scholarly journals Prognostic Model for De Novo and Recurrent Metastatic Breast Cancer

2021 ◽  
pp. 789-804
Author(s):  
Carlos H. Barcenas ◽  
Juhee Song ◽  
Rashmi K. Murthy ◽  
Akshara S. Raghavendra ◽  
Yisheng Li ◽  
...  

PURPOSE Metastatic breast cancer (MBC) has a heterogeneous clinical course. We sought to develop a prognostic model for overall survival (OS) that incorporated contemporary tumor and clinical factors for estimating individual prognosis. METHODS We identified patients with MBC from our institution diagnosed between 1998 and 2017. We developed OS prognostic models by Cox regression using demographic, tumor, and treatment variables. We assessed model predictive accuracy and estimated annual OS probabilities. We evaluated model discrimination and prediction calibration using an external validation data set from the National Comprehensive Cancer Network. RESULTS We identified 10,655 patients. A model using age at diagnosis, race or ethnicity, hormone receptor and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 subtype, de novo versus recurrent MBC categorized by metastasis-free interval, Karnofsky performance status, organ involvement, frontline biotherapy, frontline hormone therapy, and the interaction between variables significantly improved predictive accuracy (C-index, 0.731; 95% CI, 0.724 to 0.739) compared with a model with only hormone receptor and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 status (C-index, 0.617; 95% CI, 0.609 to 0.626). The extended Cox regression model consisting of six independent models, for < 3, 3-14, 14-20, 20-33, 33-61, and ≥ 61 months, estimated up to 5 years of annual OS probabilities. The selected multifactor model had good discriminative ability but suboptimal calibration in the group of 2,334 National Comprehensive Cancer Network patients. A recalibration model that replaced the baseline survival function with the average of those from the training and validation data improved predictions across both data sets. CONCLUSION We have generated and validated a robust prognostic OS model for MBC. This model can be used in clinical decision making and stratification in clinical trials.

2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 678-688
Author(s):  
Katie Mycock ◽  
Lin Zhan ◽  
Gavin Taylor-Stokes ◽  
Gary Milligan ◽  
Debanjali Mitra

Background: Palbociclib is a selective cyclin-dependent kinase (CDK) 4/6 inhibitor used in combination with aromatase inhibitors or fulvestrant for patients with hormone receptor-positive (HR+) human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative advanced/metastatic breast cancer (ABC/MBC). Palbociclib was the first CDK 4/6 inhibitor approved for HR+/HER2− ABC/MBC treatment in Canada in combination with letrozole (P+L) as an initial endocrine-based therapy (approved March 2016), or with fulvestrant (P+F) following disease progression after prior endocrine therapy (approved May 2017). The Ibrance Real World Insights (IRIS) study (NCT03159195) collected real-world outcomes data for palbociclib-treated patients in several countries, including Canada. Methods: This retrospective chart review included women with HR+/HER2− ABC/MBC receiving P+L or P+F in Canada. Physicians reviewed medical records for up to 14 patients, abstracting demographic and clinical characteristics, treatment patterns, and clinical outcomes. Progression-free rates (PFRs) and survival rates (SRs) at 6, 12, 18, and 24 months were estimated via Kaplan–Meier analysis. Results: Thirty-three physicians examined medical records for 247 patients (P+L, n = 214; P+F, n = 33). Median follow-up was 8.8 months for P+L and 7.0 months for P+F. Most patients were initiated on palbociclib 125 mg/d (P+L, 90.2%; P+F, 84.8%). Doses were reduced in 16.6% of P+L and 14.3% of P+F patients initiating palbociclib at 125 mg/d. The PFR for P+L was 90.3% at 12 months and 78.2% at 18 months; corresponding SRs were 95.6% and 93.0%. For P+F, 6-month PFR was 91.0%; 12-month SR was 100.0%. Conclusions: Dose reduction rates were low and PFR and SR were high in this Canadian real-world assessment of P+L and P+F treatments, suggesting that palbociclib combinations are well tolerated and effective.


2021 ◽  
pp. 758-767
Author(s):  
Jeremy Mason ◽  
Yutao Gong ◽  
Laleh Amiri-Kordestani ◽  
Suparna Wedam ◽  
Jennifer J. Gao ◽  
...  

PURPOSE Three cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6 inhibitors (CDKIs) are approved by the US Food and Drug Administration for the treatment of patients with hormone receptor–positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2–negative advanced or metastatic breast cancer in combination with hormonal therapy (HT). We hypothesized that on an individual basis, efficacy outcomes and adverse event (AE) development can be predicted using baseline patient and tumor characteristics. METHODS Individual-level data from seven randomized controlled trials submitted to the US Food and Drug Administration for new or supplemental marketing applications of CDKIs were pooled. Progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and AE prediction models were developed for specific treatment regimens (HT v HT plus CDKI). An individual's characteristics were used in all models simultaneously to create a group of predicted outcomes that are comparable across treatment settings. RESULTS Accuracy of the PFS and OS prediction models for HT were 66% and 64%, respectively, with the strongest predictors being menopausal status and therapy line. The corresponding AE prediction models resulted in an average area under the curve of 0.613. Accuracy of the PFS and OS prediction models for HT plus CDKI were 62% and 63%, respectively, with the strongest predictors being histologic grade for both. The corresponding AE prediction models resulted in an average area under the curve of 0.639. CONCLUSION This exploratory analysis demonstrated that models of efficacy outcomes and AE development can be developed using baseline patient and tumor characteristics. Comparison of paired models can inform treatment selection for individuals on the basis of the patient's personalized goals and concerns. Although use of CDKIs is standard of care in the first- or second-line setting, this model provides prognostic information that may inform individual treatment decisions.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 175883591881834 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adriana Matutino ◽  
Carla Amaro ◽  
Sunil Verma

The development of cyclin-dependent kinase (CDK) 4/6 inhibitors has been more prominent in hormone receptor (HR)-positive human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative breast cancers, with a significant improvement in progression-free survival (PFS) in first and later lines of metastatic breast cancer (MBC) therapy. Preclinical evidence suggests that there is activity of CDK4/6 inhibitors in nonluminal cell lines. Here, we present a review of the current preclinical and clinical data on the use of CDK inhibitors in HER2-positive and triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC).


