scholarly journals Radar Refractivity Retrieval: Validation and Application to Short-Term Forecasting

2005 ◽  
Vol 44 (3) ◽  
pp. 285-300 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tammy M. Weckwerth ◽  
Crystalyne R. Pettet ◽  
Frédéric Fabry ◽  
Shin Ju Park ◽  
Margaret A. LeMone ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Great Plains ◽  
Doppler Radar ◽  
Doppler Velocity ◽  
Good Representation ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
National Network ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Short Term Forecasting ◽  
Convection Initiation

Abstract This study will validate the S-band dual-polarization Doppler radar (S-Pol) radar refractivity retrieval using measurements from the International H2O Project conducted in the southern Great Plains in May–June 2002. The range of refractivity measurements during this project extended out to 40–60 km from the radar. Comparisons between the radar refractivity field and fixed and mobile mesonet refractivity values within the S-Pol refractivity domain show a strong correlation. Comparisons between the radar refractivity field and low-flying aircraft also show high correlations. Thus, the radar refractivity retrieval provides a good representation of low-level atmospheric refractivity. Numerous instruments that profile the temperature and moisture are also compared with the refractivity field. Radiosonde measurements, Atmospheric Emitted Radiance Interferometers, and a vertical-pointing Raman lidar show good agreement, especially at low levels. Under most daytime summertime conditions, radar refractivity measurements are representative of an ∼250-m-deep layer. Analyses are also performed on the utility of refractivity for short-term forecasting applications. It is found that the refractivity field may detect low-level boundaries prior to the more traditional radar reflectivity and Doppler velocity fields showing their existence. Data from two days on which convection initiated within S-Pol refractivity range suggest that the refractivity field may exhibit some potential utility in forecasting convection initiation. This study suggests that unprecedented advances in mapping near-surface water vapor and subsequent improvements in predicting convective storms could result from implementing the radar refractivity retrieval on the national network of operational radars.

scholarly journals Convection Initiation Caused by Heterogeneous Low-Level Jets over the Great Plains

2018 ◽  
Vol 146 (8) ◽  
pp. 2615-2637 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joshua G. Gebauer ◽  
Alan Shapiro ◽  
Evgeni Fedorovich ◽  
Petra Klein
Keyword(s):  
Great Plains ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
The United States ◽  
Dimensional Structure ◽  
Nonuniform Heating ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Low Level Jets ◽  
Convection Initiation ◽  
Capping Inversion

AbstractObservations from three nights of the Plains Elevated Convection at Night (PECAN) field campaign were used in conjunction with Rapid Refresh model forecasts to find the cause of north–south lines of convection, which initiated away from obvious surface boundaries. Such pristine convection initiation (CI) is relatively common during the warm season over the Great Plains of the United States. The observations and model forecasts revealed that all three nights had horizontally heterogeneous and veering-with-height low-level jets (LLJs) of nonuniform depth. The veering and heterogeneity were associated with convergence at the top-eastern edge of the LLJ, where moisture advection was also occurring. As time progressed, this upper region became saturated and, due to its placement above the capping inversion, formed moist absolutely unstable layers, from which the convergence helped initiate elevated convection. The structure of the LLJs on the CI nights was likely influenced by nonuniform heating across the sloped terrain, which led to the uneven LLJ depth and contributed toward the wind veering with height through the creation of horizontal buoyancy gradients. These three CI events highlight the importance of assessing the full three-dimensional structure of the LLJ when forecasting nocturnal convection over the Great Plains.

scholarly journals Analysis of Convergence Boundaries Observed during IHOP_2002

2010 ◽  
Vol 138 (7) ◽  
pp. 2737-2760 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roger M. Wakimoto ◽  
Hanne V. Murphey
Keyword(s):  
Doppler Radar ◽  
The Other ◽  
Horizontal Gradient ◽  
Mobile Platforms ◽  
Thermodynamic Structure ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Axis Parallel ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Outflow Boundary ◽  
Convection Initiation

