scholarly journals Spatiotemporal Disaggregation of Remotely Sensed Precipitation for Ensemble Hydrologic Modeling and Data Assimilation

2006 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 511-533 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven A. Margulis ◽  
Dara Entekhabi ◽  
Dennis McLaughlin

Abstract Historically, estimates of precipitation for hydrologic applications have largely been obtained using ground-based rain gauges despite the fact that they can contain significant measurement and sampling errors. Remotely sensed precipitation products provide the ability to overcome spatial coverage limitations, but the direct use of these products generally suffers from their relatively coarse spatial and temporal resolution and inherent retrieval errors. A simple ensemble-based disaggregation scheme is proposed as a general framework for using remotely sensed precipitation data in hydrologic applications. The scheme generates fine-scale precipitation realizations that are conditioned on large-scale precipitation measurements. The ensemble approach allows for uncertainty related to the complex error characteristics of the remotely sensed precipitation (undetected events, nonzero false alarm rate, etc.) to be taken into account. The methodology is applied through several synthetic experiments over the southern Great Plains using the Global Precipitation Climatology Project 1° daily (GPCP-1DD) product. The scheme is shown to reasonably capture the land-surface-forcing variability and propagate this uncertainty to the estimation of soil moisture and land surface flux fields at fine scales. The ensemble results outperform a case using sparse ground-based forcing. Additionally, the ensemble nature of the framework allows for simply merging the open-loop soil moisture estimation scheme with modern data assimilation techniques like the ensemble Kalman filter. Results show that estimation of the soil moisture and surface flux fields are further improved through the assimilation of coarse-scale microwave radiobrightness observations.

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yixin Mao ◽  
Wade T. Crow ◽  
Bart Nijssen

Abstract. Soil moisture (SM) measurements contain information about both pre-storm hydrologic states and within-storm rainfall estimates, both are essential for accurate streamflow simulation. In this study, an existing dual state/rainfall correction system is extended and implemented in a large basin with a semi-distributed land surface model. The latest Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) satellite surface SM retrievals are assimilated to simultaneously correct antecedent SM states in the model and rainfall estimates from the latest Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission. While the GPM rainfall is corrected slightly to moderately, especially for larger events, the correction is smaller than that reported in past studies because of the improved baseline quality of the new GPM satellite product. The streamflow is corrected slightly to moderately via dual correction across 8 Arkansas-Red sub-basins. The correction is larger at sub-basins with poorer GPM rainfall and poorer open-loop streamflow simulations. Overall, although the dual data assimilation scheme is able to nudge streamflow simulations in the correct direction, it corrects only a relatively small portion of the total streamflow error. Systematic modeling error accounts for a larger portion of the overall streamflow error, which is uncorrectable by standard data assimilation techniques. These findings suggest that we may be reaching a point of diminishing returns for applying data assimilation approaches to correct random errors in streamflow simulations. More substantial streamflow correction would rely on future research efforts aimed at reducing the systematic error and developing higher-quality satellite rainfall products.


2014 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 2446-2469 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sujay V. Kumar ◽  
Christa D. Peters-Lidard ◽  
David Mocko ◽  
Rolf Reichle ◽  
Yuqiong Liu ◽  
...  

Abstract The accurate knowledge of soil moisture and snow conditions is important for the skillful characterization of agricultural and hydrologic droughts, which are defined as deficits of soil moisture and streamflow, respectively. This article examines the influence of remotely sensed soil moisture and snow depth retrievals toward improving estimates of drought through data assimilation. Soil moisture and snow depth retrievals from a variety of sensors (primarily passive microwave based) are assimilated separately into the Noah land surface model for the period of 1979–2011 over the continental United States, in the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) configuration. Overall, the assimilation of soil moisture and snow datasets was found to provide marginal improvements over the open-loop configuration. Though the improvements in soil moisture fields through soil moisture data assimilation were barely at the statistically significant levels, these small improvements were found to translate into subsequent small improvements in simulated streamflow. The assimilation of snow depth datasets were found to generally improve the snow fields, but these improvements did not always translate to corresponding improvements in streamflow, including some notable degradations observed in the western United States. A quantitative examination of the percentage drought area from root-zone soil moisture and streamflow percentiles was conducted against the U.S. Drought Monitor data. The results suggest that soil moisture assimilation provides improvements at short time scales, both in the magnitude and representation of the spatial patterns of drought estimates, whereas the impact of snow data assimilation was marginal and often disadvantageous.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elizabeth Cooper ◽  
Eleanor Blyth ◽  
Hollie Cooper ◽  
Rich Ellis ◽  
Ewan Pinnington ◽  
...  

