scholarly journals Initiation of Precipitation Episodes Relative to Elevated Terrain

2004 ◽  
Vol 61 (22) ◽  
pp. 2763-2769 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. A. Ahijevych ◽  
C. A. Davis ◽  
R. E. Carbone ◽  
J. D. Tuttle
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Great Plains ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Precipitation Frequency ◽  
Latitude Range ◽  
Continental Divide ◽  
Central United States ◽  
States Experience ◽  
East West

Abstract The western and central United States experience a pronounced diurnal cycle in rainfall during the warm season. Over the higher terrain west of 105°W, most precipitation occurs in the afternoon, whereas the central United States experiences more nocturnal events. This coherent phase transition between the Rocky Mountains and the U.S. Great Plains is well defined for all warm seasons between 1996 and 2003, provided that the rainfall observations are remapped relative to the elevated terrain in the western United States prior to north–south averaging. Due to the westward shift of the Continental Divide north of 42°N and its intersection with the warm season storm track for 2002, the diurnal coherence greatly improves after remapping the 2002 rainfall observations. This speaks to the long-range influence of orography on precipitation frequency and suggests that the primary east–west corridor of precipitation for an individual warm season intersects the cordillera over a fairly narrow latitude range.

Rainfall Occurrence in the U.S. Warm Season: The Diurnal Cycle*

2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (16) ◽  
pp. 4132-4146 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. E. Carbone ◽  
J. D. Tuttle
Keyword(s):  
Great Plains ◽  
Multiple Scales ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Rainfall Occurrence ◽  
Continental Divide ◽  
Central United States ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The U.S

Abstract The diurnal occurrence of warm-season rainfall over the U.S. mainland is examined, particularly in light of forcings at multiple scales. The analysis is based on a radar dataset of 12-seasons duration covering the U.S. mainland from the Continental Divide eastward. The dataset resolves 2-km features at 15-min intervals, thus providing a detailed view of both large- and regional-scale diurnal patterns, as well as the statistics of events underlying these patterns. The results confirm recent findings with respect to the role of propagating rainfall systems and the high frequency at which these are excited by sensible heating over elevated terrain. Between the Rockies and the Appalachians, ∼60% of midsummer rainfall occurs in this manner. Most rainfall in the central United States is nocturnal and may be attributed to the following three main forcings: 1) the passage of eastward-propagating rainfall systems with origins near the Continental Divide at 105°W; 2) a nocturnal reversal of the mountain–plains solenoid, which is associated with widespread ascent over the plains; and 3) the transport of energetic air and moisture convergence by the Great Plains low-level jet. Other features of interest include effects of the Appalachians, semidiurnal signals of regional significance, and the impact of breezes along the Gulf of Mexico. A modest effort was put forth to discern signals associated with El Niño and the Southern Oscillation. While tendencies in precipitation patterns are observed, the record is too short to draw conclusions of general significance.

NAM Model Forecasts of Warm-Season Quasi-Stationary Frontal Environments in the Central United States

2010 ◽  
Vol 25 (4) ◽  
pp. 1281-1292 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shih-Yu Wang ◽  
Adam J. Clark
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Mesoscale Model ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Wind Fields ◽  
Vapor Flux ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Central United States

Abstract Using a composite procedure, North American Mesoscale Model (NAM) forecast and observed environments associated with zonally oriented, quasi-stationary surface fronts for 64 cases during July–August 2006–08 were examined for a large region encompassing the central United States. NAM adequately simulated the general synoptic features associated with the frontal environments (e.g., patterns in the low-level wind fields) as well as the positions of the fronts. However, kinematic fields important to frontogenesis such as horizontal deformation and convergence were overpredicted. Surface-based convective available potential energy (CAPE) and precipitable water were also overpredicted, which was likely related to the overprediction of the kinematic fields through convergence of water vapor flux. In addition, a spurious coherence between forecast deformation and precipitation was found using spatial correlation coefficients. Composite precipitation forecasts featured a broad area of rainfall stretched parallel to the composite front, whereas the composite observed precipitation covered a smaller area and had a WNW–ESE orientation relative to the front, consistent with mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) propagating at a slight right angle relative to the thermal gradient. Thus, deficiencies in the NAM precipitation forecasts may at least partially result from the inability to depict MCSs properly. It was observed that errors in the precipitation forecasts appeared to lag those of the kinematic fields, and so it seems likely that deficiencies in the precipitation forecasts are related to the overprediction of the kinematic fields such as deformation. However, no attempts were made to establish whether the overpredicted kinematic fields actually contributed to the errors in the precipitation forecasts or whether the overpredicted kinematic fields were simply an artifact of the precipitation errors. Regardless of the relationship between such errors, recognition of typical warm-season environments associated with these errors should be useful to operational forecasters.