Abstract An analysis of six convergence boundaries observed during the International H2O Project (IHOP_2002) is presented. The detailed kinematic and thermodynamic structure of these boundaries was examined using data collected by an airborne Doppler radar and a series of dropsondes released by a jet flying at ∼500 mb. The former and latter platforms were able to resolve the meso-γ- and meso-β-scale circulations, respectively. Convection initiated on three of the days while no storms developed in the regions targeted by the mobile platforms on the other days (referred to as null cases). The airborne radar resolved the finescale structure of four drylines, a cold front, and an outflow boundary on the six days. Horizontal profiles through radar-detected thin lines revealed “bell-shaped distributions” and there appeared to be a seasonal dependence of the peak values of radar reflectivity. The echo profiles through the fine line in May were, in general, greater than those plotted for the June cases. There was no apparent relationship between the intensity of the low-level updraft and convection initiation. The strongest updraft resolved in the dual-Doppler wind synthesis was associated with a null case. There was also no relationship between the strength of the moisture discontinuity across the boundaries and convection initiation. The three days during which the storms developed were all associated with two convergence boundaries that were adjacent to each other. The two boundaries collided on one of the days; however, the boundaries on the other two days were approximately parallel and remained separated by a distance of 5–15 km. The total derivative of the horizontal vorticity rotating along an axis parallel to the boundary was calculated using dropsonde data. The horizontal gradient of buoyancy was the largest contributor to the change in vorticity and revealed maximum and minimum values that would support the generation of counterrotating circulations, thus promoting vertically rising air parcels. These updrafts would be more conducive to convection initiation. The null cases were characterized by a low-level vorticity generation of only one sign. This pattern would support tilted updrafts. The results presented in this study suggest that it is not necessary for two boundaries to collide in order for thunderstorms to develop. Solenoidally generated horizontal circulations can produce conditions favorable for convection initiation even if the boundaries remain separate.

Nocturnal Destabilization Associated with the Summertime Great Plains Low-Level Jet

2020 ◽  
Vol 148 (11) ◽  
pp. 4641-4656
Author(s):  
Thomas R. Parish ◽  
Richard D. Clark ◽  
Todd D. Sikora
Keyword(s):  
Great Plains ◽  
The United States ◽  
Temperature Gradients ◽  
Gradient Force ◽  
Wind Component ◽  
Pressure Gradient Force ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Temperature Advection ◽  
Low Level Jet

AbstractThe Great Plains low-level jet (LLJ) has long been associated with summertime nocturnal convection over the central Great Plains of the United States. Destabilization effects of the LLJ are examined using composite fields assembled from the North American Mesoscale Forecast System for June and July 2008–12. Of critical importance are the large isobaric temperature gradients that become established throughout the lowest 3 km of the atmosphere in response to the seasonal heating of the sloping Great Plains. Such temperature gradients provide thermal wind forcing throughout the lower atmosphere, resulting in the establishment of a background horizontal pressure gradient force at the level of the LLJ. The attendant background geostrophic wind is an essential ingredient for the development of a pronounced summertime LLJ. Inertial turning of the ageostrophic wind associated with LLJ provides a westerly wind component directed normal to the terrain-induced orientation of the isotherms. Hence, significant nocturnal low-level warm-air advection occurs, which promotes differential temperature advection within a vertical column of atmosphere between the level just above the LLJ and 500 hPa. Such differential temperature advection destabilizes the nighttime troposphere above the radiatively cooled near-surface layer on a recurring basis during warm weather months over much of the Great Plains and adjacent states to the east. This destabilization process reduces the convective inhibition of air parcels near the level of the LLJ and may be of significance in the development of elevated nocturnal convection. The 5 July 2015 case from the Plains Elevated Convection at Night field program is used to demonstrate this destabilization process.

