scholarly journals Monsoonal Influence on Typhoon Morakot (2009). Part II: Numerical Study

2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (10) ◽  
pp. 2222-2235 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jia Liang ◽  
Liguang Wu ◽  
Xuyang Ge ◽  
Chun-Chieh Wu

Abstract In the second part of this study, numerical experiments are conducted to investigate the influences of multi-time-scale monsoonal flows on the track change of Typhoon Morakot (2009). While the control simulation captures the slowing and northward deflections in the vicinity of Taiwan Island, the highly asymmetric rainfall structure, and the associated rainfall pattern, sensitivity experiments suggest that the westward movement prior to the landfall on Taiwan and the subsequent northward shifts in the vicinity of Taiwan were closely associated with the interaction between Morakot and multi-time-scale monsoonal flows. Prior to the landfall on Taiwan, Morakot moved westward directly toward Taiwan because of a synoptic wave train–like pattern, which consisted of Goni over mainland China, Morakot, and a cyclone over the western North Pacific with an anticyclone to the west of Morakot. Numerical simulation suggests that strong northerly winds between Morakot and the anticyclone reduced the northward steering component associated with the low-frequency flow prior to the landfall. Numerical experiments confirm that the northward track shifts that occurred in the vicinity of Taiwan Island were a result of the coalescences of Morakot with a quasi-biweekly oscillation (QBW)-scale gyre prior to the landfall on Taiwan and a Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO)-scale gyre in the Taiwan Strait. The simulation of Morakot and the associated sensitivity experiments agree with the previous barotropic study that the interaction between tropical cyclones and low-frequency monsoon gyres can cause sudden changes in tropical cyclone tracks.

2017 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
pp. 747-766 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuwei Bao ◽  
Dan Wu ◽  
Xiaotu Lei ◽  
Leiming Ma ◽  
Dongliang Wang ◽  
...  

2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (10) ◽  
pp. 2208-2221 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liguang Wu ◽  
Jia Liang ◽  
Chun-Chieh Wu

Abstract Typhoon Morakot made landfall on Taiwan with a record rainfall of 3031.5 mm during 6–13 August 2009. While previous studies have emphasized the influence of southwesterly winds associated with intraseasonal oscillations and monsoon surges on moisture supply, the interaction between Morakot and low-frequency monsoon flows and the resulting influence on the slow movement and asymmetric precipitation structure of the typhoon were examined observationally. Embedded in multi-time-scale monsoonal flows, Morakot generally moved westward prior to its landfall on Taiwan and underwent a coalescence process first with a cyclonic gyre on the quasi-biweekly oscillation time scale and then with a cyclonic gyre on the Madden–Julian oscillation time scale. The coalescence enhanced the synoptic-scale southwesterly winds of Morakot and thus decreased its westward movement and turned the track northward, leading to an unusually long residence time in the vicinity of Taiwan. The resulting slow movement and collocation with the low-frequency gyres also maintained the major rainfall in southern Taiwan because the low-frequency flows played an important role in enhancing the winds on the southern side, especially during 6–9 August 2009. In addition to the lifting effect of the Taiwan terrain and the moisture supply associated with monsoon flows, the study suggests that the monsoonal influence maintained the major rainfall area in southern Taiwan through reducing the translation speed, shifting Morakot northward, and enhancing the low-frequency flows on the southern side of the typhoon. Since the enhanced low-frequency flows did not shift northward with the movement of Morakot, its primary rainfall expanded outward with time as the typhoon center moved northwestward after its landfall on Taiwan.


1979 ◽  
Vol 93 (1) ◽  
pp. 161-184 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert C. Beardsley ◽  
Kim D. Saunders ◽  
Alex C. Warn-Varnas ◽  
John M. Harding

Laboratory and numerical experiments have been conducted to study the secular spin-up of both a homogeneous and a thermally stratified rotating fluid in a right cylinder. In these experiments, the angular velocity of the container increases linearly in time from some initial rotation rate at t = 0. A simple quasi-geostrophic model is developed to describe the adjustment of the fluid over the characteristic spin-up time scale to the constant angular acceleration of the basin. Good agreement is found between the observed interior temperature and azimuthal velocity fields and the theory in both the homogeneous and stratified secular experiments. This result is in contrast to the much faster adjustment observed in stratified instantaneous spin-up experiments reported earlier. The main difference between these experimental cases is the inability of secular forcing to excite energetic inertial–gravity-wave transients during the initial phases of secular spin-up. Thus, the asymptotic theory which has filtered out these initial higher-frequency transients is accurate even though the inertial period is not much smaller than the characteristic spin-up time scale.


1998 ◽  
Vol 77 (2) ◽  
pp. 473-484 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Sampoli, P. Benassi, R. Dell'Anna,

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (12) ◽  
pp. 5155-5172
Author(s):  
Quentin Jamet ◽  
William K. Dewar ◽  
Nicolas Wienders ◽  
Bruno Deremble ◽  
Sally Close ◽  
...  

