scholarly journals Ensemble State Estimation for Nonlinear Systems Using Polynomial Expansions in the Innovation

2011 ◽  
Vol 139 (11) ◽  
pp. 3571-3588 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Hodyss

Abstract A new framework is presented for understanding how a nonnormal probability density function (pdf) may affect a state estimate and how one might usefully exploit the nonnormal properties of the pdf when constructing a state estimate. A Bayesian framework is constructed that naturally leads to an expansion of the expected forecast error in a polynomial series consisting of powers of the innovation vector. This polynomial expansion in the innovation reveals a new view of the geometric nature of the state estimation problem. It is shown that this expansion in powers of the innovation provides a direct relationship between a nonnormal pdf describing the likely distribution of states and a normal pdf determined by powers of the forecast error. One implication of this perspective is that when state estimation is performed on a nonnormal pdf it leads to state estimates based on the mean to be nonlinear functions of the innovation. A direct relationship is shown between the degree to which the state estimate varies with the innovation and the moments of the distribution. These and other implications of this new view of ensemble state estimation in nonlinear systems are illustrated in simple scalar systems as well as on the Lorenz attractor.

1993 ◽  
Vol 115 (1) ◽  
pp. 19-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Ray ◽  
L. W. Liou ◽  
J. H. Shen

This paper presents a modification of the conventional minimum variance state estimator to accommodate the effects of randomly varying delays in arrival of sensor data at the controller terminal. In this approach, the currently available sensor data is used at each sampling instant to obtain the state estimate which, in turn, can be used to generate the control signal. Recursive relations for the filter dynamics have been derived, and the conditions for uniform asymptotic stability of the filter have been conjectured. Results of simulation experiments using a flight dynamic model of advanced aircraft are presented for performance evaluation of the state estimation filter.


Sensors ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (9) ◽  
pp. 2976 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yali Ruan ◽  
Yingting Luo ◽  
Yunmin Zhu

In this paper, the state estimation for dynamic system with unknown inputs modeled as an autoregressive AR (1) process is considered. We propose an optimal algorithm in mean square error sense by using difference method to eliminate the unknown inputs. Moreover, we consider the state estimation for multisensor dynamic systems with unknown inputs. It is proved that the distributed fused state estimate is equivalent to the centralized Kalman filtering using all sensor measurement; therefore, it achieves the best performance. The computation complexity of the traditional augmented state algorithm increases with the augmented state dimension. While, the new algorithm shows good performance with much less computations compared to that of the traditional augmented state algorithms. Moreover, numerical examples show that the performances of the traditional algorithms greatly depend on the initial value of the unknown inputs, if the estimation of initial value of the unknown input is largely biased, the performances of the traditional algorithms become quite worse. However, the new algorithm still works well because it is independent of the initial value of the unknown input.


Mathematics ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (12) ◽  
pp. 1168 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ligang Sun ◽  
Hamza Alkhatib ◽  
Boris Kargoll ◽  
Vladik Kreinovich ◽  
Ingo Neumann

In this paper, we propose a new technique—called Ellipsoidal and Gaussian Kalman filter—for state estimation of discrete-time nonlinear systems in situations when for some parts of uncertainty, we know the probability distributions, while for other parts of uncertainty, we only know the bounds (but we do not know the corresponding probabilities). Similarly to the usual Kalman filter, our algorithm is iterative: on each iteration, we first predict the state at the next moment of time, and then we use measurement results to correct the corresponding estimates. On each correction step, we solve a convex optimization problem to find the optimal estimate for the system’s state (and the optimal ellipsoid for describing the systems’s uncertainty). Testing our algorithm on several highly nonlinear problems has shown that the new algorithm performs the extended Kalman filter technique better—the state estimation technique usually applied to such nonlinear problems.


Author(s):  
Houda Salhi ◽  
Samira Kamoun

This chapter deals with the description, the parametric estimation, the state estimation, and the parametric and state estimation conjointly of nonlinear systems. The focus is on the class of nonlinear systems, which are described by Wiener state-space discrete-time mathematical models. Thus, the authors develop a new recursive parametric estimation algorithm, which is based on least squares techniques. The stability conditions of the developed parametric estimation scheme are analyzed using the Lyapunov method. The state estimation problem of the considered nonlinear systems is formulated. Thus, the authors propose a recursive state estimation algorithm, which is based on Kalman Filter. A new recursive algorithm is proposed, which permits one to estimate conjointly the parameters and the state variables of nonlinear systems described by Wiener mathematical models, with unknown parameters and state variables. The efficiency and performance of the proposed recursive estimation algorithms are tested on numerical simulation examples.