Abstract. Soil moisture predictions from land surface models are important in hydrological, ecological and meteorological applications. In recent years the availability of wide-area soil-moisture measurements has increased, but few studies have combined model-based soil moisture predictions with in-situ observations beyond the point scale. Here we show that we can markedly improve soil moisture estimates from the JULES land surface model using field scale observations and data assimilation techniques. Rather than directly updating soil moisture estimates towards observed values, we optimize constants in the underlying pedotransfer functions, which relate soil texture to JULES soil physics parameters. In this way we generate a single set of newly calibrated pedotransfer functions based on observations from a number of UK sites with different soil textures. We demonstrate that calibrating a pedotransfer function in this way can improve the performance of land surface models, leading to the potential for better flood, drought and climate projections.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haojin Zhao ◽  
Roland Baatz ◽  
Carsten Montzka ◽  
Harry Vereecken ◽  
Harrie-Jan Hendricks Franssen

<p>Soil moisture plays an important role in the coupled water and energy cycles of the terrestrial system. However, the characterization of soil moisture at the large spatial scale is far from trivial. To cope with this challenge, the combination of data from different sources (in situ measurements by cosmic ray neutron sensors, remotely sensed soil moisture and simulated soil moisture by models) is pursued. This is done by multiscale data assimilation, to take the different resolutions of the data into account. A large number of studies on the assimilation of remotely sensed soil moisture in land surface models has been published, which show in general only a limited improvement in the characterization of root zone soil moisture, and no improvement in the characterization of evapotranspiration. In this study it was investigated whether an improved modelling of soil moisture content, using a simulation model where the interactions between the land surface, surface water and groundwater are better represented, can contribute to extracting more information from SMAP data. In this study over North-Rhine-Westphalia, the assimilation of remotely sensed soil moisture from SMAP in the coupled land surface-subsurface model TSMP was tested. Results were compared with the assimilation in the stand-alone land surface model CLM. It was also tested whether soil hydraulic parameter estimation in combination with state updating could give additional skill compared to assimilation in CLM stand-alone and without parameter updating. Results showed that modelled soil moisture by TSMP did not show a systematic bias compared to SMAP, whereas CLM was systematically wetter than TSMP. Therefore, no prior bias correction was needed in the data assimilation. The results illustrate how the difference in simulation model and parameter estimation result in significantly different estimated soil moisture contents and evapotranspiration.  </p>


2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 183-200 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Malbéteau ◽  
O. Merlin ◽  
G. Balsamo ◽  
S. Er-Raki ◽  
S. Khabba ◽  
...  

Abstract High spatial and temporal resolution surface soil moisture is required for most hydrological and agricultural applications. The recently developed Disaggregation based on Physical and Theoretical Scale Change (DisPATCh) algorithm provides 1-km-resolution surface soil moisture by downscaling the 40-km Soil Moisture Ocean Salinity (SMOS) soil moisture using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data. However, the temporal resolution of DisPATCh data is constrained by the temporal resolution of SMOS (a global coverage every 3 days) and further limited by gaps in MODIS images due to cloud cover. This paper proposes an approach to overcome these limitations based on the assimilation of the 1-km-resolution DisPATCh data into a simple dynamic soil model forced by (inaccurate) precipitation data. The performance of the approach was assessed using ground measurements of surface soil moisture in the Yanco area in Australia and the Tensift-Haouz region in Morocco during 2014. It was found that the analyzed daily 1-km-resolution surface soil moisture compared slightly better to in situ data for all sites than the original disaggregated soil moisture products. Over the entire year, assimilation increased the correlation coefficient between estimated soil moisture and ground measurements from 0.53 to 0.70, whereas the mean unbiased RMSE (ubRMSE) slightly decreased from 0.07 to 0.06 m3 m−3 compared to the open-loop force–restore model. The proposed assimilation scheme has significant potential for large-scale applications over semiarid areas, since the method is based on data available at the global scale together with a parsimonious land surface model.


Author(s):  
Jostein Blyverket ◽  
Paul D. Hamer ◽  
Laurent Bertino ◽  
Clément Albergel ◽  
David Fairbairn ◽  
...  