AbstractMechanisms driving the North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) variability at low frequency are of central interest for accurate climate predictions. Although the subpolar gyre region has been identified as a preferred place for generating climate time-scale signals, their southward propagation remains under consideration, complicating the interpretation of the observed time series provided by the Rapid Climate Change–Meridional Overturning Circulation and Heatflux Array–Western Boundary Time Series (RAPID–MOCHA–WBTS) program. In this study, we aim at disentangling the respective contribution of the local atmospheric forcing from signals of remote origin for the subtropical low-frequency AMOC variability. We analyze for this a set of four ensembles of a regional (20°S–55°N), eddy-resolving (1/12°) North Atlantic oceanic configuration, where surface forcing and open boundary conditions are alternatively permuted from fully varying (realistic) to yearly repeating signals. Their analysis reveals the predominance of local, atmospherically forced signal at interannual time scales (2–10 years), whereas signals imposed by the boundaries are responsible for the decadal (10–30 years) part of the spectrum. Due to this marked time-scale separation, we show that, although the intergyre region exhibits peculiarities, most of the subtropical AMOC variability can be understood as a linear superposition of these two signals. Finally, we find that the decadal-scale, boundary-forced AMOC variability has both northern and southern origins, although the former dominates over the latter, including at the site of the RAPID array (26.5°N).


2006 ◽  
Vol 63 (7) ◽  
pp. 1859-1877 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Kondrashov ◽  
S. Kravtsov ◽  
M. Ghil

Abstract This paper constructs and analyzes a reduced nonlinear stochastic model of extratropical low-frequency variability. To do so, it applies multilevel quadratic regression to the output of a long simulation of a global baroclinic, quasigeostrophic, three-level (QG3) model with topography; the model's phase space has a dimension of O(104). The reduced model has 45 variables and captures well the non-Gaussian features of the QG3 model's probability density function (PDF). In particular, the reduced model's PDF shares with the QG3 model its four anomalously persistent flow patterns, which correspond to opposite phases of the Arctic Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation, as well as the Markov chain of transitions between these regimes. In addition, multichannel singular spectrum analysis identifies intraseasonal oscillations with a period of 35–37 days and of 20 days in the data generated by both the QG3 model and its low-dimensional analog. An analytical and numerical study of the reduced model starts with the fixed points and oscillatory eigenmodes of the model's deterministic part and uses systematically an increasing noise parameter to connect these with the behavior of the full, stochastically forced model version. The results of this study point to the origin of the QG3 model's multiple regimes and intraseasonal oscillations and identify the connections between the two types of behavior.


Author(s):  
Gundula B. Runge ◽  
Al Ferri ◽  
Bonnie Ferri

This paper considers an anytime strategy to implement controllers that react to changing computational resources. The anytime controllers developed in this paper are suitable for cases when the time scale of switching is in the order of the task execution time, that is, on the time scale found commonly with sporadically missed deadlines. This paper extends the prior work by developing frequency-weighted anytime controllers. The selection of the weighting function is driven by the expectation of the situations that would require anytime operation. For example, if the anytime operation is due to occasional and isolated missed deadlines, then the weighting on high frequencies should be larger than that for low frequencies. Low frequency components will have a smaller change over one sample time, so failing to update these components for one sample period will have less effect than with the high frequency components. An example will be included that applies the anytime control strategy to a model of a DC motor with deadzone and saturation nonlinearities.


1998 ◽  
Vol 77 (2) ◽  
pp. 473-484 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Sampoli ◽  
P. Benassi ◽  
R. Dell'Anna ◽  
V. Mazzacurati ◽  
G. Ruocco

Author(s):  
Shaowu Ou ◽  
Shixiao Fu ◽  
Wei Wei ◽  
Tao Peng ◽  
Xuefeng Wang

Typically, in some side-by-side offshore operations, the speed of vessels is very low or even 0 and the headings are manually maneuvered. In this paper, the hydrodynamic responses of a two-body system in such operations under irregular seas are investigated. The numerical model includes two identical PSVs (Platform Supply Vessel) as well as the fenders and connection lines between them. A horizontal mooring system constraining the low frequency motions is set on one of the ships to simulate maneuver system. Accounting for the hydrodynamic interactions between two bodies, 3D potential theory is applied for the analysis of their hydrodynamic coefficients. With wind and current effects included, these coefficients are further applied in the time domain simulations in irregular waves. The relevant coefficients are estimated by experiential formulas. Time-varying loads on fenders and connection lines are analyzed. Meanwhile, the relative motions as well as the effects of the hydrodynamic interactions between ships are further discussed, and finally an optimal operation scheme in which operation can be safely performed is summarized.


2021 ◽  
Vol 50 (6) ◽  
pp. 1799-1814
Author(s):  
Norazak Senu ◽  
Nur Amirah Ahmad ◽  
Zarina Bibi Ibrahim ◽  
Mohamed Othman

A fourth-order two stage Phase-fitted and Amplification-fitted Diagonally Implicit Two Derivative Runge-Kutta method (PFAFDITDRK) for the numerical integration of first-order Initial Value Problems (IVPs) which exhibits periodic solutions are constructed. The Phase-Fitted and Amplification-Fitted property are discussed thoroughly in this paper. The stability of the method proposed are also given herewith. Runge-Kutta (RK) methods of the similar property are chosen in the literature for the purpose of comparison by carrying out numerical experiments to justify the accuracy and the effectiveness of the derived method.


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