scholarly journals Predictors of mortality in chronic pulmonary aspergillosis

2016 ◽  
Vol 49 (2) ◽  
pp. 1601062 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Lowes ◽  
Khaled Al-Shair ◽  
Pippa J. Newton ◽  
Julie Morris ◽  
Chris Harris ◽  
...  

Chronic pulmonary aspergillosis (CPA) is a chronic progressive infection that destroys lung tissue in non-immunocompromised patients. Contemporary series suggest 50–85% 5-year mortality, with few prognostic factors identified.A cohort of 387 CPA patients referred to the UK's National Aspergillosis Centre from 1992 to June 2012 was studied until June 2015. The impact of objective and subjective variables including age, sex, previous pulmonary conditions, dyspnoea score, quality of life, serum albumin and C-reactive protein and radiological appearances were assessed using Kaplan–Meier curves, log rank tests and Cox proportional hazards modelling. In samples of patients, retrospective review of time from likely onset of CPA to referral and cause of death were also investigated.Survival was 86%, 62% and 47% at 1, 5 and 10 years, respectively. Increased mortality was associated with nontuberculous mycobacterial infection (hazard ratio 2.07, 95% CI 1.22–3.52; p<0.001) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (1.57, 1.05–2.36; p=0.029) as well as higher age (1.053, 1.03–1.07 per year; p<0.001), lower albumin (0.92, 0.87–0.96 per g·L−1), lower activity (1.021, 1.01–1.03 per point increase in St George's Respiratory Questionnaire activity domain; p<0.001) and having one, and especially, bilateral aspergillomas (p<0.001).Several factors impact on mortality of CPA, and can be evaluated as tools to assess CPA prognosis.

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
L.A Shpagina ◽  
O.S Kotova ◽  
I.S Shpagin ◽  
G.V Kuznetsova ◽  
N.V Kamneva ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Heart failure decompensation requiring hospitalization is an important event, associated with mortality and investigating its predictors is topical problem. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a common comorbidity for heart failure. Both conditions share common molecular mechanisms such as systemic inflammation. COPD is heterogeneous and subpopulations with different inflammation patterns may interact with heart failure in different manner. Airway inflammation in occupational COPD may differs from COPD in tobacco smokers. Additionally cardiotoxicity of industrial chemicals influence heart failure features. Despite this biological plausibility, heart failure and occupational COPD comorbidity is not studied enough. Purpose To reveal predictors of hospitalizations for heart failure decompensation in patients with heart failure and occupational COPD comorbidity. Methods Occupational COPD patients (n=115) were investigated in a prospective cohort observational study. Comparison group – 115 tobacco smokers with COPD. Control group – 115 healthy persons. Controls were selected by propensity score matching, covariates were COPD duration, age and gender. Then COPD groups were stratified according to heart failure. Working conditions, echocardiography, spirometry, pulsoxymetry, 6-mitute walking test were done. Molecular markers of tissue damage – chemokine ligand 18 (CCL 18), lactate dehydrogenase, cardiac troponin T, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT pro-BNP), protein S100 beta, von Willebrand factor were measured in serum by ELISA. Follow up after initial assessment was 12 month. Predictors were determined by Cox proportional hazards regression with ROC analysis. Results Heart failure rate in occupational COPD patients were higher – 54.8% versus 36.5% in tobacco smokers with COPD, p&lt;0.05. Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction was predominant – 40.9%. Prevalence of biventricular heart failure was 38.3%, isolated right heart failure – 13%, left heart failure – 2.6%. Cumulative hospitalization rate in occupational COPD with heart failure group was higher than in comparison group, 17.5% and 9.5% respectively, p=0.01. In Cox proportional hazards regression model predictors of hospitalizations for heart failure decompensation during 12 months in this group were length of service (HR 1.22, 95% CI: 1.03–2.5), aromatic hydrocarbons concentration at workplaces air (HR 1.4, 95% CI: 1.15–1.96), serum protein S100 beta (HR 1.10, 95% CI: 1.02–1.87), SaO2 (HR 1.2, 95% CI: 1.06–2.13). Area under the ROC curve was 0.82. Conclusion Length of service, aromatic hydrocarbons concentration at workplaces air, serum protein S100 beta, SaO2 are considered to be independent risk factors of heart failure decompensation required hospitalization in patients with heart failure and occupational COPD comorbidity. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Leonard Naymagon ◽  
Douglas Tremblay ◽  
John Mascarenhas