A number of studies have shown that assimilation of satellite derived soil moisture using the ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) can improve soil moisture estimates, particularly for the surface zone. However, the EnKF is computationally expensive since an ensemble of model integrations have to be propagated forward in time. Here, assimilating satellite soil moisture data from the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission, we compare the EnKF with the computationally cheaper ensemble Optimal Interpolation (EnOI) method over the contiguous United States (CONUS). The background error-covariance in the EnOI is sampled in two ways: i) by using the stochastic spread from an ensemble open-loop run, and ii) sampling from the model spinup climatology. Our results indicate that the EnKF is only marginally superior to one version of the EnOI. Furthermore the assimilation of SMAP data using the EnKF and EnOI is found to improve the surface zone correlation with in-situ observations at a 95% significance level. The EnKF assimilation of SMAP data is also found to improve root-zone correlation with independent in-situ data at the same significance level; however this improvement is dependent on which in-situ network we are validating against. We evaluate how the quality of the atmospheric forcing affects the analysis results by prescribing the land surface data assimilation system with either observation corrected or model derived precipitation. Surface zone correlation skill increases for the analysis using both the corrected and model derived precipitation, but only the latter shows an improvement at the 95% significance level. The study also suggest that the EnOI can be used for bias-correction of the atmospheric fields where post-processed data are not available. Finally, we assimilate three different Level-2 satellite derived soil moisture products from ESA Climate Change Initiative (CCI), SMAP and SMOS (Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity) using the EnOI, and then compare the relative performance of the three resulting analyses against in-situ soil moisture observations. In this comparison, we find that all three analyses offer improvements over an open-loop run when comparing to in-situ observations. The assimilation of SMAP data is found to perform marginally better than the assimilation of SMOS data, while assimilation of the ESA CCI data shows the smallest improvement of the three analysis products.


2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 727-741 ◽  
Author(s):  
Randal D. Koster ◽  
Qing Liu ◽  
Sarith P. P. Mahanama ◽  
Rolf H. Reichle

Abstract The assimilation of remotely sensed soil moisture information into a land surface model has been shown in past studies to contribute accuracy to the simulated hydrological variables. Remotely sensed data, however, can also be used to improve the model itself through the calibration of the model’s parameters, and this can also increase the accuracy of model products. Here, data provided by the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) satellite mission are applied to the land surface component of the NASA GEOS Earth system model using both data assimilation and model calibration in order to quantify the relative degrees to which each strategy improves the estimation of near-surface soil moisture and streamflow. The two approaches show significant complementarity in their ability to extract useful information from the SMAP data record. Data assimilation reduces the ubRMSE (the RMSE after removing the long-term bias) of soil moisture estimates and improves the timing of streamflow variations, whereas model calibration reduces the model biases in both soil moisture and streamflow. While both approaches lead to an improved timing of simulated soil moisture, these contributions are largely independent; joint use of both approaches provides the highest soil moisture simulation accuracy.


2006 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 494-510 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dennis McLaughlin ◽  
Yuhua Zhou ◽  
Dara Entekhabi ◽  
Virat Chatdarong

Abstract Land surface data assimilation problems are often limited by the high dimensionality of states created by spatial discretization over large high-resolution computational grids. Yet field observations and simulation both confirm that soil moisture can have pronounced spatial structure, especially after extensive rainfall. This suggests that the high dimensionality of the problem could be reduced during wet periods if spatial patterns could be more efficiently represented. After prolonged drydown, when spatial structure is determined primarily by small-scale soil and vegetation variability rather than rainfall, the original high-dimensional problem can be effectively replaced by many independent low-dimensional problems that can be solved in parallel with relatively little effort. In reality, conditions are continually varying between these two extremes. This is confirmed by a singular value decomposition of the replicate matrix (covariance square root) produced in an ensemble forecasting simulation experiment. The singular value spectrum drops off quickly after rainfall events, when a few leading modes dominate the spatial structure of soil moisture. The spectrum is much flatter after a prolonged drydown period, when spatial structure is less significant. Deterministic reduced-rank Kalman filters can achieve significant computational efficiency by focusing on the leading modes of a system with large-scale spatial structure. But these methods are not well suited for land surface problems with complex uncertain inputs and rapidly changing spectra. Local ensemble Kalman filters are suitable for such problems during dry periods but give less accurate results after rainfall. The most promising option for achieving computational efficiency and accuracy is to develop generalized localization methods that dynamically aggregate states, reflecting structural changes in the ensemble.


