scholarly journals Prognostic value of MELD-XI score in patients referring to the emergency department with acute ST elevation myocardial infarction

2020 ◽  
pp. 102490792090419
Author(s):  
Olgun Çelik ◽  
Orçun Çiftci ◽  
İbrahim Haldun Müderrisoğlu

Objective: We aimed to evaluate Model for End-stage Liver Disease excluding international normalized ratio (MELD-XI) score for prediction of 30-day in-hospital mortality in a cohort of patients with ST elevation myocardial infarction. Methods: The medical records of a total of 256 patients admitted with ST elevation myocardial infarction to the emergency department between January 2015 and January 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. A total of 111 patients were found eligible for the study. MELD-XI score was analyzed and compared on the basis of survival status. Results: A total of 111 patients with a mean age of 62.5 ± 2.55 years were included in the study. In total, 81% (n = 90) of the patients were male and 19% (n = 21) were female. The mean MELD-XI score of the patients was 10.1 ± 1.1. A total of 12 patients (12.9%) died within 30 days after hospitalization. The median MELD-XI score of the patients who died in the hospital was significantly higher than the patients survived (11.0 (10.5–11.6) vs 9.5 (9.4–13.8); p < 0.01). However, Gensini score was not significantly different between the surviving and deceased patients (p > 0.05). MELD-XI score was significantly correlated to left ventricular ejection fraction (r = −232, p < 0.01), and both parameters and age were significant independent predictors of in-hospital mortality (odds ratio: 1.73, 95% confidence interval: 1.25–2.39, p < 0.05; odds ratio: 0.89, 95% confidence interval: 0.81–0.99, p < 0.05; and odds ratio: 1.07, 95% confidence interval: 0.99–1.15, p < 0.05, respectively). A MELD-XI cut-off point of 10 had a sensitivity of 100% and a specificity of 78.8% for in-hospital mortality (area under receiver operating characteristics curve: 0.92, 95% confidence interval: 0.87–0.97, p < 0.05). A survival analysis based on a MELD-XI threshold of 10 revealed that the patients in the high-MELD-XI group had a significantly worse in-hospital survival (log rank test p < 0.001). Conclusion: MELD-XI score is a useful tool for in-hospital mortality prediction in patients referring to emergency medicine with acute ST elevation myocardial infarction.

2021 ◽  
pp. 021849232098791
Author(s):  
Yash Paul Sharma ◽  
Ganesh Kasinadhuni ◽  
Krishna Santosh ◽  
Nitin Kumar Parashar ◽  
Rakesh Sharma ◽  
...  

Objective Cardiogenic shock accounts for the majority of deaths amongst patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction. Procalcitonin is elevated in acute myocardial infarction, especially when complicated by left heart failure, cardiogenic shock, resuscitated cardiac arrest, and bacterial infections. However, the prognostic utility of procalcitonin in ST-elevation myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock has not been systematically evaluated. Methods We performed a retrospective registry review of 125 patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction and cardiogenic shock over 2 years at a tertiary referral hospital to examine the prognostic value of serum procalcitonin measurement at 24 hours after the onset of infarction for in-hospital mortality. Results The mean age of the study population was 57.75 ± 11.1 years, and the median delay from onset to hospital admission was 15 hours. The in-hospital mortality was 28.8%. Receiver operating characteristic analysis revealed a strong relationship between elevated procalcitonin and in-hospital mortality (area under the curve = 0.676; p = 0.002). Although procalcitonin was found to be higher in non-survivors in univariate analysis, it was not an independent predictor of mortality in multivariate regression analysis. Acute kidney injury, left ventricular ejection fraction, and non-revascularization were independently associated with mortality after adjusting for covariates. Conclusion Although procalcitonin was higher in non-survivors, static procalcitonin measurement at 24 hours after the onset of ST-elevation myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock was not an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality. Additional prospective studies are required to assess the role of serial procalcitonin monitoring in ST-elevation myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 546-556 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ayman El-Menyar ◽  
Khalid F Al Habib ◽  
Mohammad Zubaid ◽  
Alawi A Alsheikh-Ali ◽  
Kadhim Sulaiman ◽  
...  

