Predrill pore‐pressure prediction using seismic data

Geophysics ◽  
2002 ◽  
Vol 67 (4) ◽  
pp. 1286-1292 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. M. Sayers ◽  
G. M. Johnson ◽  
G. Denyer

1A predrill estimate of pore pressure can be obtained from seismic velocities using a velocity‐to–pore‐pressure transform, but the seismic velocities need to be derived using methods having sufficient resolution for well planning purposes. For a deepwater Gulf of Mexico example, significant differences are found between the velocity field obtained using reflection tomography and that obtained using a conventional method based on the Dix equation. These lead to significant differences in the predicted pore pressure. Parameters in the velocity‐to–pore‐pressure transform are estimated using seismic interval velocities and pressure data from nearby calibration wells. The uncertainty in the pore pressure prediction is analyzed by examining the spread in the predicted pore pressure obtained using parameter combinations which sample the region of parameter space consistent with the available well data. If calibration wells are not available, the ideas proposed in this paper can be used with measurements made while drilling to predict pore pressure ahead of the bit based on seismic velocities.

Geophysics ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 70 (6) ◽  
pp. O39-O50 ◽  
Author(s):  
Øyvind Kvam ◽  
Martin Landrø

In an exploration context, pore-pressure prediction from seismic data relies on the fact that seismic velocities depend on pore pressure. Conventional velocity analysis is a tool that may form the basis for obtaining interval velocities for this purpose. However, velocity analysis is inaccurate, and in this paper we focus on the possibilities and limitations of using velocity analysis for pore-pressure prediction. A time-lapse seismic data set from a segment that has undergone a pore-pressure increase of 5 to 7 MPa between the two surveys is analyzed for velocity changes using detailed velocity analysis. A synthetic time-lapse survey is used to test the sensitivity of the velocity analysis with respect to noise. The analysis shows that the pore-pressure increase cannot be detected by conventional velocity analysis because the uncertainty is much greater than the expected velocity change for a reservoir of the given thickness and burial depth. Finally, by applying amplitude-variation-with-offset (AVO) analysis to the same data, we demonstrate that seismic amplitude analysis may yield more precise information about velocity changes than velocity analysis.


2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 1021-1049
Author(s):  
Mohatsim Mahetaji ◽  
Jwngsar Brahma ◽  
Anirbid Sircar

AbstractThe Tulamura anticline falls in the state Tripura, Northeast India. The anticline is extended up to neighbour country Bangladesh. The region is characterized by huge anticlines, normal faults and abnormally pressured formations which causes a wide margin of uncertainties in wildcat well planning and design. These geological complexities of Tulamura anticline make the drilling engineers more challenging. Therefore, a proper well design is essential in such a region to prevent blowout. Drilling engineer requires to maintain wellbore pressure between the pore pressure and fracture pressure to reduce the possibility of a kick and a formation damage. Pore pressure plays an important role to design a safe and economical well in such a high pressure and temperature reservoir. For wildcat drilling, only seismic data are available in the study area. There are various methods to predict pore pressure from seismic velocity data. Modified Eaton’s method is widely used for the pore pressure prediction from seismic data in terms of the velocity ratio. Modified Eaton’s equations may cause an error by manual selection of compaction trend line which is used to find normal compaction velocity. The main objectives of this study are to develop a new method to predict pore pressure and safe well design on the top of Tulamura anticline in terms of pore pressure. The new method is validated by a well-known method, modified Eaton’s method, and RFT pressure data from offset wells. An excellent match with pore pressures estimated from RFT pressure data and predicted by new model along with modified Eaton’s method is observed in this research work. The efficiency and accuracy level of the hybrid model is more as compared to other methods as it does not require compaction velocity data; thus, an error caused by manual compaction trend can be eliminated. Pore pressure predicted by new method indicates result up to the 6000 m, which is up to the basement rock. The predicted pore pressures by new method are used as an input to calculate the fracture pressure by Hubbert and Willis method, Mathews and Killy method and modified Eaton’s method. Equivalent mud weight selection is carried out using median line principle with additional 0.3 ppg, 0.3 ppg and 0.2 ppg of swab pressure, surge pressure and safety factor, respectively, for calculation of all casing pipes. Casing setting depths are selected based on pore pressure gradient, fracture pressure gradient and mud weight using graphical method. Here, four types of casing setting depths are selected: conductor, surface, intermediate and production casings at 100 ft, 6050 ft, 15500 ft and 18,500 ft, respectively, by new methods, but the casing setting depths for intermediate are at 13500 ft in the case of modified Eaton’s method. The casing policy is selected based on burst pressure, collapse pressure and tension load. For each casing, kick tolerance in bbl is determined from kick tolerance graph to prevent the blowout. Finally, comparative safe and economical wells are designed on the top of Tulamura anticline along with target depth selection, casing setting depth selection, casing policy selection and kick tolerance in consideration of collapse pressure, burst pressure and tension load which gives a clear picture of well planning on the top of anticline in pore pressure point of view.


