessed for 734 patients who had complete data. Results There was a marked difference with respect to tumor grade, prevalence of necrosis, initial presentation, final margins, and receipt of endocrine therapy between the two cohorts. The biggest difference was that more patients received radiation in the MDACC cohort (75% at MDACC v 49% at MSKCC; P < .001). Follow-up time in the MDACC cohort was longer than in the MSKCC cohort (median 7.1 years v 5.6 years), and the recurrence rate was lower in the MDACC cohort (7.9% v 11%). The median 5-year probability of recurrence was 5%, and the median 10-year probability of recurrence was 7%. The nomogram for prediction of 5- and 10-year IBTR probabilities demonstrated imperfect calibration and discrimination, with a concordance index of 0.63. Conclusion Predictive models for IBTR in patients with DCIS who were treated with local excision are imperfect. Our current ability to accurately predict recurrence on the basis of clinical parameters alone is limited.

2011 ◽  
pp. 237-246
Author(s):  
Jennifer L. Peterson ◽  
Laura A. Vallow ◽  
Stephanie L. Hines ◽  
Steven J. Buskirk

Ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) of the breast is a noninvasive form of breast cancer that has increased in incidence over the past several decades secondary to screening mammography. DCIS now represents 20–30% of all newly diagnosed cases of breast cancer. Patients with DCIS typically present with an abnormal mammogram, and diagnosis is most commonly obtained with an imageguided biopsy. Historically, mastectomy was considered the primary curative option for patients with DCIS. However, treatment of DCIS continues to evolve, and now treatment strategies also include breast-conserving therapy, which consists of local excision followed by radiation therapy or local excision alone. Multiple randomized trials have confirmed a decrease in ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence in patients treated with local excision followed by radiation therapy compared with local excision alone. Ongoing clinical trials attempt to identify a subgroup of DCIS patients at low risk for recurrence who may not benefit from radiation therapy. In addition, because the majority of ipsilateral breast tumor recurrences occur near the original primary tumor site, partial breast irradiation is currently under investigation as a treatment option for DCIS patients. Randomized trials have shown tamoxifen can reduce the risk of ipsilateral and contralateral breast tumor recurrences while the role of aromatase inhibitors is the subject of current clinical trials. DCIS represents a complex pathologic entity, and treatment optimization requires a multidisciplinary approach.


2011 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 237
Author(s):  
Jennifer L. Peterson ◽  
Laura A. Vallow ◽  
Stephanie L. Hines ◽  
Steven J. Buskirk

Ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) of the breast is a noninvasive form of breast cancer that has increased in incidence over the past several decades secondary to screening mammography. DCIS now represents 20–30% of all newly diagnosed cases of breast cancer. Patients with DCIS typically present with an abnormal mammogram, and diagnosis is most commonly obtained with an imageguided biopsy. Historically, mastectomy was considered the primary curative option for patients with DCIS. However, treatment of DCIS continues to evolve, and now treatment strategies also include breast-conserving therapy, which consists of local excision followed by radiation therapy or local excision alone. Multiple randomized trials have confirmed a decrease in ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence in patients treated with local excision followed by radiation therapy compared with local excision alone. Ongoing clinical trials attempt to identify a subgroup of DCIS patients at low risk for recurrence who may not benefit from radiation therapy. In addition, because the majority of ipsilateral breast tumor recurrences occur near the original primary tumor site, partial breast irradiation is currently under investigation as a treatment option for DCIS patients. Randomized trials have shown tamoxifen can reduce the risk of ipsilateral and contralateral breast tumor recurrences while the role of aromatase inhibitors is the subject of current clinical trials. DCIS represents a complex pathologic entity, and treatment optimization requires a multidisciplinary approach.


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