Data supporting the use of etoposide-based therapy in hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH) arise largely from pediatric studies. There is a lack of comparable data among adult patients with secondary HLH. We conducted a retrospective study to assess the impact of etoposide-based therapy on outcomes in adult secondary HLH. The primary outcome was overall survival. The log-rank test was used to compare Kaplan-Meier distributions of time-to-event outcomes. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Ninety adults with secondary HLH seen between January 1, 2009, and January 6, 2020, were included. Forty-two patients (47%) received etoposide-based therapy, while 48 (53%) received treatment only for their inciting proinflammatory condition. Thirty-three patients in the etoposide group (72%) and 32 in the no-etoposide group (67%) died during follow-up. Median survival in the etoposide and no-etoposide groups was 1.04 and 1.39 months, respectively. There was no significant difference in survival between the etoposide and no-etoposide groups (log-rank <i>p</i> = 0.4146). On multivariable analysis, there was no association between treatment with etoposide and survival (HR for death with etoposide = 1.067, 95% CI: 0.633–1.799, <i>p</i> = 0.8084). Use of etoposide-based therapy was not associated with improvement in outcomes in this large cohort of adult secondary HLH patients.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4142-4142
Author(s):  
Lucy Xiaolu Ma ◽  
Gun Ho Jang ◽  
Amy Zhang ◽  
Robert Edward Denroche ◽  
Anna Dodd ◽  
...  

4142 Background: KRAS mutations (m) (KRASm) are present in over 90% of pancreatic adenocarcinomas (PDAC) with a predominance of G12 substitutions. KRAS wildtype (WT) PDAC relies on alternate oncogenic drivers, and the prognostic impact of these remains unknown. We evaluated alterations in WT PDAC and explored the impact of specific KRASm and WT status on survival. Methods: WGS and RNAseq were performed on 570 patients (pts) ascertained through our translational research program from 2012-2021, of which 443 were included for overall survival (OS) analyses. This included 176 pts with resected and 267 pts with advanced PDAC enrolled on the COMPASS trial (NCT02750657). The latter cohort underwent biopsies prior to treatment with first line gemcitabine-nab-paclitaxel or mFOLFIRINOX as per physician choice. The Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards methods were used to estimate OS. Results: KRAS WT PDAC (n = 52) represented 9% of pts, and these cases trended to be younger than pts with KRASm (median age 61 vs 65 years p = 0.1). In resected cases, the most common alterations in WT PDAC (n = 23) included GNASm (n = 6) and BRAFm/fusions (n = 5). In advanced WT PDAC (n = 27), alterations in BRAF (n = 11) and ERBB2/3/4 (n = 6) were most prevalent. Oncogenic fusions (NTRK, NRG1, BRAF/RAF, ROS1, others) were identified in 9 pts. The BRAF in-frame deletion p.486_491del represented the most common single variant in WT PDAC, with organoid profiling revealing sensitivity to both 3rd generation BRAF inhibitors and MEK inhibition. In resected PDAC, multivariable analyses documented higher stage (p = 0.043), lack of adjuvant chemotherapy (p < 0.001), and the KRAS G12D variant (p = 0.004) as poor prognostic variables. In advanced disease, neither WT PDAC nor KRAS specific alleles had an impact on prognosis (median OS WT = 8.5 mths, G12D = 8.2, G12V = 10.0, G12R = 12.0, others = 9.2, p = 0.73); the basal-like RNA subtype conferred inferior OS (p < 0.001). A targeted therapeutic approach following first line chemotherapy was undertaken in 10% of pts with advanced PDAC: MMRd (n = 1), homologous recombination deficiency (HRD) (n = 19), KRASG12C (n = 1), CDK4/6 amplification (n = 3), ERBB family alterations (n = 2), BRAF variants (n = 2). OS in this group was superior (14.7 vs 8.8 mths, p = 0.04), mainly driven by HRD-PDAC where KRASm were present in 89%. Conclusions: In our dataset, KRAS G12D is associated with inferior OS in resected PDAC, however KRAS mutational status was not prognostic in advanced disease. This suggests that improved OS in the WT PDAC population can only be achieved if there is accelerated access to targeted drugs for pts.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Judy Tung ◽  
Musarrat Nahid ◽  
Mangala Rajan ◽  
Lia Logio