2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (9) ◽  
pp. 4291-4316 ◽  
Author(s):  
Clément Albergel ◽  
Yongjun Zheng ◽  
Bertrand Bonan ◽  
Emanuel Dutra ◽  
Nemesio Rodríguez-Fernández ◽  
...  

Abstract. LDAS-Monde is a global offline land data assimilation system (LDAS) that jointly assimilates satellite-derived observations of surface soil moisture (SSM) and leaf area index (LAI) into the ISBA (Interaction between Soil Biosphere and Atmosphere) land surface model (LSM). This study demonstrates that LDAS-Monde is able to detect, monitor and forecast the impact of extreme weather on land surface states. Firstly, LDAS-Monde is run globally at 0.25∘ spatial resolution over 2010–2018. It is forced by the state-of-the-art ERA5 reanalysis (LDAS_ERA5) from the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The behaviour of the assimilation system is evaluated by comparing the analysis with the assimilated observations. Then the land surface variables (LSVs) are validated with independent satellite datasets of evapotranspiration, gross primary production, sun-induced fluorescence and snow cover. Furthermore, in situ measurements of SSM, evapotranspiration and river discharge are employed for the validation. Secondly, the global analysis is used to (i) detect regions exposed to extreme weather such as droughts and heatwave events and (ii) address specific monitoring and forecasting requirements of LSVs for those regions. This is performed by computing anomalies of the land surface states. They display strong negative values for LAI and SSM in 2018 for two regions: north-western Europe and the Murray–Darling basin in south-eastern Australia. For those regions, LDAS-Monde is forced with the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) high-resolution operational analysis (LDAS_HRES, 0.10∘ spatial resolution) over 2017–2018. Monitoring capacities are studied by comparing open-loop and analysis experiments, again against the assimilated observations. Forecasting abilities are assessed by initializing 4 and 8 d LDAS_HRES forecasts of the LSVs with the LDAS_HRES assimilation run compared to the open-loop experiment. The positive impact of initialization from an analysis in forecast mode is particularly visible for LAI that evolves at a slower pace than SSM and is more sensitive to initial conditions than to atmospheric forcing, even at an 8 d lead time. This highlights the impact of initial conditions on LSV forecasts and the value of jointly analysing soil moisture and vegetation states.


2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (12) ◽  
pp. 6283-6307
Author(s):  
Sara Modanesi ◽  
Christian Massari ◽  
Alexander Gruber ◽  
Hans Lievens ◽  
Angelica Tarpanelli ◽  
...  

Abstract. Worldwide, the amount of water used for agricultural purposes is rising, and the quantification of irrigation is becoming a crucial topic. Because of the limited availability of in situ observations, an increasing number of studies is focusing on the synergistic use of models and satellite data to detect and quantify irrigation. The parameterization of irrigation in large-scale land surface models (LSMs) is improving, but it is still hampered by the lack of information about dynamic crop rotations, or the extent of irrigated areas, and the mostly unknown timing and amount of irrigation. On the other hand, remote sensing observations offer an opportunity to fill this gap as they are directly affected by, and hence potentially able to detect, irrigation. Therefore, combining LSMs and satellite information through data assimilation can offer the optimal way to quantify the water used for irrigation. This work represents the first and necessary step towards building a reliable LSM data assimilation system which, in future analysis, will investigate the potential of high-resolution radar backscatter observations from Sentinel-1 to improve irrigation quantification. Specifically, the aim of this study is to couple the Noah-MP LSM running within the NASA Land Information System (LIS), with a backscatter observation operator for simulating unbiased backscatter predictions over irrigated lands. In this context, we first tested how well modelled surface soil moisture (SSM) and vegetation estimates, with or without irrigation simulation, are able to capture the signal of aggregated 1 km Sentinel-1 backscatter observations over the Po Valley, an important agricultural area in northern Italy. Next, Sentinel-1 backscatter observations, together with simulated SSM and leaf area index (LAI), were used to optimize a Water Cloud Model (WCM), which will represent the observation operator in future data assimilation experiments. The WCM was calibrated with and without an irrigation scheme in Noah-MP and considering two different cost functions. Results demonstrate that using an irrigation scheme provides a better calibration of the WCM, even if the simulated irrigation estimates are inaccurate. The Bayesian optimization is shown to result in the best unbiased calibrated system, with minimal chances of having error cross-correlations between the model and observations. Our time series analysis further confirms that Sentinel-1 is able to track the impact of human activities on the water cycle, highlighting its potential to improve irrigation, soil moisture, and vegetation estimates via future data assimilation.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document