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sara Lopez-Tarruella ◽  
M. J. Escudero ◽  
Marina Pollan ◽  
Miguel Martín ◽  
Carlos Jara ◽  
...  

AbstractThe debate about surgical resection of primary tumor (PT) in de novo metastatic breast cancer (MBC) patients persists. We explored this approach’s outcomes in patients included in a retrospective registry, named El Álamo, of breast cancer patients diagnosed in Spain (1990–2001). In this analysis we only included de novo MBC patients, 1415 of whom met the study’s criteria. Descriptive, Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses were carried out. Median age was 63.1 years, 49.2% of patients had single-organ metastasis (skin/soft tissue [16.3%], bone [33.8%], or viscera [48.3%]). PT surgery (S) was performed in 44.5% of the cases. S-group patients were younger, had smaller tumors, higher prevalence of bone and oligometastatic disease, and lower prevalence of visceral involvement. With a median follow-up of 23.3 months, overall survival (OS) was 39.6 versus 22.4 months (HR = 0.59, p < 0.0001) in the S- and non-S groups, respectively. The S-group OS benefit remained statistically and clinically significant regardless of metastatic location, histological type, histological grade, hormone receptor status and tumor size. PT surgery (versus no surgery) was associated with an OS benefit suggesting that loco-regional PT control may be considered in selected MBC patients. Data from randomized controlled trials are of utmost importance to confirm these results.


2019 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
pp. 117822341987942 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sasha Lupichuk ◽  
Winson Y Cheung ◽  
Douglas Stewart

Background: Real-world outcomes for patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER2)-positive metastatic breast cancer (MBC) treated with pertuzumab in combination with taxane chemotherapy plus trastuzumab (TaxTP) in the first line setting and trastuzumab emtansine (TE) in any line of treatment are lacking. Methods: Cohorts of patients treated with (1) TaxTP and (2) TE from January 1, 2013 through December 31, 2016 were retrospectively obtained from a population-based database. Cohorts were described according to age, hormone receptor (HR) status, prior systemic therapies, event-free survival (EFS) defined as time from start of treatment to start of next line of treatment or death, and overall survival (OS). Results: A total of 122 patients were treated with TaxTP and 104 with TE. In the TaxTP cohort, EFS was significantly longer in the trastuzumab-naïve group compared with the adjuvant trastuzumab group (median EFS = 27.0 vs 12.4 months; P = .002). In the TaxTP cohort, median OS was not reached. In the TE cohort, EFS was significantly longer in the pertuzumab-naïve group compared with pertuzumab-exposed group (median time to treatment failure [TTF] = 18.7 vs 5.5 months; P < .001). Overall survival was also significantly longer in the pertuzumab-naïve group compared with the pertuzumab-exposed group (median OS = 23.2 vs 14.1 months; P = .022). In multivariable analyses, adjuvant trastuzumab and prior pertuzumab exposure in the metastatic setting remained significant predictors of inferior EFS for patients treated with TaxTP and TE, respectively. Conclusions: New anti-HER2 therapies appear to be clinically relevant in the real-world.


2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 289-303 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiroji Iwata ◽  
Seock-Ah Im ◽  
Norikazu Masuda ◽  
Young-Hyuck Im ◽  
Kenichi Inoue ◽  
...  

Purpose To assess efficacy and safety of palbociclib plus fulvestrant in Asians with endocrine therapy–resistant metastatic breast cancer. Patients and Methods The Palbociclib Ongoing Trials in the Management of Breast Cancer 3 (PALOMA-3) trial, a double-blind phase III study, included 521 patients with hormone receptor–positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2–negative metastatic breast cancer with disease progression on endocrine therapy. Patient-reported outcomes (PROs) were assessed on study treatment and at the end of treatment. Results This preplanned subgroup analysis of the PALOMA-3 study included premenopausal and postmenopausal Asians taking palbociclib plus fulvestrant (n = 71) or placebo plus fulvestrant (n = 31). Palbociclib plus fulvestrant improved progression-free survival (PFS) compared with fulvestrant alone. Median PFS was not reached with palbociclib plus fulvestrant (95% CI, 9.2 months to not reached) but was 5.8 months with placebo plus fulvestrant (95% CI, 3.5 to 9.2 months; hazard ratio, 0.485; 95% CI, 0.270 to 0.869; P = .0065). The most common all-cause grade 3 or 4 adverse events in the palbociclib arm were neutropenia (92%) and leukopenia (29%); febrile neutropenia occurred in 4.1% of patients. Within-patient mean trough concentration comparisons across subgroups indicated similar palbociclib exposure between Asians and non-Asians. Global quality of life was maintained; no statistically significant changes from baseline were observed for patient-reported outcome scores with palbociclib plus fulvestrant. Conclusion This is the first report, to our knowledge, showing that palbociclib plus fulvestrant improves PFS in asian patients. Palbociclib plus fulvestrant was well tolerated in this study.


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