The Dynamics of Northern Hemisphere Stratospheric Final Warming Events

2007 ◽  
Vol 64 (8) ◽  
pp. 2932-2946 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert X. Black ◽  
Brent A. McDaniel
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Potential Vorticity ◽  
High Latitude ◽  
Dynamical Behavior ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Stratospheric Final Warming ◽  
Concomitant Reduction ◽  
Indirect Consequence

A lag composite analysis is performed of the zonal-mean structure and dynamics of Northern Hemisphere stratospheric final warming (SFW) events. SFW events are linked to distinct zonal wind deceleration signatures in the stratosphere and troposphere. The period of strongest stratospheric decelerations (SD) is marked by a concomitant reduction in the high-latitude tropospheric westerlies. However, a subsequent period of tropospheric decelerations (TD) occurs while the stratospheric circulation relaxes toward climatological conditions. During SFW onset, a wavenumber-1 disturbance at stratospheric altitudes evolves into a circumpolar anticyclonic circulation anomaly. Transformed Eulerian-mean dynamical diagnoses reveal that the SD period is characterized by an anomalous upward Eliassen–Palm (EP) signature at high latitudes extending from the surface to the middle stratosphere. The associated wave-driving pattern consists of zonal decelerations extending from the upper troposphere to the midstratosphere. Piecewise potential vorticity tendency analyses further indicate that zonal wind decelerations in the lower and middle troposphere result, at least in part, from the direct response to latitudinal redistributions of potential vorticity occurring in the lower stratosphere. The TD period exhibits a distinct dynamical behavior with anomalous downward EP fluxes in the high-latitude stratosphere as the zero zonal wind line descends toward the tropopause. This simultaneously allows the stratospheric polar vortex to radiatively recover while providing anomalous upper-tropospheric zonal decelerations (as tropospheric Rossby wave activity is vertically trapped in the high-latitude troposphere). The tropospheric decelerations that occur during the TD period are regarded as a subsequent indirect consequence of SFW events.

scholarly journals The influence of the stratosphere on the tropospheric zonal wind response to CO<sub>2</sub> doubling

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 23895-23925
Author(s):  
Y. B. L. Hinssen ◽  
C. J. Bell ◽  
P. C. Siegmund
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Zonal Wind ◽  
High Latitude ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Late Winter ◽  
Wave Forcing ◽  
Eddy Heat Flux ◽  
Wind Response ◽  
Hemisphere Winter

Abstract. The influence of a CO2 doubling on the stratospheric potential vorticity (PV) is examined in two climate models. Subsequently, the influence of changes in the stratosphere on the tropospheric zonal wind response is investigated, by inverting the stratospheric PV. Radiative effects dominate the stratospheric response to CO2 doubling in the Southern Hemisphere. These lead to a stratospheric PV increase at the edge of the polar vortex, resulting in an increased westerly influence of the stratosphere on the tropospheric midlatitude winds in late winter. In the Northern Hemisphere, dynamical effects are also important. Both models show a reduced polar PV and an enhanced midlatitude PV in the Northern Hemisphere winter stratosphere. These PV changes are related to an enhanced wave forcing of the winter stratosphere, as measured by an increase in the 100 hPa eddy heat flux, and result in a reduced westerly influence of the stratosphere on the high latitude tropospheric winds. In one model, the high latitude PV decreases are, however, restricted to higher altitudes, and the tropospheric response due to the stratospheric changes is dominated by an increased westerly influence in the midlatitudes, related to the increase in midlatitude PV in the lower stratosphere. The tropospheric response in zonal wind due to the stratospheric PV changes is of the order of 0.5 to 1 m s−1. The total tropospheric response has a somewhat different spatial structure, but is of similar magnitude. This indicates that the stratospheric influence is of importance in modifying the tropospheric zonal wind response to CO2 doubling.

scholarly journals The influence of the stratosphere on the tropospheric zonal wind response to CO<sub>2</sub> doubling

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 4915-4927 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. B. L. Hinssen ◽  
C. J. Bell ◽  
P. C. Siegmund
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Zonal Wind ◽  
High Latitude ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Late Winter ◽  
Wave Forcing ◽  
Eddy Heat Flux ◽  
Wind Response ◽  
Hemisphere Winter