Background: Shock index is a bedside reflection of integrated response of the cardiovascular and nervous systems. We aimed to evaluate the utility of shock index (heart rate/systolic blood pressure) in patients presenting with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Methods: We analyzed pooled data from seven Arabian Gulf registries; these ACS registries were carried out in seven countries (Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, UAE, Saudi Arabia, Oman and Yemen) between 2005 and 2017. A standard uniform coding strategy was used to recode each database using each registry protocol and clinical research form. Patients were categorized into two groups based on their initial shock index (low vs. high shock index). Optimal shock index cutoff was determined according to the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). Primary outcome was hospital mortality. Results: A total of 24,636 ACS patients met the inclusion criteria with a mean age 57±13 years. Based on ROC analysis, the optimal shock index was 0.80 (83.5% had shock index <0.80 and 16.5% had shock index ≥0.80). In patients with high shock index, 55% had ST-elevation myocardial infarction and 45% had non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction. Patients with high shock index were more likely to have diabetes mellitus, late presentation, door to electrocardiogram >10 min, symptom to Emergency Department > 3 h, anterior myocardial infarction, impaired left ventricular function, no reperfusion post-therapy, recurrent ischemia/myocardial infarction, tachyarrhythmia and stroke. However, high shock index was associated significantly with less chest pain, less thrombolytic therapy and less primary percutaneous coronary intervention. Shock index correlated significantly with pulse pressure ( r= −0.52), mean arterial pressure ( r= −0.48), Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events score ( r =0.41) and Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction simple risk index ( r= −0.59). Shock index ≥0.80 predicted mortality in ACS with 49% sensitivity, 85% specificity, 97.6% negative predictive value and 0.6 negative likelihood ratio. Multivariate regression analysis showed that shock index was an independent predictor for in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 3.40, p<0.001), heart failure (aOR 1.67, p<0.001) and cardiogenic shock (aOR 3.70, p<0.001). Conclusions: Although shock index is the least accurate of the ones tested, its simplicity may argue in favor of its use for early risk stratification in patients with ACS. The utility of shock index is equally good for ST-elevation myocardial infarction and non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome. High shock index identifies patients at increased risk of in-hospital mortality and urges physicians in the Emergency Department to use aggressive management.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (23) ◽  
pp. 5677
Author(s):  
Mohammad A. Almesned ◽  
Femke M. Prins ◽  
Erik Lipšic ◽  
Margery A. Connelly ◽  
Erwin Garcia ◽  
...  

The gut metabolite trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO) at admission has a prognostic value in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients. However, its sequential changes and relationship with long-term infarct-related outcomes after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) remain elusive. We delineated the temporal course of TMAO and its relationship with infarct size and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) post-PCI, adjusting for the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). We measured TMAO levels at admission, 24 h and 4 months post-PCI in 379 STEMI patients. Infarct size and LVEF were determined by cardiac magnetic resonance 4 months after PCI. TMAO levels decreased from admission (4.13 ± 4.37 μM) to 24 h (3.41 ± 5.84 μM, p = 0.001) and increased from 24 h to 4 months (3.70 ± 3.86 μM, p = 0.026). Higher TMAO values at 24 h were correlated to smaller infarct sizes (rho = −0.16, p = 0.024). Larger declines between admission and 4 months suggestively correlated with smaller infarct size, and larger TMAO increases between 24 h and 4 months were associated with larger infarct size (rho = −0.19, p = 0.008 and rho = −0.18, p = 0.019, respectively). Upon eGFR stratification using 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 as a cut-off, significant associations between TMAO and infarct size were only noted in subjects with impaired renal function. In conclusion, TMAO levels in post-PCI STEMI patients are prone to fluctuations, and these fluctuations could be prognostic for infarct size, particularly in patients with impaired renal function.