2002 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 188-192 ◽  
Author(s):  
Colin M. Sayers ◽  
Marta J. Woodward ◽  
Robert C. Bartman

Geophysics ◽  
2001 ◽  
Vol 66 (6) ◽  
pp. 1937-1946 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. K. Kan ◽  
Herbert W. Swan

The phenomenon of geopressure is essentially stratigraphic in nature. In most cases, its occurrence correlates strikingly well with some mappable geologic characteristics, such as lithology changes, sediment deformation, and faulting. High‐precision velocity estimates can be made from the apparent amplitude variations with offset (AVO) that result from moveout errors, even if the seismic data itself lacks any intrinsic AVO. These velocity estimates provide us with an opportunity to estimate cross‐sections and 3‐D volumes of the gradient of pore pressure with depth from surface seismic data. These cross‐sections and volumes may be obtained through the estimation of seismic interval velocities as a function of depth, subtraction of the shale compaction trend, and the calibration of trend deviations in terms of pore‐pressure gradients. When viewed in combination with stacked seismic sections, the pore‐pressure gradient sections provide the interpreter added information about the hydrogeology of the sediment. In this paper, we show examples of pressure gradients caused by a lithology change, sealing faults, and fluid migration flows. Pressure gradient cross‐sections are also extremely useful for the design of mud densities and casing prior to spudding a well.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jose Francisco Consuegra

Abstract Accurate pore pressure prediction is required to determine reliable static mud weights and circulating pressures, necessary to mitigate the risk of influx, blowouts and borehole instability. To accurately estimate the pore pressure, the over-pressure mechanism has to be identified with respect to the geological environment. One of the most widely used methods for pore pressure prediction is based on Normal Compaction Trend Analysis, where the difference between a ‘normal trend' and log value of a porosity indicator log such as sonic or resistivity is used to estimate the pore pressure. This method is biased towards shales, which typically exhibit a strong relationship between porosity and depth. Overpressure in non-shale formations has to be estimated using a different method to avoid errors while predicting the pore pressure. In this study, a different method for pore pressure prediction has been performed by using the lateral transfer approach. Many offset wells were used to predict the pore pressure. Lateral transfer in the sand body was identified as the mechanism for overpressure. This form of overpressure cannot be identified by well logs, which makes the pore pressure prediction more complex. Building a 2D geomechanical model, using seismic data as an input and following an analysis methodology that considered three type of formation fluids - gas, oil and water in the sand body, all pore pressure gradients related to lateral transfer for the respective fluids were evaluated. This methodology was applied to a conventional reservoir in a field in Colombia and was helpful to select the appropriate mud weight and circulating pressure to mitigate drilling risks associated to this mechanism of overpressure. Seismic data was critical to identifying this type of overpressure mechanism and was one of the main inputs for building the geomechanical earth model. This methodology enables drilling engineers and geoscientists to confidently predict, assess and mitigate the risks posed by overpressure in non-shale formations where lateral transfer is the driving mechanism of overpressure. This will ensure a robust well plan and minimize drilling/well control hazards associated with this mode of overpressure.


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