Abstract Background Academic medical centers invest considerably in faculty development efforts to support the career success and promotion of their faculty, and to minimize faculty attrition. This study evaluated the impact of a faculty development program called the Leadership in Academic Medicine Program (LAMP) on participants’ (1) self-ratings of efficacy, (2) promotion in academic rank, and (3) institutional retention. Method Participants from the 2013–2020 LAMP cohorts were surveyed pre and post program to assess their level of agreement with statements that spanned domains of self-awareness, self-efficacy, satisfaction with work and work environment. Pre and post responses were compared using McNemar’s tests. Changes in scores across gender were compared using Wilcoxon Rank Sum/Mann-Whitney tests. LAMP participants were matched to nonparticipant controls by gender, rank, department, and time of hire to compare promotions in academic rank and departures from the organization. Kaplan Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine differences. Results There were significant improvements in almost all self-ratings on program surveys (p < 0.05). Greatest improvements were seen in “understand the promotions process” (36% vs. 94%), “comfortable negotiating” (35% vs. 74%), and “time management” (55% vs. 92%). There were no statistically significant differences in improvements by gender, however women faculty rated themselves lower on all pre-program items compared to men. There was significant difference found in time-to-next promotion (p = 0.003) between LAMP participants and controls. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that LAMP faculty achieved next promotion more often and faster than controls. Cox-proportional-hazards analyses found that LAMP faculty were 61% more likely to be promoted than controls (hazard ratio [HR] 1.61, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.16–2.23, p-value = 0.004). There was significant difference found in time-to-departure (p < 0.0001) with LAMP faculty retained more often and for longer periods. LAMP faculty were 77% less likely to leave compared to controls (HR 0.23, 95% CI 0.16–0.34, p < 0.0001). Conclusions LAMP is an effective faculty development program as measured subjectively by participant self-ratings and objectively through comparative improvements in academic promotions and institutional retention.


Circulation ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 135 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gregory L Kinney ◽  
Kendra A Young ◽  
Katherine Pratte ◽  
Elizabeth A Regan ◽  
Lindsey Duca ◽  
...  

Background: Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is a complex syndrome involving all aspects of the lungs which is strongly associated with cigarette smoking. Parenchymal destruction and remodeling are disease processes involving inflammatory pathways likely to have systemic vascular effects outside of the lungs. Indeed cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading cause of mortality in people affected by COPD and many co-morbid conditions are also associated with the disease. We explored CVD mortality in smokers considering aspects of COPD as well as co-morbidities in the longitudinal follow-up of the COPDGene study. Methods: The COPDGene study includes baseline and longitudinal assessment of mortality for 8,157 participants with (3,604) and without COPD (4,553) all of whom reported >10 pack-years smoking exposure. Aspects of COPD including CT phenotyping and pulmonary function were combined using Principal Components Analysis (PCA), co-morbidities were combined using Latent Class Analysis (LCA) and cause specific mortality was assessed using study center reports, SSRI searches and single clinician adjudication. Cox Proportional Hazards models accounting for the effects of competing risks were used to assess the association between PCA factors and CVD mortality and PCA factors plus LCA classes and CVD mortality. Results: PCA analysis resulted in 5 factors describing emphysema, airway disease, gas trapping, BMI and its effect on CT measurement and hyperinflation and LCA analysis identified 7 classes of co-morbidities. CVD associated mortality occurred in 128 participants and competing causes of mortality occurred in 605. The PCA factor describing airway disease predicted CVD mortality in the PCA only model (HR 1.8, 95%C.I. 1.4-2.3,p<0.0001), as well as in the LCA model (HR 1.7, 95% C.I. 1.3-2.2, p<0.0001). LCA classes associated with CVD mortality include a class describing diabetes, high BP and high Cholesterol (HR 3.5, 95% C.I. 1.8-6.8, p=0.0003) and a class describing known CVD (HR 2.9, 95% C.I. 1.3-6.7, p=0.01). Conclusions: Co-morbidities of COPD represent independent predictors of CVD associated mortality in smokers accounting for pulmonary disease and competing mortality risks. Clustering of comorbidities using LCA is an approach that may be informative in complex diseases.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
D N Silverman ◽  
T B Plante ◽  
M I Infeld ◽  
S P Juraschek ◽  
G Dougherty ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The use of beta-blockers for treatment of heart failure (HF) with a reduced ejection fraction (EF) is unequivocally beneficial, but their role in the treatment of preserved EF (HFpEF) remains unclear. Purpose In a contemporary HFpEF cohort, we sought to assess the association of HF hospitalizations and the use of beta-blockers in patients with an EF above and below 50%. Methods The TOPCAT trial tested spironolactone vs. placebo among patients with HFpEF, including some with mild reductions in EF between 45–50%. The primary outcome was a composite of cardiovascular (CV) mortality, aborted cardiac arrest, or HF hospitalizations. Medication use, including beta-blockers, was reported at each visit and hospitalization. In the 1,761 participants from the Americas, we compared the association of beta-blocker use (vs. no use) and HF hospitalization or CV mortality using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for baseline demographics, history of myocardial infarction, atrial fibrillation, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, and hypertension. The analyses were repeated in the EF strata ≥50% and <50%. Results Among patients included in the current analysis (mean age 72 years, 50% female, 78% white), 1,496/1,761 (85%) received beta-blockers and 1,566/1,761 (89%) had an EF ≥50%. HF hospitalizations and CV mortality occurred in 399/1,761 (23%) and 223/1,761 (13%) of participants, respectively. Beta-blocker use was associated with an increase in risk of HF hospitalization among patients with preserved EF ≥50% [HR 1.56, (95% CI 1.09–2.24), p=0.01] and was associated with a reduction in risk of hospitalization in patients with an EF <50% [HR 0.42, (95% CI 0.18- 0.99), p<0.05]. We found a significant interaction for EF threshold and beta-blocker use on incident HF hospitalizations (p=0.01). There were no differences in CV mortality. Figure 1. Kaplan Meier incidence plots Conclusions Beta-blocker use was associated with an increase in HF hospitalizations in patients with HFpEF (EF≥50%) but did not affect CV mortality. Further research is needed to confirm these findings and elucidate causality.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 5042-5042
Author(s):  
Iris Yeong- Fung Sheng ◽  
Shilpa Gupta ◽  
Chandana A. Reddy ◽  
Dana E Angelini ◽  
Pauline Funchain ◽  
...  