Open Heart ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. e000852 ◽  
Author(s):  
Artin Entezarjou ◽  
Moman Aladdin Mohammad ◽  
Pontus Andell ◽  
Sasha Koul

BackgroundST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) occurs as a result of rupture of an atherosclerotic plaque in the coronary arteries. Limited data exist regarding the impact of culprit coronary vessel on hard clinical event rates. This study investigated the impact of culprit vessel on outcomes after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) of STEMI.MethodsA total of 29 832 previously cardiac healthy patients who underwent primary PCI between 2003 and 2014 were prospectively included from the Swedish Coronary Angiography and Angioplasty Registry and the Registry of Information and Knowledge about Swedish Heart Intensive care Admissions. Patients were stratified into three groups based on culprit vessel (right coronary artery (RCA), left anterior descending artery (LAD) and left circumflex artery (LCx)). The primary outcome was 1-year mortality. The secondary outcomes included 30-day and 5-year mortality, as well as heart failure, stroke, bleeding and myocardial reinfarction at 30 days, 1 year and 5 years. Univariable and multivariable analyses were done using Cox regression models.ResultsOne-year analyses revealed that LAD infarctions had the highest increased risk of death, heart failure and stroke compared with RCA infarctions, which had the lowest risk. Sensitivity analyses revealed that reduced left ventricular ejection fraction on discharge partially explained this increased relative risk in mortality. Furthermore, landmark analyses revealed that culprit vessel had no significant influence on 1-year mortality if a patient survived 30 days after myocardial infarction. Subgroup analyses revealed female sex and multivessel disease (MVD) as significant high-risk groups with respect to 1-year mortality.ConclusionsLAD and LCx infarctions had a relatively higher adjusted mortality rate compared with RCA infarctions, with LAD infarctions in particular being associated with an increased risk of heart failure, stroke and death. Culprit vessel had limited influence on mortality after 1 month. High-risk patient groups include LAD infarctions in women or with concomitant MVD.


Open Heart ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. e000810 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ivo M van Dongen ◽  
Joëlle Elias ◽  
K Gert van Houwelingen ◽  
Pierfrancesco Agostoni ◽  
Bimmer E P M Claessen ◽  
...  

ObjectiveThe impact on cardiac function of collaterals towards a concomitant chronic total coronary occlusion (CTO) in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) has not been investigated yet. Therefore, we have evaluated the impact of well-developed collaterals compared with poorly developed collaterals to a concomitant CTO in STEMI.Methods and resultsIn the EXPLORE trial, patients with STEMI and a concomitant CTO were randomised to either CTO percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or no-CTO PCI. Collateral grades were scored angiographically using the Rentrop grade classification. Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and left ventricular end-diastolic volume (LVEDV) at 4 months were measured using cardiac magnetic resonance imaging. Well-developed collaterals (Rentrop grades 2–3) to the CTO were present in 162 (54%) patients; these patients had a significantly higher LVEF at 4 months (46.2±11.4% vs 42.1±12.7%, p=0.004) as well as a trend for a lower LVEDV (208.2±55.7 mL vs 222.6±68.5 mL, p=0.054) when compared with patients with poorly developed collaterals to the CTO. There was no significant difference in the total amount of scar in the two groups. Event rates were statistically comparable between patients with well-developed collaterals and poorly developed collaterals to the CTO at long-term follow-up.ConclusionsIn patients with STEMI and a concomitant CTO, the presence of well-developed collaterals to a concomitant CTO is associated with a better LVEF at 4 months. However, this effect on LVEF did not translate into improvement in clinical outcome. Therefore, the presence of well-developed collaterals is important, but should not solely guide in the clinical decision-making process regarding any additional revascularisation of a concomitant CTO in patients with STEMI.Clinical trial registrationNTR1108.


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