Teleconnections Governing the Interannual Variability of Great Plains Low-Level Jets in May

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-60
Author(s):  
Shubhi Agrawal ◽  
Craig R. Ferguson ◽  
Lance Bosart ◽  
D. Alex Burrows
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Great Plains ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Low Level ◽  
South Central ◽  
Decadal Scale ◽  
Low Level Jets ◽  
Upper Level

AbstractA spectral analysis of Great Plains 850-hPa meridional winds (V850) from ECMWF’s coupled climate reanalysis of 1901-2010 (CERA-20C) reveals that their warm season (April-September) interannual variability peaks in May with 2-6 year periodicity, suggestive of an underlying teleconnection influence on low-level jets (LLJs). Using an objective, dynamical jet classification framework based on 500-hPa wave activity, we pursue a large scale teleconnection hypothesis separately for LLJs that are uncoupled (LLJUC) and coupled (LLJC) to the upper-level jet stream. Differentiating between jet types enables isolation of their respective sources of variability. In the South Central Plains (SCP), May LLJCs account for nearly 1.6 times more precipitation and 1.5 times greater V850 compared to LLJUCs. Composite analyses of May 250-hPa geopotential height (Z250) conditioned on LLJC and LLJUC frequencies highlight a distinct planetary-scale Rossby wave pattern with wavenumber-five, indicative of an underlying Circumglobal Teleconnection (CGT). An index of May CGT is found to be significantly correlated with both LLJC (r = 0.62) and LLJUC (r = −0.48) frequencies. Additionally, a significant correlation is found between May LLJUC frequency and NAO (r = 0.33). Further analyses expose decadal scale variations in the CGT-LLJC(LLJUC) teleconnection that are linked to the PDO. Dynamically, these large scale teleconnections impact LLJ class frequency and intensity via upper-level geopotential anomalies over the western U.S. that modulate near-surface geopotential and temperature gradients across the SCP.

scholarly journals Radar Observations of the Diurnally Forced Offshore Convective Lines along the Southeastern Coast of Taiwan

2005 ◽  
Vol 133 (6) ◽  
pp. 1613-1636 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cheng-Ku Yu ◽  
Ben Jong-Dao Jou
Keyword(s):  
Doppler Radar ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Leading Edge ◽  
Heavy Precipitation ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Radar Observations ◽  
Southeastern Coast ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Narrow Zone ◽  
Offshore Flow

Abstract This study documents offshore convective lines along the southeastern coast of Taiwan, a frequent but poorly understood mesoscale phenomenon that influences coastal weather during the Taiwan mei-yu season. Doppler radar and surface observations were gathered from a specially chosen period (11–15 May 1998) when the offshore convective lines were active off the southeastern coast of Taiwan. These observations were used to show the basic character, structure, and possible formative processes of offshore convective lines. The synoptic environment accompanying these events was found to be relatively undisturbed and featured uniformly prevailing southerly/south-southeasterly winds in the boundary layer with southwesterlies/westerlies aloft. Examination of radar data during the study period indicates that the lines generally occurred ∼10–30 km offshore and were characterized by an elongated narrow zone (∼5–10 km wide) of heavy precipitation. The lines were oriented roughly parallel to the coastline and generally did not move significantly. The intensity of the radar reflectivity associated with the lines exhibited a marked diurnal variation and was closely related to the coastal offshore flow developing at night. Detailed analyses of an event on 14–15 May 1998 further show the important physical link between the offshore flow and the development of the line. The offshore line was found to be located near and immediately ahead of the seaward extent of the offshore flow. Particularly, a very narrow zone (∼2 km) of low-level heavy precipitation (40–45 dBZ) coincided with regions of strong updrafts and convergence, where the prevailing southerly onshore flow encountered the cool offshore flow nearshore. This offshore flow–induced convergence, given a stable thermodynamic condition in the lowest ∼1 km in the inflow region, was a crucial low-level forcing that provided lifting to trigger moist deep convection in this case. The line’s precipitation tilt eastward was confined primarily to the warmer inflow side rather than feeding the offshore flow to the west of the line. No consistent upshear tilt of updrafts throughout the storm layer was observed, which is consistent with the presence of a strong westerly shear in the line’s environment. Both of these observations explain a relatively strong (weak) modification of low-level onshore (offshore) flow by precipitation. Additionally, a combination of surface and Doppler radar observations indicates that the leading edge of the offshore flow moved seaward very slowly at 0.7 m s−1 and possessed a frontal character with notable discontinuities in near-surface wind and temperature (instead of pressure and dewpoint temperature).