Abstract. The influence of a CO2 doubling on the stratospheric potential vorticity (PV) is examined in two climate models. Subsequently, the influence of changes in the stratosphere on the tropospheric zonal wind response is investigated, by inverting the stratospheric PV. Radiative effects seem to dominate the stratospheric response to CO2 doubling in the Southern Hemisphere. These lead to a stratospheric PV increase at the edge of the polar vortex, resulting in an increased westerly influence of the stratosphere on the troposphere, increasing the midlatitude tropospheric westerlies in late winter. In the Northern Hemisphere, dynamical effects are also important. Both models show a reduced polar PV and an enhanced midlatitude PV in the Northern Hemisphere winter stratosphere. These PV changes are likely related to an enhanced wave forcing of the winter stratosphere, as measured by an increase in the 100 hPa eddy heat flux, and result in a reduced westerly influence of the stratosphere on the high latitude tropospheric winds. In one model, the high latitude PV decreases are, however, restricted to higher altitudes, and the tropospheric response due to the stratospheric changes is dominated by an increased westerly influence in the midlatitudes, related to the increase in midlatitude PV in the lower stratosphere. The tropospheric response in zonal wind due to the stratospheric PV changes is of the order of 0.5 to 1 m s−1. The total tropospheric response has a somewhat different spatial structure, but is of similar magnitude. This indicates that the stratospheric influence is of importance in modifying the tropospheric zonal wind response to CO2 doubling.

scholarly journals The impact of volcanic aerosol on the Northern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex: mechanisms and sensitivity to forcing structure

2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (23) ◽  
pp. 13063-13079 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Toohey ◽  
K. Krüger ◽  
M. Bittner ◽  
C. Timmreck ◽  
H. Schmidt
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
High Latitude ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Volcanic Aerosol ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Model Simulations ◽  
Aerosol Forcing ◽  
Climate Model Simulations ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Observations and simple theoretical arguments suggest that the Northern Hemisphere (NH) stratospheric polar vortex is stronger in winters following major volcanic eruptions. However, recent studies show that climate models forced by prescribed volcanic aerosol fields fail to reproduce this effect. We investigate the impact of volcanic aerosol forcing on stratospheric dynamics, including the strength of the NH polar vortex, in ensemble simulations with the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model. The model is forced by four different prescribed forcing sets representing the radiative properties of stratospheric aerosol following the 1991 eruption of Mt. Pinatubo: two forcing sets are based on observations, and are commonly used in climate model simulations, and two forcing sets are constructed based on coupled aerosol–climate model simulations. For all forcings, we find that simulated temperature and zonal wind anomalies in the NH high latitudes are not directly impacted by anomalous volcanic aerosol heating. Instead, high-latitude effects result from enhancements in stratospheric residual circulation, which in turn result, at least in part, from enhanced stratospheric wave activity. High-latitude effects are therefore much less robust than would be expected if they were the direct result of aerosol heating. Both observation-based forcing sets result in insignificant changes in vortex strength. For the model-based forcing sets, the vortex response is found to be sensitive to the structure of the forcing, with one forcing set leading to significant strengthening of the polar vortex in rough agreement with observation-based expectations. Differences in the dynamical response to the forcing sets imply that reproducing the polar vortex responses to past eruptions, or predicting the response to future eruptions, depends on accurate representation of the space–time structure of the volcanic aerosol forcing.