2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 24-34
Author(s):  
Irina N. KOLOSOK ◽  
◽  
Elena S. KORKINA ◽  
Alexandr V. TIKHONOV ◽  
◽  
...  

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (7) ◽  
pp. 1967
Author(s):  
Gaurav Kumar Roy ◽  
Marco Pau ◽  
Ferdinanda Ponci ◽  
Antonello Monti

Direct Current (DC) grids are considered an attractive option for integrating high shares of renewable energy sources in the electrical distribution grid. Hence, in the future, Alternating Current (AC) and DC systems could be interconnected to form hybrid AC-DC distribution grids. This paper presents a two-step state estimation formulation for the monitoring of hybrid AC-DC grids. In the first step, state estimation is executed independently for the AC and DC areas of the distribution system. The second step refines the estimation results by exchanging boundary quantities at the AC-DC converters. To this purpose, the modulation index and phase angle control of the AC-DC converters are integrated into the second step of the proposed state estimation formulation. This allows providing additional inputs to the state estimation algorithm, which eventually leads to improve the accuracy of the state estimation results. Simulations on a sample AC-DC distribution grid are performed to highlight the benefits resulting from the integration of these converter control parameters for the estimation of both the AC and DC grid quantities.


Electronics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 651
Author(s):  
Wouter Schinkel ◽  
Tom van der Sande ◽  
Henk Nijmeijer

A cooperative state estimation framework for automated vehicle applications is presented and demonstrated via simulations, the estimation framework is used to estimate the state of a lead and following vehicle simultaneously. Recent developments in the field of cooperative driving require novel techniques to ensure accurate and stable vehicle following behavior. Control schemes for the cooperative control of longitudinal and lateral vehicle dynamics generally require vehicle state information about the lead vehicle, which in some cases cannot be accurately measured. Including vehicle-to-vehicle communication in the state estimation process can provide the required input signals for the practical implementation of cooperative control schemes. This study is focused on demonstrating the benefits of using vehicle-to-vehicle communication in the state estimation of a lead and following vehicle via simulations. The state estimator, which uses a cascaded Kalman filtering process, takes the operating frequencies of different sensors into account in the estimation process. Simulation results of three different driving scenarios demonstrate the benefits of using vehicle-to-vehicle communication as well as the attenuation of measurement noise. Furthermore, in contrast to relying on low frequency measurement data for the input signals of cooperative control schemes, the state estimator provides a state estimate at every sample.


Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 1242
Author(s):  
Cong Huang ◽  
Bo Shen ◽  
Lei Zou ◽  
Yuxuan Shen

This paper is concerned with the state and fault estimation issue for nonlinear systems with sensor saturations and fault signals. For the sake of avoiding the communication burden, an event-triggering protocol is utilized to govern the transmission frequency of the measurements from the sensor to its corresponding recursive estimator. Under the event-triggering mechanism (ETM), the current transmission is released only when the relative error of measurements is bigger than a prescribed threshold. The objective of this paper is to design an event-triggering recursive state and fault estimator such that the estimation error covariances for the state and fault are both guaranteed with upper bounds and subsequently derive the gain matrices minimizing such upper bounds, relying on the solutions to a set of difference equations. Finally, two experimental examples are given to validate the effectiveness of the designed algorithm.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 2301
Author(s):  
Yun-Sung Cho ◽  
Yun-Hyuk Choi

This paper describes a methodology for implementing the state estimation and enhancing the accuracy in large-scale power systems that partially depend on variable renewable energy resources. To determine the actual states of electricity grids, including those of wind and solar power systems, the proposed state estimation method adopts a fast-decoupled weighted least square approach based on the architecture of application common database. Renewable energy modeling is considered on the basis of the point of data acquisition, the type of renewable energy, and the voltage level of the bus-connected renewable energy. Moreover, the proposed algorithm performs accurate bad data processing using inner and outer functions. The inner function is applied to the largest normalized residue method to process the bad data detection, identification and adjustment. While the outer function is analyzed whether the identified bad measurements exceed the condition of Kirchhoff’s current law. In addition, to decrease the topology and measurement errors associated with transformers, a connectivity model is proposed for transformers that use switching devices, and a transformer error processing technique is proposed using a simple heuristic method. To verify the performance of the proposed methodology, we performed comprehensive tests based on a modified IEEE 18-bus test system and a large-scale power system that utilizes renewable energy.


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