scholarly journals A Finescale Radar Examination of the Tornadic Debris Signature and Weak-Echo Reflectivity Band Associated with a Large, Violent Tornado

2016 ◽  
Vol 144 (11) ◽  
pp. 4101-4130 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jana Lesak Houser ◽  
Howard B. Bluestein ◽  
Jeffrey C. Snyder
Keyword(s):  
Cross Sections ◽  
Doppler Radar ◽  
Leading Edge ◽  
Doppler Velocity ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
High Resolution Data ◽  
Rapid Scan ◽  
Surface Data ◽  
X Band ◽  
Strong Gradient

Abstract High-resolution data of the tornadic debris signature (TDS) and weak-echo reflectivity band (WRB) associated with a large, violent tornado on 24 May 2011 in central Oklahoma are examined using a rapid-scan, X-band, polarimetric, mobile Doppler radar. Various characteristics of these features and their evolution are examined over time intervals of 20 s or less. The formation of the TDS, debris fallout, and inhomogeneities in the TDS structure, are analyzed from volumetric and single-elevation observations. Constant-radius vertical cross sections of Doppler velocity, reflectivity, and copolar cross-correlation coefficient are compared at various times during the tornado’s life cycle; from them it is found that the weak echo column (WEC) is considerably narrower than the TDS and the WEC is confined to the strong gradient of Doppler velocities in the tornado’s core. The TDS of the mature tornado extends radially outward, bound approximately by the 40 m s−1 radial isodop. Rapid-scan, near-surface data were collected for a period of 6 min, during which 2-s single-elevation PPI updates at 1° were available at heights below 100 m above radar level. During this period, a WRB associated with a visually observed horizontal vortex developed east of the tornado, along the leading edge of the secondary rear-flank gust front, as the tornado was rapidly intensifying. A relationship was noted between reduced radar-observed reflectivity and increased radar-observed radial convergence/divergence in the vicinity of the horizontal vortex as it strengthened. This feature is qualitatively analyzed and hypotheses explaining its generation and structure are discussed.

scholarly journals Understanding the Impact of Radar and In Situ Observations on the Prediction of a Nocturnal Convection Initiation Event on 25 June 2013 Using an Ensemble-Based Multiscale Data Assimilation System

2018 ◽  
Vol 146 (6) ◽  
pp. 1837-1859 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samuel K. Degelia ◽  
Xuguang Wang ◽  
David J. Stensrud ◽  
Aaron Johnson
Keyword(s):  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Great Plains ◽  
Cold Pool ◽  
Radar Observations ◽  
Low Level ◽  
In Situ Observations ◽  
Outflow Boundary ◽  
Convection Initiation ◽  
The Impact

The initiation of new convection at night in the Great Plains contributes to a nocturnal maximum in precipitation and produces localized heavy rainfall and severe weather hazards in the region. Although previous work has evaluated numerical model forecasts and data assimilation (DA) impacts for convection initiation (CI), most previous studies focused only on convection that initiates during the afternoon and not explicitly on nocturnal thunderstorms. In this study, we investigate the impact of assimilating in situ and radar observations for a nocturnal CI event on 25 June 2013 using an ensemble-based DA and forecast system. Results in this study show that a successful CI forecast resulted only when assimilating conventional in situ observations on the inner, convection-allowing domain. Assimilating in situ observations strengthened preexisting convection in southwestern Kansas by enhancing buoyancy and locally strengthening low-level convergence. The enhanced convection produced a cold pool that, together with increased convergence along the northwestern low-level jet (LLJ) terminus near the region of CI, was an important mechanism for lifting parcels to their level of free convection. Gravity waves were also produced atop the cold pool that provided further elevated ascent. Assimilating radar observations further improved the forecast by suppressing spurious convection and reducing the number of ensemble members that produced CI along a spurious outflow boundary. The fact that the successful CI forecasts resulted only when the in situ observations were assimilated suggests that accurately capturing the preconvective environment and specific mesoscale features is especially important for nocturnal CI forecasts.