5042 Background: Most pts with bladder cancer will be treated with immunotherapy. There is concern for increased TE risk with CPIs in this already high risk population. We present the first analysis of the incidence and outcomes of venous (VTE) and arterial (ATE) thromboembolism in pts with bladder cancer treated with CPIs. Methods: Consecutive pts with bladder cancer treated with CPIs at the Cleveland Clinic from 1/2015 to 12/2019 were identified and TE events noted. Overall survival (OS) was estimated using Kaplan-Meier method and the impact of VTE on OS was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards regression. Results: Of 274 pts, 72% were men (median age 73.3 years, 89% white), 82% had pure UC, 92% had lower tract disease, and 67% had a Bajorin score ≥1 (median KPS 90, 61% visceral metastases), 59% had prior systemic therapy (median 1, range 0-4) and 36% had prior TE (14% ATE, 19% VTE, 0.4% both). At CPI initiation, 24% were on antiplatelet therapy, and 15% on therapeutic anticoagulation. CPI (median doses 5, range 8.5-59) included: 40% atezolizumab, 3% nivolumab, 57% pembrolizumab. VTE occurred in 14% (n = 37), including 8% DVT, 4% PE, 2% both. DVT locations were 56% lower limb, 26% upper limb, 15% visceral vein, 4% visceral+upper limb. 2% (n = 5) had ATE (1% CVA, 0.4% visceral, 0.4% left subclavian). 92% of VTE and all ATE occurred within 6 months of CPI initiation. The incidence of TE was 10.9% (95%CI 6.6%—15.1%) at 6 months and 19.8% (95%CI 13.3%-26.4%) at 12 months. 82% of VTE (mean 6 days) and all ATE (mean 5 days) resulted in hospitalization. Multivariate analysis showed TE (HR 2.296, 95%CI 1.451-3.632, p = 0.0004), Bajorin score 1 (HR 1.490, 95%CI 1.036-2.142, p = 0.0315), and Bajorin score 2 (HR 3.50, 95%CI 2.14-5.74, p < 0.0001) were independently associated with worse OS. Conclusions: CPIs in bladder cancer pts are associated with a high TE risk, especially within six months of initiation. TE is associated with worsened survival. Further investigation into the risk factors for CPI-associated TE is needed to identify if benefits exist from thromboprophylaxis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S201-S202
Author(s):  
M Kabir ◽  
K Curtius ◽  
P Kalia ◽  
I Al Bakir ◽  
C H R Choi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Racial disparities in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) phenotypic presentations and outcomes are recognised. However, there are conflicting data from Western population-based cohort studies as to whether racial differences in colitis-associated colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence exists. To our knowledge this is the first study to investigate the impact of ethnicity on the natural history of dysplasia in ulcerative colitis (UC). Methods We performed a retrospective multi-centre cohort study of adult patients with UC whose first low-grade dysplasia (LGD) diagnosis within the extent of colitis was made between 1 January 2001 and 30 December 2018. Only patients with at least one follow-up colonoscopy or colectomy by 30 August 2019 were included. The study end point was time to CRC or end of follow-up. Statistical differences between groups were evaluated using Mann-Whitney U tests and Chi-squared tests. Survival analyses were performed using Kaplan-Meier estimation and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. Results 408 patients met the inclusion criteria (see Figure 1 for patient and clinical demographics). More patients from a Black or Asian (BAME) background progressed to CRC [13.4% vs. 6.4%; p=0.036] compared to their White Caucasian counterparts, despite having surveillance follow-up. Figure 2 displays Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrating the probability of remaining CRC-free after LGD diagnosis and categorised by ethnicity. BAME patients were more likely to have moderate-severe inflammatory activity on colonic biopsy within the 5 preceding years [42.0% vs. 28.9%; p=0.023], but no significant differences in medication use and a longer median time interval from LGD diagnosis to colectomy date [32 months vs. 11 months; p=0.021]. After adjusting for sex, age and UC duration at time of LGD diagnosis and presence of moderate-severe histological inflammation, being Black or Asian was a predictive factor for CRC progression on multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis [HR 2.97 (95% CI 1.22 – 7.20); p = 0.016]. However, ethnicity was no longer predictive of CRC progression on sub-analysis of the 317 patients who did not have a colectomy during the follow-up period. Conclusion In this UK multi-centre cohort of UC surveillance patients diagnosed with LGD, delays in receiving cancer preventative colectomy may contribute to an increased CRC incidence in certain ethnic groups. Further work is required to elucidate whether these delays are related to institutional factors (e.g. inequity in the content of decision-making support given or access to healthcare) or cultural factors.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shilong Wu ◽  
Mengyang Liu ◽  
Weixue Cui ◽  
Guilin Peng ◽  
Jianxing He