The Influence of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on the Troposphere in Winter in a Hierarchy of Models. Part I: Simplified Dry GCMs

2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (6) ◽  
pp. 1273-1289 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chaim I. Garfinkel ◽  
Dennis L. Hartmann
Keyword(s):  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Equation Model ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
The North ◽  
Subtropical Jet ◽  
Long Time ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

Abstract A dry primitive equation model is used to explain how the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) of the tropical stratosphere can influence the troposphere, even in the absence of tropical convection anomalies and a variable stratospheric polar vortex. QBO momentum anomalies induce a meridional circulation to maintain thermal wind balance. This circulation includes zonal wind anomalies that extend from the equatorial stratosphere into the subtropical troposphere. In the presence of extratropical eddies, the zonal wind anomalies are intensified and extend downward to the surface. The tropospheric response differs qualitatively between integrations in which the subtropical jet is strong and integrations in which the subtropical jet is weak. While fluctuation–dissipation theory provides a guide to predicting the response in some cases, significant nonlinearity in others, particularly those designed to model the midwinter subtropical jet of the North Pacific, prevents its universal application. When the extratropical circulation is made zonally asymmetric, the response to the QBO is greatest in the exit region of the subtropical jet. The dry model is able to simulate much of the Northern Hemisphere wintertime tropospheric response to the QBO observed in reanalysis datasets and in long time integrations of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM).

scholarly journals Influence of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on the Extratropical Winter Stratosphere in an Atmospheric General Circulation Model and in Reanalysis Data

2010 ◽  
Vol 67 (5) ◽  
pp. 1402-1419 ◽  
Author(s):  
James A. Anstey ◽  
Theodore G. Shepherd ◽  
John F. Scinocca
Keyword(s):  
Zonal Wind ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Empirical Orthogonal Functions ◽  
Vertical Profiles ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Atmospheric General Circulation ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

Abstract The interannual variability of the stratospheric polar vortex during winter in both hemispheres is observed to correlate strongly with the phase of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) in tropical stratospheric winds. It follows that the lack of a spontaneously generated QBO in most atmospheric general circulation models (AGCMs) adversely affects the nature of polar variability in such models. This study examines QBO–vortex coupling in an AGCM in which a QBO is spontaneously induced by resolved and parameterized waves. The QBO–vortex coupling in the AGCM compares favorably to that seen in reanalysis data [from the 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-40)], provided that careful attention is given to the definition of QBO phase. A phase angle representation of the QBO is employed that is based on the two leading empirical orthogonal functions of equatorial zonal wind vertical profiles. This yields a QBO phase that serves as a proxy for the vertical structure of equatorial winds over the whole depth of the stratosphere and thus provides a means of subsampling the data to select QBO phases with similar vertical profiles of equatorial zonal wind. Using this subsampling, it is found that the QBO phase that induces the strongest polar vortex response in early winter differs from that which induces the strongest late-winter vortex response. This is true in both hemispheres and for both the AGCM and ERA-40. It follows that the strength and timing of QBO influence on the vortex may be affected by the partial seasonal synchronization of QBO phase transitions that occurs both in observations and in the model. This provides a mechanism by which changes in the strength of QBO–vortex correlations may exhibit variability on decadal time scales. In the model, such behavior occurs in the absence of external forcings or interannual variations in sea surface temperatures.

scholarly journals Bifurcation of potential vorticity gradients across the Southern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (11) ◽  
pp. 8065-8077 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan Conway ◽  
Greg Bodeker ◽  
Chris Cameron
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Potential Vorticity ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Trace Gas ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Distinct Structure ◽  
Barrier Region ◽  
Westerly Winds ◽  
Antarctic Continent ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. The wintertime stratospheric westerly winds circling the Antarctic continent, also known as the Southern Hemisphere polar vortex, create a barrier to mixing of air between middle and high latitudes. This dynamical isolation has important consequences for export of ozone-depleted air from the Antarctic stratosphere to lower latitudes. The prevailing view of this dynamical barrier has been an annulus compromising steep gradients of potential vorticity (PV) that create a single semi-permeable barrier to mixing. Analyses presented here show that this barrier often displays a bifurcated structure where a double-walled barrier exists. The bifurcated structure manifests as enhanced gradients of PV at two distinct latitudes – usually on the inside and outside flanks of the region of highest wind speed. Metrics that quantify the bifurcated nature of the vortex have been developed and their variation in space and time has been analysed. At most isentropic levels between 395 and 850 K, bifurcation is strongest in mid-winter and decreases dramatically during spring. From August onwards a distinct structure emerges, where elevated bifurcation remains between 475 and 600 K, and a mostly single-walled barrier occurs at other levels. While bifurcation at a given level evolves from month to month, and does not always persist through a season, interannual variations in the strength of bifurcation display coherence across multiple levels in any given month. Accounting for bifurcation allows the region of reduced mixing to be better characterised. These results suggest that improved understanding of cross-vortex mixing requires consideration of the polar vortex not as a single mixing barrier but as a barrier with internal structure that is likely to manifest as more complex gradients in trace gas concentrations across the vortex barrier region.