Observations of Elevated Convection Initiation Leading to a Surface-Based Squall Line during 13 June IHOP_2002

2011 ◽  
Vol 139 (1) ◽  
pp. 247-271 ◽  
Author(s):  
John H. Marsham ◽  
Stanley B. Trier ◽  
Tammy M. Weckwerth ◽  
James W. Wilson
Keyword(s):  
Local Time ◽  
Great Plains ◽  
Doppler Radar ◽  
Mesoscale Convective System ◽  
The United States ◽  
Squall Line ◽  
Cold Pool ◽  
Convective System ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Wave Trapping

Abstract The evolution of a mesoscale convective system (MCS) observed during the International H2O Project that took place on the Great Plains of the United States is described. The MCS formed at night in a frontal zone, with four initiation episodes occurring between approximately 0000 and 0400 local time. Radar, radiosonde, and surface data together show that at least three of the initiation episodes were elevated, occurring from moist conditionally unstable layers located above the boundary layer, which had been stabilized by previous MCSs. Initiation occurred in northwest–southeast-oriented lines where a southerly nocturnal low-level jet terminated, generating elevated convergence. One initiation episode was observed using the S-band dual-polarization Doppler radar (S-Pol) and occurred at the intersection of this convergence zone with a propagating wave. Calculations of the Scorer parameter were consistent with wave trapping. Downdrafts from the developing convection generated both waves and bores, which propagated ahead of the cold pool, initiating further convection. Between 0700 and 1000 local time, the structure and orientation of the MCS evolved to a southwest–northeast-oriented squall line, which built a cold-pool outflow that could lift near-surface air to its level of free convection. The weaker cold pool in the eastern part of the domain was consistent with the greater impacts of a previous MCS there. To the authors’ knowledge, this case study provides the first detailed observational investigation of elevated initiation leading to surface-based convection, a process that appears to be an important mechanism for the generation of long-lived MCSs from elevated initiation.

scholarly journals Near-Surface Vortex Structure in a Tornado and in a Sub-Tornado-Strength Convective-Storm Vortex Observed by a Mobile, W-Band Radar during VORTEX2

2013 ◽  
Vol 141 (11) ◽  
pp. 3661-3690 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robin L. Tanamachi ◽  
Howard B. Bluestein ◽  
Ming Xue ◽  
Wen-Chau Lee ◽  
Krzysztof A. Orzel ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Velocity Structure ◽  
Doppler Radar ◽  
Dynamic Pressure ◽  
Doppler Velocity ◽  
Convective Storm ◽  
Azimuthal Component ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Kinematic Evolution ◽  
W Band

Abstract As part of the Second Verification of the Origins of Rotation in Tornadoes Experiment (VORTEX2) field campaign, a very high-resolution, mobile, W-band Doppler radar collected near-surface (≤200 m AGL) observations in an EF-0 tornado near Tribune, Kansas, on 25 May 2010 and in sub-tornado-strength vortices near Prospect Valley, Colorado, on 26 May 2010. In the Tribune case, the tornado's condensation funnel dissipated and then reformed after a 3-min gap. In the Prospect Valley case, no condensation funnel was observed, but evidence from the highest-resolution radars in the VORTEX2 fleet indicates multiple, sub-tornado-strength vortices near the surface, some with weak-echo holes accompanying Doppler velocity couplets. Using high-resolution Doppler radar data, the authors document the full life cycle of sub-tornado-strength vortex beneath a convective storm that previously produced tornadoes. The kinematic evolution of these vortices, from genesis to decay, is investigated via ground-based velocity track display (GBVTD) analysis of the W-band velocity data. It is found that the azimuthal velocities in the Tribune tornado fluctuated in concert with the (dis)appearance of the condensation funnel. However, the dynamic pressure drop associated with the retrieved azimuthal winds was not sufficient to account for the condensation funnel. In the Prospect Valley case, the strongest and longest-lived sub-tornado-strength vortex exhibited similar azimuthal velocity structure to the Tribune tornado, but had weaker azimuthal winds. In both cases, the radius of maximum azimuthal wind was inversely related to the wind speed, and changes in the axisymmetric azimuthal component of velocity were consistent with independent indicators of vortex intensification and decay.

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