Abstract Background Thymoma is an uncommon intrathoracic malignant tumor and has a long natural history. It is uncertain whether the survival of thymoma patient is affected by prior cancer history. Finding out the impact of a prior cancer history on thymoma survival has important implications for both decision making and research. Method The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was queried for thymoma patients diagnosed between 1975 and 2015. Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox proportional hazards model were used to analyze overall survival across a variety of stages, age, and treatment methods with a prior cancer history or not. Results A total of 3604 patients with thymoma were identified including 507 (14.1%) with a prior cancer history. The 10-year survival rate of patients with a prior cancer history (53.8%) was worse than those without a prior cancer history (40.32%, 95%CI 35.24-45.33, P < 0.0001). However, adjusted analyses showed that the impact of a prior cancer history was heterogenous across age and treatment methods. In subset analyses, prior cancer history was associated with worse survival among patients who were treated with chemoradiotherapy (HR: 2.80, 95% CI: 1.51-5.20, P = 0.001) and age ≤ 65 years (HR: 1.33, 95%CI: 1.02-1.73, P = 0.036). Conclusions Prior cancer history provides an inferior overall survival for patients with thymoma. But it does not worsen the survival in some subgroups and these thymoma patients should not be excluded from clinical trials.


2021 ◽  
pp. FSO684
Author(s):  
Yael N Kusne ◽  
Heidi E Kosiorek ◽  
Matthew R Buras ◽  
Patricia M Verona ◽  
Kyle E Coppola ◽  
...  

Aim: We aimed to determine the impact of diabetes mellitus (DM) on survival of patients with neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) and of NETs on glycemic control. Patients & methods: Patients with newly diagnosed NETs with/without DM were matched 1:1 by age, sex and diagnosis year (2005–2017), and survival compared (Kaplan–Meier and Cox proportional hazards). Mixed models compared hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and glucose during the year after cancer diagnosis. Results: Three-year overall survival was 72% (95% CI: 60–86%) for DM patients versus 80% (95% CI: 70–92%) for non-DM patients (p = 0.82). Hazard ratio was 1.33 (95% CI: 0.56–3.16; p = 0.51); mean DM HbA1c, 7.3%. Conclusion: DM did not adversely affect survival of patients with NET. NET and its treatment did not affect glycemic control.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document