scholarly journals Nonlinear response of Northern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex to the Indo–Pacific warm pool (IPWP) Niño

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Zhou ◽  
Quanliang Chen ◽  
Fei Xie ◽  
Jianping Li ◽  
Minggang Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Temperature Response ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Warm Pool ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
Linear Wave ◽  
Stationary Waves ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Pacific Warm Pool ◽  
Tropical Sea

Abstract Variations in tropical sea surface temperatures (SST) have pronounced impacts on the stratospheric polar vortex, with the role of El Niño being the focus of much research interest. However, the Indo–Pacific warm pool (IPWP), which is the warmest body of seawater in the world, has received less attention. The IPWP has been warming in recent years. This paper presents for the first time the remarkable nonlinearity in Northern Hemisphere (NH) stratospheric circulation and temperature response to IPWP warming (the so-called IPWP Niño) in boreal winter. The magnitude of NH stratospheric vortex weakening is strong and significant in case of moderate IPWP Niño, but is weak and insignificant in strong IPWP Niño case. This phenomenon is robust in both the historical simulations and observations. An idealized model experiments forced with linear varying SST forcing in the IPWP region isolate the nonlinearities arising from IPWP Niño strength. Westward extension of precipitation into the Maritime Continent drives attenuation and westward shift of extratropical waves during strong IPWP Niño events. Linear wave interference analysis reveals this leads to weak interference between the climatological and anomalous stationary waves and thereby a weak response of the stratospheric vortex. These findings imply a distinct stratospheric vortex response to the IPWP Niño, and provide extended implications for the surface climate in the NH.

The stratospheric response and surface influence in a bias-corrected model.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicholas Tyrrell ◽  
Alexey Karpechko ◽  
Sebastian Rast
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Atmospheric Model ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Surface Response ◽  
Model Biases ◽  
Increased Strength ◽  
And Control ◽  
Bias Corrections

&lt;p&gt;We investigate the effect of systematic model biases on teleconnections influencing the Northern Hemisphere wintertime circulation. We perform a two-step nudging and bias-correcting scheme for the dynamic variables of the ECHAM6 atmospheric model to reduce errors in the model climatology relative to ERA-Interim. The developed scheme is efficient in removing errors in model&amp;#8217;s climatology. In particular, large negative bias in December-February mean zonal stratospheric winds is reduced by up to 75%, significantly increasing the strength of the Northern Hemisphere wintertime stratospheric polar vortex. &lt;!-- I think calling increase in vortex strength &amp;#8221;a result&amp;#8221; somewhat shifts the focus. The result is reduced error, not increased strength. I mean technically it is the same, but perception of the result is a bit different. What do you think? --&gt;The bias-corrections are applied to the full atmosphere or stratosphere only.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;We compare the response of bias-corrected and control runs to internal stratospheric variability and surface forcings that are important on seasonal timescales: Siberian snow cover in October; the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO); and ENSO. We find the bias-corrected model has the potential for a strengthened and more realistic response to the teleconnections, either in the stratospheric or surface response. In particular, the bias-corrected model has a strong QBO teleconnection which modulates the extratropical polar vortex and sea level pressure variability in a manner similar to that seen in observations. The Siberian snow forcing with the stratosphere-only bias-corrections also leads to an enhanced surface response relative to the control.&lt;!-- Given considerable remaining biases in tropospheric waves in the stratosphere-only bias corrected run I would not overemphasize the results in this particular run especially because full bias-corrected run does not show large surface response. But it is Ok to mention this result in the abstract. --&gt; The mechanism behind the sensitivity of the teleconnections to model biases is discussed.&lt;/p&gt;

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