Investigating the Relationship between the Evaporative Stress Index and Land Surface Conditions in the Contiguous United States

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (7) ◽  
pp. 1469-1484
Author(s):  
Yafang Zhong ◽  
Jason A. Otkin ◽  
Martha C. Anderson ◽  
Christopher Hain
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Great Plains ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
The United States ◽  
Stress Index ◽  
Northern Great Plains ◽  
Reference Network ◽  
North Central ◽  
Central United States

AbstractDespite the key importance of soil moisture–evapotranspiration (ET) coupling in the climate system, limited availability of soil moisture and ET observations poses a major impediment for investigation of this coupling regarding spatiotemporal characteristics and potential modifications under climate change. To better understand and quantify soil moisture–ET coupling and relevant processes, this study takes advantage of in situ soil moisture observations from the U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN) for the time period of 2010–17 and a satellite-derived version of the evapotranspiration stress index (ESI), which represents anomalies in a normalized ratio of actual to reference ET. The analyses reveal strong seasonality and regional characteristics of the ESI–land surface interactions across the United States, with the strongest control of soil moisture on the ESI found in the southern Great Plains during spring, and in the north-central United States, the northern Great Plains, and the Pacific Northwest during summer. In drier climate regions such as the northern Great Plains and north-central United States, soil moisture control on the ESI is confined to surface soil layers, with subsurface soil moisture passively responding to changes in the ESI. The soil moisture–ESI interaction is more uniform between surface and subsurface soils in wetter regions with higher vegetation cover. These results provide a benchmark for simulation of soil moisture–ET coupling and are useful for projection of associated climate processes in the future.

scholarly journals Potential Predictability of Long-Term Drought and Pluvial Conditions in the U.S. Great Plains

2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 802-816 ◽  
Author(s):  
Siegfried D. Schubert ◽  
Max J. Suarez ◽  
Philip J. Pegion ◽  
Randal D. Koster ◽  
Julio T. Bacmeister
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Great Plains ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Skewed Distribution ◽  
Soil Conditions ◽  
Unexpected Result ◽  
Potential Predictability

Abstract This study examines the predictability of seasonal mean Great Plains precipitation using an ensemble of century-long atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) simulations forced with observed sea surface temperatures (SSTs). The results show that the predictability (intraensemble spread) of the precipitation response to SST forcing varies on interannual and longer time scales. In particular, this study finds that pluvial conditions are more predictable (have less intraensemble spread) than drought conditions. This rather unexpected result is examined in the context of the physical mechanisms that impact precipitation in the Great Plains. These mechanisms include El Niño–Southern Oscillation’s impact on the planetary waves and hence the Pacific storm track (primarily during the cold season), the role of Atlantic SSTs in forcing changes in the Bermuda high and low-level moisture flux into the continent (primarily during the warm season), and soil moisture feedbacks (primarily during the warm season). It is found that the changes in predictability are primarily driven by changes in the strength of the land–atmosphere coupling, such that under dry conditions a given change in soil moisture produces a larger change in evaporation and hence precipitation than the same change in soil moisture would produce under wet soil conditions. The above changes in predictability are associated with a negatively skewed distribution in the seasonal mean precipitation during the warm season—a result that is not inconsistent with the observations.

scholarly journals The Relationship between the Pacific–North American Teleconnection Pattern, the Great Plains Low-Level Jet, and North Central U.S. Heavy Rainfall Events*

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (17) ◽  
pp. 6729-6742 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keith J. Harding ◽  
Peter K. Snyder
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Great Plains ◽  
Heavy Rainfall ◽  
Teleconnection Pattern ◽  
North Central ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
The North ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Central United States ◽  
Heavy Rainfall Events

Abstract This study demonstrates the relationship between the Pacific–North American (PNA) teleconnection pattern and the Great Plains low-level jet (GPLLJ). The negative phase of the PNA, which is associated with lower heights over the Great Plains and ridging in the southeastern United States, enhances the GPLLJ by increasing the pressure gradient within the GPLLJ on 6-hourly to monthly time scales. Strong GPLLJ events predominantly occur when the PNA is negative. Warm-season strong GPLLJ events with a very negative PNA (<−1) are associated with more persistent, longer wavelength planetary waves that increase the duration of GPLLJ events and enhance precipitation over the north central United States. When one considers the greatest 5-day north central U.S. precipitation events, a large majority occur when the PNA is negative, with most exhibiting a very negative PNA. Stronger moisture transport during heavy rainfall events with a very negative PNA decreases the precipitation of locally derived moisture compared to events with a very positive PNA. The PNA becomes negative 2–12 days before heavy rainfall events and is very negative within two weeks of 78% of heavy rainfall events in the north central United States, a finding that could be used to improve medium-range forecasts of heavy rainfall events.

scholarly journals Virulence of Puccinia triticina on Wheat in the United States in 1999

Plant Disease ◽  
2002 ◽  
Vol 86 (1) ◽  
pp. 15-19 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. L. Long ◽  
K. J. Leonard ◽  
M. E. Hughes
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Great Plains ◽  
Gulf Coast ◽  
Puccinia Triticina ◽  
Leaf Rust Resistance ◽  
Distribution Patterns ◽  
The United States ◽  
Eastern United States ◽  
Ohio Valley ◽  
Central United States

Isolates of Puccinia triticina were obtained from wheat leaf collections made by cooperators throughout the United States and from surveys of wheat fields and nurseries in the Great Plains, Ohio Valley, and Gulf Coast states in 1999. Pathogenic races were determined from virulence/avirulence phenotypes on 14 host lines that are near-isogenic for leaf rust resistance. We found 58 races among 1,180 isolates in 1999. As in previous surveys, regional race distribution patterns showed that the central United States is a single epidemiological unit distinct from the eastern United States. The distinctive racial composition of collections from the Southeast, Northeast, and Ohio Valley indicates that populations of P. triticina in those areas are not closely connected, suggesting epidemics originate from localized overwintering sources.

scholarly journals Central and Eastern U.S. Surface Pressure Variations Derived from the USArray Network

2015 ◽  
Vol 143 (4) ◽  
pp. 1472-1493 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander A. Jacques ◽  
John D. Horel ◽  
Erik T. Crosman ◽  
Frank L. Vernon
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Great Plains ◽  
Surface Pressure ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Pressure Sensors ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
The United States ◽  
Large Magnitude ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Pressure Perturbations

Abstract Large-magnitude pressure signatures associated with a wide range of atmospheric phenomena (e.g., mesoscale gravity waves, convective complexes, tropical disturbances, and synoptic storm systems) are examined using a unique set of surface pressure sensors deployed as part of the National Science Foundation EarthScope USArray Transportable Array. As part of the USArray project, approximately 400 seismic stations were deployed in a pseudogrid fashion across a portion of the United States for 1–2 yr, then retrieved and redeployed farther east. Surface pressure observations at a sampling frequency of 1 Hz were examined during the period 1 January 2010–28 February 2014 when the seismic array was transitioning from the central to eastern continental United States. Surface pressure time series at over 900 locations were bandpass filtered to examine pressure perturbations on three temporal scales: meso- (10 min–4 h), subsynoptic (4–30 h), and synoptic (30 h–5 days) scales. Case studies of strong pressure perturbations are analyzed using web tools developed to visualize and track tens of thousands of such events with respect to archived radar imagery and surface wind observations. Seasonal assessments of the bandpass-filtered variance and frequency of large-magnitude events are conducted to identify prominent areas of activity. Large-magnitude mesoscale pressure perturbations occurred most frequently during spring in the southern Great Plains and shifted northward during summer. Synoptic-scale pressure perturbations are strongest during winter in the northern states with maxima located near the East Coast associated with frequent synoptic development along the coastal storm track.

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